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Accepted manuscript

Trial by Fire: Uncertainty and Adaptive Management in Forest Ecology

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 July 2026

Aja Watkins*
Affiliation:
University of Wisconsin-Madison
*
*Corresponding author: Aja Watkins; aja.watkins@wisc.edu
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Abstract

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Scientists studying fire-prone ecosystems have to contend with uncertainty stemming from causal complexity and conflicting aims, but they manage different types of uncertainty differently. I recommend that they instead adopt a common approach to uncertainty involving context-sensitivity and adaptive learning. Such an approach is consonant with insights from pragmatism and pluralism in philosophy of science and may even suggest a productive way to frame uncertainty while facilitating public trust.

Information

Type
Symposia Paper
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Philosophy of Science Association