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Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 November 2026

Diane Ashiru-Oredope*
Affiliation:
AMR and HCAI Division, UK Health Security Agency, UK NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and AMR at University of Oxford in partnership with the UK Health Security Agency, University of Oxford, UK
Ellie Louisa Tang
Affiliation:
AMR and HCAI Division, UK Health Security Agency, UK
Natalie Adams
Affiliation:
South East Health Protection Team, UK Health Security Agency, UK
Miriam Onwunle
Affiliation:
AMR and HCAI Division, UK Health Security Agency, UK
Donna M. Lecky
Affiliation:
AMR and HCAI Division, UK Health Security Agency, UK School of Medicine, Cardiff University , Cardiff, UK
Russell Hope
Affiliation:
AMR and HCAI Division, UK Health Security Agency, UK NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and AMR at University of Oxford in partnership with the UK Health Security Agency, University of Oxford, UK
Colin S. Brown
Affiliation:
AMR and HCAI Division, UK Health Security Agency, UK NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare Associated Infections and AMR at University of Oxford in partnership with the UK Health Security Agency, University of Oxford, UK Royal Free Hospital, UK
*
Corresponding author: Diane Ashiru-Oredope; Email: diane.ashiru-oredope@ukhsa.gov.uk
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Abstract

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) impacts populations unequally, with high-income countries showing inequalities in infection rates, antimicrobial-resistant infection and antimicrobial exposure. This article describes the process used to propose national health inequalities targets and commitments for the 2024-2029 UK AMR National Action Plan (NAP) alongside a case study highlighting the progress made toward meeting its commitments. NAPs published in or before 2023 by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries were searched for references to health inequalities. A modified, four-stage Delphi process was used to reach consensus on health inequalities targets and commitments for inclusion in the second UK NAP. Following the NAP publication, a progress review assessed the UK Health Security Agency’s (UKHSA) (England’s national public health institution responsible for AMR surveillance) performance against health inequalities commitments. Twenty-three NAPs met the eligibility criteria and four NAPs (17%) from Canada, New Zealand and the United Kingdom referenced health inequalities. Consensus-based commitments focused on improving reporting of health inequalities data, developing tools to identify and address inequalities, and implementing and evaluating interventions. Following the first year of the 2024-29 NAP, a gap analysis of the UKHSA surveillance data demonstrated consistent reporting of health inequalities data across routine healthcare-associated infection and AMR outputs, a health inequalities toolkit is in development and scoping reviews have commenced to inform intervention development.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© Crown Copyright - UK Health Security Agency, 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Outline of the Delphi consensus process used to develop targets and commitments for inclusion in the UK’s 2024–2029 NAP for AMR.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Table 1. Health inequalities content found in NAPs published by OECD countries in or prior to 2023Table 1. long description.

Figure 2

Table 2. Initial draft targets and commitments collated from themes generated during initial workshop held on 15th MayTable 2. long description.

Figure 3

Table 3. Showing targets and commitments included in the initial feedback survey and the number of respondents who agreed that the proposed targets are quantifiable measures that would enable us to demonstrate our success in meeting the NAP outcome and the commitments that would contribute to helping to achieve the health inequalities outcome within the NAP (n = 19)Table 3. long description.

Figure 4

Table 4. Showing the redrafted national action plan commitments and number and percentage of questionnaire respondents who agreed that each commitment should be taken forward for inclusion in the national action plan (n = 10)Table 4. long description.

Figure 5

Table 5. The number of published routine surveillance reports that include data on factors associated with health inequalities in 2023 and 2025Table 5. long description.

Figure 6

Figure 2. Ongoing and planned reviews to determine AMR burden and identify potential interventions to reduce health inequalities among inclusion health groups. Permission to adapt figure granted from ESPAUR.Figure 2. long description.

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Author comment: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R0/PR1

Comments

Dear Editorial Board,

RE: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in Antimicrobial Resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR by D. Ashiru-Oredope et al.

I am writing on behalf of the co-authors to submit this original manuscript for your consideration for publication in Cambridge Prisms: Antimicrobial Resistance. Our manuscript describes the process taken to develop targets and commitments for the health inequalities outcome of the 2024-29 UK National Action Plan for AMR.

Increasingly, evidence is emerging at the national level within individual countries that highlights inequities in AMR burden. For example, data published in the ESPAUR report shows significant inequalities in AMR burden and antimicrobial consumption among populations with factors associated with health inequalities. This highlights the need for targeted action to address inequalities in AMR both within the UK and globally.

However, currently very few countries include mention of tackling health inequalities within their National Action Plans with the UK government’s five-year National Action Plan being one of the few with an outcome dedicated to reducing health disparities and inequalities in AMR. Therefore, our paper aims to describe the process used to develop national health inequalities commitments for inclusion in the UK National Action Plan, alongside a case study which highlights the progress made to date in delivering these commitments. This paper complements another paper that has been submitted to Cambridge Prisms: Antimicrobial Resistance by E. L Tang et al. which outlines the development of a health inequalities workstream within the AMR and HCAI division of UKHSA, findings from which informed the development of the National Action Plan targets and commitments.

We are convinced that the potential for other nations, both within Europe and globally, to take inspiration and learn from our process when developing their own national policies to tackle antimicrobial resistance is of interest to Cambridge Prisms: Antimicrobial Resistance’s readership.

We confirm that neither the manuscript nor any parts of its content are currently under consideration or published in another journal, and all authors have approved the manuscript and agree with its submission to Cambridge Prisms: Antimicrobial Resistance.

Thank you for considering our manuscript. We look forward to your response.

Yours sincerely,

Diane Ashiru-Oredope, on behalf of all authors.

Review: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R0/PR2

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

This work describes a process of formation of national inequality commitments. I cannot comment on the Delphi method formally. The paper needs some tailoring to make it a consistent piece but otherwise reports on some needed and interesting progress in the UK.

Major

- The abstract was not clear in terms of the aims and tailored methods. The methods were (a) searching of NAPs, (b) modified Delphi and (c) analysis of the progress in the UK? Could this be made clearer and more structured?

- Overall, the paper reads a bit like it was written in stages as a linear process and it would benefit from taking a step back and joining the parts together. For example, the three priority areas are in the abstract and end of discussion but not apparent in the results / Delphi process? How do they fit into the overarching aim which was to develop the national commitments?

Minor

Abstract

- It was unclear to me what the gap analysis was and whether it was focused on just the UK. “Demonstrated consistent reporting” where? and “marked increase” in just UK? Or more widely?

- Could include the three priority areas for future action? As in the results should link up more with what is reported in the abstract?

Introduction

- Pg 3, I would update reference [1] to the Naghavi estimates (second main GRAM paper) as they use more data.

- Pg 3, Line 40 – evidence of what at the individual country level?

- Pg 3, Line 42 – is the issue growing or attention to the issue growing?

- Pg 3, Line 45 – in what setting is reference 5? Is this only in high-income settings? Primary care?

- Pg3, line 56 – expand HCAI on first use?

- Pg 4, line 5 – is this the most recent ESPAUR report?

- Pg 4, line 5 – missing a “was” before observed perhaps?

- Pg 4, line 13 – the p value is from what kind of test?

- Pg 4, line 25 – I think it would be useful either here or at the start of the methods to include a summary / overview / vision of what was needed to develop the commitments: so the stages of exploring what others have done then the Delphi for example. Just a few sentences to set the scene a bit more for the reader.

Methods

- Pg 4, line 48 – what search terms / grey literature was included here?

- Pg 5,line 19 – what was done in this workshop? What were the experts asked? What type of ideas could then be synthesised in the next step?

- Page 6 – does the ways in which you “modified” the Delphi process need more explanation and justification?

- Pg6, line 42 – HACI misspelt

- Pg7, line 5 – weird “p” after Canadian NAPs?

- Pg7, line 8 – would it be useful to have a definition of the words inequalities / inequities and the impact of these differences on the type of interventions that would be implemented?

- Page 11/12 – I am not familiar with the way to report Delphi processes so am not sure if all of this detail is needed but defer to other reviewers / the authors on this point

- Pg 13, line 20 – why is this called a case study? Wasn’t this really a big part of the project to look at what others did, develop English/UK(?) targets, then explore if they were at all achievable?

- Pg 13, line 24 – which NAP publication?

- Pg 13, line 28 – which gap analysis? The original or the one in 2025? Why only these three indicators and not all / any inequalities? For example, how did you know / choose which health inequalities to look for in the analysis?

- Table 4 – what is the “unit” of an output? A graph? A report?

- Table 4 – should it be “sex” or is it really “gender”?

- Pg 14, line 3 – what are health inequalities commitments 8.2 and 8.3?

- Pg 14, line 24 – where are these guides available? Include a reference

- Figure 2 – how were the rapid review topics identified?

Discussion

- Pg 14, line 45 – what is HI?

- Pg 14 line 37 paragraph – this paragraph would benefit from some rephrasing / restructuring – there is a very long sentence in there.

- Pg 14/15 – there is a lot of data from the UK on inequalities in antibiotic prescribing – why is this not referenced instead of German / French data?

- Pg15, line 24 – any references to these funding calls?

- Pg 16 – I wonder here if discussion about inequality / inequity could be included and emphasis on the nuance of targeting interventions appropriately not just passing the burden of AMR interventions to those with the AMR burden.

- Pg 16 – can you add something to the limitations about the implications of this for your findings?

- Pg 16, line 53 – I don’t know what the three key areas for future work are? They weren’t highlighted in the results? This seems an odd conclusion. I think this is more of a result than a conclusion and this conclusion should be about the learning from the UK and hence its applicability to other (only high income?) countries?

- Can you discuss the limitation of purposive sampling of experts?

Review: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R0/PR3

Conflict of interest statement

None.

Comments

Thank you for the opportunity to review the paper titled Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in Antimicrobial Resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR.

Overall, I found this an interesting and valuable paper. I understand that the manuscript reports on a process undertaken to inform the current UK National Action Plan, and I am not suggesting that the authors revisit the Delphi process, stakeholder engagement, or analyses. There is clear value in publishing this type of work, as it provides insight into the processes, evidence, and considerations that support AMR policy decision-making.

I also want to thank the authors for providing such a detailed account of the work. This level of detail helps readers understand how the commitments were developed and how the findings should be interpreted.

My main suggestion is that the manuscript would benefit from clearer framing of the wider knowledge and policy context. At present, it is somewhat difficult to identify the specific knowledge, evidence, or policy gap the paper is addressing. The introduction could more clearly explain what is known about inequalities in AMR burden, antimicrobial use, exposure, access, and outcomes; what remains uncertain or fragmented; and why these issues matter for AMR policy, surveillance, implementation, and accountability.

The manuscript would also be strengthened by clarifying key terminology and adding more structure where possible. Clearer distinctions between inequalities, inequities, disparities, vulnerable groups, differential exposure, access, and outcomes would help readers follow the argument. The authors should also be careful to use terminology consistently, as this affects the flow of the argument.

Overall, I see this as a worthwhile and policy-relevant manuscript. My suggestions are primarily about clearer contextualisation, terminology, and structure, rather than changes to the underlying process or analysis.

Abstract

• The abstract introduction currently focuses mainly on the international/LMIC context, including vaccination, WASH, and IPC. While this is relevant, it feels somewhat disconnected from the paper’s focus on UK commitments and targets. It would help to shorten this and foreground the UK policy/evidence gap earlier.

• Page 2, lines 21–30: This material seems to belong in the Methods section and could be made more succinct.

• The abstract would benefit from more structure and should more clearly reflect the main components of the paper: the OECD NAP review, the Delphi process, the development of UK commitments, and the progress case study. This would make the paper’s main contribution clearer.

Introduction

Overall, the introduction would be stronger if it moved more quickly from the general AMR background to the specific issue of health inequalities in AMR. The current context is useful, but the rationale for the paper could be clearer. In particular, the authors should explain more explicitly what is known about inequalities in AMR burden and antimicrobial use/exposure, what remains uncertain or fragmented, and why this creates a need for dedicated health inequalities commitments in the UK AMR National Action Plan.

Specific comments:

• Page 3, line 22: The authors may wish to cite more recent AMR burden estimates, for example Naghavi et al. 2024.

• The opening AMR burden and policy background could be shortened, with more space given to why AMR inequalities matter for UK policy, surveillance, and implementation.

• The authors should clarify the distinction between variation, inequality, and inequity. Not all observed differences are necessarily inequitable, although they may point to potential inequities. This would help frame the evidence and avoid overclaiming.

• The authors should also check the use of “equitably” and “equally” throughout. For example, Abstract, page 2, line 7, and Introduction, page 3, line 35, may be better phrased using “equally” or “unevenly” rather than “equitably”, if the intended point is unequal distribution rather than fairness. This is an important conceptual distinction.

• Page 3, lines 35–40: The paragraph on global inequalities should be supported by references that directly examine inequalities in AMR burden, antimicrobial access, or exposure. Lewnard et al. 2024 may be more relevant to avertible AMR burden through interventions than to inequalities specifically.

• Page 3, lines 49–52: The statement that most evidence comes from outside the UK could be sharpened. Given the global scope of AMR, this is not surprising. The more important point seems to be that UK-specific evidence on AMR inequalities is limited, fragmented, or insufficiently integrated into policy.

• Page 3, lines 52–60: The sentence on UKHSA, HEAT, and the data reporting workstream is difficult to follow and should be split for clarity.

• The introduction should state the key gap more clearly. Is the gap limited UK evidence, limited understanding of mechanisms, limited reporting infrastructure, or limited translation of inequalities evidence into AMR policy commitments?

• Final paragraph: The authors could more clearly explain the rationale for including health inequalities commitments in the NAP. It would be useful to know whether this focus emerged mainly through the NAP development process, from gaps identified in the literature or routine reporting, or from observed inequalities in AMR burden, antimicrobial use, access, or outcomes. This could be addressed in the Introduction if it formed part of the original rationale, or in the Discussion if it is better framed as a reflection on the policy process.

Methods

• Page 4, lines 47–50, states that a literature review was performed using Google, Google Scholar, and PubMed. More detail should be provided, including the search strategy, dates, and review steps. It is also unclear how this information was used, as the Results section does not seem to report findings from this step. If appropriate detail cannot be provided, the authors may wish to remove this from the Methods section. If a wider search was conducted beyond NAPs, this also raises the question of why other NAPs were not included in the earlier steps and why the authors chose to limit the NAP review to OECD countries. This should be mentioned in the Discussion.

• Methods section, page 5, line 15: It would be helpful to clarify how the literature review and NAP review informed the Delphi process. Were participants provided with background materials, such as literature summaries or statistics on known AMR inequalities? Were findings from the NAP review presented to them? How was the purpose of the workshop presented, and what questions were used for discussion? At present, it is somewhat unclear how the authors moved from the NAP review to the four targets and five commitments described.

• More information on the Delphi process participants would also be useful. How many participants were involved, what was their technical background, and how many remained throughout the entire process? The Results section and parts of the Methods section contain some detail and numbers, but these are quite difficult to follow. The authors may want to consider a clearer way of summarising participant numbers across the process. If it was difficult to retain input from the same experts throughout, or if different participants took part in different stages, this should be mentioned and discussed. The implications of varying expert composition for the outcomes should also be reflected on.

• It would also be useful to clarify how targets and commitments were identified and distinguished. The authors may want to define these terms clearly for readers. For example, were commitments developed first, with targets then identified to operationalise them, or was a different approach used? In the Discussion, it would be helpful to reflect on how the targets were positioned given the available data and current evidence base.

• It would be helpful to briefly justify the focus on OECD country NAPs. Given that AMR inequalities are often discussed at the international level, the authors could also note in the Discussion why international strategies or non-OECD NAPs were not included.

• Page 6, line 42: Typo: “HACI” should probably be “HCAI”.

Results

• Page 6, line 58: What were the eligibility criteria? The Methods section suggests that all OECD countries with a NAP were included.

• Page 6, line 59: The authors should use consistent terminology for the target concepts of their search, for example inequalities, inequities, and disparities, or use an umbrella term to improve flow.

• Page 7, line 3: This sentence appears to invert the previous sentence. It would be enough to state that the four NAPs were published by [countries].

• The authors should review the paper for fragments and typos, for example the letter “p” on page 7, line 5.

• Page 7 summarises NAP literature in terms of types of “action”. The authors should define the difference between targets, commitments, actions, and any other related terminology, and explain how these concepts relate to one another. At present, this section reads as somewhat unstructured. Overall, the summary of NAPs on page 7 would benefit from revision for clarity.

Page 13 case study

• I would suggest clarifying what the numbers in Table 4 represent. For example, it is not immediately clear whether “12” or “15” refers to the number of routine surveillance outputs, indicators, reports, or data fields. The table needs a clearer title, denominator, and explanation.

• The authors could also strengthen the interpretation of the gap analysis. It would be helpful to state whether the increase from 2023 to 2025 reflects a meaningful improvement in reporting quality, simply more outputs including at least one inequality variable, or more comprehensive stratification across key AMR indicators.

• I would also encourage the authors to define or briefly explain inclusion health groups when first mentioned, as this is central to the remaining gap. They should also be clearer about why these groups are harder to capture in routine surveillance and what data limitations remain.

• Finally, the section would benefit from a short concluding sentence that synthesises the case study. For example, UKHSA has made early progress in embedding inequality dimensions into AMR surveillance, particularly through deprivation and ethnicity reporting, but further work is needed to improve reporting for inclusion health groups and to move from measurement to intervention and accountability.

Discussion

• The Discussion makes a useful argument, but it could be clearer and better structured. The strongest message is that the Delphi process helped translate emerging surveillance evidence into policy commitments. However, the Discussion currently mixes several issues: progress made, international evidence, future research needs, target-setting, intervention development, and limitations. I would suggest separating these more explicitly.

• The Discussion should also distinguish between process achievements and health impact. The work has produced commitments, improved reporting, and future workstreams, but it has not yet shown reductions in inequalities. That distinction should be made clearly.

• The Future Work section raises important issues around metrics and targets, but should more explicitly note that measurable targets require consistent data, clear interpretation, and identifiable policy levers.

Recommendation: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R0/PR4

Comments

Some restructuring and basic clarification needed. This lies somewhere between major and minor revisions.

Decision: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R0/PR5

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R1/PR6

Comments

16th July 2026

Dear Editorial Board,

RE: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in Antimicrobial Resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR by D. Ashiru-Oredope et al.

I am writing on behalf of the co-authors to thank the reviewers and editors for their comments on our manuscript and to resubmit this original article for your consideration for publication in Cambridge Prisms: Antimicrobial Resistance. Our manuscript describes the process taken to develop targets and commitments for the health inequalities outcome of the 2024-29 UK National Action Plan for AMR. We have addressed all comments and provide a point-by-point response to the comments.

We confirm that neither the manuscript nor any parts of its content are currently under consideration or published in another journal, and all authors have approved the manuscript and agree with its submission to Cambridge Prisms: Antimicrobial Resistance.

Thank you for considering our manuscript. We look forward to your response.

Yours sincerely,

Diane Ashiru-Oredope, on behalf of all authors.

Review: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R1/PR7

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

Thank you for these clear responses. No further amendments required from me.

Recommendation: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R1/PR8

Comments

I am happy to go with the Reviewer’s recommendation.

Decision: Developing national commitments to tackle health inequalities in antimicrobial resistance: Findings from a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus for the UK National Action Plan on AMR — R1/PR9

Comments

No accompanying comment.