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Base rates, experience, and the big picture

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 February 2010

Stephen E. Edgell,
Robert M. Roe and
Clayton H. Dodd
Stephen E. Edgell
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292. seedge04@ulkyvx.louisville.edu
Robert M. Roe
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292. seedge04@ulkyvx.louisville.edu
Clayton H. Dodd
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292. seedge04@ulkyvx.louisville.edu
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Abstract

The important question is how people process probabilistic information, not whether they process it in accordance with a normative model that we never should have expected them to be capable of following. Experience is not the cure, as widely thought, to problems with utilizing base rate information.

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Open Peer Commentary
Information
Behavioral and Brain Sciences , Volume 19 , Issue 1 , March 1996, pp. 21
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1996

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