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Optimizing Triage in Chemical Disasters: Validation of Modified IGSA Criteria for Hydrofluoric Acid Exposure

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 January 2025

Heejun Shin*
Affiliation:
Soonchunhyang (SCH) Disaster Medicine Fellowship, SCH Disaster Medicine Center at the Soonchunhyang University Hospital, Bucheon, Gyeonggi-do, Republic of Korea Department of Emergency Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Hospital, Bucheon, Republic of Korea
Se Kwang Oh
Affiliation:
Department of Emergency Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Sejong, Republic of Korea
Han You Lee
Affiliation:
Department of Emergency Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Hospital, Cheonan, Republic of Korea
Heajin Chung
Affiliation:
Department of Emergency Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
Ji Eun Moon
Affiliation:
Department of Biostatistics, Clinical Trial Center, Soonchunhyang University Bucheon Hospital, Bucheon, Republic of Korea
Hee Do Kang
Affiliation:
Department of Emergency Medicine, Soonchunhyang University Gumi Hospital, Republic of Korea
*
Corresponding author: Heejun Shin; Email: iamrocker@hanmail.net
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Abstract

Objective

This study aimed to develop and validate the modified irritant gas syndrome agent (IGSA) criteria, utilizing readily available triage information and epidemiologic data to efficiently segregate patients based on the severity of hydrofluoric acid (HFA) exposure.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of 160 patients exposed to HFA was performed to develop the criteria and assess the criteria’s efficacy, focusing on age, respiratory rate, and compliance with IGSA standards. The criteria’s validity was assessed by comparing clinical outcomes between patients meeting the modified IGSA (mIGSA) criteria and those who did not as external and internal.

Results

The mIGSA criteria (or AIR criteria) consisting of the 3 clusters of age greater than 49, IGSA criteria satisfied, and respiratory rate greater than 19 was developed. The area under curve of receiver operating characteristic curve for prediction of the risk of confirmed HFA injury according to AIR criteria was 0.8415 at the external validation.

Conclusions

The mIGSA criteria offer a significant improvement in the triage of HFA exposure incidents, facilitating rapid identification and prioritization of patients with potentially severe outcomes. Future research should aim to further validate these criteria across diverse emergency scenarios, reinforcing their utility in global health emergency preparedness.

Information

Type
Original Research
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc.
Figure 0

Figure 1. External validation of the IGSA criteria for a total of 58 actual patients for predicting the risk of confirmed HFA injury. AUC, the area under the curve; IGSA, irritant gas syndrome agent; Satisfying IGSA criteria16 means meeting 2 out of 3 clusters of signs and symptoms criteria (respiratory: shortness of breath, wheezing, coughing, and choking; chest discomfort: tightness, pain, and burning; eye, nose and/or throat: pain, irritation, and burning); HFA, hydrofluoric acid; Se, sensitivity; Sp, specificity; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; For external validation of the IGSA criteria for a total of 58 actual patients to predict the confirmed HFA injury, the AUC with sensitivity and specificity in the ROC curve was conducted.

Figure 1

Table 1. Comparing analysis of gender, age, IGSA criteria, vital signs, patient distance from the location of the incident, and oxygen saturation for a total of 58 actual patients comprised of confirmed HFA injury and no HFA injury

Figure 2

Table 2. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses for IGSA criteria with independent variables for predicting the risk of confirmed HFA injury

Figure 3

Figure 2. The cut-off value with sensitivity and specificity in the ROC curve of age and RR for predicting the risk of confirmed HFA injury. AUC, the area under the curve; HFA, hydrofluoric acid; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; RR, respiratory rate; Sp, specificity; Se, sensitivity; Youden index was applied to calculate the cut-off value in the ROC curve of age and RR for predicting the risk of confirmed HFA injury.20

Figure 4

Figure 3. AUC of ROC curve for prediction of the risk of confirmed HFA injury according to multivariate logistic regression analysis as the full model and final model. AUC, the area under the curve; HFA, hydrofluoric acid; IGSA, irritant gas syndrome agent; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; RR, respiratory rate. Full model: multivariate logistic regression analysis of IGSA criteria, age, and RR for predicting the risk of confirmed HF injury. Final model: The final model is a multivariate logistic regression analysis that incorporates the IGSA criteria, age over 49, and a respiratory rate (RR) greater than 19 as predictors for the risk of confirmed HFA injury.

Figure 5

Figure 4. Nomogram of logistic regression in the final model for predicting the risk of confirmed HFA injury. IGSA, irritant gas syndrome agent; Satisfying IGSA criteria16 means meeting 2 out of 3 clusters of signs and symptoms criteria (respiratory: shortness of breath, wheezing, coughing, and choking; chest discomfort: tightness, pain, and burning; eye, nose and/or throat: pain, irritation, and burning); HFA, hydrofluoric acid; RR, respiratory rate. Final model: multivariate logistic regression analysis of IGSA, age greater than 49, and RR greater than 19, criteria for predicting the risk of confirmed HFA injury. Age group coding: 0 = age under 49; 1 = age more than 49; IGSA criteria coding: 0 = not satisfying; 1 = satisfying; RR coding: 0 = RR under 19; 1 = RR more than 19.

Figure 6

Figure 5. Calibration plots with local regression of the nomogram for internal validation of the mIGSA criteria. Perfect prediction corresponds to the 45° line. Points estimated below the 45° line represent overprediction, whereas those above the 45° line represent underprediction. Calibration plot with 500 bootstrapping samples. IGSA, irritant gas syndrome agent; Satisfying IGSA criteria16 means meeting 2 out of 3 clusters of signs and symptoms criteria (respiratory: shortness of breath, wheezing, coughing, and choking; chest discomfort: tightness, pain, and burning; eye, nose and/or throat: pain, irritation, and burning).

Figure 7

Table 3. Basic demographic characteristics and injury-related variables by the validated modified IGSA criteria for the 160 HFA-exposed patients

Figure 8

Figure 6. AIR triage algorithm for victims under HFA exposure based on HFA injury prediction modeling. AIR, age, IGSA criteria, respiratory rate; HFA, hydrofluoric acid; IGSA criteria, irritant gas syndrome agent criteria suggested by Culley et al,16 satisfying means meeting 2 out of 3 clusters of signs and symptoms criteria (respiratory: shortness of breath, wheezing, coughing, and choking; chest discomfort: tightness, pain, and burning; eye, nose and/or throat: pain, irritation, and burning).Initial Assessment:1.Assess the age of the patient.2.Evaluate IGSA criteria satisfaction.3.Measure the respiratory rate.Risk Classification based upon nomogram of logistic regression in the final model for predicting the risk of confirmed HFA injury (Figure 4):1.High Risk (≥ 80%): Immediate critical care and continuous monitoring.2.Moderate Risk (30%-79%): Symptom treatment, observation, and possible IV therapy.3.Low Risk (0%-29%): Outpatient follow-up and self-care instructions.Expectant Category:Critical symptoms include:1.Profound respiratory failure2.Unresponsiveness3.Severe burns covering large body areas4.Multiple organ failures with minimal response to initial treatments