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Modelling the diffusion of pottery technologies across Afro-Eurasia: emerging insights and future research

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 May 2016

Peter Jordan*
Affiliation:
Arctic Centre, University of Groningen, PO Box 716, 9700 AS Groningen, the Netherlands
Kevin Gibbs
Affiliation:
Department of Anthropology, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Box 455003, 4505 S. Maryland Parkway, Las Vegas, NV 89154, USA
Peter Hommel
Affiliation:
Institute of Archaeology, University of Oxford, 36 Beaumont Street, Oxford OX1 2PG, UK
Henny Piezonka
Affiliation:
Eurasia Department, Deutsches Archäologisches Institut, Im Dol 2–6, Berlin 14195, Germany
Fabio Silva
Affiliation:
Institute of Archaeology, University College London, 31–34 Gordon Square, London WC1H 0PY, UK
James Steele
Affiliation:
Institute of Archaeology, University College London, 31–34 Gordon Square, London WC1H 0PY, UK School of Geography, Archaeology and Environmental Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Jan Smuts Avenue, Braamfontein, Johannesberg 2000, South Africa
*
*Author for correspondence (Email: p.d.jordan@rug.nl)
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Abstract

Where did pottery first appear in the Old World? Statistical modelling of radiocarbon dates suggests that ceramic vessel technology had independent origins in two different hunter-gatherer societies. Regression models were used to estimate average rates of spread and geographic dispersal of the new technology. The models confirm independent origins in East Asia (c. 16000 cal BP) and North Africa (c. 12000 cal BP). The North African tradition may have later influenced the emergence of Near Eastern pottery, which then flowed west into Mediterranean Europe as part of a Western Neolithic, closely associated with the uptake of farming.

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Type
Research
Copyright
Copyright © Antiquity Publications Ltd, 2016 
Figure 0

Figure 1. Our first attempt at a periodisation of the spread of early pottery in northern Eurasia (from Jordan & Zvelebil 2009: fig. 1.5)

Figure 1

Figure 2. Plot of all 942 sites with pottery in the database (top) and the 396 retained for analysis (bottom), coloured with respect to associated subsistence economy (HG = hunting and gathering; ME = mixed economy; F = farming; grey = unknown or uncertain).

Figure 2

Figure 3. a) Interpolated isochron surface fitted to the subset of sites retained for analysis, with a land/sea mask subsequently superimposed; b) the isochron surface (Figure 3a), with threshold values identifying the boundary contour at 1000 cal years BP intervals and (for the later part) at 500 cal years BP intervals.

Figure 3

Table 1. Rates of spread (‘speeds’) and goodness-of-fit statistics for two models: one with no boosts (1×1) and another with a five-fold boost along the Eurasian corridor, and a seven-fold boost along the circum-Mediterranean corridor—a best-fitting solution. See Table S1 in online supplementary material for details on all best-fitting solutions.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Modelled first arrival times for the spread of pottery from the two considered centres of innovation, with 1000-year interval contour for a typical best-fitting model (the 5×7 model).

Figure 5

Figure 5. Typical boundary between the diffusion zones for Asian and African pottery for a model with a boost factor of five for the Asian corridor and seven for the African one. Other best-fit solutions differ in where this boundary is drawn east of the Caspian and into South Asia (see online supplementary material), but all display a boundary crossing Northern Europe and the Caucasus, and dividing the European data into a zone (south of that boundary) associated with farming and a zone (north of the boundary) associated with hunter-gatherers. This would correspond to the African and Asian pottery diffusion zones respectively. (HG=hunting and gathering; ME=mixed economy; F=farming; grey=unknown or uncertain.)

Supplementary material: PDF

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