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The initial geographical spread of host-vector and carrier-borne epidemics

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

J. Radcliffe
J. Radcliffe*
Affiliation:
Queen Mary College, London
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Abstract

The deterministic and stochastic models developed by Bartlett (1956) to describe the initial spatial spread of an epidemic such as measles are extended to host-vector and carrier-borne epidemics such as malaria and typhoid in which more than one type of individual is involved. If the epidemic does not die out, then the behaviour predicted by the deterministic model and an examination of the mean distributions in the stochastic model is a wave of infection spreading out from the initial source of infection.

Keywords

INITIAL GEOGRAPHICAL SPREADHOST-VECTORCARRIER-BORNE EPIDEMICDETERMINISTIC AND STOCHASTIC MODELSWAVE OF INFECTION

Information

Type
Research Papers
Information
Journal of Applied Probability , Volume 10 , Issue 4 , December 1973, pp. 703 - 717
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1973 

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