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Does “transylvania effect” oversway emergent psychiatric presentations?: a quantitative study from Turkey

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  31 July 2026

O. Gokcen
Affiliation:
Psychiatry, Kutahya Health Science University, Kutahya, Türkiye
C. Yilmaz*
Affiliation:
Psychiatry, Sligo Leitrim Mental Health Services, Sligo, Ireland
N. Tig
Affiliation:
Kutahya Health Science University, Kutahya, Türkiye
*
*Corresponding author.

Abstract

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Introduction

The Transylvania effect refers to a concept that suggests a correlation between the lunar cycle and human behavior. Within this framework, violent behavior, suicide attempts, criminal activity, injuries, and accidents are the most prominent circumstances that have been investigated, with claims that such events are exacerbated during particular lunar phases (Gokhale and Kumar, Cureus, 2023; 15[11]). A lunar month lasts approximately 29.5 days and progresses through eight distinct synodic phases: new moon, waxing crescent, first quarter, waxing gibbous, full moon, waning gibbous, last quarter, and waning crescent.

Objectives

This study aims to examine whether psychiatric emergencies vary according to lunar phases. To address this objective, psychiatric presentations were categorized into five groups. The specific aims were: 1)To determine the annual number of psychiatric presentations to the emergency department over an eight-year period 2) To classify the total number of presentations according to the eight synodic phases 3) To investigate potential associations between psychiatric diagnostic groups and lunar phases.

Methods

A total of 4,488 patients who presented to the Emergency Department of Kütahya Health Sciences University with psychiatric complaints between January 1, 2016, and October 24, 2024, were retrospectively evaluated in relation to the lunar phase at the time of presentation. Eligible patients were categorized into the following groups: suicide attempts, psychotic or manic episodes, anxiety or panic attacks, alcohol/substance withdrawal or intoxication, and other psychiatric conditions. Statistical analyses were performed using Poisson regression and negative binomial regression.

Results

An increase was observed in suicide attempts, psychotic-manic episodes, anxiety-panic attacks, and total psychiatric emergency visits during the new moon and full moon phases. Regression analyses were conducted to confirm statistical significance. For this analysis, the new moon and full moon phases were compared against the remaining lunar phases. These remaining phases were grouped into a four-phase model consisting of new moon, waxing moon, full moon, and waning moon. Compared to the waning moon phase, the total number of psychiatric emergency presentations was significantly higher during both the full moon and new moon phases (p < 0.001 for each).Image 1:

A stacked bar chart titled Annual Distribution of Applications by Type, showing the volume and percentage breakdown of five application categories from 2016 to 2024. See long description.Image 2:

A statistical table showing the frequency of psychiatric and social incidents across eight lunar phases. See long description.Image 3:

A statistical table showing the incidence risk ratios for psychiatric outcomes across lunar phases and seasons. See long description.

Conclusions

The Transylvania effect, often regarded as a folkloric or mystical phenomenon, appears to influence psychiatric emergency presentations in this study. The new moon and full moon phases were associated with significant increases in total psychiatric emergencies, suicide attempts, and psychotic-manic exacerbations. Although much of the current literature disputes the existence of the Transylvania effect, these findings, derived from a large sample size, provide evidence that challenges prevailing skepticism.

Disclosure of Interest

None Declared

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Abstract
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of European Psychiatric Association
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