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Fighter optimal selection based on sequential multi-criteria decision-making with uncertainty measurement

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 January 2025

M. Suo
Affiliation:
Institute of Reliability Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China National Key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering, Beijing, 100191, China School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
J. Xing
Affiliation:
Institute of Reliability Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China National Key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering, Beijing, 100191, China School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
K. Ma
Affiliation:
Institute of Reliability Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China National Key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering, Beijing, 100191, China School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
D. Xiao
Affiliation:
Institute of Reliability Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China National Key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering, Beijing, 100191, China School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
D. Song*
Affiliation:
Institute of Reliability Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China National Key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Reliability and Environmental Engineering, Beijing, 100191, China School of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
*
Corresponding author: D. Song; Email: songdengwei@buaa.edu.cn
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Abstract

Rapid and comprehensive fighter optimisation is an important part of modern combat decision-making. However, due to the numerous influencing factors, it is difficult for decision-makers to consider comprehensively and specify the optimal decision, and it is highly subjective, which leads to different decision conclusions from person to person. Therefore, to solve the above deficiencies in fighter selection, this paper proposes a sequential decision-making framework that comprehensively considers the effectiveness, maintenance, support capability and health status of the fighter aircraft. Based on the multi-dimensional state, it provides comprehensive and credible auxiliary support for commanders. The sequential decision-making framework (called GRA-VIKOR-IFNs) uses the combination of equation and fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making (FMCDM) to evaluate the effectiveness, support capability and health in turn, to complete the step-by-step selection of fighter models, troops and sorties. The evaluation equation is for the effectiveness evaluation and a hybrid method using the extended grey correlation analysis (GRA) and VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) method based on intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (IFNs) is for the support capability and health evaluation. The proposed strategy is in line with the logic and demand of actual combat and training decision-making and takes into account the influence of uncertain factors. Finally, a comparison with some classical methods is carried out, such as the full consistency method (FUCOM), the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) and so on. The GRA-VIKOR-IFNs method is consistent with the results of other methods and the result sort resolution is 0.0619 and at least 40% higher than other methods, which can lead the commanders to a more reliable and clear decision.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Royal Aeronautical Society
Figure 0

Figure 1. The logic of the determination of the sequential criteria.

Figure 1

Table 1. Common indexes in effectiveness and support evaluation

Figure 2

Figure 2. The general index system.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Steps of the hybrid MCDM method.

Figure 4

Table 2. The relations between linguistic variables and IFNs

Figure 5

Figure 4. Steps of sequential MCDM method.

Figure 6

Figure 5. Sensitivity analysis result of ρ.

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Figure 6. Sensitivity analysis result of v.

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Table 3. Performance indexes

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Table 4. Geometric indexes

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Figure 7. Result of effectiveness assessment.

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Table 5. Linguistic evaluation of support forces

Figure 12

Table 6. Attribute value matrix of support forces

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Figure 8. Sorting result of support assessment.

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Table 7. Linguistic evaluation of alternative aircraft

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Table 8. Attribute value matrix of support forces

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Figure 9. Sorting result of health assessment.

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Table 9. The qualitative comparison of weight methods

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Table 10. The comparison results of weight methods

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Table 11. The qualitative comparison of sort methods

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Table 12. The comparison results of sort methods

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Table 13. Attribute value matrix of support assessment

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Figure 10. Sorting result of support assessment.