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Invasive haemodynamics predict outcomes in paediatric pulmonary artery hypertension

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 April 2024

Rupesh Kumar Natarajan Open the ORCID record for Rupesh Kumar Natarajan [Opens in a new window] ,
Nathan Rodgers ,
Shanti Narasimhan ,
Matthew Ambrose ,
Abraham Rothman ,
Michael Shyne ,
Michael Evans  and
Varun Aggarwal
Rupesh Kumar Natarajan
Affiliation:
Division of Pediatric Cardiology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
Nathan Rodgers
Affiliation:
Division of Pediatric Cardiology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
Shanti Narasimhan
Affiliation:
Division of Pediatric Cardiology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
Matthew Ambrose
Affiliation:
Division of Pediatric Cardiology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
Abraham Rothman
Affiliation:
Children’s Heart Center of Nevada, UNLV School of Medicine, Las Vegas, NV, USA
Michael Shyne
Affiliation:
Clinical and Translational Science Institute, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
Michael Evans
Affiliation:
Clinical and Translational Science Institute, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
Varun Aggarwal*
Affiliation:
Division of Pediatric Cardiology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
*
Corresponding author: Varun Aggarwal; Email: aggar134@umn.edu
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Abstract

Background:

Invasive haemodynamics are often performed for initiating and guiding pulmonary artery hypertension therapy. Little is known about the predictive value of invasive haemodynamic indices for long-term outcomes in children with pulmonary artery hypertension. We aimed to evaluate invasive haemodynamic data to help predict outcomes in paediatric pulmonary artery hypertension.

Methods:

Patients with pulmonary artery hypertension who underwent cardiac catheterisation (2006–2019) at a single centre were included. Invasive haemodynamic data from the first cardiac catheterisation and clinical outcomes were reviewed. The combined adverse outcome was defined as pericardial effusion (due to right ventricle failure), creation of a shunt for pulmonary artery hypertension (atrial septal defect or reverse Pott’s shunt), lung transplant, or death.

Results:

Among 46 patients with a median [interquartile range (IQR)] age of 13.2 [4.1–44.7] months, 76% had CHD. Median mean pulmonary artery pressure was 37 [28–52] mmHg and indexed pulmonary vascular resistance was 6.2 [3.6–10] Woods units × m2. Median pulmonary artery pulsatility index was 4.0 [3.0–4.7] and right ventricular stroke work index was 915 [715–1734] mmHg mL/m2. After a median follow-up of 2.4 years, nine patients had a combined adverse outcome (two had a pericardial effusion, one underwent atrial level shunt, one underwent reverse Pott’s shunt, and six died). Patients with an adverse outcome had higher systolic and mean pulmonary artery pressures, higher diastolic and transpulmonary pressure gradients, higher indexed pulmonary vascular resistance, higher pulmonary artery elastance, and higher right ventricular stroke work index (p < 0.05 each).

Conclusion:

Invasive haemodynamics (especially mean pulmonary artery pressure and diastolic pressure gradient) obtained at first cardiac catheterisation in children with pulmonary artery hypertension predicts outcomes.

Keywords

Invasive haemodynamicspaediatric pulmonary artery hypertensionoutcomes

Information

Type
Original Article
Information
Cardiology in the Young , Volume 34 , Issue 7 , July 2024 , pp. 1563 - 1570
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Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press

Pulmonary artery hypertension in children in the United States has a prevalence of 26–33 cases per million children. Reference Li, Jick, Breitenstein, Hernandez, Michel and Vizcaya1 Pulmonary artery hypertension associated with CHD accounts for nearly half of this population (15.6 cases per million children), and idiopathic pulmonary artery hypertension accounts for about 4.4 cases per million. Reference van Loon, Roofthooft and Hillege2 The 5-year survival is ∼74% and similar in both subgroups according to one registry study. Reference Barst, McGoon, Elliott, Foreman, Miller and Ivy3 Patients with pulmonary artery hypertension admitted to paediatric critical care units have high mortality (10%) in comparison with other medical admissions without pulmonary artery hypertension (3.9%). Reference Morell, Gaies and Fineman4 Patients with pulmonary artery hypertension needing invasive ventilation and vasoactive infusions have more than fivefold greater mortality than those who did not. Reference Morell, Gaies and Fineman4 Clinical worsening has been validated as an end point for randomised controlled trials in adult pulmonary artery hypertension therapies. Reference Sitbon, Channick and Chin5–Reference Galiè, Barberà and Frost7 Clinical worsening components included events such as hospitalisations, the need for additional therapy, worsening function, lung transplantation, or death. These could be used as suitable end point in paediatric prognostic studies. Reference Beghetti, Brand and Berger8

Predictors of mortality and morbidity in pulmonary artery hypertension are important to counsel patients/families and guide therapy decisions. Evidence of right ventricular failure, progression of symptoms, WHO functional class ¾, Reference Barst, McGoon, Elliott, Foreman, Miller and Ivy3,Reference Moledina, Hislop, Foster, Schulze-Neick and Haworth9,Reference van Loon, Roofthooft and Delhaas10 and elevated brain natriuretic peptide levels Reference Bernus, Wagner, Accurso, Doran, Kaess and Ivy11–Reference van Albada, Loot, Fokkema, Roofthooft and Berger13 have been associated with a higher risk of death in children with pulmonary artery hypertension. Six-minute walk distance and functional class are non-invasive surrogate end points that predict long-term outcomes in adults with pulmonary artery hypertension. Reference Wronski, Mordin and Kelley14 However, they are difficult to reliably perform in children. Reference Berger, Beghetti and Humpl15,Reference Takatsuki and Dunbar Ivy16 In a large registry study, older age at diagnosis, lower cardiac index, higher indexed pulmonary vascular resistance, and lack of response to acute vasoreactivity testing were reported to be associated with higher mortality in children with pulmonary artery hypertension3. Invasive haemodynamic parameters are usually performed in children at the time of diagnosis or therapy change for pulmonary artery hypertension. Some of these parameters such as mean pulmonary artery pressure/mean systemic arterial pressure ratio >0.75, mean right atrial pressure >10 mmHg, and indexed pulmonary vascular resistance >20 WUi have also been associated with a higher risk in few studies. Reference Ivy, Rosenzweig, Lemari, Brand, Rosenberg and Barst17,Reference Douwes, van Loon and Hoendermis18 We aimed to evaluate several directly measured and calculated indices obtained from the initial cardiac catheterisation to predict mid-term outcomes in children with pulmonary artery hypertension.

Materials and methods

This was a single-centre retrospective study conducted at the University of Minnesota Masonic Children’s Hospital from 2006 to 2019. Charts were screened based on International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 9 (CM 416.0) and ICD 10 (I27.0, I27.2) codes for pulmonary artery hypertension in our Pediatric Cardiology database. Additional patient data that could not be pulled from the database were accessed through Epic medical record and Pediatric Catheterization Database (PedsCath). Pulmonary artery hypertension was defined as mean pulmonary artery pressure ≥25 mmHg at rest, with a mean pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ≤15 mmHg and indexed pulmonary vascular resistance ≥3 Wood units × m2 measured during heart catheterisation. Reference Simonneau, Robbins and Beghetti19 Patients aged less than 18 years at the time of catheterisation were included. Children with pulmonary arterial hypertension (group 2.4) associated with post-capillary obstructive lesions (pulmonary vein stenosis, cor-triatriatum, mitral stenosis, and coarctation) or single ventricles were excluded (Figure 1). The patients included in this study were predominantly in groups 1 (elevation in pulmonary artery pressure with normal pulmonary capillary wedge pressure and includes idiopathic, heritable, HIV, portal hypertension, or CHD) and 3 (developmental lung disorders including BPD, congenital diaphragmatic hernia, and Down syndrome in the absence of CHD), according to the 4th World Symposium Pulmonary Hypertension classification from 2008. Reference Simonneau, Robbins and Beghetti19

Figure 1.

Study flow sheet showing patients included in the analysis.

Demographics, clinical data, and haemodynamics measurements from the first cardiac catheterisation after diagnosis of pulmonary artery hypertension were obtained from the medical records. Clinical variables at baseline included pulmonary artery hypertension subgroup, underlying CHD (in pulmonary artery hypertension-CHD), medications at the time of catheterisation, and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide within 2 months before or after catheterisation.

Directly measured indices

Baseline haemodynamic measurements included mean right atrial pressure, mean pulmonary artery pressure, mean pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure, pulmonary arterial diastolic pressure, heart rate, systemic pressure, systemic saturation, and oxygen consumption (VO2). VO2 was measured by indirect calorimetry (CCM Express®, Medgraphics Corp, St Paul, Minneapolis, USA) if >10 kg Reference da Rocha, Alves Véria and da Fonseca20,Reference Black, Grocott and Singer21 or assumed by LaFarge. Reference LaFarge and Miettinen22

Calculated indices

  1. 1. Indexed systemic cardiac output (Qsi) and pulmonary blood flow (Qpi) were calculated by the Fick method. Reference Fagard and Conway23

  2. 2. Pulmonary vascular resistance was calculated by dividing transpulmonary gradient (mean pulmonary artery pressure – pulmonary capillary wedge pressure) by pulmonary blood flow indexed (Wood units × m2). Reference Manohar and Goetz24

  3. 3. Pulmonary artery compliance was calculated as stroke volume/(pulmonary artery systolic pressure – pulmonary artery diastolic pressure). Reference Thenappan, Prins, Pritzker, Scandurra, Volmers and Weir25,Reference Mahapatra, Nishimura, Sorajja, Cha and McGoon26 Pulmonary arterial compliance allows for passive arterial expansion during right ventricular systole to accept a large portion of the stroke volume while also allowing for arterial recoil, allowing blood flow to continue during diastole. The change in cross-sectional area or volume over a change in pressure at a particular vessel length is used to calculate compliance.

  4. 4. Right ventricular stroke work index was calculated as [mean pulmonary artery pressure – mean right atrium (RA) pressure] × stroke volume index, where the stroke volume index was calculated as the cardiac index divided by the heart rate. Reference Ibe, Wada and Sakakura27,Reference Di Maria, Younoszai, Mertens, Landeck, Ivy, Hunter and Friedberg28

  5. 5. Pulmonary artery elastance was calculated as pulmonary artery systolic pressure/stroke volume. Reference Silber and Lachmann29

  6. 6. Pulmonary artery pulsatility index was calculated as (systolic pulmonary artery pressure – diastolic pulmonary artery pressure)/mean RA pressure. Reference Aggarwal, Tume and Rodriguez30

Pulmonary vasodilator testing

According to our institutional protocol, acute vasoreactivity testing was performed in most patients after baseline haemodynamic measurements confirmed the diagnosis of pulmonary artery hypertension. Most pulmonary vasodilator testing was performed using 40 ppm inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) and 100% O2. In those who were on vasodilator therapy, Epoprostenol (n = 2) or Treprostinil (n = 1) in addition to iNO and O2 were used.

Follow-up and outcomes

Patient information was included up until the most recent clinic visit or hospitalisation documented in the electronic medical records. The primary outcome was lung transplantation or death. Secondary outcomes were the creation of reverse Pott’s shunt or atrial septostomy, right ventricular dysfunction, or pericardial effusion from right heart failure at the last follow-up. The combined adverse outcome was defined as any of the primary or secondary outcomes.

Statistical analysis

Participant characteristics were summarised using median and interquartile ranges for continuous variables and frequency counts and percentages for categorical variables. Continuous variables were compared between groups using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Time from catheterisation to adverse outcome was reported using the Kaplan–Meier estimator and the log-rank test. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to examine sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of each potential baseline predictor of adverse outcomes. Analyses were conducted using R version 4.0.4.

The study was approved by the University of Minnesota institutional review board (IRB).

Results

Patient characteristics

Among 95 charts screened based on ICD codes, 43 with post-capillary obstructive lesions, 3 with single-ventricle physiology, and 3 with incomplete catheterisation data in the medical chart were excluded. Therefore, 46 patients were included in the study for analysis (Fig. 1). The median [interquartile range (IQR)] age of the study cohort was 13.4 [5.8–54.7] months and 57% were males. Five patients had idiopathic pulmonary artery hypertension and 15 had pulmonary artery hypertension-CHD. Nineteen patients with CHD also had associated developmental lung disorders (Table 1). Most of the pulmonary artery hypertension associated with CHD was in patients with intra- or extracardiac shunts. Of note, two patients developed pulmonary artery hypertension of unknown aetiology post-operatively after cardiac surgery for partial anomalous pulmonary venous return and tetralogy of Fallot, respectively. At the time of the first catheterisation, 37% of patients were on medications (eight patients on one medication and nine on more than one medication). Monotherapy consisted of either home oxygen or inhaled nitric oxide or phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitor (sildenafil in 11; tadalafil in 1). Dual or triple therapy consisted of an endothelin receptor antagonist (bosentan in 2, ambrisentan in 1) and/or prostacyclin (treprostinil in 1) in addition to monotherapy. The median duration of medications before the first catheterisation was 78 [26–269] days in 13 patients. The exact duration of therapy was unknown in 4 of 17 patients. Median N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide within 2 months of cardiac catheterisation was 2540 [584–4398] ng/L in 28 patients.

Table 1.

Patient characteristics

IQR = interquartile range, PAH = pulmonary artery hypertension, IPAH/HPAH = idiopathic or hereditary pulmonary arterial hypertension, PAH-CHD = pulmonary arterial hypertension associated with CHD, NT pro-BNP = N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, ASD = Atrial Septal Defect, VSD = ventricular septal defect, AVSD = atrioventricular septal defect, PDA = patent ductus arteriosus.

Haemodynamics

The median mean pulmonary artery pressure was 37 [28–52] mmHg and indexed pulmonary vascular resistance was 6.2 [3.6–10.0] WUi, which are elevated and consistent with pulmonary artery hypertension. Median pulmonary artery elastance was higher in patients with combined adverse outcomes compared to those without adverse outcomes (3.4 [1.1–3.9] versus 1.3 [1.0–1.8] mmHg/mL/m2, p = 0.03). In the entire cohort, median pulmonary artery compliance was 1.4 [IQR 0.9–1.7] mL/mmHg, right ventricular stroke work index was 915 [715–1734] mmHg mL/m2, and median pulmonary artery pulsatility index was 4.0 [3.0–4.7], with no significant difference comparing patients with versus without adverse outcomes.

Outcomes

After a median [IQR] follow-up of 2.4 [0.8–5.2] years in the entire cohort, nine patients had the combined adverse outcome: one underwent an atrial level shunt, one a reverse Pott’s shunt, one had a pericardial effusion, and six died. No patient in this cohort underwent lung transplantation. Moreover, the two patients who had atrial septostomy and a reverse Pott’s shunt also had moderately diminished right ventricle function with pericardial effusion. Moderately diminished right ventricle function and pericardial effusion were documented in one of the six patients who died. Right ventricular failure as evident from systolic dysfunction and pericardial effusion were the criteria for performing atrial shunt or reverse Pott’s shunt. The patient who underwent atrial shunt creation had previously undergone late repair of a ventricular septal defect (VSD) after sildenafil therapy for 6 months. The patient who had reverse Pott’s had severe pulmonary artery hypertension despite maximal therapy with sildenafil, remodulin, and right ventricle dysfunction. He was deemed to be an unsuitable candidate for heart–lung transplantation. The cause of death in the six patients was a pulmonary hypertensive crisis – five in the hospital and one out of the hospital, whose parents chose comfort care. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year combined adverse outcome in our cohort was 11, 17, and 20%, respectively. The Kaplan–Meier estimates include right-censoring as a result of being lost to follow-up. Diagnoses of nine patients with combined adverse outcome are as follows: six had pulmonary artery hypertension associated with CHD (five with more than one level shunt and one VSD). One patient each had porto-pulmonary hypertension, idiopathic pulmonary artery hypertension, and mixed restrictive/obstructive lung disease.

Predictors of outcomes

Comparison of directly measured and calculated haemodynamic variables among the 9 patients who had a combined adverse event versus the remaining 37 who did not are shown in Table 2. The median pulmonary artery mean pressure of the patients who had the combined adverse outcome was significantly higher than those who did not (54 [44–69] versus 34 [28–45] mmHg, p = 0.003). Likewise, the transpulmonary gradient and the indexed pulmonary vascular resistance were significantly elevated in the adverse outcome group at 40 [34–55] mmHg and 10.4 [8.3–24.0] WUi, respectively. The patients who had a combined adverse outcome had higher pulmonary artery pressures (systolic, diastolic, and mean), higher diastolic pressure gradient, higher transpulmonary gradients, higher indexed pulmonary vascular resistance, higher pulmonary artery elastance, and higher right atrial pressure (p < 0.05 each). A pulmonary artery elastance ≥3.15 mmHg/ml had 56% sensitivity and 95% specificity (area under curve (AUC) = 0.74, p = 0.03), while a diastolic pressure gradient ≥24.5 mmHg had 67% sensitivity and 81% specificity (AUC = 0.78, p = 0.009) in predicting the combined adverse outcome (Fig. 2). Table S1 shows the sensitivity and specificity of the haemodynamic parameters.

Figure 2.

Receiver operating characteristic analysis to examine sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve for haemodynamic variables.

Table 2.

Haemodynamic measurements

mPAP = mean pulmonary arterial pressure, NT pro-BNP = N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, PA = pulmonary artery, PASP = pulmonary arterial systolic pressure, PADP = pulmonary arterial diastolic pressure, PAPi = pulmonary artery pulsatility index, PCWP = pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, PSVi = pulmonary stroke volume index, PVRi = indexed pulmonary vascular resistance, Qpi = pulmonary flow index, Qsi = systemic flow index, RAP = right atrial pressure, RVSWI = Right ventricular stroke work index, SAP = systemic arterial pressure, TPG = transpulmonary gradient. *p < 0.05 is significant.

CHD versus no CHD

Haemodynamic indices of 35 patients with pulmonary artery hypertension associated with CHD were compared to 11 patients without CHD (Table S2). Qpi, pulmonary stroke volume, and pulmonary artery compliance were higher and pulmonary artery elastance was lower in patients with pulmonary artery hypertension associated with CHD (p > 0.05).

Discussion

We describe the first comprehensive paediatric evaluation of the relationship between invasive haemodynamic parameters and long-term adverse outcomes in pulmonary arterial hypertension. We found that invasive haemodynamic parameters measured at the time of first cardiac catheterisation after diagnosis of pulmonary artery hypertension can predict adverse outcomes in children. Pulmonary artery pressures (mean, systolic, and diastolic), pulmonary vascular resistance, transpulmonary gradient, diastolic pulmonary gradient, and pulmonary artery elastance were significantly higher in patients who experienced the combined adverse outcome. Pulmonary artery systolic pressure, mean pulmonary artery pressure, and pulmonary artery diastolic pressure each had the highest sensitivity, and pulmonary artery elastance >3.15 mmHg/mL/m2 had the highest specificity to predict the adverse outcomes. This information can help prognosticate outcomes and possibly guide therapy decisions to help improve outcomes.

In our study, the majority of patients with pulmonary artery hypertension had underlying CHD (76%) and only 11% were idiopathic. These results are similar to two epidemiological studies conducted in the US and a Dutch registry Reference Li, Jick, Breitenstein, Hernandez, Michel and Vizcaya1,Reference van Loon, Roofthooft and Hillege2,Reference Abman, Mullen and Sleeper31 but different (reporting a higher proportion of idiopathic pulmonary artery hypertension) than other registries. Reference Barst, McGoon, Elliott, Foreman, Miller and Ivy3,Reference Berger, Beghetti and Humpl15 There was no significant difference in age, weight, and height between patients who did and did not have an adverse outcome in our study. Low body weight z-score at the time of presentation has been reported to be associated with increased mortality on multivariable analysis. Reference Moledina, Hislop, Foster, Schulze-Neick and Haworth9 At 4 years from enrolment and 7 years from diagnosis in our study, the survival rate was similar between idiopathic pulmonary artery hypertension or hereditary pulmonary arterial hypertension and CHD-associated pulmonary artery hypertension cohorts. Reference Barst, Ivy, Foreman, McGoon and Rosenzweig32 Similarly, no significant difference in combined adverse outcomes could be demonstrated between patients with and without CHD.

Elevated right ventricle afterload leading to right ventricle failure has been thought to be the main determinant of mortality in pulmonary artery hypertension. Reference Lankhaar, Westerhof and Faes33 Right ventricle afterload consists of static components and pulsatile components. Static components, including mean pulmonary artery pressure and indexed pulmonary vascular resistance, confirm the diagnosis, but their correlation to clinical status and survival has been limited. Reference Barst, McGoon, Elliott, Foreman, Miller and Ivy3 Moreover, pulmonary artery hypertension leads to right ventricle hypertrophy and elevated pulmonary artery pulsatility index in all patients. This probably accounts for the similar pulmonary artery pulsatility index in the groups with and without adverse events, particularly at the time of cardiac catheterisation when the right ventricle systolic function is preserved.

In a systematic review, Reference Ploegstra, Zijlstra, Douwes, Hillege and Berger34 the combined hazard ratio was calculated, using random-effects meta-analysis, for variables studied in at least three non-overlapping cohorts. It identified WHO functional class (HR 2.7), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (HR 3.2), mean right atrial pressure (HR 1.1), cardiac index (HR 0.7), indexed pulmonary vascular resistance (HR 1.3), and acute vasodilator response (HR 0.3) as significant prognostic factors (p ≤ 0.001). This is similar to our data in which indexed pulmonary vascular resistance >8.0 Wood units × m2 had 78% sensitivity and 70% specificity (AUC = 0.79, p = 0.009) and mean right atrial pressure >7.5 mmHg had 89% sensitivity and 57% specificity (AUC = 0.73, p = 0.03) in predicting an adverse outcome. However, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide was not available to us around the time of catheterisation in 18 patients and acute vasoreactivity testing was not performed in 8 cases, limiting our ability to perform an adequate analysis.

Several paediatric studies have demonstrated that lower mean pulmonary artery pressure has been predictive of better survival, both before and after vasodilator therapy. Reference Barst, Maislin and Fishman35–Reference Evers, Quinn, Critser, Frank, Alnoor and Armsby38 In adults with group 1 pulmonary hypertension (PH), increasing diastolic pulmonary gradient (DPG) was strongly associated with increased mortality during 5 years of follow-up, even after risk adjustment. Reference Mazimba, Mejia-Lopez and Black39 We found that mean pulmonary artery pressure and diastolic pressure gradient (Table S1) were good predictors of an adverse outcome, in agreement with above-mentioned studies. At the time of the study, a pulmonary artery mean pressure of >25 mmHg was used to define pulmonary artery hypertension. However, we are aware that the criterion is now >20 mmHg. Reference Simonneau, Montani and Celermajer40

In a Dutch study, invasive pulsatile parameters such as pulmonary arterial compliance and pulmonary stroke volume were associated with pulmonary artery hypertension disease severity and predicted survival independent of indexed pulmonary vascular resistance. Reference Douwes, Roofthooft, Bartelds, Talsma, Hillege and Berger41 In the same study, higher pulmonary artery compliance ≥0.9 mL/mmHg/m2 was associated with improved survival, independent of WHO functional class, and therapy and was similar to an adult study. Reference Mahapatra, Nishimura, Sorajja, Cha and McGoon26 In contrast, another study showed that indexed pulmonary arterial compliance either <0.70 mL/mmHg/m2 or >1.25 mL/mmHg/m2 was associated with decreased freedom from death or lung transplant. Reference Sajan, Manlhiot, Reyes, McCrindle, Humpl and Friedberg42 In our cohort, pulmonary artery compliance ≥0.93 mL/mmHg had 56% sensitivity and 84% specificity (AUC = 0.68, p = 0.11) but was not a predictor of adverse outcomes. These differences could be due to the different disease characteristics; in the Dutch and adult studies, the patients with pulmonary artery hypertension-CHD had advanced irreversible pulmonary artery hypertension. In several paediatric and adult studies, pulmonary stroke volume was shown to be a predictor of survival. Reference van Loon, Roofthooft and Delhaas10,Reference van Wolferen, Marcus and Boonstra43,Reference D’Alonzo44 In our study, pulmonary stroke volume was not a predictor of adverse outcomes (AUC = 0.60, p = 0.35).

Right ventricular stroke work, the product of mean pulmonary artery pressure and stroke volume, integrates contractility, afterload, and ventricular–vascular coupling. Patients with high right ventricle afterload have high right ventricular stroke work provided ventricular–vascular coupling is unchanged. In one study, higher right ventricular stroke work predicted the need for atrial septostomy and death (29). Right ventricular stroke work and pulmonary artery pulsatility index can be estimated echocardiographically and have a linear correlation with invasively derived values. Reference Di Maria, Burkett, Younoszai and Landeck45,Reference Mirza, Khalif and Khodjaev46 Similarly, in our cohort, right ventricular stroke work index was higher in patients who had combined adverse outcomes (1613 versus 888 g/m2, p = 0.24). But the variables used to derive right ventricular stroke work index and pulmonary artery pulsatility index were not routinely measured in our echocardiograms and hence were not evaluated in this study.

Pulmonary artery pulsatility index has been shown to predict right ventricle failure in patients after acute inferior myocardial infarction Reference Korabathina, Heffernan and Paruchuri47 and after LVAD support. Reference Morine, Kiernan, Pham, Paruchuri, Denofrio and Kapur48,Reference Kang, Ha and Banerjee49 Significantly lower pulmonary artery pulsatility index index (0.96 versus 3.6) was documented in patients requiring prolonged inotropes/pulmonary vasodilators after continuous flow-left ventricular assist device (CF-LVAD) placement. Reference Aggarwal, Tume and Rodriguez30 Decreased pulmonary artery pulsatility index was shown to also be an independent predictor of mortality in adults with group 1 pulmonary artery hypertension. Reference Mazimba, Welch and Mwansa50,Reference Welch, Bilchick and Kennedy51 To our knowledge, this is the first report describing pulmonary artery pulsatility index as a potential predictor of adverse outcomes. However, unlike in adult studies, the difference in adverse outcomes between the lowest quartile and the rest of the patients was not significant. This could be because the two adult studies were performed in registry data from the 1980s, and survival in the current era has improved with pulmonary vasodilator therapies. Another reason that pulmonary artery pulsatility index was not a predictor of an adverse outcome could be due to our relatively small sample size.

There are limitations to our study. The number of patients in each diagnostic group is relatively small which limited subgroup analyses of haemodynamic pulmonary artery hypertension indices and adverse outcomes. The retrospective nature is vulnerable to measurement bias. Vasodilator therapy was given to 37% of patients before catheterisation, likely based on clinical status. This could have an impact on baseline haemodynamics and confound association with outcomes. However, statistically significant relationships between various indices and adverse outcomes suggest that they may have clinical utility. In addition, the number of patients with adverse outcomes is lower, which leads to the receiver operating characteristic analysis being underpowered and should be taken into consideration during interpretation.

Conclusion

Invasive haemodynamics performed at initial cardiac catheterisation after diagnosis appears to predict outcomes in paediatric pulmonary artery hypertension. In particular, higher mean pulmonary artery pressures, pulmonary vascular resistance, right ventricle stroke work, pulmonary artery elastance, and diastolic pressure gradient predict adverse outcomes such as death, creation of Atrial Septal Defect (ASD), reverse Pott’s shunt, and pericardial effusion from right ventricle failure. This information may be used in guiding therapy and counselling families. Studies with larger numbers of patients are needed to confirm these findings. Further study could delineate the value of longitudinal measurement of indices in their ongoing clinical management.

Supplementary material

The supplementary material for this article can be found at https://doi.org/10.1017/S1047951124000647.

Acknowledgements

We wish to thank the research coordinator Brittany Faanes and project specialist Brian Harvey for their participation in IRB and screening charts.

Financial support

None.

Competing interests

None relevant to this study.

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Figure 0

Figure 1. Study flow sheet showing patients included in the analysis.

Figure 1

Table 1. Patient characteristics

Figure 2

Figure 2. Receiver operating characteristic analysis to examine sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve for haemodynamic variables.

Figure 3

Table 2. Haemodynamic measurements

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