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EXPECTATIONS, CREDIBILITY, AND TIME-CONSISTENT MONETARY POLICY

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 January 2001

Peter N. Ireland
Affiliation:
Boston College and National Bureau of Economic Research
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Abstract

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This paper addresses the problem of multiple equilibria ina model of time-consistent monetary policy. It suggests that this problemoriginates in the assumption that agents have rational expectations andproposes several alternative restrictions on expectations that allow themonetary authority to build credibility for a disinflationary policy bydemonstrating that it will stick to that policy even if it imposes short-runcosts on the economy. Starting with these restrictions, the paper derivesconditions that guarantee the uniqueness of the model's steady state;monetary policy in this unique steady state involves the constant deflationadvocated by Milton Friedman.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2000 Cambridge University Press