15.1 Introduction
The attention of philosophers to water is of recent date. While the flow of water as a metaphor for life goes back to the pre-Socratic philosophers (cf. the well-known quote panta rhei – everything flows, often attributed to Heraclitus), the importance of water for life – and with that its essential role for both humans and nature more generally – has received little attention in the normative philosophy literature before 2010. This is surprising as the different and often competing water uses, the exhaustion of the earth’s freshwater resources, and the effect of flood-prevention strategies on water availability and water quality pose questions that are deeply normative and by that in the heart of philosophical disciplines such as political philosophy, philosophy of risk, and ethics. Since 2010, maybe as a result of increasing attention to climate change, the topic of water is gradually receiving attention in the philosophical literature, focusing primarily on these normative questions and therefore often discussed under the label of water ethics (Doorn Reference Doorn2019; Meisch Reference Meisch, Springer and Grimm2018, Reference Meisch2019).
This chapter aims to explore how the planetary boundaries framework can be useful for thinking about water-related risks complementary to frameworks developed in the philosophical literature on water ethics and risk ethics. Hence, the aim is not to criticize or further refine the planetary boundaries but rather to see how the philosophy literature can benefit from the framework and vice versa. To do so, I highlight three points from the water ethics and risk ethics literature that are particularly relevant to our thinking about the water planetary boundary. The first concerns the division of labour between science and management, the second concerns the multitude of water-related risks and risk-risk trade-offs, and the third concerns the metric of intergenerational justice in water policy and engineering. By discussing these three points, I show how the planetary boundaries framework can play a role in water-related management and policy decisions. In the concluding Section 15.5, I reflect on the role of water ethics in these decisions.
15.2 The Reception of the Water Planetary Boundary in the Literature
The water planetary boundary is one of the nine boundaries that, taken together, propose quantitative limits for human perturbation of critical earth system processes (Rockström et al. Reference Rockström, Steffen and Noone2009). With the concept of planetary boundaries, Rockström and colleagues have developed a framework that can be used to demarcate a safe operating space for human activities. It is important to stress this goal: it is intended to develop the safe operating space itself, not the distribution within that space. The water boundary was originally labelled ‘freshwater use’, and in the early publications, it was formulated globally in terms of the maximum rate of consumptive use of blue water (Rockström et al. Reference Rockström, Steffen and Noone2009). In later publications, the boundary was further refined with a limit at the basin scale as well, formulated in terms of maximum monthly withdrawals as a percentage of mean monthly river flow (Steffen et al. Reference Steffen, Richardson and Rockström2015).
In recent years, the framework has received some criticism: some points of criticism are warranted and also accepted by the initiators of the framework, but some points of criticism also seem quite unfair. One rightful point, which could also be read as a modest revision or refinement of the water planetary boundary, is the metric of the boundary – and in a way also the label itself. As stated earlier, it was originally formulated in terms of blue water consumptive use, because Rockström et al. considered this a good proxy variable for the planetary limit, integrating the three largest anthropogenic manipulations of the water cycle: human impacts on precipitation patterns, modifications of soil moisture by land use and land cover, and water withdrawals from discharge for human use. In a later paper, it was suggested to move away from human water use as a metric and to conceptualize the water planetary boundary as ‘stores of the water cycle’ (Gleeson et al. Reference Gleeson, Wang-Erlandsson and Zipper2020). The reason for this move is that ‘the foundation of the planetary boundaries framework is the Earth System and, in the case of water, the Earth System functions of water’ (231). It makes indeed much more sense to express the boundaries in terms of geophysical variables directly related to this boundary (i.e., water stores) and not in terms of some indirect and aggregated variables like water use. In this later paper by Gleeson et al. (Reference Gleeson, Wang-Erlandsson and Zipper2020), which includes most of the original authors of the Rockström et al. (Reference Rockström, Steffen and Noone2009) paper, the authors carefully avoid the term ‘freshwater use boundary’ and replace it with ‘water boundary’. In this chapter, I will use this more recent label ‘water boundary’.
A different line of criticism comes from authors who attack the framework for not paying enough attention to contextual factors, including technological interventions and governance concepts (Bogardi et al. Reference Bogardi, Fekete and Vörösmarty2013), failing to consider questions of equity (cf. Steffen & Stafford Smith Reference Steffen and Stafford Smith2013), and insufficiently recognizing the impact of impaired water quality on the water system (One Earth 2020). With the changed focus from freshwater use to water stores, especially the reference to technological interventions does no longer seem apt. While these interventions may help us stay within the boundaries, they do in principle not affect the boundaries themselves.
Regarding equity, indeed, the planetary boundaries framework is not enough for resolving all issues. However, given the goal of the framework (‘to provide the safe operating space’), this incompleteness is not problematic per se and could even be considered a strength. The framework is not intended as an allocation framework but rather as a set of constraints – or at most as a partial allocation framework – spanning the space within which allocation can take place. As such, the model fits quite well in the traditional division of labour between science, on the one hand, and management or policy, on the other, as promoted in most of the risk literature. Of the points of criticism mentioned, the lack of attention to water quality issues seems the most serious one.
To gain more insight into how the planetary boundaries framework in general, and the water boundary in particular, can complement water ethics and risk ethics and vice versa, let us turn to some ethical perspectives on water-related risks.
15.3 Ethical Perspectives on Water-Related Risks
Until a decade ago, no subfield within applied philosophy explicitly dealt with water (Doorn Reference Doorn2013). Even though environmental ethics had developed into a solid field by that time (Jamieson Reference Jamieson2008), it was less concerned with the questions that are typical to water: the risks of water shortage, poor quality water, and inadequate flood protection, as well as questions of distributive justice related to these risks, and the importance of water for other sectors (Brennan & Lo Reference Brennan, Lo and Zalta2022). Around that time, the concept of water security emerged in the water literature as a lens through which to look at these questions (Lankford et al. Reference Lankford, Bakker, Zeitoun and Conway2013: ix; see also Cook & Bakker Reference Cook and Bakker2012; WaterAid 2012). Water security explicitly recognizes the interdependencies between different water-related risks and does not exclusively focus on either reducing water scarcity or water pollution, or on improving safety from flooding. This water security perspective allows us to move beyond water scarcity as an issue of competing water uses and allocation. It shows that it is also about decision-making, rights, distributive justice, and who has a say. Yet, this literature is still disconnected from the relevant philosophical literature.
In recent years, philosophical perspectives on water-related risks have been developed (cf. Doorn Reference Doorn2019; Meisch Reference Meisch, Springer and Grimm2018, Reference Meisch2019). In this section, I highlight three points that are particularly relevant to our thinking about the water planetary boundary. The first concerns the division of labour between science and management, the second concerns the multitude of water-related risks and risk–risk trade-offs, and the third concerns the metric of intergenerational justice in water policy and engineering.
15.3.1 The Division of Labour between Risk Analysis and Risk Management
The traditional view of risk-related decision-making builds on a distinction between its allegedly neutral scientific activities and its value-laden regulatory activities (Doorn Reference Doorn2019). This view is reflected in a report by the American National Academy of Sciences in the context of the regulation of toxic substances and human exposure to these substances, specifically focusing on the role of different actors within the regulatory process (National Research Council (NRC) 1983). The report promotes a strict distinction between the scientific and the policymaking parts of any risk decision procedure, which is to be performed consecutively. The first of these parts, commonly called risk assessment, is a scientific undertaking. It consists of collecting and assessing the relevant information to characterize the nature and magnitude of the risk. The second procedure is called risk management. Unlike risk assessment, this is not a scientific undertaking. Its starting point is the outcome of risk assessment, which it combines with economic and technological information about various ways of reducing or eliminating the risk in question, and also with political and social information. Based on this, a decision is made on what measures, if any, should be taken to reduce the risk. To prevent risk assessments from being manipulated to meet predetermined policy objectives, it was proposed to separate risk assessment organizationally from risk management (Doorn & Hansson Reference Doorn and Hansson2011, Reference Doorn, Hansson, van den Hoven, Vermaas and van de Poel2015). The rationale behind this strict division of labour is the concern that value-laden management in the hands of science would result in a technocracy where decisions about what is best for society are made by experts who have scientific expertise but who do not necessarily have the knowledge required to make decisions about what is best for society (van de Poel & Royakkers Reference van de Poel and Royakkers2011). Also the other way around, the scientific analysis should not be manipulated to meet predetermined policy objectives. While this division is in practice probably not as strictly adhered to as presented in the NRC-report of 1983, it still seems useful to think about risk-related decision-making as something comprising a descriptive part, belonging to science, and a more normative part.
How does this division of labour apply to the planetary boundaries framework? The framework describes the limits of the carrying capacity of the world, and the identification of the boundaries is largely a geophysical exercise, belonging to the domain of science. Admittedly, the boundary is not equivalent to a threshold or tipping point. The framework takes a precautionary approach in placing the boundary on the ‘safe side’ of the critical values of the control variables. This buffer accounts for uncertainty in the precise position of the threshold concerning the control variable but also allows ‘society time to react to early warning signs that it may be approaching a threshold and consequent abrupt or risky change’ (Steffen et al. Reference Steffen, Richardson and Rockström2015). While the ‘size’ of the buffer itself is indeed a value-laden choice that goes beyond what can scientifically be established, it should be reiterated that the framework is intended to describe the safe operating space and, in that sense, a conservative approach, even if it is more conservative than necessary, still fits this overall aim. Given the urgency of our current anthropogenic climatic and environmental risks (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2021, 2022) and the persistent delay in acting adequately upon them (cf. Lamb et al. Reference Lamb, Mattioli and Levi2020), this value-laden buffer seems prima facie justified.
15.3.2 The Multitude of Water-Related Risks and Risk-Risk Trade-Offs
Water is both a source of risk and a scarce resource. Most of the non-technical literature on water management and governance focuses on the scarcity of water, operationalized in terms of access to water. However, the risk of flooding is, in some areas at least, equally or even more urgent. Moreover, in places where the local hydrological circumstances are affected by large infrastructure projects (such as hydro-power plants), both the risk of flooding and potential water scarcity may be present at the same time and solutions to one problem may exacerbate the other. This makes the trade-offs between different risks sometimes unavoidable.
While it would be easy if we could include all risks in one calculation and implement a technical solution or policy that has the lowest overall risk – an approach that is reflected in many probabilistic risk assessments (cf. Doorn Reference Doorn2014) – risks that lead to irreversible consequences are incommensurable. Adequately accounting for these incommensurable risks, therefore, requires a pluralistic approach that avoids expressing all risks in one number (Doorn Reference Doorn2018). As, conceptually, each boundary is associated with a control variable reflecting a particular risk (Wang-Erlandsson et al. Reference Wang-Erlandsson, Tobian and van der Ent2022), the planetary boundaries framework does allow for such a pluralistic approach. In traditional probabilistic risk assessment, any environmental pollution can be justified as long as it is outweighed by an even higher reduction of some other risk. The planetary boundaries framework, by contrast, sets hard limits for each of the boundaries, and it prevents risks from being shifted to some other domain. At the heart of the framework is the recognition that irreversible changes in the Earth system are to be avoided. The boundaries for ‘Biosphere integrity’ and ‘Climate change’ are therefore identified as the core boundaries because they can push the Earth system towards an irreversible state shift (Steffen et al. Reference Steffen, Rockström and Richardson2018). Transgression of the other boundaries implies a deterioration in the Earth system functioning that can increase the risk of regional regime shifts. However, as transgressions of these non-core boundaries may also predispose transgressions of the core boundaries, they should still be seen as hard limits that should not be transgressed. This may be particularly relevant for interventions affecting green water, which is critical for supporting and regulating most terrestrial biosphere processes, including energy, carbon, water, and biogeochemical cycles (Wang-Erlandsson et al. Reference Wang-Erlandsson, Tobian and van der Ent2022).
15.3.3 Inclusion of Intergenerational Justice in Water Policy and Engineering
The third point that I would like to highlight here concerns the inclusion of intergenerational justice aspects. As stated in Section 15.3, the planetary boundaries framework does not account for equity considerations. Equity is in most of the commentaries to the planetary boundaries framework understood as an aspect of intragenerational distributive justice, that is, justice within current generations. However, this is just one aspect of distributive justice. When it comes to our planet, intergenerational justice is important as well. We currently lack adequate metrics for intergenerational distributive justice, especially for climate adaptation responses. These metrics should describe what it is that makes a distribution just (Teodoro et al. Reference Teodoro, Doorn, Kwakkel and Comes2023). While we have at least one – admittedly incomplete – metric for climate change mitigation (namely, to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions), it is much more difficult to evaluate the different climate adaptation responses in terms of intergenerational justice. For example, how can we measure and weigh the environmental consequences of different sea level rise and flood protection strategies in coastal systems from the point of view of intergenerational justice (Timmerman et al. Reference Timmerman, Haasnoot, Middelkoop, Bouma and McEvoy2021)?
Maybe the most elaborated account of intergenerational justice comes from Brian Barry, who developed his theory in the late 1970s and 1980s and who focused primarily on the context of non-renewable resources (fossil fuels). Barry takes the position that ‘future generations are owed compensation in other ways for our reducing their access to easily extracted and conveniently located natural resources. In practice, this entails that the combination of improved technology and increased capital investment should be such as to offset the effects of depletion’ (Barry Reference Barry and Barry1989: 511–12). With offsetting the depletion of natural resources, Barry refers to ‘the replacement of the productive opportunities we have destroyed by the creation of alternative ones’ (512). While we can question whether productive opportunities are all that matter, the planetary boundaries framework may exactly be the framework that helps assess which depletion of opportunities are replaceable and which cannot be replaced. The water boundary alone cannot provide this answer and it may very well be that additional boundaries are needed, but the structure of the framework seems in principle well suited to account for these intergenerational aspects.
15.4 Distribution and Allocation within the Boundaries
In The Division of Labour between Risk Analysis and Risk Management, we saw that the planetary boundaries framework fits in the traditional division of labour between risk analysis and risk management, or between science and policy in more general terms. The framework provides the safe operating space, but it does not provide guidance on how things should be allocated within those boundaries, and this is sometimes also mentioned as a weakness of the framework: given how small the remaining safe operation space is, does this planetary focus not come at the expense of vulnerable people currently alive (cf. Rammelt et al. Reference Rammelt, Gupta and Liverman2022)? Water ethics and political philosophy more generally can provide a valuable contribution here, conceptually as well as normatively. In political philosophy, a distinction is sometimes made between distribution and allocation (Rawls Reference Rawls1971), a quite technical, but yet relevant, distinction in the context of water. Distribution is concerned with the conception of society as a fair system of cooperation over time, and it is judged on whether it delivers the outcomes that people can expect based on being part of society. In that sense, the people have certain rightful claims. Allocation and relatedly allocative justice apply when a given collection of goods is to be divided among definite individuals who do not have a prior claim on the things to be divided because these things are not the product of their work nor do these individuals stand in any existing cooperative relations. Water ethics is particularly well-equipped to help our thinking about the appropriate rules for distribution and allocation. In the case of allocation, Rawls suggests allocation according to a utilitarian principle, but other allocation rules are also possible. However, in the context of water, more important than allocation is distribution. Water is essential for life, and when it comes to people’s basic needs, such as the water needed for drinking water and sanitation, we are dealing with questions of distributive justice. Here, many people defend a sufficientarian, prioritarian, or egalitarian distribution. Making it a matter of allocation seems at odds with basic human rights, such as the right to water or the right to sanitation. The same applies to the valuation of water other than in terms of direct use value, for example, the spiritual value of water. Water ethics is well-positioned to distinguish allocative questions from distributive ones and to develop corresponding conceptions of justice. This is typically something where water ethics can complement the planetary boundaries framework. In areas where basic needs are met and there is no competition for water, it is less controversial to look at the resources as an issue of allocation. As such, distributive justice in combination with the planetary boundaries framework together provides the space within which there is room for allocation.
15.5 Concluding Remarks
In this chapter, I briefly discussed three ways in which the planetary boundaries framework and the water boundary in particular can contribute to water ethics and risk ethics. I showed how the planetary boundaries framework provides a valuable contribution to ongoing discussions in the water ethics and risk ethics literature. Vice versa, water ethics and risk ethics can also contribute to the application of the planetary boundaries framework in practice.
Some points still need further development. The current framework focuses very much on freshwater, even though it has been renamed ‘water boundary’. So far, the relation with water safety, that is, safety from flooding, is not well-established and also water quality seems underdeveloped. For safety from flooding, a stronger link with the land system change planetary boundary could be established. The land system boundary currently focuses on cropland and forestry, but this boundary may require a more fine-grained operationalization to account for the impact of flood protection strategies on, for example, wetlands and brackish deltas.
Concerning water quality, the water boundary was originally expressed in terms of blue water use, that is, the use of groundwater and surface water for irrigation or processing (Falkenmark Reference Falkenmark2003). It did not account for the use of infiltrated rainwater (evaporation) for growing crops (green water), or for the effect of water pollution (grey water), which accounts for water use as a result of pollution (Chapagain et al. Reference Chapagain, Hoekstra, Savenije and Gautam2006). This was also recognized in the report written for the European Environment Agency (Häyhä et al. Reference Häyhä, Cornell, Hoff, Lucas and van Vuuren2018), which mentioned the need to account for green water use and its interactions with other boundaries, as well as water quality constraints (expressed as grey water). As explained in Section 15.2, in the most recent revision of the planetary boundaries framework, the research group no longer talks about the freshwater use boundary but about the water boundary instead, and by that, they have also included green water (Gleeson et al. Reference Gleeson, Wang-Erlandsson and Zipper2020). The reason for not including water quality is that water quality, like marine systems, is related to other planetary boundaries, such as ocean acidification, biogeochemical flows, climate change, and novel entities. Including it also in the water boundary would lead to duplication, according to Gleeson et al. (Reference Gleeson, Wang-Erlandsson and Zipper2020). Given that many interventions in the earth system involve several boundaries, water quality is not unique, and as long as boundaries are not assessed in isolation but comprehensibly, this choice by the authors seems justified.
To conclude, as explained in the introduction of Section 15.3, the framework is criticized as not being as objective as it claims to be and, indeed, the boundaries do not follow automatically from science. Yet, given the devastating environmental impact of many human activities, the earth – including its water stores – is probably better served by the precautionary approach promoted by the planetary boundaries framework than by the optimism about technological interventions described by Bogardi et al. (Reference Bogardi, Fekete and Vörösmarty2013). The planetary boundaries framework may exactly be the framework that allows us to distinguish naïve technofixes from sustainable solutions to leave a liveable planet for future generations.