It is well established that in a wide range of reasoning tasks people fail to select the response that standard logic dictates. Oaksford & Chater (O&C) in Bayesian Rationality (Oaksford & Chater Reference Oaksford and Chater2007) nicely demonstrate that a Bayesian model fits the available response selection data better than its logicist rivals. However, it is crucial to stress that O&C's modeling has not moved beyond this mere response output data. Other measures such as basic latencies or brain-imaging data that can help to examine the processes that led to the outputs are not being considered. This limitation is bound to bias their conclusion. It is clear that people's final response selection does not tell us how they arrived at this response. The fact that people do not select the predicted logical response does not suffice to discard the logicist view. It is always possible that people attempt to reason in line with standard logic but fail to do so because of specific processing difficulties. Addressing this issue requires that one digs bellow the output surface.
In O&C's defense, it may be noted that the fixation on response output is characteristic for the whole psychology of reasoning (e.g., Hoffrage Reference Hoffrage2000). In the vast majority of classic reasoning studies, response accuracy has been the sole dependent variable of interest. From a pragmatic point of view, one might argue that O&C were simply focusing on the most prominent data and might move to more process-related measures in the future. However, the key point is that in the meantime caution is needed when drawing any strong conclusions about the role of logic in reasoning. I will illustrate the point with some examples from recent brain-imaging and latency studies. This processing data suggests that although people very often fail to select the predicted logical response, they are nevertheless trying to adhere to the logical norm.
Houdé et al. (Reference Houdé, Zago, Mellet, Moutier, Pineau, Mazoyer and Tzourio-Mazoyer2000), for example, scanned people's brain activation while they were trying to solve the selection task. Participants were scanned before and after they received training aimed at increasing their inhibitory control capacities. Although the training did not instruct people about the standard logical response (i.e., P and not-Q card selection), it did boost the selection rate of this pattern and resulted in an increased activation of prefrontal brain areas believed to be involved in inhibitory processing. This suggests that the initial low selection rate of the predicted logical response does not result from a lack of logical knowledge, but from a failure to inhibit the intuitive appealing matching response. If people did not know what the logical response was or considered it to be irrelevant, merely training their inhibitory capacities should not affect its selection rate. Likewise, numerous studies on belief bias in syllogistic reasoning have shown that people typically fail to respond logically to reasoning problems in which intuitive beliefs conflict with the logical response. Nevertheless, latency and eye-tracking studies indicate that these problems take longer to respond to and are more thoroughly inspected compared to problems in which beliefs and logic do not conflict (e.g., Ball et al. Reference Ball, Philips, Wade and Quayle2006). If people were not trying to adhere to the logical norm, violating it should not affect their reasoning behavior. Furthermore, consistent with the latency findings, De Neys and Franssens (Reference De Neys and Franssens2007) observed that after solving syllogisms in which beliefs and logic conflicted, reasoners showed an impaired access to words that were associated with the cued beliefs. Such an impaired memory access is a key marker of inhibitory processing. Even people who were always biased by their beliefs showed a minimal impairment, indicating that they had attempted to inhibit the intuitive beliefs, but failed to complete the process. If people were not trying to adhere to the logical norm, there would be no reason for them to block the conflicting intuitive response. Bluntly put, although people did not manage to select the logical response, they were at least trying to do so.
Interestingly, brain-imaging of classic tasks from the judgment and decision-making literature is pointing towards a similar conclusion. As O&C note, people hardly ever reason in line with classic probabilistic norms in these tasks. People typically select responses that are cued by intuitive heuristics. Nevertheless, a recent fMRI study showed that a specific brain-area, the anterior cingulate cortex, involved in the detection of conflict between competing responses, is activated when people select the heuristic response and violate the norm (De Neys et al. Reference De Neys, Vartanian and Goel2008). This indicates that people detect that their heuristic response conflicts with the classic normative response. If people were not taking the norm into account, they would not experience such a conflict (see also De Neys & Glumicic Reference De Neys and Glumicic2008).
The general point is that although people's response selections in all these cases deviate from the predicted classic normative pattern, additional process data indicates that people are nevertheless trying to adhere to the norm. This should give pause for thought before discarding the logical perspective. O&C have modeled but a small, superficial subset of relevant data. If one moves beyond the static response output, it becomes clear that people can be more logical than their answers suggest.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
The authors' research is supported by the Fund for Scientific Research Flanders (FWO-Vlaanderen).