Marketing Prediction: Forecasting Customer Demand in the Ages of AI-Driven Marketing

05 November 2026, Version 1
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed by Cambridge University Press at the time of posting.

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) is changing demand forecasting from a periodic planning exercise into a continuous, data-driven marketing capability. Instead of projecting last year’s sales forward, AI-based forecasting systems learn from sales history, prices, promotions, weather, holidays, web searches, social media and customer behaviour, and predict demand at the level of a single product, store, customer and day. This paper studies how AI is used in predictive marketing to forecast customer demand. It traces the move from classical statistical methods to machine learning, deep learning and time-series foundation models; proposes a five-stage predictive marketing pipeline; and examines applications in pricing, promotion planning, inventory, personalisation and new-product launches. Case studies of Amazon, Walmart, Rue La La, Blinkit and Starbucks illustrate practice, including one cautionary example. The study uses a qualitative, secondary-research design based on peer-reviewed literature, forecasting competitions, industry reports and company disclosures. It finds that AI forecasting consistently improves accuracy over traditional methods, typically by 10% to 20% in independent and company-reported evidence, with the largest gains where data are rich and forecasts feed directly into marketing decisions. The gains depend, however, on data quality, human judgement, model explainability and responsible use of customer data. The paper closes with practical recommendations for marketers, with particular attention to the Indian market.

Keywords

artificial intelligence
predictive marketing
demand forecasting
machine learning
deep learning
customer analytics
retail
India

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