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Scenario Analysis and Conceptual Model Development Using FANFARE

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 February 2011

M Kelly and
D.E. Billington
M Kelly
Affiliation:
Waste Environmental Group, AEA Technology, Didcot, Oxon, OX11 ORA Copyright AEA Technology 1997
D.E. Billington
Affiliation:
Waste Environmental Group, AEA Technology, Didcot, Oxon, OX11 ORA Copyright AEA Technology 1997
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Abstract

A computer programme (FANFARE) for facilitating scenario analysis and conceptual model development is discussed. FANFARE implements a systematic methodology, based on the use of Directed Diagrams, that makes the assessment of comprehensiveness of FEPs and scenarios a tractable problem. Coupled with its ability to store a traceable audit trail of judgments and decisions, this makes FANFARE a useful tool for carrying out FEP analysis, scenario analysis and conceptual model development for performance assessments of radiological disposal facilities. It can also be applied to other systems that require consideration of the underlying phenomena to determine system performance.

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References

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