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Strong Convergence for URN Models with Reducible Replacement Policy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

R. Abraham*
Affiliation:
Université d'Orléans
J. S. Dhersin*
Affiliation:
Université René Descartes
B. Ycart*
Affiliation:
Université Joseph Fourier
*
∗ Postal address: MAPMO, CNRS UMR 6628, Université d'Orléans, France. Email address: romain.abraham@univ-orleans.fr
∗∗ Postal address: MAP5, CNRS UMR 8145, Université René Descartes, Paris, France. Email address: jean-stephane.dhersin@univ-paris5.fr
∗∗∗ Postal address: LJK, CNRS UMR 5224, Université Joseph Fourier, Grenoble, France. Email address: bernard.ycart@ujf-grenoble.fr
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Abstract

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A multitype urn scheme with random replacements is considered. Each time a ball is picked, another ball is added, and its type is chosen according to the transition probabilities of a reducible Markov chain. The vector of frequencies is shown to converge almost surely to a random element of the set of stationary measures of the Markov chain. Its probability distribution is characterized as the solution to a fixed point problem. It is proved to be Dirichlet in the particular case of a single transient state to which no return is possible. This is no longer the case, however, as soon as returns to transient states are allowed.

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Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2007