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The association between tuberculosis and diphtheria

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 April 2018

S. Coleman*
Affiliation:
Metropolitan State University (retired), 2410 Cromwell Dr, Minneapolis, MN 55410, USA
*
Author for correspondence: S. Coleman, E-mail: dr.stephencoleman@gmail.com
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Abstract

This research investigates the long-forgotten relationship between diphtheria and tuberculosis. Historical medical reports from the late 19th century are reviewed followed by a statistical regression analysis of the relationship between the two diseases in the early 20th century. Historical medical reports show a consistent association between diphtheria and tuberculosis that can increase the likelihood and severity of either disease in a co-infection. The statistical analysis uses historical weekly public health data on reported cases in five American cities over a period of several years, finding a modest but statistically significant relationship between the two diseases. No current medical theory explains the association between diphtheria and tuberculosis. Alternative explanations are explored with a focus on how the diseases assimilate iron. In a co-infection, the effectiveness of tuberculosis at assimilating extracellular iron may lead to increased production of diphtheria toxin, worsening that disease, which may, in turn, exacerbate tuberculosis. Iron-dependent repressor genes connect both diseases.

Information

Type
Original Paper
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2018 
Figure 0

Fig. 1.Average weekly diphtheria and tuberculosis cases for each year in Chicago, 1916–1923.

Figure 1

Fig. 2.Average diphtheria and tuberculosis cases for each week of the year in Chicago, averaging over all years from 1916 to 1923, with LOWESS smoothing.

Figure 2

Table 1.Boston, TB and diphtheria cases by year, 1916–1923

Figure 3

Table 2.Chicago, TB and diphtheria cases by year, 1916–1923

Figure 4

Table 3.Detroit, TB and diphtheria cases by year, 1915–1923

Figure 5

Table 4.New York City, TB and diphtheria cases by year, 1916–1923

Figure 6

Table 5.Philadelphia, TB and diphtheria cases, 1916–1923

Figure 7

Fig. 3.Boston, actual and fitted (estimated) diphtheria cases by a week from 1916 to 1923.

Figure 8

Fig. 4.Chicago, actual and fitted (estimated) diphtheria cases by a week from 1916 to 1923.

Figure 9

Fig. 5.Detroit, actual and fitted (estimated) diphtheria cases by a week from 1915 to 1923.

Figure 10

Fig. 6.New York City, actual and fitted (estimated) diphtheria cases by a week from 1916 to 1923.

Figure 11

Fig. 7.Philadelphia, actual and fitted (estimated) diphtheria cases by a week from 1916 to 1923.

Figure 12

Table 6.Estimated regression coefficient for tuberculosis in the diphtheria time-series model; polynomial and dummy variable coefficients not reported