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Species distribution modeling reveals the ecological niche of extinct megafauna from South America

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 May 2021

Thaísa Araújo*
Affiliation:
Laboratório de Mastozoologia, Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Av. Pasteur, 458, sala 501, Urca, 22290-255, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. Programa de Pós-graduação em Biodiversidade e Biologia Evolutiva (PPGBBE), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Centro de Ciências da Saúde, Cidade Universitária, 21941-902, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
Helena Machado
Affiliation:
University of Oregon, Earth Sciences Department, 100 Cascade Hall, Eugene, OR 97403-1272, USA.
Dimila Mothé
Affiliation:
Laboratório de Mastozoologia, Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Av. Pasteur, 458, sala 501, Urca, 22290-255, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. Programa de Pós-graduação em Biodiversidade e Biologia Evolutiva (PPGBBE), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Centro de Ciências da Saúde, Cidade Universitária, 21941-902, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
Leonardo dos Santos Avilla
Affiliation:
Laboratório de Mastozoologia, Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Av. Pasteur, 458, sala 501, Urca, 22290-255, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. Programa de Pós-graduação em Biodiversidade e Biologia Evolutiva (PPGBBE), Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Centro de Ciências da Saúde, Cidade Universitária, 21941-902, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
*
*Corresponding author: Thaísa Araújo email address: thaisa.souza@hotmail.com
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Abstract

Climatic and environmental changes, as well as human action, have been cited as potential causes for the extinction of megafauna in South America at the end of the Pleistocene. Among megamammals lineages with Holarctic origin, only horses and proboscideans went extinct in South America during this period. This study aims to understand how the spatial extent of habitats suitable for Equus neogeus and Notiomastodon platensis changed between the last glacial maximum (LGM) and the middle Holocene in order to determine the impact that climatic and environmental changes had on these taxa. We used species distribution modeling to estimate their potential extent on the continent and found that both species occupied arid and semiarid open lands during the LGM, mainly in the Pampean region of Argentina, southern and northeastern Brazil, and parts of the Andes. However, when climate conditions changed from dry and cold during the LGM to humid and warm during the middle Holocene, the areas suitable for these taxa were reduced dramatically. These results support the hypothesis that climatic changes were a driving cause of extinction of these megamammals in South America, although we cannot rule out the impact of human actions or other potential causes for their extinction.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © University of Washington. Published by Cambridge University Press, 2021
Figure 0

Figure 1. Geographic distribution of Equus neogeus (blue triangle) and Notiomastodon platensis (red circle) during the last glacial maximum (25–15 ka) in South America. Note almost complete superimposition of the geographic distribution areas of both species and their absence in the northern central region of the continent. Abbreviations: VE = Venezuela; CO = Colombia; EC = Ecuador; PE = Peru; BR = Brazil; BO = Bolivia; PY = Paraguay; CL = Chile; UY = Uruguay; AR = Argentina. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.). The approximate height for a human is 1.8 meters. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)

Figure 1

Figure 2. (color online) Potential geographic distribution of Equus neogeus during (A) the last glacial maximum (25–15 ka), and (B) middle Holocene (6 ka) of South America. Note that when comparing the LGM and middle Holocene patterns of potential geographic distributions, the potential distribution areas for E. neogeus show an enlargement during the LGM (A) in: (1) northern South America, (2) northeastern Brazil, (3) southern Brazil and Uruguay, (4) the Pampean region of Argentina, (5) and some small, warmer areas throughout the Andes. Dashed line represents the Huincal Fault Zone.

Figure 2

Figure 3. (color online) Potential geographic distribution of Notiomastodon platensis during (A) the last glacial maximum (25–15 ka) and (B) middle Holocene (6 ka). Note that when comparing the LGM and middle Holocene patterns of potential geographic distributions, the potential distribution areas for Notiomastodon platensis show an enlargement during the LGM (A) in: (1) northern South America, (2) northeastern Brazil, (3) southern Brazil and Uruguay, (4) the Pampean region of Argentina, (5) and some small, warmer areas throughout the Andes. Dashed line represents the Huincal Fault Zone.

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