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Probability that n points are in convex position in a general convex polygon: Asymptotic results

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 May 2026

Ludovic Morin*
Affiliation:
LaBRI, Université de Bordeaux
*
*Postal address: CNRS, Bordeaux INP, LaBRI, UMR 5800, F-33400 Talence, France. Email: ludovic.morin@telecom-paris.fr
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Abstract

Let $\mathrm{P}_K(n)$ be the probability that n points $z_1,\ldots,z_n$ picked uniformly and independently in K, a compact convex polygon in $\mathbb{R}^2$ with non-empty interior, are in convex position, that is, form the vertex set of a convex polygon. In this paper, the exact asymptotic behaviour of $\mathrm{P}_K(n)$ is determined as $n\to+\infty$. This improves on a famous result of Bárány [1999 Ann. Probab. 27, 2020–2034] (yet valid for a general convex set K) and a result initiated in the case where K is a regular convex polygon (Morin [2025 Adv. Appl. Probab. 57, 811–870]).

Information

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Applied Probability Trust
Figure 0

Figure 1. Figure 1 long description.An example of K∈P6$K\in\mathbf{P}_6$.

Figure 1

Figure 2. For the cases of an equilateral triangle (n=200)$(n=200)$ and of an octagon (n=100)$(n=100)$, two samples of n i.i.d. uniform points conditioned to be in convex position. We can see that each is very close to a dashed curve representing the boundary of Dom(△)$\mathsf{Dom}(\triangle)$ and Image fully described in caption, respectively.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Two example convex polygons, with their limit shapes contained inside. On the left, KL$K_{\mathrm{L}}$ is in P5T$\mathbf{P}_5^{\mathcal{T}}$, for its limit shape is tangent to every side. This is no longer the case on the right: KR∈P7$K_{\mathrm{R}}\in \mathbf{P}_7$, but Tangency7(KR)={1,2,3,5,6}$\mathsf{Tangency}_7(K_{\mathrm{R}})=\{1,2,3,5,6\}$ so that KR∉P7T$K_{\mathrm{R}}\notin\mathbf{P}_7^{\mathcal{T}}$.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Figure 4 long description.If K belongs to PκT,$\mathbf{P}_{\kappa}^{\mathcal{T}},$ the boundary of Dom(K)$\mathsf{Dom}(K)$ is tangent to every side of K at pj$\mathsf{p}_j$ for the jth side. Triangles hatched with a brick pattern are triangles with area Ti$T_i$, i∈{1,…,κ}$i\in\{1,\ldots,\kappa\}$.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Convex canonical order.

Figure 5

Figure 6. Two example PCP$\mathsf{PCP}$s for some K∈P6$K\in\mathbf{P}_6$. The PCP(z[n])$\mathsf{PCP}({z}[n])$ is the dashed polygon contained within K, with side-lengths c[κ]$c[\kappa]$; the side-distances ℓ[κ]$\ell[\kappa]$ are drawn with double arrows. In the left panel, all side-lengths c[κ]$c[\kappa]$ are non-zero, whereas this is not the case any more in the right panel.

Figure 6

Figure 7. In K, an example of an z[n]-gon, the PCP(z[n])$\mathsf{PCP}({z}[n])$ and its vertices b[6]$\mathsf{b}[6]$, and the second and third corners (the hatched areas). Here the size-vector is s[6]=(1,3,0,2,1,1)$s[6]=(1,3,0,2,1,1)$.

Figure 7

Figure 8. Figure 8 long description.If K is in PκT,$\mathbf{P}_{\kappa}^{\mathcal{T}},$ pick C∈SubTanK$\mathcal{C}\in\mathsf{SubTan}_{K}$, a curve that is tangent to every side of K at pj$\mathsf{p}_j$ for the jth side. This curve is not necessarily the boundary of Dom(K).$\mathsf{Dom}(K).$ The triangles marked with dots are the triangles Ti$T_i$, i∈{1,…,κ}$i\in\{1,\ldots,\kappa\}$.

Figure 8

Figure 9. An example of polygon K whose limit shape (the set with smooth boundary contained inside K) is not tangent to one side (the one that is not dotted). Consider the larger polygon, which has no side with direction n→κ+1$\vec{n}_{\kappa+1}$, and has vertex X$\mathsf{X}$ instead: this polygon is the polygon KT$K_{\mathcal{T}}$: the boundary of Dom(K)$\mathsf{Dom}(K)$ is now tangent to every side of KT$K_{\mathcal{T}}$. We will show that Dom(K)=Dom(KT)$\mathsf{Dom}(K)=\mathsf{Dom}(K_{\mathcal{T}})$.

Figure 9

Figure 10. Polygon Kt$K_t$, drawn at times t=0$t=0$ and t=1$t=1$, and its limit shape, which is the set with smooth boundary contained within Kt$K_t$. We will prove that these limit shapes are indeed the same set.

Figure 10

Figure 11. Two kinds of convex body S0$S_0$, drawn at times t=0$t=0$, with the same smooth limit shape contained inside, which is Dom(K0)$\mathsf{Dom}(K_0)$. On the left, the concave shape S0$\mathscr{S}_0$ is a smooth map; on the right, S0$\mathscr{S}_0$ is composed of several polygonal lines.