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An asymptotic approach to centrally planned portfolio selection

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 February 2024

Zongxia Liang*
Affiliation:
Tsinghua University
Yang Liu*
Affiliation:
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen
*
*Postal address: Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University, 30 Shuangqing Road, Haidian Dist, Beijing 100084, China. Email address: liangzongxia@mail.tsinghua.edu.cn
**Postal address: Division of Mathematics, School of Science and Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, 2001 Longxiang Blvd, Longgang Dist, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518172, China. Email address: yangliu16@cuhk.edu.cn
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Abstract

We formulate a centrally planned portfolio selection problem with the investor and the manager having S-shaped utilities under a recently popular first-loss contract. We solve for the closed-form optimal portfolio, which shows that a first-loss contract can sometimes behave like an option contract. We propose an asymptotic approach to investigate the portfolio. This approach can be adopted to illustrate economic insights, including the fact that the portfolio under a convex contract becomes more conservative when the market state is better. Furthermore, we discover a means of Pareto improvement by simultaneously considering the investor’s utility and increasing the manager’s incentive rate. This is achieved by establishing the collection of Pareto points of a single contract, proving that it is a strictly decreasing and strictly concave frontier, and comparing the Pareto frontiers of different contracts. These results may be helpful for the illustration of risk choices and the design of Pareto-optimal contracts.

MSC classification

Information

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Applied Probability Trust
Figure 0

Figure 1. S-shaped utilities: $\widehat{U}_1$ (manager), $\widehat{U}_0(\cdot - x_0)$ (investor).

Figure 1

Figure 2. P&L: $\Theta(X_T)$ (manager), $X_T-\Theta(X_T)-x_0$ (investor).

Figure 2

Figure 3. Investor’s composite S-shaped utility $U_0\big(X_T^\pi\big) \equiv \widehat{U}_0\big(X_T^\pi - \Theta\big(X_T^\pi\big)-x_0\big)$ and its concave envelope.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Manager’s composite S-shaped utility $U_1\big(X_T^\pi\big) \equiv \widehat{U}_1\big(\Theta\big(X_T^\pi\big)\big)$ and its concave envelope.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Single utilities and weighted utilities.

Figure 5

Figure 6. Weighted utilities and concave envelopes.

Figure 6

Figure 7. The optimal percentage allocated to the risky asset $\frac{\pi^*_t}{X^*_t}$ with respect to the wealth $X^*_t$. The market parameters are $r=0.05, \sigma=0.3, \theta=0.12$. The utility parameters are $p=0.5$, $q=0.6$, $\lambda=2.25$. The guarantee benchmark (initial wealth) is $x_0=20$, the liquidation boundary is $bx_0=10$, and the first-loss residue capital is $(1-\omega)x_0=18$. The incentive rate is $\alpha=0.4$. The Merton line is $\frac{\theta}{(1-p)\sigma}=0.8$.

Figure 7

Table 1. Dynamic analysis.

Figure 8

Table 2. Option case: terminal-time analysis.

Figure 9

Table 3. First-loss case: terminal-time analysis.

Figure 10

Figure 8. Fixed-weight contract comparison: each circle point corresponds to a manager–investor EU pair under a contract with $(\omega, \alpha)$. For all panels, $T = 0.01$; left panel, $\gamma = 0$; middle panel, $\gamma = 0.5$; right panel, $\gamma = 1$.

Figure 11

Figure 9. Fixed-weight contract comparison: each circle point corresponds to a manager–investor EU pair under a contract with $(\omega, \alpha)$. For all panels, $T = 20$; left panel, $\gamma = 0$; middle panel, $\gamma = 0.5$; right panel, $\gamma = 1$.

Figure 12

Figure 10. PFs of different contracts (left panel, $T=20$; right panel, $T=0.01$). Each circle point corresponds to a manager–investor EU pair (a Pareto point) under a contract with $(\omega, \alpha, \gamma)$. A PF is plotted by a three-point curve, consisting of three Pareto points, for $\gamma = 0, 0.5, 1$, under a specific contract setting $(\omega, \alpha)$. In the right panel, each three-point curve represents a PF which is decreasing and concave. In the left panel, each three-point curve is almost reduced to a single point.

Figure 13

Figure 11. PFCEs of different contracts (Left panel: $T=20$, Right panel: $T=0.01$). Each circle points means an Manager-Investor CE pair (a Pareto point) under a contract with $(\omega, \alpha, \gamma)$. A PFCE is plotted by a three-point curve, consisting of three Pareto points of $\gamma = 0, 0.5, 1$ under a specific contract setting $(\omega, \alpha)$. In the right panel, each three-point curve represents a PF, which is decreasing and concave. In the left panel, each three-point curve is almost reduced to a single point.