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Breakthrough COVID-19 Infections Among Vaccinated Residents of VA Community Living Centers

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 June 2026

Brigid Wilson
Affiliation:
Northeast Ohio VA Healthcare System
Taissa Bej
Affiliation:
VA Northeast Ohio Healthcare System
Corinne Kowal
Affiliation:
Department of Veteran Affairs
Robin Jump
Affiliation:
VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System

Abstract

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Background: Nursing homes residents are at high risk of severe COVID-19 infections. Age-related immunosenescence blunts the response to routine vaccinations, such that the estimated vaccine effectiveness for COVID-19 is <33% in nursing home residents. We assessed risk factors associated with breakthrough COVID-19 infections (BT) among previously vaccinated residents of Veterans Affairs (VA) nursing homes, termed Community Living Centers (CLCs). Methods We characterized residents who had received the primary COVID vaccine series and were present in VA CLCs at four census dates: 1/1/21, 7/1/21, 1/1/22, and 7/1/22 which included the Delta (mid-2021), Omicron BA.1 (early 2022) and BA.4/BA.5 (mid-2022) peaks. In each of these census cohorts, we assessed COVID-19 booster vaccines and identified laboratory confirmed COVID cases. We identified time-at-risk for BT starting at 14 days post-primary series vaccination or the beginning of the 6-month interval; and extending until death, BT, 7 days after discharge, or the end of the 6-month interval. For each census date, we characterized risk factors for BT and death following BT using survival and logistic regression models, respectively. Results We identified Table 1). Cases of BT infection increased from 41 pre-Delta to <800 during the Omicron BA.1 and BA.4/BA.5 waves. Survival models indicated an increased risk of BT among residents aged ≥Figure 1). We did not detect significant effects of sex, race and ethnicity, or Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Compared to the primary series alone, a single booster dose had a protective effect against BT infection during the July 2021 and January 2022 eras; we did not detect effects of additional boosters. Mortality models from all census dates included 2011 residents with BT. Age ≥Figure 2). Discussion Among vaccinated nursing home residents, age ≥

A table showing characteristics of community living center residents who received the primary COVID-19 vaccine series.

A dot plot predicting breakthrough infection by era, showing hazard ratios for different factors over time.

Multiple graphs depict the odds ratio of 30-day mortality following breakthrough infection by era.

Information

Type
Long Term Care
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America