I
Recent scholarly debate about the Glorious Revolution has put renewed focus on the expectations and fears of the Protestant opposition at the end of James II's reign. In particular, Steve Pincus has placed great emphasis on the deep concern about an impending popish-‘Gallican’ despotism in England.Footnote 1 From Pincus's point of view, this applied both to the opposition in England itself,Footnote 2 and to the Dutch stadholder William of Orange,Footnote 3 whose intervention initiated the dramatic change in autumn and winter 1688–9.Footnote 4 It is already clear that these widespread Protestant fears can only be understood in the broader European context.Footnote 5 In particular, it was the renewed aggressive confessionalism of Louis XIV in the 1680s which created a feeling of threat among European Protestants – a feeling which reached a peak in the decisive summer of 1688.
In this connection, it is very revealing to consider the great Roman Catholic rival of Louis XIV, Emperor Leopold I (1658–1705), and his relations to William of Orange. There is clear evidence that Leopold played a major role by raising William's fears of an imminent French-inspired joint Roman Catholic aggression against the Protestant princes and states. Consequently, the traditional image of Leopold I as a benevolent and rather ambivalent observer of the events in England in 1688 is somewhat misleading.Footnote 6 Instead, deliberate indiscretions of the imperial government contributed substantially to the Dutch decision to risk invading England. Thus, a closer examination of the imperial policy in 1688 underlines the necessity to interpret the Glorious Revolution within a wider European framework, not only with respect to its consequences, but also to its origins.
This argument is developed in two main parts. First, I outline the expectations and assessments of the prince of Orange and his advisers concerning the political and confessional situation in England and its European consequences on the eve of intervention. With this in place, I secondly show how the revelations and information transmitted by the Vienna government in the summer 1688 had such an alarming effect on the prince and his allies.
II
It is well known that the negotiations of Prince William with the Dutch and his potential German allies were crucially important in facilitating the Dutch expedition of October–November 1688.Footnote 7 During these negotiationsFootnote 8 the stadholder and his envoys seem to have taken a clear and consistent stand in appraising the political situation, especially with regard to England.Footnote 9 According to the prince of Orange, there was an irreconcilable split within the British kingdoms – a split which was caused by the religious policy of James II. The bitter conflicts between the crown and the ‘nation’Footnote 10 had led to a total paralysis of all regular political processes. To the prince of Orange and his diplomats this unbearable situation would have inevitable far-reaching consequences, both in the short and medium term. For the time being, English divisions would significantly constrain its foreign policy.Footnote 11 It could not play any active role in a conflict between France and his enemies and the unstable government of the extremely unpopular king would not even be able to defend its own kingdom effectively because of widespread disloyalty in the army.Footnote 12
But the Orangist diplomats were sure that this insecurity of the British monarchy would not last very long. This was a crucial point in their reckoning: if the English crisis continued without any interference by Protestant Europe, this would eventually lead to two alternative, absolutely different, but in both cases extremely dangerous scenarios for their interests.
One possible result would be the total victory of James after the complete elimination of the Protestant opposition. This could have been enabled by a kind of ‘packed parliament’, by which the king would declare himself absolutely independent from unwelcome political participation; he would become souverain, as Bentinck put it during his negotiations with the councillor of the elector of Brandenburg, Fuchs.Footnote 13 The preparation for such a fundamental change of the traditional constitution had already begun and could lead to a sort of unprecedented despotism.Footnote 14 However, in the view of the prince of Orange and his envoys, there existed an alternative scenario. Due to the widespread aversion to the confessional popish politics of James, it appeared possible that he would succumb to the Protestant opposition and the English nation would prevail without any foreign Protestant help. According to William's diplomacy, the effect of such a radical change was obvious: the re-emergence of an English republic.Footnote 15
In confessional terms and with regard to the political systems in Britain, the differences between both solutions could not be any greater: on the one hand, the arbitrary government of a popish monarch and, on the other hand, a republic, which would result in – as the Orange diplomats admitted directly or indirectly during the negotiations – a Protestant, indeed radically Protestant, commonwealth.Footnote 16 However, interestingly enough, in the eyes of the prince of Orange, both had one general characteristic in common. Either way, England would become a political entity which would be fiercely hostile towards the United Provinces. The emergence of an unrestricted domination by King James (and his popish entourage) left no doubt about this development; King James had never made a secret about his annoyance with the Netherlands.Footnote 17 But an English republic would also be a powerful opponent to the Netherlands within Europe. The prince of Orange illustrated during the negotiations that the history of the first republican experiment in Britain had shown one thing: such an English republic would soon turn against the Netherlands in general and especially against the House of Orange.Footnote 18 Remarkably enough, the prince used this quite anti-republican argument not only in his negotiations with German Protestant princes but also in his conversations with the emissaries of the United Provinces and the province of Holland. During these negotiations, he reminded the States General and, not surprisingly, the province of Holland of the hostility in the 1650s of the English republic towards the Dutch. Notoriously, the English republican government had done as much as it could to damage the Dutch economy.Footnote 19
However, it is important to stress here that William's argument went one step further. Both possible outcomes of the English crisis would not only lead to growing Anglo-Dutch tensions but almost inevitably to the total ruin of the Netherlands and the House of OrangeFootnote 20 and, consequently, the destruction of Protestantism across Europe.Footnote 21 Such a conclusion rested on William's warnings during the negotiations of an imminent offensive of Louis XIV and potential Roman Catholic allies against European Protestantism. Again and again, William stressed the new confessional aggressiveness of the French king in his quest for universal monarchy.Footnote 22
From the point of view of the stadholder, the first victim of the renewed French aggressiveness would be the United Provinces, which had always been regarded by Louis XIV as an extremely annoying political obstacle to his far-reaching confessional and political aims. Supposedly the French king had long been waiting for an opportunity to destroy this persistently obstinate political entity.Footnote 23 And this opportunity would come soon if nothing happened. In William's view, French hostility against the United Provinces had been the true reason for the massive support of King James's religious policy granted by LouisFootnote 24 and that a firm alliance between Britain and France was threatened.Footnote 25 But French aggression against the Netherlands would be just a first step: victory over the United Provinces would put Louis XIV and his Catholic allies into a position to scheme even more vigorously against Protestants, including in Germany. It had to be assumed that the French king and possible Catholic allies would turn against the German Protestant princes in the following course of events.Footnote 26 The danger for the Protestant cause was unparalleled.
III
William and his diplomats purported to have strong evidence for such disquieting views. They regularly referred to top-secret information about an attempted rapprochement between Versailles and Vienna Hofburg which they had acquired at the imperial court. Obviously, Louis XIV tried hard to ally with the emperor in order to strengthen the anti-Protestant bloc. Versailles had made almost incredibly generous offers to the emperor, such as the cession of the French possessions in the Alsace and the facilitation of a hereditary, centralized, and absolutist Holy Roman Empire under the House of Austria.Footnote 27 This must have been extremely alarming for the German princes who were always worried about their freedom of action, their famous ‘Libertät’.Footnote 28
In contrast to the ill-advised English king, the imperial government had reacted reluctantly to the French offers: the prince of Orange was told by secret sources at the Vienna court that hitherto the imperial government held on to its old alliance with The Hague.Footnote 29 But, William told the States General, should James crush domestic opposition and Louis the United Provinces, the emperor would change sides almost necessarily.Footnote 30 Then Louis's dream (and the Protestant nightmare) of the great Roman Catholic alliance between Bourbon, Austria, and Stuart would become reality. In this light, the intervention in England had to be considered as a matter of self-defence of Protestant communities, at least in Western and central Europe. Therefore it was seen as vital for the foreign Protestant powers to intervene in England and to guide England's development in the right direction.Footnote 31
To protect him, the prince did not name his source at the Vienna court, not to his German nor even to his Dutch partners. Therefore, this top-secret information was called the ‘secretum secretorum’ during the negotiations.Footnote 32 But the archival records make it possible to trace the route of this alleged information from Vienna to the prince of Orange. In fact, it is clear that the top-secret source was none other than Emperor Leopold himself.
William received his information about the French offers during his secret negotiations with Vienna between May and July 1688. It has long been known that in May 1688 the prince of Orange had sent an unofficial envoy to the Vienna court to negotiate a renewal of the old defensive treaty between the United Provinces and the emperor.Footnote 33 His envoy was a councillor of the landgrave of Hessen-Cassel, Baron Johann von Görtz, who officially negotiated at the court of Vienna on behalf of his Hessian master and the Upper Rhenanian Circle (Oberrheinischer Kreis), but whose real task was the renewal of the long-suspended relations between The Hague and Vienna.Footnote 34
Early in July 1688, the emperor agreed to the renewal of the old imperial–Dutch defensive treaty, for the moment informally and secretly – an important step towards the emergence of the Great Alliance against Louis XIV in May 1689.Footnote 35 On this occasion, the emperor informed Görtz and, thereby, the prince of Orange about the extremely generous offers made by the French king in utmost secrecy.Footnote 36 On the explicit order of Louis XIV, the extraordinary French ambassador in Vienna, Lusignan, had offered the cession of Alsace and even his non-intervention in the possible future Spanish Succession crisis, if the emperor was willing to take his side or remain neutral in a coming conflict between France and the United Provinces.Footnote 37 According to the emperor, the ambassador of James II, Carlingford, had supported Lusignan at the Vienna court.Footnote 38
Almost certainly, this imperial information has to be regarded as fictitious. In general, the supposed French offers were absolutely incompatible with the principal aims of French foreign policy in 1688. Detailed research of the policy of Louis XIV has given us a reliable insight into the political priorities of Louis XIV in these years. Obviously, two objectives were vital for the French government. First, was the security of the French eastern border against the emperor, whose power was – thanks to the Austrian successes at the Ottoman frontier – steadily growing.Footnote 39 In this light, territorial concessions of Louis XIV in favour of the House of Austria in the Alsace, or the transfer of fortresses at the Upper Rhine, were hardly imaginable. For the same reason, Louis XIV was utterly opposed to any attempt to establish an hereditary Austrian monarchy in the Holy Roman Empire.Footnote 40 Secondly, the offer concerning the non-intervention of France in Spanish matters was even more implausible. The Bourbon claim to the Spanish monarchy, or at least parts of it, was the great leitmotif of Louis XIV throughout his reign.Footnote 41 It has to be regarded as almost impossible that Louis XIV would have abandoned the central objectives of his foreign policy in return for the imperial promise of temporary neutrality.
Archival evidence also argues strongly against the existence of such an offer. The imperial government let the prince of Orange know that it was no less than the French ambassador in Vienna, Lusignan, who communicated the offers of his royal master and who got the support of his English colleague Carlingford in his diplomatic efforts. Thanks to the diplomatic correspondence of LusignanFootnote 42 and CarlingfordFootnote 43 with their respective governments it is clear that the French government never made such a proposal to the imperial government.Footnote 44 Moreover, we know about ‘real’ secret French proposals to the emperor in 1687–8. The government in Versailles used the imperial envoy in The Hague, Kramprich, as an agent, because Kramprich was well known for his fiercely anti-Dutch and pro-Catholic stand.Footnote 45 These verifiable secret French offers to the emperor were totally different from those which were communicated to Görtz and in general far less sensational. The French king secretly offered that he might renounce parts of the Palatine heritage of his brother respecting his sister-in-lawFootnote 46 in return for the official recognition of all French territorial gains since 1648 (i.e. all French possessions in the Alsace including the city of Strasbourg and all other ‘réunions’ until 1684).Footnote 47 The French king made these offers to achieve his general intentions (to secure France's eastern border and to retain the claims to the Spanish heritage). There is hitherto no archival evidence that Louis XIV had any intention of abandoning his long-term objectives, just the opposite is true.
What was the underlying political strategy behind these positions? Obviously, the Vienna government tried to achieve two aims. One was to prepare the ground for later demands and wishes of the emperor.Footnote 48 In an indirect but quite effective way the emperor communicated the conditions of a closer co-operation to his Dutch partners. He let it be known that he expected the support of the States General in those matters which were supposedly offered by France. Indeed, in the end this was effective: the Dutch support of the House of Austria in Spain against any Bourbon claim and of the Austrian succession to the imperial throne were part of the treaty between the emperor and the States General in May 1689.Footnote 49
Second, the imperial government was well aware of the psychological effect that an attempted Austrian–Bourbon rapprochement would have on the prince of Orange, his closest advisers, and potential Protestant allies. For the prince, the information was very alarming, of course. For approximately 200 years, the differences between the Houses of France and Austria seemed to be irreconcilable; a détente or a formal treaty would mark a radical change in the European state system at the expense of the Protestant princes and states. Such a threat could toughen the anti-French stance of the stadholder and his Protestant partners, and accelerate the final breach between the States General and France. Since July 1688 at the latest, the emperor and his closest advisers like Stratmann were convinced that the next war with France would come sooner or later.Footnote 50 So the imperial use of misinformation has to be regarded as part of the efforts of Vienna to build up a powerful anti-French coalition.
IV
It is very clear that the stadholder, William of Orange, was fundamentally suspicious of Louis XIV.Footnote 51 On the eve of the Nine Years War William's anti-French position reached a new level because of anxieties of an imminent joint Roman Catholic aggression against the Netherlands and other Protestant powers initiated by France. Fundamental to this was (mis)information distributed by the imperial government about unprecedented French offers to the emperor. This had an alarming effect on the stadholder and contributed to his plans to intervene in England as soon as possible: William and his advisers were convinced that an autonomous, ‘uncontrolled’ development in England (regardless of whether it would lead to a ‘popish’ despotism or to a Protestant republic)Footnote 52 would serve France's interests and ruin the States General. Consequently, after July 1688 William repeatedly referred to the supposed ‘indiscretions’ from the Vienna court to demonstrate the necessity of an early intervention in England. Thus the emperor made a substantial contribution to the speeding up of the military expedition – a remarkable and hitherto overlooked contribution of the Roman Catholic emperor to the overthrow of his Roman Catholic fellow monarch James II.