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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 23 June 2026
Background: Electronic surveillance for hospital-onset sepsis using CDC’s Adult Sepsis Event definition could provide an efficient and objective method to identify a broad array of serious healthcare-associated infections, many of which are missed through current reporting processes. We developed risk adjustment models of varying complexity to support facility-level comparison of hospital-onset sepsis rates, evaluated trade-offs between model performance and feasibility, and quantified residual inter-facility variation that may reflect gaps in care. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study of adults hospitalized for <3 days within 113 community hospitals between 2022-2023. Hospital-onset Adult Sepsis Events (HO-ASEs) occurring on day 4 or later were identified using updated CDC surveillance criteria. We used logistic regression to develop three risk adjustment models of increasing complexity using covariates from administrative and electronic health record data: basic model (hospital and aggregate patient descriptors), intermediate model (replacing aggregate patient descriptors with patient-level descriptors), and maximal model (adding detailed physiologic and clinical data from hospital days 1-3; Figure 1). We evaluated model performance using Area Under Receiver Operating Curve (AUROC), calculated hospital-level Standardized Infection Ratios (SIRs) for each model and assessed concordance in hospital rankings using Kendall’s tau coefficient (τ). Results: The cohort included 1,557,252 hospitalizations of <3 days, of which 24,169 (1.6%) met HO-ASE criteria and 8,500 (35.2%) died in-hospital. The basic model had limited discrimination (AUROC 0.589, 95% CI, 0.585-0.593). Adding patient-level characteristics to form the intermediate model markedly improved performance (AUROC 0.839, 95% CI 0.836-0.841), with further inclusion of detailed clinical data in the maximal model yielding modest additional improvement (AUROC 0.850, 95% CI 0.848-0.853). Concordance between hospital rankings derived from the crude or basic risk-adjusted HO-ASE rates versus rankings derived from the intermediate or maximal models was moderate (τ 0.40-0.51) whereas concordance between rankings derived from the intermediate vs. maximal models was high (τ 0.86). There was a wide distribution of HO-ASE SIRs across facilities even after risk adjustment using the maximal model (Figure 2), with high signal-to-noise ratios and good calibration. Conclusions: Risk adjustment models incorporating hospital characteristics and patient-level data perform well and might explain substantial variability in HO-ASE rates between facilities. The persistence of residual variability after highly detailed adjustment may reflect differences in care processes, suggesting that risk-adjusted HO-ASE comparisons can help identify gaps and opportunities in the prevention of severe healthcare-associated infections. Our findings support the use of HO-ASE as an electronic, scalable, risk-adjusted metric for facility-level benchmarking to inform quality improvement initiatives.


The abstract titles in this supplement have been corrected since original publication. A notice detailing the changes has been published at https://doi.org/10.1017/ash.2026.10802.
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