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Bioclimatic approach to assessing factors influencing shifts in geographic distribution and relative abundance of two flea beetle species (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) in North America

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 October 2017

O. Olfert*
Affiliation:
Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, 107 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X2, Canada
R.M. Weiss
Affiliation:
Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, 107 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X2, Canada
J.J. Soroka
Affiliation:
Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, 107 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X2, Canada
R.H. Elliott
Affiliation:
Saskatoon Research and Development Centre, 107 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X2, Canada
*
1 Corresponding author (e-mail: owen.olfert@agr.gc.ca)

Abstract

Crucifer flea beetle, Phyllotreta cruciferae (Goeze) and striped flea beetle, Phyllotreta striolata (Fabricius) (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae) are the most chronic and economically important flea beetle pests of cruciferous (Brassicaceae) crops in western Canada. There have been reports that populations of P. striolata are increasing in numbers and expanding their geographic range. Climate is the fundamental factor regulating the distribution and abundance of most insect species. Bioclimate simulation models of the two flea beetle species were developed to assess climatic factors influencing shifts in their geographic distribution and density. The results fostered a better understanding of how the two species responded to selected climate variables. Growing seasons with above average precipitation were predicted to favour the geographic distribution of P. striolata more than P. cruciferae. Both P. cruciferae and P. striolata were sensitive to temperature changes in the range of −2 °C to +2 °C. The ecoclimatic index (suitability index) for P. cruciferae increased with increasing temperatures, whereas the index for P. striolata declined with increasing temperatures. This study highlights the regions of the Prairies and Boreal Plains Ecozones that are most sensitive to shifts of the two populations and which may require changes in insecticidal seed treatments for effective control.

Information

Type
Behaviour & Ecology
Copyright
© 2017 Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada 
Figure 0

Table 1 Values for parameter settings for the CLIMEX model projecting Phyllotreta cruciferae (Pc) and Phyllotreta striolata (Ps) distribution and abundance in North America.

Figure 1

Fig. 1 Potential distribution and relative abundance of Phyllotreta cruciferae (A) and Phyllotreta striolata (B) in North America. Five regions were represented in North America: 1 – Fargo, North Dakota; 2 – Winnipeg, Manitoba; 3 – Saskatoon, Saskatchewan; 4 – Edmonton, Alberta; 5 – Peace River, Alberta. Ecoclimatic index values were presented in six categories: grey=very unfavourable (1–5); light green=unfavourable (5–10); dark green=marginal (10–15); yellow=suitable (15–20); orange=favourable (20–25); and red=very favourable (>25).

Figure 2

Table 2 Site-specific ecoclimatic index values for Phyllotreta cruciferae (Pc) and Phyllotreta striolata (Ps) at selected locations in Canada and the United States of America, under current climate conditions.

Figure 3

Fig. 2 Potential distribution and relative abundance of Phyllotreta cruciferae (A) and Phyllotreta striolata (B) in Europe. Ecoclimatic index values were presented in six categories: grey=very unfavourable (1–5); light green=unfavourable (5–10); dark green=marginal (10–15); yellow=suitable (15–20); orange=favourable (20–25); and red=very favourable (>25).

Figure 4

Fig. 3 Potential distribution and relative abundance of Phyllotreta cruciferae (A) and Phyllotreta striolata (B) in Asia. Ecoclimatic index values were presented in six categories: grey=very unfavourable (1–5); light green=unfavourable (5–10); dark green=marginal (10–15); yellow=suitable (15–20); orange=favourable (20–25); and red=very favourable (>25).

Figure 5

Fig. 4 Potential distribution and relative abundance of Phyllotreta cruciferae in western Canada for current climate (A), precipitation levels that are 20% less (B) and 20% greater (C) than current climate; and temperatures that are 1 °C less (D) and 1 °C greater than current climate (E). Ecoclimatic index values were presented in six categories: grey=very unfavourable (1–5); light green=unfavourable (5–10); dark green=marginal (10–15); yellow=suitable (15–20); orange=favourable (20–25); and red=very favourable (>25).

Figure 6

Fig. 5 Potential distribution and relative abundance of Phyllotreta striolata in western Canada for current climate (A), precipitation levels that are 20% less (B) and 20% greater (C) than current climate; and temperatures that are 1 °C less (D) and 1 °C greater than current climate (E). Ecoclimatic index values were presented in six categories: grey=very unfavourable (1–5); light green=unfavourable (5–10); dark green=marginal (10–15); yellow=suitable (15–20); orange=favourable (20–25); and red=very favourable (>25).

Figure 7

Table 3 Change in area from current conditions (expressed as a per cent of area for current climate) in western Canada with EI⩾20 for Phyllotreta cruciferae and Phyllotreta striolata based on temperatures that are 1 °C and 2 °C warmer and cooler than current climate; and precipitation levels that are 40%, 20% less than and greater than current climate.

Figure 8

Fig. 6 Annual ecoclimatic index (EI), moisture index (MI), and temperature index (TI) for Phyllotreta cruciferae (A) and Phyllotreta striolata (B) based on current climate and temperature levels that are 1 °C and 2 °C greater and less than current climate at Saskatoon, Saskatchewan. Values were obtained by calculating the average across all grid cells (n=144) delineated by a geographic rectangle, 2° latitude by 2° longitude centred on Saskatoon.