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EXPONENTIAL REALIZED GARCH-ITÔ VOLATILITY MODELS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 November 2022

Donggyu Kim*
Affiliation:
College of Business, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST)
*
Address correspondence to Donggyu Kim, College of Business, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Seoul, South Korea; e-mail: donggyukim@kaist.ac.kr.
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Abstract

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This paper introduces a novel Itô diffusion process to model high-frequency financial data that can accommodate low-frequency volatility dynamics by embedding the discrete-time nonlinear exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) structure with log-integrated volatility in a continuous instantaneous volatility process. The key feature of the proposed model is that, unlike existing GARCH-Itô models, the instantaneous volatility process has a nonlinear structure, which ensures that the log-integrated volatilities have the realized GARCH structure. We call this the exponential realized GARCH-Itô model. Given the autoregressive structure of the log-integrated volatility, we propose a quasi-likelihood estimation procedure for parameter estimation and establish its asymptotic properties. We conduct a simulation study to check the finite-sample performance of the proposed model and an empirical study with 50 assets among the S&P 500 compositions. Numerical studies show the advantages of the proposed model.

Information

Type
ARTICLES
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press