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Navigating the iceberg: reducing the number of parameters within the Welfare Quality® assessment protocol for dairy cows

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 August 2014

C. A. E. Heath*
Affiliation:
School of Veterinary Sciences, University of Bristol, Langford House, Langford, Bristol, BS40 5DU, UK
W. J. Browne
Affiliation:
School of Veterinary Sciences, University of Bristol, Langford House, Langford, Bristol, BS40 5DU, UK
S. Mullan
Affiliation:
School of Veterinary Sciences, University of Bristol, Langford House, Langford, Bristol, BS40 5DU, UK
D. C. J. Main
Affiliation:
School of Veterinary Sciences, University of Bristol, Langford House, Langford, Bristol, BS40 5DU, UK

Abstract

The Welfare Quality® protocols provide a multidimensional assessment of welfare, which is lengthy, and hence limited in terms of practicality. The aim of this study was to investigate potential ‘iceberg indicators’ which could reliably predict the overall classification as a means of reducing the length of time for an assessment and so increase the feasibility of the Welfare Quality® protocol as a multidimensional assessment of welfare. Full Welfare Quality® assessments were carried out on 92 dairy farms in England and Wales. The farms were all classified as Acceptable or Enhanced. Logistic regression models with cross validation were used to compare model fit for the overall classification on farms. ‘Absence of prolonged thirst’, on its own, was found to correctly classify farms 88% of the time. More generally, the inclusion of more measures in the models was not associated with greater predictive ability for the overall classification. Absence of prolonged thirst could thus, in theory, be considered to be an iceberg indicator for the Welfare Quality® protocol, and could reduce the length of time for a farm assessment to 15 min. Previous work has shown that the parameters within the Welfare Quality® protocol are important and relevant for welfare assessment. However, it is argued that the credibility of the published aggregation system is compromised by the finding that one resource measure (Absence of prolonged thirst) is a major driver for the overall classification. It is therefore suggested that the prominence of Absence of prolonged thirst in this role may be better understood as an unintended consequence of the published measure aggregation system rather than as reflecting a realistic iceberg indicator.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Animal Consortium 2014 
Figure 0

Table 1 Summary of measures included in models used to predict scores/classifications at higher levels of aggregation of the Welfare Quality® protocol for dairy cows

Figure 1

Table 2 Distribution of Welfare Quality® principle scores according to thresholds for overall classification from an assessment of 92 farms in England and Wales1

Figure 2

Table 3 Decision-tree responses used to calculate the Welfare Quality® criteria ‘Absence of prolonged thirst’ for 92 dairy farms in England and Wales1

Figure 3

Figure 1 Accuracy of logistic regression models for predicting the overall Welfare Quality® classification of 46 ‘unseen’ randomly sampled dairy farms in England and Wales, highlighting models which include the variables Absence of prolonged thirst and Positive emotional state.

Figure 4

Figure 2 Accuracy of models, including and excluding the variable Absence of prolonged thirst, in predicting the overall Welfare Quality® classification tested on 46 randomly sampled, ‘unseen’ farms in England and Wales, relative to the true Welfare Quality® assessment.

Figure 5

Table 4 Most accurate models including and excluding the Welfare Quality® criteria score ‘Absence of prolonged thirst’ for predicting the overall Welfare Quality® classification

Figure 6

Table 5 Summary of individual ‘unseen’ farms that were consistently misclassified at a rate of >0.50 when predicting the overall classification using only ‘Absence of prolonged thirst’ as a single variable in the model

Figure 7

Table 6 Summary of most accurate models for predicting Welfare Quality® principle-level scores

Figure 8

Table 7 Principle-level models for predicting the Welfare Quality® overall classification