What gives soft law its power? By “soft law” I am referring to quasi-legal instruments that have no legal force, such as non-binding resolutions, declarations, and guidelines created by governments and private organizations.Footnote 1 How is it that these instruments, despite possessing no legal force and wielding no coercive mechanisms, are nevertheless often widely adopted and, even more perplexing, generally followed?Footnote 2 This question is of particular relevance to international law, which lacks a centralized legislative authority, yet which has seen a growing body of quasi-legal documents called “protocols”, “guidelines”, “codes of conduct”, “communications”, “checklists”, and “rules”.Footnote 3 This body of soft law is gradually gaining international recognition and acceptance.Footnote 4 Situated somewhere in the ill-defined and nebulous hinterland between hard law and non-law, the power of soft law has important implications for international governance.Footnote 5 The discussion that follows helps explain why so much soft law has power.
This paper argues that international law—specifically international commercial law—is susceptible to network effects (also called “network externalities” in the literature),Footnote 6 and that this helps to explain why so much soft law is widely followed despite lacking genuine coercive force. I argue that soft law that exhibits strong network effects is better positioned to induce both adoption and, in certain circumstances, compliance. The model which the discussion lays out helps to explain why some soft law is robust while other soft law instruments fail to gain traction. Of course, not all successful soft-law instruments gain traction because of network effects. There are many variables that go into this equation. However, it is argued that the impact of network effects underlie many of the soft-law instruments that do gain traction and that, where network effects are present, soft law stands a far better chance of succeeding.
Identifying the presence of network effects with respect to soft law is useful on both descriptive and prescriptive fronts. It not only provides an explanatory account of the process through which certain soft law gains ascendancy, but several important considerations of a prescriptive nature flow from this insight. After making the case that a great deal of soft law derives its power from network effects, I go on to argue that it is in fact possible for policy-makers to strategically harness this dynamic to stimulate legal harmonization. For instance, there are concrete steps that international bodies, such as the United Nations Commission on International Trade Law [UNCITRAL] can take to promote the standardization of the rules and practices of arbitration.
Network effects, however, can also give rise to significant problems. The last part of the discussion considers some of these potential problems at length, and cautions that policy-makers need to be mindful of these dangers. One final point should also be noted; while specific examples of soft-law instruments are referenced—such as soft law’s impact with respect to shipping law or international arbitration—this is done only for expository reasons. The model may be more generally applied to many areas of international law. It is impossible to exhaustively explore the model’s implications within the constraints of a single paper. That being the case, a broader application of the model across a wider range of soft law is strongly invited.
I. WHAT ARE NETWORK EFFECTS?
The basic concept of a network effect is not difficult to grasp. A network effect appears when the value of a product or service increases as the number of other agents using the same product or service grows, which in turn draws more users.Footnote 7 Network externalities arise from the need for compatibility between standards.Footnote 8 The classic example of a network effect is language.Footnote 9 Because the value of a language is to facilitate communication between users, it is fundamentally predisposed to a network effect.Footnote 10 For example, the more people who speak English, the more useful English is to each one of its speakers. This creates a positive externality. As English grows in popularity, so too does its value, encouraging further growth—a classic network effect.Footnote 11
There are countless other examples of network effects—telephone networks, railway gauges, computer software and operating systems, credit cards, videotape standards, time zones, currencies, electrical outlets, or screw thread sizes. It is not necessary to examine more examples as the basic principle is the same in all these cases: the value of the thing in question grows with each additional user, because this enhances the user’s ability to synchronize with other users, which attracts more users and ultimately gives rise to a unified standard. Any system that possesses the following four criteria will produce a network effect:
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1. The utility of the thing in question lies substantially in its ability to allow users to interface with other users;
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2. The standard must be compatible to achieve this end;
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3. Agents frequently interact with a large pool of other users (the larger the pool and the more frequent the better); and
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4. Agents can choose the standards under which they wish to operate. If these conditions are present, a network effect will arise.Footnote 12
II. NETWORK EFFECTS AS APPLIED TO LEGAL STANDARDS
I argue that legal standardsFootnote 13 are susceptible to network effects in the exact same fashion as certain products in the market-place. The “market” for legal standards possesses the constituent elements for a network effect. Because legal standards are instruments that facilitate interaction with a larger group, the inherent value of a legal standard as a means to that end increases as other actors employ the same legal standard. Legal standards, specifically that of a transnational commercial flavour, meet the four criteria for network effects outlined above:
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1. The usefulness of a legal standard is that it allows those who subscribe to it to successfully interact with other users;
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2. Legal standards must be compatible, i.e. they must be commonly employed (at the very least by the two parties involved in the interaction);
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3. Commercial legal standards often relate to interactions involving vast numbers of people who frequently interact; and
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4. In a transnational context, actors can choose the standards that will govern their interaction.Footnote 14
Thus, left to its own devices, network effects will induce standardization within the market for commercial legal practices. I have argued elsewhere that the impact of network effects may be discerned with respect to choice of law and choice of forum clauses in transnational contracts.Footnote 15 However, this holds true for any regulatory environment that lacks a monolithic rule-setting authority, is sufficiently interconnected, and meets the criteria for network effects described above. Because legal standards facilitate interaction, as with a language, the value of a standard increases as the number of people who use it grows. Accordingly, there is an implicit value in adopting legal practices that are commonly employed because this reduces what is known in the literature as “switching costs” (the costs associated with switching between standards). Merchants learn to use a legal practice as one would learn to use a language, and, like learning a language, this entails a certain investment in terms of gaining a proficiency and familiarity with these legal practices.Footnote 16 There are transaction costs involved in having to adopt a new and unfamiliar legal-business practice with each new commercial transaction. It is thus beneficial to avoid having to switch between standards. If all else is equal, it makes sense to keep to one standard. Thus, provided that no specific legal practice boasts an inherent advantage beyond that of simply agreeing on a predetermined rule to regulate the transaction (like agreeing on left- or right-hand drive vehicles), there is every reason to adopt the standard practice that is employed by the majority of other merchants with whom one interacts (or has the potential of interacting with) in that its value is enhanced through wider recognition.Footnote 17 In fact, even where an alternative legal standard offers an advantage of some kind, the fact that the dominant standard already possesses a large user base may offset this advantage, allowing it to maintain its dominance as a preferred standard.Footnote 18 Merchants become habituated to these standards. In network-effect markets, once “a product has become established as an industry standard, and once consumers or users have invested time or money in learning a particular system or becoming comfortable with a traditional practice, they will be less likely to try a rival process, even if over time it proves superior”.Footnote 19 This is not to deny that users may at times have exogenous incentives that cause them to switch standards. However, when spread across vast numbers of agents busily interacting within a network-effect market, network externalities will reliably induce standardization because the number and importance of these deviations diminish into insignificance.
The core benefit of standardization—the ability of agents to synchronize their interactions—is known in the literature as “synchronization value”.Footnote 20 Because they facilitate trade between large numbers of people, commercial legal practices possess an inherently high synchronization value, and are thus particularly susceptible to the effects of network externalities. Provided that there is no strong incentive not to embrace the existing standard, there is every reason to adopt the prevailing standard as one “plugs into” a new network of legal norms. Again, this is not to deny the influence of other factors; however, over the long run, once network effects arise, they inexorably drive towards convergence. It is also important to note that network effects will not only play out on the micro-level of private actors (and non-state institutions), but can also manifest—although less obviously so—on the macro-level of state actors.Footnote 21 Network effects, however, will manifest more powerfully in the case of private actors because the dynamic involves vast numbers of actors trying to co-ordinate. The micro-level of private actors in this respect conforms very well to the third ingredient for a network effect—that parties frequently interact with a large pool of other users (the larger the pool and the more frequent the better). This is less true in the case of state actors.Footnote 22 The smaller number of actors involved renders the impact of network effects not as readily observable. However, state actors are, in principle, also susceptible to network-effect pressures, albeit to a less pronounced degree. Huge numbers of private commercial actors flow in and out of their jurisdictions. Conflicting minority legal standards can undermine the attraction of their jurisdiction to these actors. To this end, all things being equal, it is in the greater interests of these state actors to embrace common standards. To the extent that policy-makers consider such things, network effects will have an impact.
Nevertheless, regardless of whether network pressures play out on the micro-level of private actors or less forcefully on the macro-level of state actors, network effects push towards standardization. Just as there is no need for a central judicial body to legislate the rules of English grammar, there is no need for a centralized authority to legislate legal standards—legal standards can self-standardize purely as the result of network effects and increasing returns in the market for legal standards.
III. NETWORK EFFECTS AND THE POWER OF SOFT LAW
Legal systems are networked systems. A legal standard is comparable to any other networked product that facilitates interaction. As such, a large part of the value of a legal standard is determined by the size of its user base. In the same way as certain products emerge as natural monopolies in commercial markets as the result of network effects, legal standardization can emerge within networks of commercial actors. Network effects can induce both standardization and compliance with those standards. Let us now look at how network effects may trigger widespread adoption of standards and, in some situations, compliance with those standards.
A. Network Effects Help Drive Adoption and Compliance
As with any networked market, given sufficient interconnection, one standard will eventually win total market share.Footnote 23 The same path-dependent process that, for example, produced the dominance of VHS video-recorders over its rival Beta can engender large-scale adoption of and compliance with a legal standard. Given its highly interconnected structure, it should not surprise us to find network externalities present in the market for legal standards. Network externalities imply a host of structural properties unique to network-effect markets. For our purposes, however, the most interesting among these is that network externalities induce self-standardization. Network effects render an interconnected system unable to sustain multiple equilibria for long periods because the pressure of network effects pushes the market towards a single dominant standard. As such, identifying network effects may yield a great deal of explanatory power regarding the mechanics that underlie the power of soft law.
It may be tempting to conclude that soft law possesses very limited force because such instruments lack concrete coercive mechanisms.Footnote 24 Yet only the second part to this statement is true. It is certainly true that soft law typically comprises voluntary standards with weak or no monitoring mechanisms.Footnote 25 When network effects underlie soft law, however, soft law documents can exert significant adoption and compliance pressure (although their ability to spur adoption outstrips their ability to engender compliance). For the reasons outlined above, actors are often already eager to employ a unified standard. They are simply unable to co-ordinate due to a lack of clarity. Soft-law instruments derive a significant degree of power from the fact that they allow actors to co-ordinate around common standards by providing this clarity. Indeed, in network-effect markets, actual enforcement is often not as important as the mere act of codification—a point easily missed. Codifying an existent practice is itself useful in that it clarifies the rules for participants already willing to comply but unable to successfully co-ordinate. In game theory, this is understood as a co-ordination game.Footnote 26 This aspect to codification holds special significance for systems of informal codification as found in soft law. Typically, the focus is upon the enforcement advantages of hard law; however, codification—something soft law is perfectly capable of providing—serves a critical function in creating focal points (à la Thomas SchellingFootnote 27 ). Just making the rules clear often yields a meaningful impact in terms of compliance, much like how the Oxford English Dictionary clarifies the English language for speakers already eager to comply with whatever the lexiconic rules of the day are. Dictionaries boast no enforcement mechanisms yet nevertheless serve a potent regulating function in that they codify systems of spontaneous linguistic order. An example of the above point is law formally recognizing left- or right-hand drive (a good illustration of a co-ordination game). The simple act of codification (and thus clarification) of the rule is enough to trigger large-scale compliance, as all drivers (for obvious reasons) are eager to comply with whatever the rule is. Driving on a particular side of the road rarely needs to actually be enforced—it simply needs to be declared.
Under such conditions, it is relatively easy for network-effect pressures to trigger large-scale convergence around a particular standard. Like left- and right-hand drive, it is often the case that parties have no strong preference for which rules are adopted so long as they are commonly adopted. In such circumstances, parties merely require gentle direction as to which rules they should adopt in order to successfully co-ordinate. Driving on the left- or right-hand side of the road is an example of a pure co-ordination game. In a pure co-ordination game, both parties have no incentive to deviate from the standard (e.g. no one wants to drive on the “wrong” side of the road). Under such conditions, network effect pressures are more than sufficient to push actors towards a single standard. However, not all soft law benefits from such opportune conditions. Under international law, there is soft law dealing with all kinds of issues—many of which are not pure co-ordination games (international tax or trade law, climate change, etc.). Where rules have deep distributional effects, there are often strong incentives to defect from the agreed-upon standards in certain situations. Where this is the case, network effects may no longer be sufficient to generate adoption or compliance.
However, network-effect pressures are capable of inducing adoption and compliance even in situations where interests are not perfectly aligned. This is the case with non-pure co-ordination games, such as the “Battle of the Sexes”.Footnote 28 In a Battle of the Sexes, the parties’ preferences are only partly out of whack. The standard example involves a husband and wife (hence the name) who prefer to do different activities—the husband wants to attend a football game and the wife wants to see the opera. However, both would prefer to do the other’s activity if the alternative is to do their activity alone.Footnote 29 Many of the areas in which soft law relates can be modelled as non-pure co-ordination games. Where soft law gains traction under such conditions, it is often because network effects prevent a non-co-operative equilibrium from forming. They may occur because the mere existence of a widely recognized standard established by entrenched network effects can nudge actors’ expectations, and thus their behaviour, in the direction of an equilibrium of compliance by producing focal points that help channel the behaviour of actors in mixed-motive games such as the Battle of the Sexes.Footnote 30 Indeed, “even within a game with conflicting interests, there may be some common interests in coordinating and a focal point may facilitate this coordination to the benefit of both parties”.Footnote 31 As parties comply with a standard, the impression that the standard is robust grows stronger, drawing more users, and thus reinforcing the standard’s ability to function as a focal point in mixed-motive games.
In this way, network effects widen the spectrum of situations where compliance may hold beyond pure co-ordination games. Even where actors harbour divergent preferences (as in non-pure co-ordination games), network effects push actors towards an equilibrium where the actors comply with the standard. There are, however, limits to the ability of network-effect pressures to counter incentives to not adopt or not comply with a standard. The present model does not deny this. Network effects will exert their greatest impact in situations that may be modelled as co-ordination games (both pure and non-pure). As we leave the realm of co-ordination games, the influence of network effects will wane as incentives to abandon or not comply with a standard increase in intensity. Where such incentives grow too powerful, and blunt the co-ordinating impact of network effects, soft-law instruments will encounter greater difficulty gaining traction.
In terms of preventing actors from abandoning a standard after adoption—even where incentives to do so arise—network effects can at times, however, exert considerable force. If either the synchronization value conferred by the network effect or the transaction costs of switching standards is high enough (or both), private preferences that would otherwise cause actors to abandon a standard for another can be effectively offset. The ability of network effects to do this depends on the strength of the incentive to abandon the standard relative to the loss of synchronization benefit and switching costs that would come with dropping a standard for an alternative. Network effects will thus increase the likelihood that a standard will be maintained across a range of conditions with incentives to switch to an alternative legal standard. Even in the face of fairly strong incentives to adopt a competing standard, extremely robust network-effect pressures can elicit continued adoption—the more powerful the network effect, the greater the ability to offset incentives to abandon the standard, and thus the greater the sweep of conditions where the standard can hold firm. In some situations, the transaction costs of switching to an alternative standard may be debilitatingly high. Depending on the character of the standard in question (i.e. how much it depends upon plugging into a larger network of users and the start-up cost of creating a new standard if an alternative is not already available), a user wishing to use a different standard may be as powerless to do so as an individual is powerless to create her own currency or change the words of the English language. Even where new exogenous factors suddenly cause incentives to abandon the standard to become quite powerful, these new incentives may be successfully neutralized so long as the user base is sufficiently locked into the standard.Footnote 32
This allows us to predict in what situations soft law is most likely to engender compliance.Footnote 33 Where soft-law instruments tap into pre-existing network-effect pressures and the conditions resemble that of a pure co-ordination game, soft law should not encounter much difficulty gaining traction. Just as the rules of English grammar do not require coercion to achieve adoption and compliance, in many situations the standards created by soft law likewise do not require enforcement to achieve adoption and compliance. Soft law will enjoy the greatest success where actors simply wish to co-ordinate and there is no compelling reason to not adopt the standard. All things being equal, the benefit of network synchronization will be sufficient to tip large networks of actors into embracing and complying with the standard. Soft law is also likely to gain traction, although less so, in areas that resemble non-pure co-ordination games. Issue areas that do not produce significant distributional outcomes or other incentives to prefer a particular standard are also hospitable to soft-law declarations, although significantly less so than dynamics that resemble pure and non-pure co-ordination games. Finally, where soft law produces deep distributional disparities and parties have strong incentives to defect—as is the case with, for example, soft law related to international environmental governance—it is difficult for such soft law to gain substantial traction. There are of course environmental soft-law instruments that have proven highly influential, for example the 1972 Stockholm Declaration.Footnote 34 However, when soft law succeeds under such inhospitable conditions, it is not due to network effects. Factors exogenous to the model are at work. Most soft-law instruments that fall into this last category face a significant uphill battle because network externalities that would otherwise help drive adoption and compliance are offset by powerful disincentives to ignore or abandon the standard.
When the conditions are right, however, soft law is very good at homogenizing markets for legal standards. The clarity that soft-law instruments provide reinforces the power of pre-existing network effects implicit in the market. Standards underpinned by these network effects frequently need only be enunciated clearly to trigger a large-scale coalescence around them and an abrupt abandonment of competing standards. This is true even where such markets are highly fragmented, possessing competing standards. Let us examine this ability of soft law in greater detail.
B. Soft Law Helps Solve Market Splintering
In commercial markets exhibiting network effects, multiple equilibria are often a problem for users of the standards. If networks overlap significantly—that is, if there is a high degree of connectivity—multiple standards cannot co-exist indefinitely. Competing network effects supporting conflicting standards can persist for some time; however, if there is sufficient interconnection the market will eventually tip in the direction of one network standard.Footnote 35 If there is a high degree of network insulation, however, the market will remain “splintered”. In such cases, soft-law instruments can exert a decisive influence by tipping markets experiencing multiple standards towards a specific standard.
As a natural consequence of the structural constraints of international trade, commercial interconnections will invariably possess degrees of network insulation. The naturally tangled and labyrinthine structure of trading networks causes legal practices to standardize in a fragmented, polycentric fashion. Even a cursive examination of the networked structure of commercial relations reveals its astounding complexity: network connections overlap and intersect in a matrix of intricate complexity. Indeed, it is impossible to chart the precise pathways of standardization. Fortunately, a precise structural analysis is not necessary. It is sufficient to simply note that multiple localized network effects will emerge, producing degrees of polycentricism (multiple centres of isolated standardization) as a result of this fragmented structure.Footnote 36 In the literature on standards, this condition is known as a local network effect.Footnote 37 Local network effects can be distinguished from global network effects, which encompass the entire (or at least a larger conglomeration of a) networked system.Footnote 38 Local network effects may be exasperated (and in many cases directly caused) by discordant national laws.Footnote 39 Such laws splinter a networked market by corralling actors around localized legal standards. This produces insulation that weakens the impact of a global network effect. In such cases, multiple standards will persist if “network effects are primarily localized within subgroups of adopters, segmenting the market”.Footnote 40 This condition, in which the market is splintered and unable to co-ordinate, is often “a dysfunctional equilibrium with multiple small and consequently unsuccessful networks instead of one large and successful one … the solution to this dilemma requires a leadership-like ability to focus on ‘let’s all do X instead’”.Footnote 41 Without this ability to co-ordinate, a splintered market will remain stuck in a sub-optimal equilibrium.Footnote 42 A state of competing network standards can be quite inefficient for actors forced to switch between them.
This problem often arises in commercial markets in the form of a protracted battle between competing standards. These “standards wars” are sometimes resolved by standards-setting bodies, such as the International Organization for Standardization [ISO], directing and thereby tipping the market towards a single standard. For our purposes, the ISO is of particular interest because it boasts no coercive mechanisms yet wields considerable influence in determining international standards. Network effects can account for this authority. The logic of network externalities “suggests that the opportunity cost of producing to purely national standards (for example, U.S. standards) increases as more countries (and especially large developing countries, such as China and Brazil, that are coveted export markets for American and European producers) switch to ISO standards”.Footnote 43 In the market for legal standards, soft law can play a comparable role. Soft law can function as a de facto standards-setting body, providing a powerful signal to the market that can cause a cascade of users to coalesce around a specific standard. In this fashion, international documents and understandings that have no actual legal authority or enforcement mechanisms can nevertheless unify an otherwise splintered market.
There are numerous examples of this. Consider some drawn from the world of international shipping. Soft-law documents such as BIMCO bills of lading, standard-form charter-parties, and the York-Antwerp Rules 2004 on General Average have self-standardized as de facto industry standards. This process of self-standardization may occur with respect to instruments at all levels of interaction. The soft-law document need only provide a focal point for actors within a network seeking to co-ordinate. International bill of lading and charter-party forms, couched in universal terms and practices widespread throughout the shipping world, do not require any formal legal codification precisely because—and this is a crucial point—they are already robustly supported by network-effect pressures. The market need only be properly co-ordinated, a function soft law can achieve. Indeed, “many bill of lading forms have been adopted for international use, with internationally accepted meanings, without the benefit of any intervention by national or international governments”.Footnote 44 Other examples of soft-law documents forging standards in the international shipping community include the Uniform Rules for Sea Waybills 1990 of the Comité Maritime International [CMI], and the Voyage Charter Party Laytime Interpretation Rules 1993. Such instruments exist without any national legislation.
In the case of international arbitration, the UNCITRAL Arbitration Rules are a good example of the ability of soft law to co-ordinate a standards market. This applies equally to the UNCITRAL Model Law on International Commercial Arbitration. However, the Model Law is aimed at law-makers at the national level, while the Arbitration Rules are directed at the parties to a dispute. Network-effect pressures are, for reasons already discussed, more robust with respect to the Arbitration Rules because private actors are more susceptible to network-effect pressures than state actors. Prominent soft-law instruments can co-ordinate a market even more powerfully (as a result of their high degree of salience). As a consequence of their prominence, the UNCITRAL Arbitration Rules and the UNCITRAL Model Law on International Commercial Arbitration represent particularly powerful co-ordinating soft-law documents. Similarly, UNICITRAL’s model laws and legislative guides can co-ordinate splintered markets with respect to legal standards beyond the realm of arbitration.
In markets exhibiting network effects, standardization is not merely possible, but inevitable so long as there is sufficient interconnection and the freedom of participants to choose the standards under which they wish to operate. Network effects help explain why so much soft law is adopted and followed despite lacking the enforcement trappings of formal law. However, this is not to say that all successful soft law is underpinned by network effects; rather, it is to say that where network effects are present, soft-law instruments will be more likely to gain traction. Not all soft law benefits from network effects. Nonetheless, where soft-law instruments do gain traction, it is likely that network effects are present.Footnote 45 As I will show, understanding this may prove very useful on a practical level. A clearer understanding of the impact of network effects can help policy-makers identify the conditions in which soft law is most likely to gain traction. Policy-makers may learn how to capitalize on this and other aspects of the model. It is to this idea that I now turn.
IV. CONSIDERATIONS THAT FLOW FROM A NETWORK EFFECT MODEL OF SOFT LAW
Several important insights arise from an understanding of how network effects induce standardization and the properties unique to network-effect markets. These implications of the model are both positive and negative. In this final section, I first explore some of the opportunities to exploit network effects, after which I discuss the potential dangers imposed by network effects that policy-makers would be wise to consider.
A. Learning how to Deal with Polycentricity
On the opportunity side of the ledger, policy-makers can learn to surf this structural undercurrent and strategically harness network effects to promote legal harmonization.Footnote 46 For example, in the case of international arbitration, there are concrete steps that may be undertaken by international bodies such as UNCITRAL to exploit the structural regularities of network-effect markets and further the harmonization of the law of international trade.Footnote 47 First, because of the ever-present potential for polycentricity and spontaneous fragmentation, arbitration-related law on the national level should strive for general consistency. International bodies such as UNCITRAL must forcefully encourage this. While this is already largely the case, an understanding of how network-effect markets function infuses this project with an even greater sense of urgency. There has been a widespread adoption of the Model Law (or at least Model Law principles); however, certain aspects of arbitration law remain inconsistent across jurisdictions.Footnote 48 Of even greater import, however, is that several significant arbitration jurisdictions (e.g. France, England, the US, and the Netherlands) are not Model Law seats.Footnote 49 Given the importance of these arbitration seats, these jurisdictions represent powerful sources for market splintering. Conflicting rules on the national level create artificial network insulation and, as such, stymie the natural convergence of standards through network effects. What network effects tell us is that even small inconsistencies can trigger a rapid splintering in the market for legal standards. As such, inconsistencies, no matter how minor, need to be eradicated to the greatest extent possible. If the market for legal standards remains interconnected and party autonomy preserved, network effects will drive the emergence of unified standards in a spontaneous fashion. To this end, even minor legal inconsistencies significantly handicap policy-makers’ ability to extract maximum advantage from network-effect pressures. Indeed, a clear and comprehensive understanding of network-effect-induced standardization more boldly underscores the need to strive for legal consistency so as to avoid market splintering.
B. Learning how to Utilize Existing Network Effects
Furthermore, soft law may be crafted to exploit pre-existing network-effect pressures in order to engender more robust adoption. This may be as simple as opting to codify prevailing standards, as opposed to promoting standards that do not already enjoy wide recognition. The value of promoting standards lacking the support of network effects, compared to embracing slightly less efficient standards that are undergirded by powerful network effects, would have to be carefully weighed.Footnote 50 Policy-makers would be wise to consider the logistical challenge of legislating against existing network-effect pressures. Standards entrenched by strong network effects may be very difficult to dislodge. As such, soft-law instruments may fail to gain momentum under such conditions. A choice between codifying an efficient standard possessing no network-effect pressures and codifying a slightly less efficient standard bolstered by powerful network effects would not be a simple calculation. While the more efficient standard would of course be preferable, any benefit is negated if adoption cannot be achieved or is critically diminished. Universal acceptance is far more easily attained where network effects are quietly promoting adoption. Indeed, policy-makers would be faced with a tough choice in such a situation. However, regardless of which decisions are reached, grasping the nature of network-effect pressures is an essential first step in determining the optimum course of action in terms of policy. Policy-makers can look to the presence of the four conditions that generate network effects cited earlier in this paper to judge how successful certain soft-law instruments may be. Based on this, policy-makers will be able to predict where soft law is most likely to gain traction.
Policy-makers may benefit from considering their decisions from the perspective of the network-effect model of soft law articulated here. A clear understanding of the network-effect pressures that often underlie markets for legal standards may better equip policy-makers to draft and employ soft law. Indeed, the presence of network effects may provide significant legislative opportunities. That said, let us now turn to the negative side of the ledger, and consider some of the potential dangers (from a governance perspective) suggested by the model.
C. Cautions, Dangers, and “Structural Traps”
Network-effect pressures lead to a host of peculiar dynamics.Footnote 51 Some of these properties (such as tipping, synchronization benefits, and switching costs) have already been discussed and their implications for soft law scrutinized. However, there are other properties unique to network-effect markets, some of which produce negative consequences with respect to soft law which policy-makers need to be mindful of. This final section discusses the more salient of these problems.
1. Lock-in and sub-optimality
Perhaps the most notable danger is what is known as “lock-in”.Footnote 52 In commercial markets, lock-in occurs when a customer becomes dependent on a vendor’s products or services, and as a result is unable to migrate to an alternative because of high switching costs. Users become “locked” into the prevailing system and are unable to adopt alternative, often more efficient, systems. Once the standard has become locked in, “no actor is willing to bear the disproportionate risk of being the first adopter of a standard and then becoming stranded in a small network”.Footnote 53 This inability to challenge a locked-in standard is known as the “start-up problem”. The effects of this “structural trap” may be quite pernicious. The phenomenon of lock-in predicts the possible persistence of sub-optimal legal standards as the consequence of network effects. Lock-in creates significant barriers to market entry. As a result, the market dominance of soft-law instruments, which, as the result of shifting conditions, are no longer optimal, cannot be successfully challenged by alternative, more efficient soft law. Soft-law standards may become stubbornly entrenched and resistant to improvement. As more users adopt a set of legal standards, the less likely users of those standards are to switch to new standards. This dark underbelly to network-effect markets perversely flips the advantages of spontaneous standardization on its head: without a central authority to provide direction, a collective jump to a new standard is extremely tricky.Footnote 54 As a result, sub-optimal standards may dominate where they would otherwise be improved upon or replaced. Under certain situations, these inefficiencies may be very difficult to avoid.
There is considerable discussion regarding the potential of network externalities to generate Pareto-inferior market outcomes.Footnote 55 Indeed, the literature on standards roundly suggests that network-effect markets “may exhibit excess inertia and remain locked into a standard, even though an objectively ‘better’ standard is available”.Footnote 56 But it is not all doom and gloom. The robustness of lock-in is in fact the subject of considerable debate. Liebowitz and Margolis question the notion that network effects induce a permanent monopoly, arguing that although there are indeed periods of persistent lock-in where one product dominates the market (they look at the market for computer software), the market will frequently tip towards a new monopolyFootnote 57 in a process they term “serial monopoly”.Footnote 58 They argue that major product innovations and predatory pricing can successfully challenge a lock-in monopoly.Footnote 59 Applying this to the market for legal standards, innovative or more efficient rules may in principle dislodge a soft-law monopoly.
2. Power-brokers and path-dependency
Related to the problem of lock-in is the danger of power-brokers exploiting the path-dependent nature of network adoption to entrench standards that serve their private interests. This is of special concern when policy-makers are commercial actors who may deploy network effects as a business strategy. The anti-competitive practices of Microsoft is a well-known example of a first mover strategically exploiting vendor lock-in to inhibit competition and erect barriers to entry (in that case it was by bundling Microsoft’s Explorer web browser with its Windows operating system).Footnote 60 Private business actors have an obvious incentive to do this; however, the problem does not disappear when standard setters are industry organizations. Such institutions may be tempted to introduce soft law that will lock in standards that favour certain players in their industry. Likewise, state actors may attempt to lock in standards that will disproportionately benefit their economies. This danger may be especially acute when the standard setters are powerful political entities, such as the US or the EU. It is very difficult to prevent power-brokers such as these from locking in standards that unfairly favour their own interests. The danger is exacerbated because it is often the case that powerful political actors are the ones that end up as standard setters precisely because of their political and economic clout.
3. The problem of “over-standardization”
Another problem that may prove significant is that greater degrees of standardization may not always be optimal. Yet, given the absence of network insulation, network effects push inescapably towards ever-greater degrees of standardization. The desirability of standardization will depend ultimately on the area in question. Clearly, a universally standardized railway gauge is beneficial; however, this may not necessarily be the case for a single minimum wage or one emissions target applied to each country the same way. Legal polycentricity also has its advantages. Lawyers often advocate standardization where economists recognize the advantages of polycentric law. It is often the case that many rules that are effective for one type of transaction or one trading community may not be effective for another. This may be the case for many areas of soft law. For example, with respect to international arbitration, a degree of diversity may actually be a good thing because it allows parties to “shop” for rules and fora they prefer, thereby injecting competition into the market. A proper understanding of network interconnection and insulation on the part of policy-makers may be required to avoid an “over-standardization” of the soft-law instruments they create. The growing field of network science—the study of complex networks—may aid policy-makers in controlling the progression of standardization. In a great many situations, however, the circuitry of social, geographical, economic, and institutional interconnections that determine the push and pull of network-effect pressures flowers into degrees of such complexity that is in practice impossible to accurately map.
V. CONCLUSION
The idea outlined in this paper is relatively simple: networks effects often infuse soft law with adoption and compliance pull, and policy-makers can take advantage of this fact. The theory does not deny that other factors also help induce or hinder the large-scale adoption of and compliance with soft-law instruments. A host of considerations unrelated to network externalities may influence actors’ decisions, blunting the impact of network effects. However, on the macro-level of vast numbers of agents interacting, these exogenous considerations diminish in importance, allowing network effects to yield a discernible influence upon systems of supranational legal order. Nor does the present theory claim that all soft law is underpinned by network effects—merely that soft law reinforced by network effects will be far more robust, and that this helps to explain why so much soft law has a surprising magnitude of influence. This insight into the mechanics of soft law is especially valuable because the importance of soft law for international governance is growing. As one scholar notes, soft-law instruments illustrate “an increasing convergence in terms of law-making procedures and law-makers amongst the different courses of international law”.Footnote 61 While the growing importance of soft law has been recognized by legal scholars,Footnote 62 what has hitherto not been recognized in the literature—indeed what has been completely ignored—is that network effects often inject a substantial degree of power into soft-law instruments.
The discussion also offered the prescriptive insight that network effects may be strategically exploited to stimulate legal harmonization. Several recommendations were offered. However, as a caution against an overly sunny analysis, the negative implications of network effects—lock-in, rent-seeking exploitation of path dependency, the drawbacks to “over-standardization”—were also fleshed out. These ideas, both the advantages offered by the model as well as the potential dangers to which it speaks, are all deserving of a far richer discussion than was provided here. Such examination is strongly invited. Indeed, it is my hope that this paper may provide a theoretical framework for further research along these lines and will prompt application of the model to areas of international law left unexplored by this paper.Footnote 63 Armed with a clearer understanding of how network effects play upon systems of soft law, policy-makers will be better positioned to capitalize on the process, harnessing the power implicit in network effects to the advantage of the international community.
