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Modeling Adaptive Behavior in InfluenzaTransmission

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 June 2012

W. Wang*
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Eco-environments in Three Gorges Reservoir Region, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Southwest University, Chongqing, 400715, P. R. China
*
⋆ Corresponding author. E-mail: wendi@swu.edu.cn

Abstract

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Contact behavior plays an important role in influenza transmission. In the progression ofinfluenza spread, human population reduces mobility to decrease infection risks. In thispaper, a mathematical model is proposed to include adaptive mobility. It is shown that themobility response does not affect the basic reproduction number that characterizes theinvasion threshold, but reduces dramatically infection peaks, or removes the peaks.Numerical calculations indicate that the mobility response can provide a very goodprotection to susceptible individuals, and a combination of mobility response andtreatment is an effective way to control influenza outbreak.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© EDP Sciences, 2012