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Evolution of debris cover over glaciers in the Central Andes (1985–2024)

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 October 2026

Juan Cruz Ghilardi Truffa*
Affiliation:
Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (IANIGLA-CONICET), Mendoza, Argentina
Lucas Ruiz
Affiliation:
Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (IANIGLA-CONICET), Mendoza, Argentina Geoestudios Ltda, San José del Maipo, Chile
Lea Hartl
Affiliation:
Institute for Interdisciplinary Mountain Research, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Innsbruck, Austria
Daniel Falaschi
Affiliation:
Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (IANIGLA-CONICET), Mendoza, Argentina
Lautaro Clavero
Affiliation:
Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (IANIGLA-CONICET), Mendoza, Argentina
Pierre Pitte
Affiliation:
Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (IANIGLA-CONICET), Mendoza, Argentina
Maximiliano Viale
Affiliation:
Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (IANIGLA-CONICET), Mendoza, Argentina
*
Corresponding author: Juan Cruz Ghilardi Truffa; Email: juancruz.ghilardi@gmail.com
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Abstract

Glaciers are critical freshwater reservoirs in the Central Andes. Although supraglacial debris covers over 40% of the glacierised area in the Atlantic basins, the long-term surface evolution of debris-covered glaciers remains poorly constrained. In this study, we quantify glacier surface evolution over four decades (1985–2024) for 229 debris-covered glaciers across five major Atlantic basins in the Central Andes. Using ANDESMAG, a Python-based decision-tree algorithm employing spectral thresholds, we analysed more than 60 000 Landsat and Sentinel-2 image tiles in Google Earth Engine. Overall, debris-covered area increased by $20\pm11$% and debris-emergence elevation rose by $122\pm99$ m, while snowline altitude at the end of summer increased by $181\pm91$ m and snow-cover ratio declined by $9\pm11$%. Most of these changes occurred after 2009, during the Central Andes Megadrought, and correlated more strongly with declining precipitation than with rising air temperature. Our open-access workflow, which achieves a classification accuracy of 94%, provides the first annual regional assessment of debris-covered glacier surface evolution in the Central Andes of Argentina. Our results highlight the vulnerability of debris-covered glaciers to ongoing climate change and offer a transferable tool applicable to glacierised mountain regions worldwide.

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Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s) 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of International Glaciological Society.
Figure 0

Figure 1. Glacier distribution in the Central Andes of Argentina. (a) Map of glacier distribution across the five main basins, highlighting the type of glaciers and the debris-covered percentage. (b) Mean aspect of glacier type in the Central Andes (normalised by number). (c) Area (colour bars) and number (unfilled bars) of glaciers by type in the Central Andes. (d) Altitudinal distribution of glaciers as a function of latitude, the grey line representing the elevation profile of the Andes; bubble size indicates the area of each individual glacier. Glacier information from the NGI (Zalazar and others, 2020), and elevation data from the SRTM-V4 DEM. Base map: Esri World Topographic Map.1 long description.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Workflow for generating facies maps and the database of monitored metrics. Landsat and Sentinel-2 images are queried and filtered (pre-processing) through a local server using the Google Earth Engine API for Python. These images are then classified pixel-by-pixel (processing), and finally, monitoring metrics are extracted (post-processing). The resulting data can be stored either in the cloud or on the local server (adapted from Zeller, 2020).Figure 2 long description.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Example of image classification and glacier metric extraction for Alto del Plomo glacier (ID: G700069O329897S). (a) Landsat OLI false-colour composite (near-infrared, red, green) from February 2019. (b) Classified map showing snow, ice and debris-covered ice. The pink and yellow lines highlight contact zones between snow and ice and between ice and debris, respectively, used to derive the SLA and the DEE. Base map: Esri World Topographic Map.Figure 3 long description.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Temporal evolution of glacier metrics for the 229 debris-covered glaciers over the past 40 years in the Central Andes. (a) DAR (%), (b) DEE (m a.s.l.), (c) SCR (%) and (d) SLA (m a.s.l.). Annual mean values across all studied glaciers are shown as dots, with vertical bars representing error. The solid lines represent a 5-year rolling mean, while the shaded areas indicate the 95% confidence interval. The Megadrought period (starting in 2009) is highlighted in grey.Figure 4 long description.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Temporal evolution of debris-related metrics across Central Andes basins: San Juan (a), Mendoza (b), Tunuyán (c), Diamante (d) and Atuel (e). Solid gold and dashed brown lines denote 5-year rolling means of DAR (%) and DEE (m a.s.l.), respectively; shaded areas indicate 95% confidence intervals. Panels (f) and (g) show the distribution of changes in DAR and DEE across basins from 1985 to 2024.Figure 5 long description.

Figure 5

Figure 6. Temporal evolution of snow-related metrics across Central Andes basins: San Juan (a), Mendoza (b), Tunuyán (c), Diamante (d) and Atuel (e). Solid teal and dashed light blue lines denote 5-year rolling means of SLA (m a.s.l.) and SCR (%), respectively; shaded areas indicate 95% confidence intervals. Panels (f) and (g) show the distribution of changes in SCR and SLA across basins from 1985 to 2024.Figure 6 long description.

Figure 6

Figure 7. Altitudinal distribution of the glaciers studied as a function of latitude, with the grey line representing an elevation profile of the Andes; the size of the bubbles indicates the area of each glacier and the colour indicates the change rate of DAR in % a–1 (a), DEE in m a–1 (b), SCR in % a–1 (c) and SLA in m a–1 (d).Figure 7 long description.

Figure 7

Figure 8. Comparison between NGI and ANDESMAG classifications for glaciers of varying sizes (a–c). Blue and red areas indicate agreement and disagreement, respectively. Panel (d) shows the confusion matrix summarising pixel-based agreement across 49 glaciers. Panel (e) compares debris-covered area ratios derived from both classifications. Panel (f) displays the temporal difference (in days) between the NGI and ANDESMAG input images. Base map (a–c): Esri World Topographic Map.Figure 8 long description.

Figure 8

Figure 9. Distribution by basin of the number of glaciers in the Central Andes of Argentina that reach the starvation of the SLA and SCR (when the SLA equals the glacier’s maximum elevation and SCR equals 0) between 1986 and 2024.Figure 9 long description.

Figure 9

Figure 10. Five-year rolling means of anomalies (1985–2024) of (a) ERA5-Land air temperature, (b) ERA5-Land total precipitation, (c) DAR, (d) DEE, (e) SCR, (f) SLA, (g) the Santo Domingo 0$^\circ$∘C isotherm altitude and (h) MODIS snow-cover area from the Observatorio de Nieve en los Andes de Argentina y Chile. Blue and red shading denote negative and positive anomalies, respectively, relative to the 1980–2010 mean, except in (h), where the reference period is 2000–24. The grey shading highlights the Central Andes Megadrought period (2009–24). Panel (i) shows the Pearson correlation coefficient ($r$r) between annual glacier metrics (DAR, DEE, SCR, SLA) and ERA5-Land temperature and total precipitation anomalies across the same period. Asterisks (*) denote statistically significant correlations at $p \lt $p< 0.05. ERA5-Land variables represent averages derived from 0.1$^\circ$∘ grid cells encompassing the analysed glacier basins (Section 3.3).Figure 10 long description.

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