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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 14 March 2022
I shall attempt in this paper to give a rounded, if schematic, account of the concept of probability. My central concern will be to clarify the sense in which law-like statements (including ‘statistical’ law-like statements) are made probable by observational data which, in a sense equally demanding analysis, ‘accord’ with them.
Bibliographical Note. The approach to probability and induction sketched in this paper was worked out independently over the past several years in courses and seminars. In the process of articulating it for publication, however, I have profitted greatly (I hope) from the following