INTRODUCTION
A hybrid regime is a type of nondemocratic regime that contains both democratic and authoritarian characteristics (Levitsky and Way Reference Levitsky and Way2011; Schedler Reference Schedler2013). In contrast to the people in authoritarian regimes, those in hybrid regimes enjoy some opportunities and freedom to participate and contest in national elections. Unlike democracies however, hybrid regime elections are flawed and favor the incumbent. Courts in hybrid regimes face a legitimacy paradox: an activist court risks attracting backlash from the incumbent, whereas a deferential court may undermine public trust.Footnote 1 As a consequence, the way in which the judiciary navigates politically salient cases will have great effects on its legitimacy.
This article draws on the experiences of Hong Kong courts to better understand the legitimacy paradox and the tools that hybrid regime courts can use to grapple with the thorny problems posed by the paradox. Hong Kong is often considered a hybrid regime (Fong Reference Fong2013; E. Cheng Reference Cheng2016; Kwong Reference Kwong2018; Ip Reference Ip2019). Like other hybrid regimes, elections exist in Hong Kong but are severely flawed; unlike most hybrid regimes, however, the judiciary in Hong Kong had successfully cultivated a reputable image at least up until the anti-extradition bill movement in 2019. The understudied case of Hong Kong provides an intriguing example as to how courts can maneuver through a constrained political environment and manage conflicting expectations. The Hong Kong courts have used a number of techniques to earn their legitimacy, and studying these techniques may provide guidance for courts in other jurisdictions facing similar challenges.
The relevance of this article extends beyond existing hybrid regimes. Democracies, hybrid regimes, and authoritarian regimes are not hard categories, and a degree of fluidity exists among them. This is especially true in today’s world. Democratic backsliding is a striking global phenomenon in the past decade or so, and authoritarianism is creeping into all types of regimes (Daly Reference Daly2019; Diamond Reference Diamond2020). Not only do we see hybrid regimes such as Venezuela autocratizing, but states that were once considered democracies such as Philippines, Hungary, and Poland are also being plagued by illiberalism and authoritarian populism. Contemporary processes of degradation are usually gradual and subtle. The waning trend of democratization and worrying signs of a reverse wave have contributed to a growing number of states that are situated within the bounds of this ambiguous, grey zone called a hybrid regime (Lührmann and Lindberg Reference Lührmann and Lindberg2019).Footnote 2 Courts in other regime types may be facing similar legitimacy challenges as a result. It is hoped that lessons learned here can inspire not only courts in hybrid regimes but also those in democracies resisting erosion as well as in post-authoritarian states struggling to institutionalize democratic ideals.
The rest of the article proceeds in four parts. The second part sets out a conceptual framework for understanding the legitimacy paradox of courts in hybrid regimes. Judicial legitimacy here refers specifically to the perceived (or social) legitimacy of courts.Footnote 3 Using an audience-based approach, I develop the idea of perceived legitimacy and the legitimacy paradox in hybrid regimes. The third part overviews Hong Kong’s constitutional order through a hybrid regime lens and the reputation of the Hong Kong judiciary. The legitimacy paradox will be placed in context. Based on the experiences of the Hong Kong courts, the fourth part suggests three tools for dealing with the legitimacy paradox, namely (1) the differential treatment of cases according to political stakes; (2) the use of comparative jurisprudence, and (3) the commitment to procedural justice. Case law, newspaper sources, opinion polls, and surveys will be used along the way to illustrate how these techniques have been used to improve the perceived legitimacy of the Hong Kong courts. The fifth part concludes by discussing generally the contribution of this case study to the field of judicial studies in hybrid regimes and remarks on the future legitimacy challenges faced by the Hong Kong courts under an increasingly strained polity.
THE LEGITIMACY PARADOX OF COURTS IN HYBRID REGIMES
An Audience-Based Approach to Understanding Judicial Legitimacy
The sociological conception of judicial legitimacy is traditionally linked with public support or “diffuse support” (Caldeira and Gibson Reference Caldeira and Gibson1992). Perceived legitimacy is crucial to courts’ ability to command authority (Gibson et al., Reference Gibson, Caldeira and Baird1998). Courts lack the sword and the purse and do not have the coercive power or resources to ensure compliance. A court supported by the public can induce the elected branches to comply with its decisions even when the political representatives find them disagreeable. To maintain the public’s support, courts must appear impartial (Caldeira and Gibson Reference Caldeira and Gibson1992) and be careful not to deviate too far from the will of the majority (Dahl Reference Dahl1957). Unlike the elected branches that can “re-establish their legitimacy every few years via electoral processes,” periodic cycles for replenishing perceived legitimacy are unavailable to courts (Radmilovic Reference Radmilovic2010, 845). Given that recovery is difficult, courts must carefully manage their perceived legitimacy.
The foregoing discussion sketches out an account of perceived legitimacy that is relevant mostly to a democracy. It assumes that a nexus can be established between the public and the elected branches. Public opinion matters to courts because the people, through elections, shape the incentives and behavior of the political representatives. In nondemocratic regimes, the nexus between public opinion and electoral pressure is severely weakened, if not completely broken. An audience-based theory to conceiving of perceived legitimacy, as inspired by Lawrence Baum (Reference Baum2009), might be helpful for developing a theory of judicial legitimacy in hybrid regimes.Footnote 4 Legitimacy is a normative concept and fundamentally relates to the appropriateness of social arrangements (Tyler Reference Tyler2006). A social arrangement is legitimate when people perceive it as right or proper.Footnote 5 In the context of law, courts can be (il)legitimate for legal and moral reasons (Fallon Reference Fallon2018). Importantly though, not every constituency’s beliefs about the court’s appropriateness matter. Courts in every political setting face different types of audience (such as the public, elected branches, international organizations, the legal profession, interest groups, and so on), and the beliefs of the different groups matter to various extents depending on how the courts and states are structured, the legal culture, and ongoing political dynamics. For example, in democracies, the implementation of decisions relies on the commitment of the elected branches, but the incentives of the elected branches are in turn shaped by electoral pressure. Due to the existence of regular, democratic elections, the public and the elected branches become crucial audiences to the courts. In light of globalization, courts in states that are tightly connected with the West in terms of trade and/or diplomatic relations might need to factor in the beliefs of the Western states. A series of poorly decided cases, as evaluated by international or Western standards of legality and morality, will put off foreign investors, whose confidence is of crucial importance to the effective functioning of those states.
A legalist may find the audience-based theory of perceived legitimacy—premised upon a sociological conception of courts—hard to accept. Judges are tasked to, one might argue, adjudicate based on legal principles; to suggest that a judge should consider or be sensitive to what his or her external audiences might think is preposterous. The theory does not deny the role of the law.Footnote 6 Meanwhile, it reminds us of the value of perceived legitimacy, and that there are also considerations outside the law that shape the perceived legitimacy and institutional strength of courts. Most importantly, social legitimacy considerations cannot be ignored in jurisdictions under authoritarian influences. Sanctions against judges personally and institutionally are not unordinary in nondemocratic regimes. These sanctions can be very immediate and real. One wrong move by the judges might also fuel the volatility of a strained polity. The law alone in these situations is unlikely enough to secure perceived legitimacy. The audience-based theory proposed in this article draws our attention to some of the more fundamental assumptions regarding perceived legitimacy, such as whose beliefs are of significance as well as how and why they count. To further highlight the utility of this theory, the following paragraphs apply it to exploring the bases of perceived legitimacy in authoritarian regimes and, particularly, in hybrid regimes.
Judicial Legitimacy in Authoritarian Regimes
Political power is centralized in an authoritarian regime (Linz Reference Linz2000). The judiciary is not a substantively separate branch but, rather, subordinate to the political branches. Once in a while, we might observe “unexpectedly strident”Footnote 7 constitutional courts in authoritarian regimes, as in the case of Egypt (Lombardi Reference Lombardi2008). These courts and their rulings tend to be short-lived given how political powers are allocated. The extent to which courts are legitimate depends on how successful and faithful courts are in implementing the authoritarian will. An important, if not the main, goal of authoritarian regimes is to maintain social order, and courts are instrumental in bringing about this goal (Nonet and Selznick Reference Nonet and Selznick2005, 29–52). Courts help authoritarians establish social control, legitimize controversial decisions, and manage lower-level administrative agents (Moustafa and Ginsburg Reference Ginsburg, Ginsburg and Moustafa2008, 4–11). Rule-of-law principles such as procedural justice are barriers to achieving authoritarian goals expediently. Incompetent, disobedient, or overreaching courts are illegitimate and put themselves at risk. The interests of other audiences such as the public or international community matter only if there are instrumental reasons for the authoritarian regime to consider them. Authoritarian regimes that are committed to developing their economy, for example, may care about what the business sector has to say (Moustafa Reference Moustafa2007). Public mobilizations that can potentially destabilize the regime can also be a reason to comply with an unfavorable decision. The interests of audiences besides the authoritarian’s may sometimes be given weight to, but their interests will almost always remain secondary to those of the authoritarian regime.
The Legitimacy Paradox in Hybrid Regimes
The situation of a hybrid regime is less straightforward. Because of the semi-democratic nature of hybrid regimes, elections are neither decorations nor mere tools of authoritarian governance; they are genuine arenas of contestation with an uneven playing field (Levitsky and Way Reference Levitsky and Way2011; Schedler Reference Schedler2013). Unlike democracies where elections are free and fair, institutions in hybrid regimes are designed to favor the incumbent. The people’s ability to compete is impaired by resource constraints and human rights violations. At the same time, unlike authoritarian regimes where electoral results are predetermined, the opposition can compete in the political process and possibly win elections. Incumbents seek to gain democratic legitimacy by implementing inauthentic political arrangements (Diamond Reference Diamond2002, 24; Schedler Reference Schedler and Schedler2006, 13). In light of electoral pressure (albeit more limited than it is in democracies) and the need to maintain some level of democratic legitimacy, hybrid regime incumbents will want to listen and respond to the will of the majority regularly. Following the logic of the sociological conception of judicial legitimacy in democracies, public opinion matters to courts since the elected branches in hybrid regimes have fewer incentives to interfere with the decisions by popular courts. Putting it differently, the hybrid regime’s incumbent will be more tolerant of activist decisions since the political costs for interfering with courts with public support are high or at least higher than what would have been incurred in an authoritarian regime. Nevertheless, hybrid regime courts, similar to those in authoritarian regimes, are structurally constrained by the incumbent. The incumbent may think twice before resorting to draconian measures, but subtler means of disciplining a court are available and can be similarly effective. It follows that judicial legitimacy in a hybrid regime is shaped by the perceptions of the authoritarian regime and the people.
Unsurprisingly, the people’s interests clash with the incumbent’s all the time. “Constitutional courts,” Eric Ip (Reference Ip2019, 218) writes, “have the unenviable task of … mediat[ing] the essential tensions between the liberal democratic ideals and the authoritarian realities underlying any hybrid regime.” There is an expectation by the people that courts should be independent and principled arbiters or even engines for political change and achieving liberal objectives (see, for example, Moustafa Reference Moustafa2007; Tam Reference Tam2012; Daly Reference Daly2017). This implicates curtailing the powers of the incumbent. In the meantime, the regime will usually expect courts to be docile, and authoritarian aggrandizement generally encroaches upon the rights of the people. To establish a “lowest common denominator of agreement” under these circumstances will be challenging, to say the least (Radmilovic Reference Radmilovic2010, 859). An analogy would be the classic dual-agency scenario where an agent is accountable to two principals. The court is an agent to the people and to the incumbent, with responsibilities to both. In private law, an agent can and should withdraw when there is a conflict of interest. Courts cannot do this. A consistently deferential court will lift its facade of impartiality and lose the confidence of the people. Should courts neglect the incumbent, however, sanctions against the judiciary will ensue. It is not obvious how courts should position themselves in a hybrid regime, especially in situations where there are conflicting expectations of high intensities. This is the legitimacy paradox faced by courts in hybrid regimes.
THE LEGITIMACY PARADOX IN HONG KONG
Hong Kong as a Hybrid Regime
The Basic Law (1997) is the de facto constitution of Hong Kong and has the status of Chinese national law. The root of Hong Kong’s hybrid regime nature stems from the One Country, Two Systems principle, which is enshrined in the preamble of the subnational constitution: while part of China, Hong Kong retains its own political, economic, and legal systems. The schizophrenic nature of the Basic Law reflects China’s assertion of sovereignty and its simultaneous tolerance of Hong Kong’s autonomy. Under Article 19 of the Basic Law, Hong Kong has no jurisdiction over acts of state such as foreign affairs and defense, but, as Article 8 states, “the socialist system and policies [of China] will not be practised in Hong Kong.” Article 8 guarantees the survival of the English common law system, as distinguished from China’s civil law traditions. Hong Kong enjoys independent legislative powers according to Article 17, with more than 99 percent of Chinese laws inapplicable in Hong Kong (A. Chen Reference Chen, Oliveira and Cardinal2009, 759).
Like other hybrid regimes, elections exist in Hong Kong but are far from democratic. The head of the executive branch, the chief executive, is elected by a body of twelve hundred members. Direct representatives of the people only take up around 10 percent of the election committee, while the rest are predominantly business elites and Chinese loyalists (Ma Reference Ma2007, 71–75). China, under Articles 15 and 45 of the Basic Law, retains the veto power in deciding whether to appoint the elected candidate. Only slightly more than half of the seats in the Legislative Council are elected through direct universal suffrage. The remaining seats are returned from functional constituencies that are grouped according to sectorial interests. Franchise is limited in these constituencies; corporations are allowed to vote, and many electorates have close ties with China (Young and Law Reference Young, Law, Loh and Exchange2007). A majority vote share by the opposition does not translate into a majority seat share in the legislature because of the constitutional design and an unequal access to political resources (S. Wong Reference Wong2015). District councilors are the only political representatives that are elected by full universal suffrage, but their political powers are limited to district affairs.Footnote 8 Intriguingly, Articles 45 and 68 of the Basic Law explicitly specify universal suffrage to be the ultimate method of electing the chief executive and legislative councilors, but China and the pro-regime camp take it to mean only full (and not full and equal) suffrage. Democratic reforms must also be approved by the Chinese authority. The disharmony between Chinese sovereignty and Hong Kong autonomy, as well as Leninist and democratic ideologies (C. Chan Reference Chan2019), form the “constitutional identity” of Hong Kong (Jacobsohn Reference Jacobsohn2010).
The Hong Kong courts are constitutionally guaranteed judicial independence under Article 85 of the Basic Law, and, according to Article 39, the apex court of Hong Kong, the Court of Final Appeal (CFA), enjoys the final adjudicative power. The Basic Law provides extensive protection to human rights. The International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) (1966) enjoys de facto constitutional status under Article 39. Many provisions in the treaty are incorporated in the Bill of Rights Ordinance (1997) in Hong Kong. The established approach is for courts to give rights-protective provisions a generous interpretation (Ng Ka Ling 1999a, 340).
China’s influences, however, have threatened de facto judicial independence. Under Article 158, the courts’ constitutional interpretative power is shared with one of China’s top legislative institutions: the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (NPCSC). The CFA in Lau Kong Yung & Ors. v. Director of Immigration (1999, 798) conceded that the NPCSC enjoys the final interpretative power of the Basic Law. While the Hong Kong courts are loyal to common law interpretative canons, the NPCSC adopts a Leninist legal tradition, meaning “the law is viewed by the Chinese Government as a mere tool to facilitate the [Communist] Party agenda” (C. Chan Reference Chan2016). The content of an NPCSC interpretation might not even be supported by the constitutional text (with the interpretations in 2005 and 2016 as examples). The NPCSC’s interpretative power almost seems to be unlimited.
This form of authoritarian influence—that is, the China factor—may be unique to Hong Kong (and Macau), but it does not mean that Hong Kong is unrepresentative of a hybrid regime.Footnote 9 Authoritarian interference with courts in hybrid regimes can take different forms and be done by different political actors. Familiar examples may include the restructuring of the judiciary by a newly elected populist leader (Venezuela during the 2000s) or the removal of judges under tutelary interference (Turkey in 2016). In Hong Kong, one form of constraint on judicial powers happens to be constitutional interpretations by an unelected constitutional body that shares an awkward relationship with the local polity. No different from authoritarians in other jurisdictions, the NPCSC is not a monolithic entity and needs to factor in political considerations – such as the need to maintain an internationally friendly image and signal a commitment to the rule of law when deciding whether to interfere with courts. Despite the institutional imbalance between the courts and the NPCSC, China has arguably exercised a degree of restraint when it comes to Hong Kong courts. The NPCSC has issued five interpretations so far, with three (1999, 2011, and 2016) that are directly related to the decisions of the Hong Kong courts. In fact, as Ip (Reference Ip2014a, 825) notes, “the CFA is the only political organ that has ever succeeded in continually resisting Beijing in the constitutional history of the People’s Republic of China.” This gives us even more reasons to study the techniques used by the Hong Kong courts to gain their legitimacy.
The Legitimacy Paradox in Hong Kong
The description above sets out the basis of the legitimacy paradox in Hong Kong. The key political actors in Hong Kong can be broadly divided into two camps: the anti-regime camp (which includes the majority of the population and the opposition parties)Footnote 10 and the pro-regime camp (which includes the Hong Kong government, pro-China local political parties, and the Chinese authority).Footnote 11 The two camps have made clear their expectations of the judiciary. Frustrated by ineffective policies, poor representation in the political channels, and persistent unresponsiveness, the anti-regime camp has looked to the courts for solutions to policy and political questions (Tam Reference Tam2012; A. Chen Reference Chen, Michael and Wong2017). Despite its lack of electoral accountability, the judiciary is considered a de facto majoritarian institution (Ip Reference Ip2014b). There has been a steady increase in the number of judicial review applications over the years, with the number of petitions in 2016 doubling that of 1997 (Hong Kong Judiciary 2018). Believing that it is the remaining channel where one can openly voice grievances and expect a just outcome, activists have placed their hopes in the legal process (see, for example, Apple Daily 2009; Lui Reference Lui2014). As we shall see later, the types of issues presented to the courts have ranged from lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer (LGBTQ) rights to democratic reform. The issues are often socially divisive. But, as noted above, given the structural imbalance, the Hong Kong courts must also take into account the interests of China. As then vice president of China, Xi Jinping, pointed out in 2008 during his visit to Hong Kong, “there should be mutual understanding and support among the executive authorities, the legislature and the judiciary” (quoted in Leung Reference Leung2008). Some regime supporters have expressed worry about the courts being captured by the opposition and becoming a tool for subversion (J. Chen Reference Chen2015). The courts must be careful not to give the wrong impression. These polarizing sentiments exemplify the pressing existence of the legitimacy paradox in Hong Kong.
The Reputation of the Hong Kong Courts
Despite the legitimacy paradox, the Hong Kong courts have been generally regarded as very reputable institutions, at least up until recently. This is a remarkable feature in the universe of hybrid regimes. Within the first twenty years or so of postcolonial Hong Kong, studies consistently have found that the public has expressed a high level of confidence in the courts. Surveys conducted by the Asian Barometer in 2001 and 2007 show that the judiciary, in both years, is among the most trusted major political institutions in Hong Kong (Ma and Chan Reference Ma and Chan2008, 25). A longitudinal survey from 1998 to 2006 similarly finds that the judiciary enjoys a relatively high level of public satisfaction compared to other government institutions (Wong and Wan Reference Wong, Wan and Cheng2007, 89–91). Prior to the unprecedented civil unrest in the summer of 2019, a public opinion poll illustrates a similarly stable pattern regarding the public’s confidence in the judiciary (Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute 2020). The Chinese officials and local government expressed satisfaction with and trust in the courts in many occasions. In his speech commemorating the tenth anniversary of the Basic Law, Wu Banguo, then chairman of the National People’s Congress (NPC) (which is another top legislative body in China), regarded judicial independence as being of the utmost importance to Hong Kong’s success (Xinhua News 2007). Wang Zhenmin, previously the legal chief of the Chinese Liaison Office, commented in 2017 that the success of Hong Kong’s rule of law is on par with its economic success and that he was confident in the independence of Hong Kong’s judges (China Review News 2017). Local officials cited international rankings—in which the Hong Kong courts often excelFootnote 12 —to show their approval of the Hong Kong courts (Mingpao 2019). Officials openly fended off threats against the judiciary, even when those threats came from pro-regime politicians (H. Chan Reference Chan2018). Despite the occasional call for the removal of nonlocal judges by pro-regime groups, judicial reforms to the detriment of judicial independence were never seriously considered and were explicitly rejected by the government (Stand News 2018). Judicial decisions are almost never disregarded or ignored (Lo Reference Lo2014b, 253–61; Jhaveri and Scully-Hill Reference Jhaveri and Scully-Hill2015). The pro- and anti-regime groups may have divergent political views and expectations of the judiciary, but the judiciary has been largely successful in cultivating a reputable image. The important question is how they have managed to do this, which is the focus of the next part.
TOOLS TO AMELIORATE THE LEGITIMACY PARADOX
Treading through the political minefield is no easy task. Not only does it require judges who are sensitive to their political surroundings, but it also requires sufficient tools for judges to work with and careful implementation. The political opportunities presented to courts and the timing of the opportunities are often beyond the judges’ control, but creative and astute judges who are well equipped can adapt to a wider range of circumstances. Drawing on the experiences of the Hong Kong courts, this part looks at three tools that judges can use to temper the impacts posed by the legitimacy paradox. These tools are: (1) differential treatment of politically salient cases according to the political stakes; (2) the use of comparative jurisprudence; and (3) the commitment to procedural justice. The focus of the analysis in explaining the first tool will be on the more visible political cases since an implicit assumption is that those contributing to judicial legitimacy—that is, the audiences—must be aware of, and care about, the decisions. These tools can complement each other as well.
Differential Treatment of Politically Salient Cases
Described as “keenly conscious of the consequences of its actions” (Yap Reference Yap2019, 210), the Hong Kong judiciary’s strategic decision-making patterns have been documented by many (see, for example, Yap Reference Yap2007; Ip Reference Ip2014a; Yap Reference Yap2019). Building on the empirical findings of others, I argue that a bifurcated judicial decision-making approach that is sensitive to the interests of a court’s audiences can help maintain perceived legitimacy in a hybrid regime. Footnote 13 In clearly “high stakes” cases concerning the core interests of China, the Hong Kong courts’ pro-regime or conservative tendency risks infuriating the majority but crucially appeases the Communist Party and minimizes the chance of sanctions; in “medium stakes” cases with policy or political implications that are confined to Hong Kong, the courts’ assertiveness demonstrates to the public (as well as to the legal profession and the international community) their commitment to defending human rights and liberal values. Footnote 14 This bifurcated approach is not limited to judicial outcomes and can also be reflected in judicial reasonings.
Before elaborating on the process of categorization, I should clarify that the approach does not intend to eliminate the controlling force of the law. The more the law unambiguously points to one result, the more that adopting another outcome purely because of political stakes reveals the inauthenticity of the judges and compromises the integrity of the law. Footnote 15 A dogmatic application of the bifurcated approach will be counterproductive. Nevertheless, the law accommodates reasonable disagreements in many instances, especially in higher appeal cases and constitutional cases involving moral and/or policy considerations. It is within the parameter of the law, broadly speaking, that this approach can relieve the tensions posed by the legitimacy paradox. Given how constitutional politics work in Hong Kong, understanding what China’s core interests are will shed light on what high—and, consequently, medium—stakes actually mean.
Elaborating on High (and Medium) Stakes
The term “core interest” has, in fact, been repeatedly invoked by the Chinese Communist Party over the years. Publicly defined by the Party in 2009, the term has three components : “(1) preserving China’s basic state system and national security (
); (2) national sovereignty and territorial integrity (
); and (3) the continued stable development of China’s economy and society (
)” (Swaine Reference Swaine2010, 4). They are supposedly nonnegotiable “bottom lines” and define the nation’s grand objectives and strategies relating to China’s domestic and international affairs (J. Yang Reference Yang2015, 14–15). China regards “acts of separatism, subversion, infiltration and sabotage” in Hong Kong as challenges against “the bottom line” (Associated Press 2019). Extending this logic, other examples of high-stakes cases may include instances that potentially undermine China’s fundamental control in Hong Kong politics.
These principles are clear in theory but have been subjected to the Party’s manipulation. Regarded as adaptable and pragmatic in its leadership style, the Party frequently revises its policies when implementing its core interests in order to maintain flexibility (Zhu Reference Zhu2011). Consequently, what issues exactly fall within the ambit of core interests can depend on many factors, including the political climate and current leadership. The Party’s interpretations of sovereignty and security have seemed, at times, all-compassing. Whether issues relating to the peripheral regions of China and the recent expansionist policies are considered by the Party to be core interest issues have been subjects of rigorous scholarly debates, even though the overarching principles—the core interests—hold constant (Zeng, Xiao, and Breslin Reference Zeng, Xiao and Breslin2015).
Having said that, through China’s expressed core interests, we not only can have a better picture of the Party’s internal logic but also ascertain what may be considered high-stakes and medium-stakes cases in the context of Hong Kong. These core interests guide us in identifying the clearly high-stakes cases, and the politically salient questions that primarily affect only the Hong Kong polity are medium stake issues. The fact that Hong Kong enjoys a considerable degree of autonomy, compared to the cities in Mainland China, suggests that these core interests may be enforced less assertively in Hong Kong. The mechanisms for implementing China’s core interests in Hong Kong are usually of a different nature since Hong Kong and Mainland China are separate jurisdictions. Footnote 16 Even under the shadows of the core interests, there is probably greater room for Hong Kong courts, compared to Mainland ones, to maneuver in cases that are not clearly high stakes. Even with my best efforts to sharpen the definitions, the distinction remains as rough categories. The select case analyses that follow intend to give flesh to the categories and demonstrate the utility of this bifurcated approach.
High-Stakes Cases
This subpart examines different lines of clearly high-stakes cases and political actors’ responses to them. The Party, through different avenues, has signaled to the public its intentions in these cases, making sure that the courts are aware of its preferences. And usually, as we shall see, the courts’ outcomes and reasonings reflect their political sensitivity. As a result, sanctions are rare. The high-stakes cases to be explored are grouped thematically: constitutional jurisdiction, symbols of sovereignty, democratic reform, and political rights of opposition.Footnote 17
Who calls the shots?
Ng Ka Ling was at the time “the highest profile case yet to reach the CFA” after the handover (Western Reference Western1998). The CFA decided that the immigration policy in question was unconstitutional and broadened the right of abode. This, in itself, was controversial, Footnote 18 but the case was high stakes as the CFA sought to establish itself as the supreme constitutional interpreter within Hong Kong, self-declaring powers to invalidate any laws that were inconsistent with the Basic Law, including the acts of the NPCSC and the NPC (Ng Ka Ling 1999a, 337–38).
The CFA’s attempt to assert superior constitutional powers immediately backfired. Mainland Chinese courts do not have constitutional review powers. From the Chinese authorities’ angle, it was absurd that a local court like the CFA could override superior national bodies. Realizing the severity of the situation, the CFA, a month after issuing the first decision, clarified in Ng Ka Ling v. Director of Immigration (No 2) (1999b, 142) that it had no power to “question the authority of the [NPCSC] to do any act which is in accordance with the provisions of the Basic Law and the procedure therein.”
This ambiguous clarification did not help. The NPCSC, upon the local authority’s request, responded by issuing the Interpretation of Articles 22(4) and 24(2)(3) (1999) (1999 Interpretation), its first post-handover interpretation. It “overruled” the apex court’s decision and reinstated the pre-existing immigration policy. Martin Lee (the founding and then leader of the largest opposition party, the Democratic Party) described the interpretation as a way to limit Hong Kong’s autonomy, and the Bar Association organized its first-ever silent march to protest against the interpretation (Landler Reference Landler1999). To pacify China, the CFA retreated in Lau Kong Yung v. Director of Immigration (1999, 798, 802) by accepting that the constitutional provision conferring the NPCSC the power to interpret the Basic Law is in “general and unqualified terms” and that the 1999 Interpretation was “binding and valid.”
More recently in Leung Chung Hang Sixtus v. President of Legislative Council (2019), the Court of First Instance was asked to decide whether an NPCSC decision (not an interpretation) was binding. Under Mainland Chinese law, NPCSC decisions are also binding, but nowhere in the Basic Law does it mention their legality in Hong Kong. While rejecting the applicant’s expert witness evidence that an NPCSC decision is not legally binding in Hong Kong, the judge remarked that “[i]t would not be appropriate for me, sitting at first instance, to determine questions concerning the status and legal effect of the NPCSC Decision under Hong Kong laws which may have far reaching implications but are not strictly necessary for my decision” (Leung Chung Hang Sixtus 2019, para. 61). This rather confusing judgment is unhelpful in answering the question of legality, but it is perhaps for the better to not address trickier questions relating to constitutional jurisdiction. The decision in favor of the government ended the substantive dispute while leaving the million-dollar question for another day.
Desecrating symbols of sovereignty
In HKSAR v. Ng Kung Siu & Anor. (1999), the constitutionality of desecrating the national and regional flags was called into question. The challenged provisions are essentially reproductions of the Chinese laws on national flag and national emblems, which are also among the very few Chinese laws that are explicitly imported into Hong Kong through the Basic Law. The Court of Appeal decided in favor of the protestors, and the Chinese authority was quick to express denunciation. Local deputies to the NPC described the decision as “problematic” and urged another interpretation (Tarn Reference Tarn1999). The CFA probably learned its lesson in Ng Ka Ling and reversed the lower court’s decision. Considering that Hong Kong was in the early stages of resumption, the CFA justified the restriction on freedom of expression by noting that the “[p]rotection of the national flag and the regional flag from desecration, having regard to their unique symbolism, will play an important part in the attainment of [One Country, Two Systems, national unity, and territorial integrity]” (Ng Kung Siu 1999, 926). The paragraph cited—together with a quotation from the then president of China, Jiang Zemin (912)—perfectly displays the CFA’s sensitivity to the stakes involved. A prominent legal scholar in Hong Kong at the time, Raymond Wacks (Reference Wacks2000, 2), said that the decision was “politically favoured” and “unconvincing,” and a representative of the Democratic Party commented that “[f]reedoms of expression that Hong Kong people were able to enjoy prior to the handover ha[d] now been taken away” (Beal Reference Beal1999). More than a decade later when Hong Kong was no longer in its early stages of resumption, some activists sought to revisit the conclusion of Ng Kung Siu in HKSAR v. Koo Sze Yiu (2014). Decided during the Occupy Central movement, the CFA saw no reason to revise its previous position. An opposition lawmaker was also similarly fined for flag desecration in 2017 after turning national and local flags upside down at a legislative meeting (Siu Reference Siu2017).
Democratic reform
Over the years, the NPCSC has added restrictions to the process and substance of democratic reform—through an interpretation in 2004 and decisions in 2007 and 2014—making it clear to the world that it is in charge of any fundamental political reforms in Hong Kong. Accordingly, the courts have been reluctant to get involved in related disputes. Corporate voting in functional constituencies—a colonial remnant—is a feature unique to Hong Kong, designed to secure elite support by perpetuating patronage-client politics. Blatantly violating electoral equality, this design gives large corporations that tend to be friendly with China disproportionate political influence (Young and Law Reference Young, Law, Loh and Exchange2007, 99). Article 26 of the Basic Law confers the right to vote on “[p]ermanent residents” of Hong Kong—period. The seemingly straightforward constitutional challenge against corporative voting was nonetheless unsuccessful. The court in Chan Yu Nam v. Secretary of Justice (2012, para. 93) wrote: “Art. 26 does not say that ‘only’ permanent residents may take part in voting in Hong Kong.” On top of an extremely narrow reading of the provision, the court also downplayed equality-based arguments and relied on a rather unmethodical purposive reading of the Basic Law to conclude that corporative voting was intended to survive the handover (Jhaveri Reference Jhaveri2011).
In 2015, the local government conducted a series of public consultations with reference to a proposed democratic reform. The applicant in Leung Lai Kwok Yvonne v. Chief Secretary for Administration (2015) argued that the government had consulted the public under false legal premises by treating a NPCSC decision as legally binding, and, in Kwok Cheuk Kin v. Chief Executive of HKSAR (2015), the contention was that the public consultation was conducted unfairly under predetermined views. The prior challenge was rejected on the grounds of immateriality and prematurity, and the latter case was dismissed as academic. Even though both cases raised important questions of law, the courts showed great reluctance to intervene with the process of democratic reform, citing “separation of powers” in justifying the premature ground in the prior case (para. 40) and noting in the latter case that “questions of fairness are usually highly contextual. … It therefore cannot be said that the determination of this judicial review would provide such material or significant general guidance on the conduct of future public consultation” (para. 29).
Diminishing political rights
Recent calls for greater autonomy, and sometimes independence, have alarmed China. Authorities have sought to use every possible means—including criminalizing dissidents, stripping their political rights, and changing the rules of the political game—to suppress these movements from gaining momentum. State oppression has been sanctioned by the courts in a series of cases. In 2016, six duly elected opposition lawmakers were disqualified for allegedly failing to comply with oath-taking requirements when assuming office. Five of them were elected through geographical constituencies, with almost two hundred thousand people having voted for them. The disqualification of democratic representatives clearly goes against the will of the majority. Among those disqualified, two held pro-independence stances. Taunting the Party, they departed from the prescribed oath text and flagrantly used language that insulted China. The president of the Legislative Council allowed them to retake their oaths, but the executive branch challenged the president’s decision. In a highly unusual move, before the Court of First Instance issued its ruling in Chief Executive of HKSAR v. President of Legislative Council (2016) but after the judge heard the arguments, the NPCSC issued another constitutional interpretation, Interpretation of Article 104 (2016) (2016 Interpretation), with the effect of invalidating their oaths, disqualifying them, and barring them second chances. All three levels of courts accordingly decided against the members-elect. Despite being politically more moderate, the other four members-elect also lost in court for failing to take their oaths “sincerely” and “solemnly” (C. Lau Reference Lau2019).
On top of disqualifying duly elected political representatives, dissidents have been banned from even standing for elections. Electoral laws require candidates to file a statutory declaration upholding the Basic Law and swearing allegiance to the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People’s Republic of China, and it is criminal to make a false declaration. Returning officers, upon their own inquiry, disqualified candidates who allegedly advocated independence even though the candidates had signed the declaration. The court, relying again on the 2016 Interpretation, confirmed a disqualification in Chan Ho Tin v. Lo Ying Ki Alan (2018) and decided that the declaration requirement is not a mere formal requirement (but, rather, a substantive one) and accepted that returning officers had the power to determine the substantive validity.
The outcomes of these political rights decisions are consistent with the bifurcated approach, but, between binary outcomes, the courts could have mitigated the effects of the 2016 Interpretation through legal reasoning. The courts were rightly criticized by many for unnecessarily conceding too much to China (see Lo Reference Lo2018; J. Chan Reference Chan2019; Yap and Jiang Reference Yap and Jiang2020). As noted before, the law does matter, and uncritically endorsing authoritarian views gives away hard-fought judicial autonomy and risks damaging perceived legitimacy by exposing to the public the courts’ inauthenticity. These examples remind us that a conservative judicial attitude in high-stakes cases does not mean a complete abdication of judicial duty.
Medium-Stakes Cases
Medium-stakes cases provide valuable opportunities to the courts to earn their reputation with a minimal risk of sanctions. The promotion of liberal values is often, in principle, contrary to the authoritarian ideology, but it does not necessarily contradict China’s core interests. Even when China finds a decision distasteful, it has to pick its battles carefully since unrestrained authoritarian interference can potentially lead to upheavals in Hong Kong’s financial market and mass protests. It would be most unusual for China to intervene with decisions that are clearly outside its core interests. As we shall see later, the courts have shown the public that they are unafraid to rule against or criticize the local government in medium-stakes cases. The CFA has ruled that primary legislation is unconstitutional more than half of the time (Ip Reference Ip2019, 106). Regardless of the identities of the parties involved, the nature of the action or policy, and the circumstances surrounding the incident, the courts have shown noticeable commitment to the protection of human rights and the effectuation of social change outside high-stakes cases.
An illuminating line of cases relate to LGBTQ rights. In China, LGBTQ rights are not legally recognized, homosexuality as a crime was only decriminalized in 2001, and there continue to be plenty of crackdowns on LGBTQ activities (see, for example, Kang Reference Kang, Weston and Jensen2012; Hernández and Mou Reference Hernández and Mou2018; Amnesty International 2019).Footnote 19 State resistance is in part due to the LGBTQ rights movement’s potential to gather the crowd. Transformative change is unlikely in light of China’s tightening control over civil society. Conversely in Hong Kong, the community is generally very supportive of the LGBTQ rights. Footnote 20 LGBTQ rights in Hong Kong are considered more developed than in many other Asian societies with similar social underpinnings such as China and Singapore (Peterson Reference Peterson2016), and the Hong Kong courts, especially the CFA, have been one of the key engines for these developments. Footnote 21 The courts have tracked social sentiment and expanded the right to equality to include the prohibition of discrimination on the ground of sexual orientation. From decriminalizing buggery (Secretary of Justice v. Yau Yuk Lung [2007]) and legalizing transgender marriage (W. v. Registrar of Marriages [2013]) to the recognition of marriage or civil partnership status of same-sex couples for dependent visa purposes (Q. T. v. Director of Immigration [2018]) and the extension of spousal benefits to same-sex married couples (Leung Chun Kwong v. Secretary for Civil Service [2019]), the signs for social change in this regard have been very promising. The local community, international organizations, and multinational corporations have celebrated many of these decisions (C. Lau Reference Lau2018; Ives Reference Ives2019).
The considerably liberal approach in medium-stakes cases extends beyond LGBTQ cases. The court in Tse Wai Chun v. Albert Cheng (2000), a defamation case involving three well-known personalities and a radio talk show, took the opportunity to liberalize the fair comment defense by deciding that honesty, instead of motive, was the key legal requirement. The decision’s positive effects on freedom of expression has been reported by the press (Singtao 2000), and its jurisprudential impact has travelled across the common law world (Lo Reference Lo, Young and Ghai2014a, 583–85). In Koo Sze Yiu v. Chief Executive of the HKSAR (2006), dissidents challenged the constitutionality of the statutory power to intercept telecommunications and the lawfulness of the executive order that authorized the covert surveillance. Prior to the legal challenge, there were heated debates in the legislature about privacy concerns, and the Bar Association had issued a statement questioning the legality of the policy (Yau Reference Yau2005). The courts decided in favor of the applicants, with the lower court interpreting the right to privacy generously (Leung Kwok Hung v. Chief Executive of the HKSAR [2006]). The CFA also ruled against the government in some protest cases (HKSAR v. Chow Nok Hang [2013]).
Adding a Nuance: Borderline Cases?
The foregoing discussion has focused on clearly high-stakes and medium-stakes cases. The bifurcated approach rests on rough categories, and there are issues that are not clearly within, but perhaps on the fringes of, the high-stakes category. Borderline cases that arguably fit in both categories can be potentially defining moments for social legitimacy and judicial autonomy. The bifurcated approach and its logic are relevant to borderline cases, but deciding which frame to adopt (high or medium stakes) is a balancing exercise that is dependent on the potential payout and costs, the legal facts, and the political climate. One might argue: better safe than sorry, and a high-stakes frame should prevail when in doubt. This risk-averse attitude is understandable. And, indeed, the Hong Kong courts’ granting of injunctions against protestors during the Occupy Central movement in 2014 did follow this rule (South China Morning Post 2014).
This rule is not without its downsides. Courts internalize authoritarian norms when adopting the high-stakes frame. Once entrenched, these norms can be hard to reverse, as we saw in the flag desecration cases. It also misses valuable opportunities for the courts to carve out spaces for judicial autonomy and boost legitimacy. By shifting a borderline case to the medium-stakes category, the court essentially removes all doubts and diminishes the boundary of the high-stakes category. Take Falun Gong cases as an example. Falun Gong has long been considered by the Party as a forbidden cult. Labeled as a subversive group, China bans it on national security grounds. China’s intolerance for religious sects has been notorious for decades. A high-stakes frame should prevail on this account. On the other hand, Falun Gong followers have always been free to practice in Hong Kong, with many of their demonstrations being formally approved by the local authorities. From a more pragmatic perspective, Falun Gong’s political presence in Hong Kong is rather insignificant, and it is generally regarded to be a benign spiritual or cult group in Hong Kong. A medium-stakes frame can also be convincing.
Taking a calculated risk, the CFA in Yeung May Wan v. HKSAR (2005, 216) protected Falun Gong followers’ freedom of expression and noted that this right protected “views which may be found to be disagreeable or even offensive to others or which may be critical of persons in authority.” The decision was described by the opposition as an “affirmation of [the] basic human rights and fundamental human rights” (A. Lau Reference Lau2005). Similarly, a subsequent challenge in Epoch Group Ltd v. Director of Immigration (2011) against the Department of Immigration’s decision to deny Falun Gong members entry was also successful.
But, of course, not every risk pays off, and the Kwok Wing Hang v. Chief Executive in Council (No 2) (2020) case is a perfect illustration. The case was about the constitutionality of an anti-mask regulation and its enabling statute, which were used to tackle masked protestors and rioters. The laws being challenged had little to do with the Party’s core interests, but the facts of the case were related to the anti-extradition bill protest movement, which was regarded by some as a threat to Chinese sovereignty. The Court of First Instance, with a very well-reasoned judgment, decided against the government. The public was too quick to celebrate: a day after releasing the judgment, representatives of the NPCSC issued a nonbinding statement slamming the court and threatening to remove constitutional review powers from the judges. Footnote 22 The response was undeniably excessive and also unnecessary since there are less damaging ways to express its discontent. The example goes to show the inherent risk in applying a medium-stakes frame to a borderline case.Footnote 23
There is a third option: halfway-house decisions. The logic remains the same: to satisfy conflicting camps. Instead of doing this through different cases, the courts can realize this logic within a single case. In HKSAR v. Wong Chi Fung (2018), Joshua Wong, a prominent student leader at the time, along with other activists, was arrested for public order offenses during the Occupy Central movement. The substance of the case was largely about clarifying certain principles of criminal law and sentencing, but it is clear that there was also a high-stakes angle, given that those charged were high-profile dissidents targeted by China. The CFA adopted a halfway-house approach: the more lenient sentence was reinstated, but the new and harsher sentencing principles will guide future cases. The technique, however, runs the risk of pleasing no one, as evidenced by some of the local community’s responses to this decision (Ramzy Reference Ramzy2018).
Summarizing the Bifurcated Approach
These cases illustrate the bifurcated approach and how it can strengthen the broader community’s perception of the courts while keeping attacks from the regime at bay. To navigate the legitimacy paradox, a hybrid regime court should take advantage of its institutional space to earn the public’s trust by promoting social change and protecting human rights in medium-stakes cases. In clearly high-stakes cases, however, a conservative attitude is preferred to avoid provoking the regime. This does not mean that there needs to be an uncritical acceptance of authoritarian norms. The least the courts can do in high-stakes cases is to mitigate the damaging effects of an authoritarian judgment through judicial reasoning while maintaining a pro-regime outcome. The logic of the bifurcated approach is applicable to borderline cases, but deciding which frame to adopt is a highly contextual exercise.
Using Comparative Jurisprudence
The local government has long promoted Hong Kong as “Asia’s world city.” As a global financial hub that claims to be democratic, Hong Kong has cited “international practice” as a reason to justify controversial decisions and policies in numerous occasions, such as refusing to give reasons for rejecting the visa renewal application of a Financial Times’s Asia news editor who had worked in the city for more than seven years after the editor hosted a talk by a pro-independence activist in 2018 (Griffiths Reference Griffiths2018)Footnote 24 and the 2019 proposal to amend extradition laws that would have allowed the transfer of fugitives from Hong Kong to jurisdictions including China, Taiwan, and Macau (Lee Reference Lee2019). References to international practices intend to deflect critics and free-ride on the reputational capital of other democratic states.
Hong Kong courts use a similar technique but with much more sophistication: citing comparative law. Comparative law here refers to both foreign and international laws. One study shows that 62.6 percent of published cases in Hong Kong have cited comparative law (Ng and Jacobson Reference Ng and Jacobson2017, 218). Around half of all cases cited by the CFA are British authorities, and other sources include Australia, New Zealand, Canada, the United States, the European Court of Human Rights, and other international courts (Young Reference Young2011, 82). Comparative citation is obviously not exclusive to Hong Kong, and similar practices can be observed in constitutional courts around the world in both common and civil law jurisdictions (Groppi and Ponthereau Reference Groppi and Ponthoreau2013). The choice of which countries to cite is sometimes structured by domestic laws or legal traditions (Bobek Reference Bobek2013). Some courts would also refer voluntarily to foreign precedents as “persuasive authority” (Glenn Reference Glenn1987), without a distinct legal basis within their domestic legal orders (Bobek Reference Bobek2013, chap. 2; Hirschl Reference Hirschl, Delaney and Dixon2018).
The following subparts examine the factors enabling the use of comparative jurisprudence in Hong Kong and how the Hong Kong courts have maintained a perceived legitimacy using this technique.
Enabling Factors
There are historical, structural, and sociological factors explaining the use of comparative law in Hong Kong. We shall go through seven of them here.
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1. Constitutional history and path dependency. Hong Kong had been a British colony for over a century, and it is no surprise that legal doctrines in Hong Kong are rooted in English common law traditions. Building on these legal traditions means keeping track of the developments in other commonwealth jurisdictions (Mason Reference Mason2007, 302). The shared pedigree (and language) is a related reason for citing common law authorities such as Canada and Australia (Mak Reference Mak, Andenaes and Fairgrieve2015).
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2. Jurisdiction size matters. Larger jurisdictions with more courts and lawyers produce more case law (Bobek Reference Bobek2013, 41–42). Similar to Ireland, Hong Kong is a small common law jurisdiction with less of its own precedents. When self-referencing is not possible, comparative citation becomes a practical tool in plugging this gap.
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3. Age of jurisdiction. Hong Kong is a young jurisdiction, and it needs to look elsewhere for legal inspiration and legitimation.
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4. Constitutional authorization. Under Articles 39 and 84, the Basic Law explicitly authorizes the use of international law and foreign common law in adjudication.Footnote 25
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5. The identity of Hong Kong. With Article 109 explicitly referring to Hong Kong as an “international financial centre,” Hong Kong’s reputation hinges on international recognition. Comparative law encompasses international and Western norms, and appearing to conform to them through comparative citation assures international audiences. This practice has served the Hong Kong economy well (Mason Reference Mason2007, 302–3).
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6. The legal profession. A significant number of legal professionals, including judges, lawyers, and legal academics, have received their legal education in foreign jurisdictions. Popular destinations for foreign legal education include the United Kingdom, Australia, Canada, and the United States. Lawyers in Hong Kong very often refer to comparative jurisprudence in their submissions. Eminent barristers elsewhere, mostly from the United Kingdom, have also been admitted to practice in Hong Kong and have argued in major constitutional cases. A culture of comparative jurisprudence is self-reinforcing: teachers refer to comparative jurisprudence in legal academies; lawyers argue with comparative law in courts; and judges cite comparative authorities.
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7. Court design invites comparative influences. Overseas judges are allowed to participate in CFA cases, according to Article 5(3) of the Hong Kong Court of Final Appeal Ordinance (1997) and Article 82 of the Basic Law. When deciding substantive appeals to the CFA, five judges hear a case, often with a visiting overseas judge present. Each judge, domestic or not, is given equal weight in their votes. Overseas judges usually come from the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, and Canada. Allowing them to participate is a direct way to import comparative jurisprudence.
Legitimacy Functions of Comparative Citation in Hong Kong
Comparative citation is made possible and common in Hong Kong because of the factors outlined above, but they do not explain the implications of this technique.Footnote 26 Comparative jurisprudence is used to strengthen a court’s reasoning when the standard adopted is consistent with comparable jurisdictions. It has important doctrinal implications to the legal development of Hong Kong. However, we might never know whether a judge is citing comparative law for doctrinal or strategic reasons, and the two types of reasons are not mutually exclusive. I should point out that adopting the insight of comparative law is one thing, explicitly citing it is another. The constitutional court in Taiwan is an example of where judges regularly consider comparative law for guidance and inspiration, even though explicit references to foreign precedents are less than common in the judgments (Law and Chang Reference Law and Chang2011, 558–62). While case citation practices depend on jurisdiction-specific conventions and norms, there is inevitably an element of choice involved. This choice of deciding what comparative law to cite and/or adopt may be indicative of the judges’ intentions. This choice can convey different meanings to its audiences, and these meanings may have legitimacy implications to a court. Doctrinal contributions of comparative law will not be the focus here. I would like to instead discuss its legitimating functions.
Comparative jurisprudence legitimizes controversial decisions. This mode of reasoning signals to the court’s audiences that the decision reflects the wisdom of the crowd. A decision that relies on comparative jurisprudence purports to be the result of a combination of legal reasoning and the following of a broader consensus. It effectively insulates judges from the outcomes and places judges at a safe distance from the controversies that might follow. The use of comparative law is also a value-neutral technique. It can be tailored to coincide with a liberal or authoritarian outcome and consequently allows courts to deflect critics from both the pro- and anti-regime camps. For example, deciding not to intervene with the legislature’s internal proceedings, the CFA in Leung Kwok Hung v. President of the Legislative Council (No 1) (2014) started by noting that the common law principle of nonintervention originated from the British parliamentary system. This move allows the court to dive into the world of commonwealth jurisprudence. Cases from Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the Privy Council were then cited to back its position. The Israeli jurisprudence referred to by the appellant was rejected, one of the reasons being that there are important differences in legal traditions. Putting it differently, the CFA is saying that the outcome reflects the consensus of the common law world.
Some level of arbitrariness in the use of comparative law is inevitable. It may be conscious or unconscious. Former CFA nonpermanent judge Anthony Mason admits that, given the “sheer magnitude of modern comparative law material,” judges cannot avoid adopting a “selective approach” (Mason Reference Mason2007, 306). Comparative jurisprudence is determined by its relevance, but there can be competing lines of comparative jurisprudence that are relevant. To be clear, again, that is not to suggest that the use of comparative law must be for strategic reasons, but this technique involves a degree of malleability. It is frequently unclear as to what the “best” comparative position is or whether this position even exists. The nature of comparative jurisprudence opens up another domain for the judges to exercise his or her legal as well as moral and prudential judgments. As Ran Hirschl (Reference Hirschl2014, 552) puts it, comparative citation can be “at least as much a political phenomenon as it is a juridical one.”
Looking at Leung Kwok Hung (2014), again, the argument that Israeli jurisprudence is at odds with common law principles may be defensible, but there are also normative problems when using jurisprudence from democratic common law countries. For one, New Zealand and the United Kingdom are parliamentary sovereignties without a written constitution, but the Basic Law—the written de facto Constitution—is supreme in Hong Kong. Also, unlike the countries cited, Hong Kong is nondemocratic. Separation-of-powers principles can be highly contextual in application and depend on how elections, the legislature, and constitutional rules are designed. Reasonable arguments exist as to whether the jurisprudence adopted by the CFA in fact fits the domestic context. Selective engagement with comparative authorities is possible because the growing market of comparative sources offers countless routes for the courts to choose from (Hirschl Reference Hirschl, Delaney and Dixon2018, 405). It is not difficult for judges to find comparative authorities to support their intended conclusion.
Furthermore, a norm of comparative citation can downplay the impression of using comparative law purely for instrumental reasons. When almost every judgment contains some comparative authority, it would be challenging for critics to distinguish between principled and unprincipled uses of comparative law. This offers more institutional cover to the judiciary to shield off allegations that might damage its reputation. This tool is strengthened by citing authorities of reputable courts. The judges’ decision as to which jurisdictions are relevant reflects “the set of values they wish their country to be associated with and the “right” club of nations they prefer their country to belong to” (Hirschl Reference Hirschl2014, 552). In Uganda and other transitional or weak democracies, Johanna Kalb (Reference Kalb2013) argues that referring to jurisprudence from liberal democracies and international courts can be a legitimizing strategy by signaling to the world their commitment to rule of law and other democratic ideals. The commonly cited authorities in Hong Kong are from liberal democracies and international courts, which are the “canonical” group of courts (Hirschl Reference Hirschl2014). Given the system’s common law roots, Hong Kong lawyers and legal scholars tend to assume, not without good reasons, that Chinese law has minimal relevance in Hong Kong.Footnote 27 Some Chinese scholars, including ex-legal chief of the Chinese Liaison Office Wang Zhenmin, however, have argued that the Constitution of the People’s Republic of China has operating force in Hong Kong (Wang and Sun Reference Wang and Sun2014). The extent to which Chinese laws should apply in Hong Kong is beyond the scope of this article, but this debate, again, goes to show that deciding whether or not to cite Chinese law involves a degree of judicial choice.Footnote 28 The reality remains that Chinese laws were only referenced in a handful of Hong Kong cases, usually for laying out the background of a case or law instead of having any controlling force (see Wang and Sun Reference Wang and Sun2014). This general pattern indicates in part the intention of the Hong Kong judiciary to follow the consensus of the West and to ideologically distinguish themselves from China.
And, indeed, it seems that the judiciary has successfully joined the “elite club.” Hong Kong judges are often invited to countries like the United Kingdom and Australia to give lectures. Their judgments have been featured in courts all around the world, including England and Wales, Scotland, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Malaysia, Singapore, the Eastern Caribbean territories, the Cayman Islands, Trinidad and Tobago, the Fiji Islands, Tonga, and Taiwan (Lo Reference Lo, Young and Ghai2014a). Pui Yin Lo’s (Reference Lo, Young and Ghai2014a) study tracks how Hong Kong judgments have been cited by textbooks outside Hong Kong and have made important contributions to the jurisprudence of the common law world. This reciprocity can be read as foreign jurisdictions’ recognition of the Hong Kong judiciary’s status. Foreign scholars have explicitly likened the Hong Kong courts to those in Canada, Australia, and the United Kingdom in terms of the quality of judgments (Hor Reference Hor2007, 79). CFA judge Joseph Fok (Reference Fok2017, 10) explained that the institutionalization of overseas judges is to “provide a valuable external affirmation of the health of the rule of law in Hong Kong and the independence both of the Court and the Hong Kong Judiciary.” Similarly, a culture of referring to the judgments of canonical courts can be a way to establish reputational links with their respectable counterparts, which in turn would offer a stable source of legitimacy to Hong Kong courts (Law Reference Law2015, 1009).
Before I conclude this part, one might ask: since not all of the courts’ audiences are legally trained, does comparative citation matter at all? An argument along this line might be that lay people are simply unaware of the decision at all or do not understand its contents. As a result, it would be redundant to talk about the use of comparative jurisprudence as mode of reasoning having any legitimizing effects. Some of the intended audiences, such as government officials, international business corporations, and political parties have their own teams of lawyers. These audiences understand the importance of the reputational association of courts. Convincing the lawyers that a decision is legitimate, in part because of the comparative law cited, is an indirect way of convincing the lawyers’ clients—that is, the intended audiences. Similarly, the legitimizing effects of the decisions can travel through “sophisticated intermediaries” to broader audiences (Law Reference Law2008, 751). These intermediaries, such as newspaper columnists, commentators, bloggers, and international organizations, not only help to increase the visibility of important cases, but they also explain to the public the legal reasoning of judgments, sometimes including references to the comparative materials cited.Footnote 29 So, again, convincing these intermediaries allows the legitimizing effects to travel to common individuals.
Another argument might be that all that people care about is the favorability of an outcome. The mode of legal reasoning only matters to lawyers, some argue. This is an overly simplistic way of understanding the relationship between legal reasoning and social legitimacy. Social psychology research has confirmed the relevance of judicial reasoning in shaping lay people’s assessment of a decision. Investigating whether judicial reasoning promotes laymen’s acceptability of a decision, Dan Simon and Nicholas Scurich (Reference Simon and Scurich2011) found that “[laymen] were indifferent towards the modes of reasoning when they agreed with the outcome of the judges’ decision, but were differentially sensitive to the judicial reasoning when the judge’s decision frustrated their preferred outcome.” The mode of reasoning particularly matters when one does not agree with the outcome. Studies have also found that the mode of reasoning need not be sophisticated to convince a layperson (see Weisberg et al. Reference Weisberg2008; Simon and Scurich Reference Simon and Scurich2011). Empirical research will be needed to examine more closely the precise cognitive effects of comparative citation on individuals with varying levels of legal sophistication, but to say that judicial reasoning is irrelevant and social legitimacy is determined only by the favorability of an outcome must be false.
Commitment to Procedural Justice
Sociological theories posit that procedures play an important role in shaping litigants and the general public’s perceived legitimacy of judicial institutions. Following Tom Tyler’s (Reference Tyler1990) procedural justice theory, people create expectations about how they will be treated within a legal system. People’s perception of a legal system is influenced by the extent to which procedural rights and norms are fulfilled during the litigation. Studies indicate that people are more likely to regard a legal system as legitimate when they feel that the process is impartial, neutral, trustworthy, transparent, accommodating, and respectful (see Tyler Reference Tyler2003, Reference Tyler2006). The qualities suggested are ideals expected of a legal process, and a procedurally just system matches these expectations. Fair rules alone do not determine people’s assessments. The administration and interpretation of procedural rules, which are crucial duties of a court, also shape the participatory experiences of the people. People’s view of a court is based on whether they feel that they are being treated fairly during the process. A court that is openly accessible and applies procedures in an unbiased manner, for instance, will more likely improve the people’s evaluation of the court’s legitimacy. It follows that a court can gain perceived legitimacy when its audiences regard it as procedurally fair.
How does this procedural justice theory fare in Hong Kong? Kevin Cheng’s (Reference Cheng2018) empirical study explicitly tests this question. Hong Kong’s laws are transplanted from the British common law system. There is a question of whether procedural justice can have legitimizing effects when the legal system, transplanted from a foreign jurisdiction, may not reflect the values of the population. His study nonetheless confirms the relevance of the theory and finds that procedural justice does bolster the legitimacy of the Hong Kong courts. This is an important finding for our purposes here and an encouraging piece of news for courts operating in polarized political climates. Despite the fact that political stakeholders will very often disagree with each other about substantive matters, it is possible for adversaries to agree on the importance of procedural justice and the procedural qualities of the judiciary.
A straightforward way of showing procedural justice is to rely on procedural grounds and avoid controversial substantive arguments to resolve disputes, as in the case of Chow Ting.Footnote 30 While effective, this approach is dependent on the existence of a procedural fairness ground, which is not always present. There are also two other less intuitive ways to show a commitment to procedural justice that I would like to explore here: a generous interpretation of standing rules and a fair use of docket control power. Both relate to how courts exercise their discretion in relation to procedural means to rejecting cases.
Standing Rules
To establish standing in judicial review in Hong Kong, one must demonstrate “sufficient interest” in the disputed matter. Courts generally give this requirement a broad interpretation: an applicant need not necessarily be the aggrieved person directly affected by the policy or decision to qualify for standing, and in the absence of an obvious or direct interest, courts have also granted standing when the proper context arises (Kong Reference Kong2009, 341). There is no apparent bias in terms of accessibility to the courts, as evidenced by the discussion in the previous parts. The government, regime-supporters, and, most importantly, the opposition have all successfully petitioned to the courts regularly.
One might argue that this example has nothing to do with my audience-based theory of legitimacy because judges decide on standing questions based on law instead of political considerations. I do not disagree that the standing tests based on merits or the sufficiency of interests have some controlling effects on the judges. Concepts like merits and interests, however, are indeterminate, and the nature of these legal tests opens considerable space for judicial discretion. A study in the United States, for instance, found that Republican circuit court judges, compared to their Democratic peers, were much more likely to deny environmentalists’ petitions, even though well-established standing doctrines exist there as well (Pierce Reference Pierce1999). These malleable doctrines are susceptible to manipulation for strategic gains, especially when courts are under pressure in authoritarian contexts. The fact that no sign of abuse is detected in Hong Kong should be celebrated. Hong Kong judges have made sure that the legal system is accommodating and provides sufficient opportunities for different political stakeholders to participate. Adherence to these procedural ideals contributes to the judiciary’s procedurally fair image.
The CFA’s Docket Control Power
A second example relates to the CFA’s docket control power. A convenient way to dispose of appeals at the CFA level is the Rule 7 procedure. Under Rule 7 of the Hong Kong Court of Final Appeal Rules (1997, sub. leg. A), the CFA can screen out hopeless or frivolous cases without an oral hearing. Rule 7 decisions are normally unpublicized. The Rule 7 procedure is ripe for abuse given its expediency, lack of apparent reasoning, and unpublicized nature. Operating in a constrained political setting, it would be rationale to use the Rule 7 procedure to avoid engaging with political hot potatoes. Surprisingly though, although more than half of the cases appealed are rejected using the Rule 7 procedure, politically salient cases almost always make it through to the final appeal stages, as we saw previously (Young and Da Roza Reference Young, Da Roza, Young and Ghai2013, 151). This suggests that the CFA uses the Rule 7 procedure as it was originally intended—that is, to only reject cases that lack any merits efficiently. This is another example of the CFA’s commitment to procedural justice.
On top of the Rule 7 stage, the appellant must also seek leave in order to appeal to the CFA. The granting of leave is discretionary. There are politically salient cases—such as the flag-burning case decided during the Occupy Central movement (HKSAR v. Koo Sze Yiu [2014]) and the oath-taking case relating to two pro-independence members-elect (Yau Wai Ching v Chief Executive of HKSAR [2017])—where even though the appellants were not dismissed by the Rule 7 procedure, they failed to proceed to the substantive appeal stage since they were denied leave. A leave dismissal does not share the same strategic gains of dismissing a case by the Rule 7 procedure. Unlike Rule 7 decisions, leave decisions are publicized with legal reasoning. Leave dismissals can sometimes be as long as substantive appeal judgments. Why, then, would the CFA not use the Rule 7 procedure for dismissing unwanted politically charged cases? This is perhaps because the law still meaningfully regulates judicial behavior. Whether they should pass the leave test is another matter with more room for debate, but Rule 7 imposes a very low threshold. Those cases clearly have sufficient legal merits and/or are of public importance to pass the Rule 7 procedure. The complexity and salience of those cases also demand public justifications. The court would violate the principle of transparency if it abuses the Rule 7 procedure.
Having said that, denying a case at leave stage can perhaps be a modest technique to limit an unwanted case’s precedential value. In theory, a leave decision should be given less weight than a substantive decision because cases that reach the substantive stage are argued more extensively, and only the substantive decisions are decided by the full CFA bench of five members.Footnote 31 Final courts overrule themselves all the time, but all things being constant, overruling a decision by a leave appeal committee is less illegitimate than overruling the full court’s own decision. Even though lower courts seem to treat leave decisions as binding, the legal points established by a leave dismissal are in theory less entrenched. This offers an opportunity for the CFA to reverse its own position when a sufficiently similar fact pattern shows up again at the right time.
Authoritarian Playing by the Rules?
An important question remains: why would a hybrid regime incumbent play by the rules when the procedures are placing brakes on the regime’s arbitrariness and expediency? Procedural principles such as generality, prospectivity, consistency, and publicity are considered central to the rule of law (Fuller Reference Fuller1964). Appearing in many ways to be the antithesis of authoritarianism, a fair application of legal procedures shackles the authoritarian regime. As Philippe Nonet and Philip Selznick (Reference Nonet and Selznick2005, 66) explain, “[t]he taming of repression begins with the growth of commitment to governance by rules; … procedure, in turn, is the main visible guarantee of an even-handed application of rules.” The court’s commitment to procedural justice also opens up the possibility for dissidents to voice preferences and challenge existing policies (Ginsburg Reference Ginsburg, Ginsburg and Moustafa2008, 65). With limited political participatory rights in nondemocratic regimes, procedural rights can be an imperfect substitution. The opposition can use the legal process to raise public awareness and promote public discourse about important topics (Dotan and Hofnung Reference Dotan and Hofnung2005), which in turn might become focal points for public mobilization against the regime (Law Reference Law2008).
This hypothesis is supported by the trend of legal mobilization in Hong Kong. The judiciary is perceived as an avenue by dissenters to judicialize politics and push for policy and democratic changes (Tam Reference Tam2012). It is used as a forum to express discontent and bring controversial issues to light. Important human right doctrines have been developed as a result. Top judges have showed sympathy to this trend: “In Hong Kong where democracy still has a long way to evolve,” citing the dicta of Designing Hong Kong Ltd v. Town Planning Board (2018, 271), “persons might well resort to public interest litigation in circumstances under which persons in evolved democracies would resort to the political process instead.” Former Chief Justice Andrew Li also noted that, “under the rule of law, convenience and justice are sometimes not on speaking terms” (G. Cheung Reference Cheung2015).
While this may seem counterintuitive, perhaps the reason for the incumbent’s toleration of procedural justice is that it can also profit from a court or legal system that is perceived as fair, transparent, and open. The regime derives reputational and economic gains by superficially maintaining the rule of law. An open judiciary can sometimes be a nuisance to the incumbent, but an open judiciary helps stabilize governance and sideline opposition when efforts to protest or revolt are redirected to a less threatening judiciary. Using legal reasoning as a method of rationalization, courts can absorb the shock of judicialized political issues. Preserving the appearance of contestation also provides democratic legitimacy to the regime.
Additionally, one should not assume that procedural justice necessarily contradicts with an authoritarian outcome. Procedures constrain arbitrary power but they do not always guarantee substantive limitations on authoritarianism. The courts’ treatment of high-stakes cases is an exemplar of this point. Almost like an implicit arrangement, judges often know where to draw the line, and their autonomy is limited to the interpretation of legal procedures and deciding medium- or lower-stakes cases. This implicit arrangement brings to mind the “historic bargain” described by Nonet and Selznick (Reference Nonet and Selznick2005, 58), where “[l]egal institutions purchase procedural autonomy at the price of substantive subordination.” In the most ideal case, a triple-win situation can be created by the court’s commitment to procedural justice: the people and opposition retain an openly accessible channel to challenge the incumbent in some important policy areas, the incumbent maintains an image of competitiveness without being subjected to any real and immediate threats that would undermine its fundamental control, and the courts gain social legitimacy from the satisfaction of these two opposing groups.
This also does not mean the regime always needs to hold back. For the regime, this is a balancing exercise. Authoritarians are especially myopic, risk averse, and conservative when redlines are crossed. Potential gains derived from a procedurally fair system remain secondary to the regime’s need to preserve its core interests. When the regime does not even trust its courts to implement its will, it may decide to override the judiciary and sacrifice the appearance of procedural justice (and judicial autonomy) for an immediate assertion of power. Indeed, while the local and national authorities generally understood the value of self-restraint in the past, the 2016 Interpretation was an example where the NPCSC defied convention to interrupt the adjudicative process and force its preferences.Footnote 32 A more chilling procedural violation arose from the substance of the 2016 Interpretation. Many rightly argue that the text of the constitutional provision in question—Article 104—cannot bear the interpreted meaning (see Lo Reference Lo2018; J. Chan Reference Chan2019). According to the text of Article 104 of the Basic Law, the constitutional requirements specified within only apply to those “[w]hen assuming office,” but the 2016 Interpretation interpreted these requirements to be preconditions for “standing for election” as well. The 2016 Interpretation is anti-democratic as it practically bypassed legislative and constitutional amendment procedures. It is also an overreaction as there are more optimal ways to secure its preference without causing unnecessary damage to the judiciary.Footnote 33 Nevertheless, the example reminds us that the regime is sometimes willing to go to great lengths to make a statement and to get what it wants in clearly high-stakes cases, even if this means putting the entire legal order in jeopardy.
CONCLUSION
Using an audience-based theory to conceptualize perceived legitimacy, this article has examined a paradox faced by hybrid regime courts. That is, how can these courts manage the conflicting expectations of political actors who contribute to judicial legitimacy? A cowardly court that appeases the incumbent will avoid political backlash but lose the trust of the people. Protecting the rights of the people and promoting liberal values will win the applause of the majority, but not knowing when to shrink from danger might lead to the eventual demise of the court.
This article examined the case study of Hong Kong to suggest three possible ways to tackle the legitimacy paradox. Despite operating under nondemocratic political conditions as well as Chinese authoritarian influences, the Hong Kong judiciary has established itself as a very reputable institution, and the courts have been largely successful in meeting the expectations of the opposing camps, at least prior to the events in 2019. A bifurcated approach to judicial decision making functions to satisfy opposing camps in different strands of politically salient cases. The Hong Kong courts have steered clear of sanctions in clearly high-stakes cases by adopting a deferential attitude. Outside these cases, the courts have boosted public support by defending human rights, bringing about social change and, at times, defying the authoritarian will. Resembling other “dual-use institutions,” the Hong Kong courts “[have facilitated] simultaneously some state functions while paradoxically [opening] new avenues for activists to challenge regime policy” (Moustafa Reference Moustafa2007, 20). The Hong Kong courts have also used comparative jurisprudence to deflect accusations of favoritism and borrow legitimacy from reputable courts. Finally, their commitment to procedural justice has enhanced social legitimacy by improving the participatory experience of litigants and maintaining the courts’ impartial image. These tools are not limited to hybrid regimes, and courts in other types of regimes may also find them useful. This case study serves to highlight the possibilities for future research that might test the utility of these tools in a broader range of jurisdictions and regime-types.
Judicial Studies in Hybrid Regimes
More generally, the article contributes to the emerging field of judicial studies in hybrid regimes. The study of judicial politics in nondemocratic regimes has gained much momentum in the recent decade: aside from learning about the authoritarian regime’s logic for institutionalizing courts (Moustafa Reference Moustafa2007; Moustafa and Ginsburg Reference Ginsburg, Ginsburg and Moustafa2008), we see that courts in nondemocratic contexts can develop judicial powers or even independence under politically unstable conditions (Helmke Reference Helmke2005) as well as open up important political opportunities for opposition challenge (Tam Reference Tam2012), though, more often than not, the opposition’s attempts are short-lived, resulting in backlashes that are to the detriment of the judiciary’s institutional health (Moustafa Reference Moustafa2007; Tezcür Reference Tezcür2009; Sanchez Urribarri Reference Sanchez Urribarri2011). Importantly, it is perhaps time for comparative constitutional scholars to follow suit and conceptually distinguish between the different types of nondemocratic regimes, especially if we agree that comparative constitutional studies are conditioned partly by regime-type politics. Comparative political scientists have spent decades studying different aspects of hybrid regimes, as exemplified by the abundance of hybrid regime concepts, including, but not limited to, competitive authoritarianism (Levitsky and Way Reference Levitsky and Way2011), electoral authoritarianism (Schedler Reference Schedler2013), semi-democracy (Diamond Reference Diamond2002), and semi-authoritarianism (Ottaway Reference Ottaway2003). Better late than never, comparative constitutional scholars have begun to catch up. For instance, Alexei Trochev and Rachel Ellet (Reference Trochev and Ellet2014) show how judges in some hybrid regimes can go off-bench and rely on their social networks to resist blatant interferences and support judicial autonomy. Drawing on the electoral logic of judicial independence (Ramseyer Reference Ramseyer1994), Brad Epperly’s (Reference Epperly2016) large-n study finds that courts in hybrid regimes tend to be more autonomous than those in purely authoritarian regimes. Noting that strong constitutional courts are possible in hybrid regimes, Eric Ip (Reference Ip2019) proposes the political transaction cost theory to explain the conditions under which hybrid regime constitutional courts are more likely to develop judicial powers. This case study adds to the nascent field by identifying a legitimacy paradox that is accentuated by the self-contradicting and schizophrenic nature of a hybrid regime as well as the possible tools to address it.
Furthermore, works on nondemocratic judicial politics tend to adopt an instrumental view of courts and study them from a regime perspective (see, for example, Trochev Reference Trochev2004; Moustafa Reference Moustafa2007). This article takes a different, but compatible, approach and explores the topic from the courts’ angle. Focusing too much on a regime perspective might sometimes overstate the degree of control nondemocratic governments have over courts and blind us from the potentially more assertive role courts can play. Adopting a court perspective allows us to think of practical ways for courts to empower themselves. The pervasive use of judicial strategies has been stressed in democracies (Delaney Reference Delaney2016; Dixon and Issacharoff Reference Dixon and Issacharoff2016), and the narrower political space afforded by hybrid regime politics only underscores the importance of using judicial strategies creatively to prop up legitimacy.
The Future of Hong Kong Courts?
In the summer of 2019, we witnessed the most divisive events in Hong Kong since the handover. What started out as an anti-extradition bill protest morphed into the largest civil unrest in Hong Kong. For more than half a year, violent conflicts between the police and protestors swept across the city, resulting in many people being injured.Footnote 34 As of early January 2020, more than seven thousand people had been arrested for crimes related to the unrest (M. Cheung Reference Cheung2020). The role of the law throughout the events has been questioned extensively. The government has resorted to a legalistic rule-of-law rhetoric to justify its hardline approach. In the meantime, allegations of arbitrary arrests and police brutality have led many to wonder whether the law has been reduced to a tool for oppression.
The real concern here is that the crisis and its repercussions are amplifying the severity of the legitimacy paradox. Many have accused the courts, especially the lower courts, of actively cooperating with the regime. Some judges have been seen as favoring the prosecution, issuing overly harsh sentences against protestors and failing to recognize their motivations (see Loud Reference Loud2020). A district judge was barred from sitting in protest-related cases after expressing sympathy for a defendant who stabbed protest supporters and likening the protest movement to the Cultural Revolution and terrorism in his judgment (B. Wong Reference Wong2020). Courts were subjected to arson attacks and graffiti appeared with slogans such as the “rule of law is dead.” Public opinion of the judiciary suffered an unprecedented decline since the second half of 2019, and there are currently no signs of recovery (Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute 2020).Footnote 35 As of April 2020, the judiciary is experiencing an all-time low public opinion.Footnote 36
Hong Kong courts are also faced with an increasingly intolerant Beijing and pro-regime camp. The courts were criticized by some for not doing enough to uphold public order (Li Reference Li2019). With new leaders holding office in the Chinese Liaison Office and Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office (two Chinese agencies that deal with Hong Kong affairs) (O’Neill Reference O’Neill2020), the central authorities have been evidently more vocal, hawkish, and interventionist in relation to Hong Kong constitutional affairs and local governance (Wall Street Journal 2020), to a point where many are questioning if there is any meaningful room for autonomy left in Hong Kong (J. Chan Reference Chan2020). Beijing has not shied away from commenting on the anti-mask decisions (Xinhua Net 2020). A very disturbing report by Reuters detailed “Beijing’s effort to hobble the judiciary” and how senior judges in Hong Kong are “in a fight for [the judiciary’s] survival” (Torode and Pomfret Reference Torode and Pomfret2020).Footnote 37
For a while in the first few months of 2020, the protests had subsided as a result of the COVID pandemic. The unrest immediately resurfaced, however, as soon as the pandemic was believed to be under control in Hong Kong. There is little hope for alleviation as none of the fundamental tensions have ever been truly addressed. The opposing camps will likely pile on the pressure on the courts, and the intensity of the disagreements may leave very little room for judicial maneuvering. At this critical juncture, it is unclear what the future holds for the courts or even for Hong Kong as a hybrid regime. The NPC approved a resolution to impose national security laws on Hong Kong on May 28, 2020. While the precise content of the law is unknown at the time of writing, the resolution would effectively allow Mainland Chinese national security laws to be applied without the approval of the local legislature and national security agencies to operate in Hong Kong. The line between Hong Kong’s and China’s legal systems might be blurred, and many are worried that this may mark “the end of Hong Kong” as we know it (L. Yang Reference Yang2020). Beijing’s tightened control over Hong Kong reflects its increasing dissatisfaction with, and distrust of, the local government (N. Wong Reference Wong2020), including the judiciary. There are already reports that “foreign” judges would not be allowed to sit in national security cases under the new proposal (Yew Reference Yew2020).Footnote 38 The legitimacy paradox would dissolve itself if the idea of certain Chinese officials of removing constitutional review powers from the Hong Kong courts was to be seriously entertained. There is, however, no good reason why China should entertain the idea: the judiciary has been the pillar of Hong Kong’s success, and crippling the courts will have unimaginable consequences on the already strained polity as well as the economy.
The change in political climate will shift the boundaries of the high- and medium-stakes categories. A polarizing polity expands the category of high-stakes cases; in turn, more liberal medium-stakes decisions are necessary to offset the reputational loss suffered in high-stakes decisions. Other non-outcome-driven techniques such as the creative application of legal reasoningFootnote 39 and the careful management of their dockets will also be especially helpful in managing the political actors’ expectations and providing additional cover to the courts.
Despite facing threats from all fronts, the past record of the judges, who are no strangers to political turmoil, is still a reason to remain cautiously optimistic about the outlook of the courts’ institutional security and social legitimacy. Significantly, the current diminishing of perceived legitimacy also does not undermine the utility of the tools suggested. Many professional, creative, and astute judges in Hong Kong have done an incredible job of maintaining the judiciary’s legitimacy in the past. Their success should not be taken for granted. Using the metaphor of ships sailing in the high seas to capture the interacting factors influencing judicial roles, Diana Kapiszewski, Gordon Silverstein, and Robert Kagan (Reference Kapiszewski, Silverstein, Kagan, Kapiszewski, Silverstein and Kagan2013, 21), write that “[s]killful captains and officers can sometimes maneuver even less-stable judicial ships through squalls of resistance.” Even when favorable political conditions are lacking, visionary judges with an armory stacked full of legal tools may possibly lead the courts across turbulent waters. The crises ahead only further underline the importance of an innovative use of the law and judicial tools. The broader aim here is to instill optimism in politically suffocating environments and inspire constrained judges to creatively preserve and expand their judicial role.