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People are aware of the impact of defaults and use them strategically

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 September 2026

Omid Ghasemi*
Affiliation:
Institute for Climate Risk & Response, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Ali Ghane-Ezabadi
Affiliation:
Department of Cognitive Psychology, Institute for Cognitive Science Studies (ICSS), Islamic Republic of Iran
Razieh Hojjat
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology and Educational Sciences, University of Khatam, Islamic Republic of Iran
Mahsa Afshin Mahjoub
Affiliation:
Faculty of Psychology and Educational Sciences, Semnan University, Islamic Republic of Iran
Tohid Arastouy Irani
Affiliation:
Evidence-Based Medicine Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Islamic Republic of Iran
Elahe Gholampour
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, Islamic Azad University, West Tehran Branch, Islamic Republic of Iran
Moslem Solhirad
Affiliation:
Interdisciplinary School Institute, Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran
Ben R. Newell
Affiliation:
Institute for Climate Risk & Response, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
*
Corresponding author: Omid Ghasemi; Email: o.ghasemi@unsw.edu.au
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Abstract

Decades of research in judgment and decision making highlight the significant impact of defaults, in which individuals tend to accept preselected options. While some scholars argue that individuals exhibit ‘default neglect’, failing to strategically use defaults for economic or social gain, others suggest people are default aware and capable of using defaults to their advantage. To further investigate default neglect, we conducted 3 experiments in which participants acted as default setters in a decision-making ‘card game’ involving players with aligned, misaligned, unknown, or neutral interests. Across experiments, participants consistently selected high-value cards as defaults for aligned players and low-value cards for opponents. In Experiment 2, they were also willing to override preselected defaults even at a hypothetical cost when it benefited their interests. Experiment 3 revealed that participants could accurately infer which option was better based on the default-setting behavior of others, suggesting they expect others to use defaults strategically. Across all experiments, participants chose the optimal default in over 80% of trials. Together, the results challenge the idea of default neglect and suggest that individuals are attuned to and capable of leveraging defaults to influence others.

Information

Type
Empirical Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Society for Judgment and Decision Making and European Association for Decision Making
Figure 0

Figure 1 Example trials from each experiment. In Experiment 1 (left), participants acted as informants and selected a card (sure or chance) to set as the default for a specified player. In Experiment 2 (middle), participants were shown a preset default (in this example, the sure card) and could either keep it or switch to the other card at a small cost. In Experiment 3 (right), only the observer block is shown: Participants viewed a default selection made by a hypothetical informant and judged which card they believed was more valuable based on the selected default and the player’s identity.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Figure 2 Predicted probabilities of choosing the chance card as the default, plotted by player type and the expected value of the chance card. The expected value of the sure card was fixed at $50. For Experiment 2, items were combined across both experimental groups: one in which the default was initially set to the sure card, and one in which it was set to the chance card. For Experiment 3, only trials where participants acted as informants (selecting defaults for others) were included. Probabilities and 95% confidence intervals were estimated from generalized linear models with participant-clustered standard errors.Figure 2. long description.

Figure 2

Figure 3 Predicted probabilities of selecting the chance card, plotted by player type, expected value of the chance card, and default group (default sure vs. default chance). The expected value of the sure card was fixed at $50. This figure illustrates how participants’ selection of the chance card varied depending on the initial default and the identity of the player, revealing patterns of strategic default override behavior. Estimates and 95% confidence intervals were derived from generalized linear models with participant-clustered standard errors.Figure 3. long description.

Figure 3

Figure 4 Estimated probability of choosing the chance card as more valuable when observing others' default selections in Experiment 3. In these trials, participants viewed default selections made by a hypothetical informant for different players and were asked to judge which card was worth more. These data reflect participants’ ability to infer the optimal option based on the default choices made by others. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals calculated using participant-clustered standard errors.Figure 4. long description.

Figure 4

Table 1 Average optimal default rates and perceived default mechanisms across experimentsTable 1 long description.

Figure 5

Figure 5 Associations between perceived mechanisms of the default effect and participants’ performance and beliefs across experiments. The top panels show the correlations between participants’ ratings of default-related mechanisms (loss aversion, effort costs, and implicit recommendation), as well as their belief in the power of defaults, and their actual performance in selecting the optimal default. The bottom panels display correlations between the mechanism ratings and participants’ belief in the effectiveness of defaults. Each point represents a correlation coefficient between the variable on the y-axis and the outcome variable (optimal default selection in the top panel; default belief in the bottom panel). Colors and shapes indicate experimental conditions, and error bars reflect 95% confidence intervals.Figure 5. long description.

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