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EXTENDING ECONOMIC MODELS WITH TESTABLE ASSUMPTIONS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 August 2025

Moyu Liao*
Affiliation:
The University of Sydney
*
Address correspondence to Moyu Liao, School of Economics, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia; email: moyu.liao@sydney.edu.au
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Abstract

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This article studies the identification of complete economic models with testable assumptions. We start with a local average treatment effect ($LATE$) model where the “No Defiers,” the independent IV assumption, and the exclusion restrictions can be jointly refuted by some data distributions. We propose two relaxed assumptions that are not refutable, with one assumption focusing on relaxing the “No Defiers” assumption while the other relaxes the independent IV assumption. The identified set of $LATE$ under either of the two relaxed assumptions coincides with the classical $LATE$ Wald ratio expression whenever the original assumption is not refuted by the observed data distribution. We propose an estimator for the identified $LATE$ and derive the estimator’s limit distribution. We then develop a general method to relax a refutable assumption A. This relaxation method requires finding a function that measures the deviation of an econometric structure from the original assumption A, and a relaxed assumption $\tilde {A}$ is constructed using this measure of deviation. We characterize a condition to ensure the identified sets under $\tilde {A}$ and A coincide whenever A is not refuted by the observed data distribution and discuss the criteria to choose among different relaxed assumptions.

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Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NC
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained prior to any commercial use.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
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