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Risk maps for the presence and absence of Phlebotomus perniciosus in an endemic area of leishmaniasis in southern Spain: implications for the control of the disease

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 August 2011

S. D. BARÓN
Affiliation:
Parasitology Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Granada University, Cartuja Campus S/N, 18071 Granada, Spain
F. MORILLAS-MÁRQUEZ
Affiliation:
Parasitology Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Granada University, Cartuja Campus S/N, 18071 Granada, Spain
M. MORALES-YUSTE
Affiliation:
Parasitology Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Granada University, Cartuja Campus S/N, 18071 Granada, Spain
V. DÍAZ-SÁEZ
Affiliation:
Parasitology Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Granada University, Cartuja Campus S/N, 18071 Granada, Spain
C. IRIGARAY
Affiliation:
Civil Engineering Department, Higher Technical School of Civil Engineers, Granada University, Fuentenueva Campus S/N, 18071 Granada, Spain
J. MARTÍN-SÁNCHEZ*
Affiliation:
Parasitology Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Granada University, Cartuja Campus S/N, 18071 Granada, Spain
*
*Corresponding author: Parasitology Department, Faculty of Pharmacy, Granada University, Cartuja Campus S/N, 18071 Granada, Spain. Tel: +34 958 242094. Fax: +34 958 243862. E-mail: joaquina@ugr.es
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Summary

The aim of this study was to construct risk maps for the presence of the dominant Leishmania infantum vector, P. perniciosus, and check its usefulness (a) to predict the risk of canine leishmaniasis and (b) to define effective leishmaniasis control measures. We obtained data for the presence/absence of P. perniciosus at 167 sampling sites in southern Spain, from which we also took a series of ecological and climate-related data. The probability of P. perniciosus presence was estimated as a function of these environmental variables and generated spatial risk maps. Altitude, land use and drainage hole features (with or without PVC piping) were retained as the only predictors for the distribution of this vector species. Drainage hole features in retaining walls, with or without PVC piping, produce significant variations in the probability of P. perniciosus presence, varying from 2·3 to 91·8% if PVC piping is absent and from 0·4 to 66·5% if all holes have PVC piping. It was concluded that the use of PVC piping in drainage holes could help to reduce leishmaniasis transmission.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2011
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Map showing the 167 locations where traps were set with white and black dots for drainage hole with or without PVC piping, respectively.

Figure 1

Table 1. General data on capture and abundance/density of the two vector species, Phlebotomus perniciosus and P. ariasi organized by bioclimatic level

(Pp, Phlebotomus perniciosus; Pa, Phlebotomus ariasi; other sp., other species of sandflies captured; Dens. PP, density of P. perniciosus (no. P. perniciosus/m2); Dens. Pa, density of P. ariasi (no. P. ariasi/m2.)
Figure 2

Table 2. Possible factors associated with the presence of Phlebotomus perniciosus in the Granada province, southeast Spain: univariate analysis by logistic regression

(The elevation classification was based on the altitude ranges of the different bioclimatic levels and sublevels.)
Figure 3

Fig. 2. Risk map for presence and absence of Phlebotomus perniciosus according to altitude and land use (corine), without taking type of drainage hole into account. Black represents lack of data.

Figure 4

Table 3. Multivariate model in which the variable drainage hole features have been excluded due to not being a GIS variable

(This model was used to generate the risk map in Fig. 2. R square of Nagelkerke: 0·322.)
Figure 5

Fig. 3. Risk map in the hypothetical scenario that all retaining walls have PVC piping in their drainage holes. Black represents lack of data.

Figure 6

Fig. 4. Risk map in the hypothetical scenario in which none of the retaining walls have PVC piping in their drainage holes. Black represents lack of data.

Figure 7

Table 4. Factors associated with the presence of Phlebotomus perniciosus in Granada province, southeast Spain

(This multivariate model was used to generate the maps in Figs 3 and 4. R square of Nagelkerke: 0·384.)