Vaccine hesitancy (VH) is defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) as the delay in acceptance or refusal of vaccines despite the availability of vaccination services. 1 Among health care workers, VH not only affects their health but also impacts their role in influencing public attitudes toward vaccination.Reference Beleche, Ruhter and Kolbe 2 This study focuses on Montefiore Medical Center, NY, to identify the factors contributing to VH and to inform strategies for improving vaccine uptake among health care providers.Reference Larson, Clarke and Jarrett 3
The legacy of mistrust in health care, particularly among racial and ethnic minority groups, contributes significantly to VH. Events such as the Tuskegee Syphilis Study have left deep-seated skepticism, especially among Black and minority health care workers, influencing perceptions of modern vaccines as potentially experimental or unsafe.Reference Brandt 4 The COVID-19 pandemic, with the rapid deployment of vaccines under Emergency Use Authorization (EUA), further exacerbated these concerns. By understanding these dynamics, we aim to inform more effective vaccine outreach and education programs tailored to health care professionals.
Methods
Study Design and Population
This retrospective cohort study includes 21 331 health care workers from Montefiore Medical Center, encompassing both administrative support and clinical staff. The study period spanned from January 2021-December 2023. The Montefiore Einstein IRB approved this study, and all data were anonymized to protect participant confidentiality. Health care workers were categorized into job groups such as physicians, nurses, pharmacists, and administrative staff, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of vaccine uptake across various roles.
Data Collection
Data were extracted from Montefiore’s EPIC and Cority systems, focusing on demographic variables (age, race/ethnicity, job category, county of residence) and vaccination status for both influenza and COVID-19. Data imputation techniques were employed to handle missing demographic information, and job titles were collapsed into categories to facilitate analysis. Influenza vaccination records were used as a predictor of COVID-19 vaccination behavior, given the historical correlation between prior vaccine behavior and current acceptance.Reference Grochowska 5
Statistical Analysis
Descriptive statistics were conducted to elucidate key characteristics of the study population. Linear logistic regression, multiple regression, and predicted probability analyses were used to explore the associations between demographic variables and vaccine uptake. The OLS model provided a robust way to predict probabilities of vaccine hesitancy, with demographic factors such as race, age, and job role being critical determinants of vaccine behavior.
Results
Sample Characteristics
The sample included a diverse workforce, aged between 25-55 years, with varied racial and ethnic backgrounds. Health care roles ranged from physicians to technicians and administrative staff, reflecting the full spectrum of hospital-based employees. A significant percentage of the study population resided in New York County and the Bronx, allowing for a nuanced understanding of geographic influences on VH.
Key Predictors of Vaccine Hesitancy
The analysis identified several key predictors of vaccine hesitancy among health care workers. Influenza vaccination status was a significant factor, with health care workers who received the influenza vaccine being 6.2 percentage points more likely to also receive the COVID-19 vaccine (Figure 1).Reference Beleche, Ruhter and Kolbe 2 , Reference Larson, Clarke and Jarrett 3 Age also played a critical role, as younger health care workers exhibited higher levels of hesitancy compared to their older colleagues (Figure 2).Reference Fine, Eames and Heymann 6 Racial and ethnic background further influenced vaccine behavior, with Asian health care workers demonstrating higher acceptance rates compared to their White counterparts, while Black health care workers exhibited greater vaccine hesitancy (Figure 3).Reference Truong 7 Job title was another significant predictor, with physicians being more likely to be vaccinated than nurses and technicians (Figure 4).Reference Paterson 8 Finally, geographic location had an impact, as health care workers residing in New York County were more likely to receive the COVID-19 vaccine compared to those living in the Bronx.Reference Beleche, Ruhter and Kolbe 2 These findings highlight the complex interplay of demographic and occupational factors in shaping vaccine hesitancy.
Predicted probabilities of receiving at least 2 doses of a SARS-CoV2 vaccine, with a 95% confidence interval for each estimated probability.

Predicted probability of receiving an influenza vaccine and at least 2 doses of a SARS-CoV2 vaccine, predicted for several birth years, based on the linear model in Table 8, with a 95% confidence interval for each estimated probability.

Predicted probabilities of receiving at least 2 doses of a SARS-CoV2 vaccine, with a 95% confidence interval for each estimated probability.

Predicted probability of receiving an influenza vaccine and at least 2 doses of a SARS-CoV2 vaccine, predicted for each job category based on the model in Table 8, with a 95% confidence interval for each estimated probability.

Discussion
The findings from this study provide critical insights into the factors driving vaccine hesitancy among health care workers. Previous vaccination behavior, particularly influenza vaccination status, emerged as a strong predictor of COVID-19 vaccine uptake, echoing patterns observed in prior research.Reference Willis 9 This suggests that historical vaccine behavior is an important determinant of future vaccine acceptance and can inform strategies to mitigate hesitancy in subsequent public health crises.
Mistrust in health care, particularly among minority groups, plays a significant role in vaccine hesitancy. As highlighted in historical cases like the Tuskegee experiments, the legacy of unethical medical research has left a profound impact on trust in the health care system.Reference Washington 10 The unique circumstances of the COVID-19 vaccine rollout, especially under EUA, likely exacerbated these concerns, leading to higher levels of hesitancy among Black and biracial health care workers. Future interventions must directly address these concerns by fostering trust through transparent communication and culturally competent outreach efforts.Reference Kizzmekia 11
Conclusion
Addressing VH among health care workers is crucial for effective public health preparedness. Tailored communication strategies, educational programs, and fostering an environment of trust and transparency are essential to enhance vaccine uptake. By improving vaccination rates among health care workers, we can support broader public health goals and ensure better preparedness for future public health crises. 1
Author contribution
Jared Shapiro: Conducted all research, including conceptualization, methodology, data collection, statistical analysis, data interpretation, and manuscript drafting; Adam Block: Research committee chair. Provided extensive guidance on research design, statistical analysis, and manuscript development, as well as critical review and feedback throughout the research process; David Markenson: Research committee member, offering academic oversight, feedback on research design, and manuscript review.