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The causal role of male pubertal timing for the development of externalizing and internalizing traits: results from Mendelian randomization studies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 March 2025

Lars Dinkelbach*
Affiliation:
Department of Pediatrics III, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, GermanyInstitute of Sex- and Gender-sensitive Medicine, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
Triinu Peters
Affiliation:
Institute of Sex- and Gender-sensitive Medicine, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, GermanySection of Molecular Genetics in Mental Disorders, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, GermanyCenter for Translational Neuro- and Behavioral Sciences, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
Corinna Grasemann
Affiliation:
Department of Pediatrics, Division of Rare Diseases and CeSER, St. Josef-Hospital, Ruhr-University Bochum, Bochum, Germany
Anke Hinney
Affiliation:
Institute of Sex- and Gender-sensitive Medicine, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, GermanySection of Molecular Genetics in Mental Disorders, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, GermanyCenter for Translational Neuro- and Behavioral Sciences, University Hospital Essen, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
Raphael Hirtz
Affiliation:
Center for Child and Adolescent Medicine, Helios University Hospital Wuppertal, Witten/Herdecke University, Wuppertal, Germany
*
Corresponding author: Lars Dinkelbach; Email: lars.dinkelbach@uk-essen.de
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Abstract

Background

Preexisting epidemiological studies suggest that early pubertal development in males is associated with externalizing (e.g. conduct problems, risky behavior, and aggression) and internalizing (e.g. depression and anxiety) traits and disorders. However, due to problems inherent to observational studies, especially of residual confounding, it remains unclear whether these associations are causal. Mendelian randomization (MR) studies take advantage of the random allocation of genes at conception and can establish causal relationships.

Methods

In this study, N = 76 independent genetic variants for male puberty timing (MPT) were derived from a large genome-wide association study (GWAS) on 205,354 participants and used as an instrumental variable in MR studies on 17 externalizing and internalizing traits and psychopathologies utilizing outcome GWAS with 16,400–1,045,957 participants.

Results

In these MR studies, earlier MPT was significantly associated with higher scores for the overarching phenotype of ‘Externalizing Traits’ (b = −0.03, 95% CI [−0.06, −0.01]). However, this effect was likely driven by an earlier age at first sexual contact (b = −0.17, 95% CI [−0.21, −0.13]), without evidence for an effect on further externalizing phenotypes. Regarding internalizing phenotypes, earlier MPT was associated with higher levels of the ‘Depressed Affect’ subdomain of neuroticism (b = −0.04, 95% CI [−0.07, −0.01]). Late MPT was related to higher scores of internalizing traits in early life (b = 0.04, 95% CI [0.01, 0.08]).

Conclusions

This comprehensive MR study supports a causal effect of MPT on specific traits and behaviors. However, no evidence for an effect of MPT on long-term clinical outcomes (depression, anxiety disorders, alcohol dependency, cannabis abuse) was found.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1.Illustration of the analytic approach and outcome variables assessed. Further details on the outcome phenotypes are given in Tables 1 and 2. BMI=body mass index; IVW=inverse-variance weighted; MPT=male puberty timing; SNP=single-nucleotide polymorphism; VB=voice break.

Figure 1

Table 1.Overview of the outcome GWAS included in the MR analyses for externalizing traits

Figure 2

Table 2.Overview of the outcome GWAS included in the MR analyses for internalizing traits

Figure 3

Figure 2.Results of the univariable Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses on the effect of male puberty timing on externalizing and internalizing traits and disorders. As primary endpoints, the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) effect estimates are illustrated after MR-PRESSO correction for pleiotropic outliers. The MR estimate (b) represents the average effect of a one-year increase in MPT on the outcome of interest. Negative effect estimates indicate a higher risk of developing psychopathology (for clinical endpoints), increased expression of a specific trait or behaviors, or a younger age at first sexual contact/depression onset with earlier male puberty timing. *For reasons of comparability, ‘Age at First Sexual Contact’ and ‘Age at Onset of Depression’ are inversely coded in the current MR analyses, e.g. negative effect estimates indicate earlier ‘Age at First Sexual Contact’ or earlier ‘Age at Onset of Depression’ with earlier MPT. The outcome variables ‘Early Life Aggression’ and ‘Early Life Internalizing Traits’ are exclusively based on data from children and adolescents, whereas the other outcomes mainly involve adult cohorts (see Tables 1 and 2 and Supplemental Table S1 for a detailed description of cohorts and phenotypes). Results of the sensitivity analyses for FDR-corrected outcomes with a p-value < 0.05 are illustrated in Figure 3, while those for all other outcomes are given in Supplementary Figures S21–S33.

Figure 4

Figure 3.Results of the sensitivity analyses for outcomes with significant results in primary endpoints. The MR estimate (b) represents the average effect of a one-year increase in MPT per one standard deviation change in the outcome of interest. Fig 3A: Results of the MR analyses of the effect of male puberty timing on the outcome ‘Externalizing Traits’. For this outcome, 65 of the 76 target SNPs for MPT were available in the outcome GWAS by Williams et al. (2023). The MR-PRESSO global test for pleiotropy was significant (RSSobs=380.38, p < 3 × 10−4), and seven outliers were identified by MR-PRESSO. Thus, the instrumental variable used for further analyses consisted of 58 SNPs. a: Eggers-intercept did not show evidence for significant directional pleiotropy (intercept=0.0018, se=0.0010, p = 0.072). The I2-statistic was 0.762, indicating a possible violation of the NOME assumption. Therefore, the MR Egger result should be interpreted with caution. Fig 3B: MR analyses on ‘Age at First Sexual Contact’. For this outcome, all the 76 target SNPs for male puberty timing were covered in the outcome GWAS by Mills et al. (2021). The MR-PRESSO global test for pleiotropy was significant (RSSobs=241.57, p < 3 × 10−4), and MR-PRESSO identified five outliers. b: Eggers-intercept did not show evidence for significant directional pleiotropy (intercept=0.0002, se=0.0017, p = 0.905). The I2-statistic was 0.777, again indicating a possible violation of the NOME assumption. Fig 3C: MR analyses on ‘Early Life Internalizing Traits’. For this outcome, 71 of the 76 target SNPs for ‘Male Puberty Timing’ were available in the outcome GWAS by Jami et al. (2022). The MR-PRESSO global test for pleiotropy was not significant (RSSobs=84.24, p = 0.169), and MR-PRESSO identified no outlier. c: Eggers-intercept did not show evidence for significant directional pleiotropy (intercept=−0.002, se=0.0014, p = 0.089). The I2-statistic was 0.785, indicating a possible violation of the NOME assumption. Fig 3D: MR analyses on the ‘Depressed Affect’ subdomain of neuroticism. Concerning the ‘Depressed Affect’ subdomain of neuroticism, 72 target SNPs were included in the outcome GWAS by Nagel, Jansen, et al. (2018). The MR-PRESSO global test for pleiotropy was significant (RSSobs=140.03, p < 3 × 10−4), and one outlier was identified, which was subsequently excluded from further analyses. d: Eggers-intercept did not show evidence for significant directional pleiotropy (intercept=−0.0012, se=0.0012, p = 0.314). The I2-statistic was 0.780, indicating a possible violation of the NOME assumption for the conduction of MR Egger. Description of effect estimates: ‘IVW’ represents the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) effect estimate after adjusting for pleiotropic outliers identified by MR-PRESSO. The ‘MR-PRESSO raw’ estimate represents the IVW estimate without excluding pleiotropic outliers. For the outcome ‘Early Life Internalizing Traits’ no pleiotropic outlier was detected, and thus, in this instance, the ‘MR-PRESSO raw’ effect estimate corresponds to the IVW estimate and therefore is not shown. The ‘IVW BMIcorr’ estimate represents the IVW effect estimate (after exclusion of pleiotropic outliers by MR-PRESSO) of male puberty timing on the specified outcome in an MVMR analysis considering BMI as an additional exposure. The ‘IVW VB’ effect estimate is the IVW effect estimate (after the exclusion of pleiotropic outliers by MR-PRESSO) for the exposure ‘Age at Voice Break’ on the respective outcome.

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