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Large-deviation results for triangular arrays of semiexponential random variables

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 February 2022

Thierry Klein*
Affiliation:
Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; ENAC
Agnès Lagnoux*
Affiliation:
Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; UT2J
Pierre Petit*
Affiliation:
Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; UT3
*
*Postal address: Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; UMR5219. Université de Toulouse; ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l’Aviation Civile, Université de Toulouse, France. Email: thierry.klein@math.univ-toulouse.fr
**Postal address: Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; UMR5219. Université de Toulouse; CNRS. UT2J, F-31058 Toulouse, France. Email: lagnoux@univ-tlse2.fr
***Postal address: Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse; UMR5219. Université de Toulouse; CNRS. UT3, F-31062 Toulouse, France. Email: pierre.petit@math.univ-toulouse.fr
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Abstract

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum $S_n=X_1+\dots+X_n$ of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when $X_1$ is not exponentially integrable. For instance, Nagaev (1969a, 1969b) formulated exact asymptotics results for $\mathbb{P}(S_n>x_n)$ with $x_n\to \infty$ when $X_1$ has a semiexponential distribution. In the same setting, Brosset et al. (2020) derived deviation results at logarithmic scale with shorter proofs relying on classical tools of large-deviation theory and making the rate function at the transition explicit. In this paper we exhibit the same asymptotic behavior for triangular arrays of semiexponentially distributed random variables.

Information

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Applied Probability Trust
Figure 0

Figure 1. Representation of the rate functions. Here, $q=1$, $\sigma^2=2$, $\varepsilon =1/2$, and $c=1$. Left: Gaussian range. The typical event corresponds to the case where all the random variables are small but their sum has a Gaussian contribution. Center: Maximal jump range. The typical event corresponds to the case where one random variable contributes to the total sum ($N_n^\alpha y$), regardless of the others. We recover the random variable tail. Right: Truncated maximal jump range. The typical event corresponds to the case where $N_n^{\alpha-\beta}y/c$ variables take the saturation value $N_n^\beta c$, regardless of the others.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Representation of the rate functions. Here, $q=1$, $\sigma^2=1$, $\varepsilon =1/2$, and $c=1$. Left: Transition 1. The typical event corresponds to the case where one random variable is large ($N_n^\alpha (1-t(y)) y$) and the sum of the others has a Gaussian contribution (two competing terms). Center: Transition 2. The typical event corresponds to the case where $\left\lfloor {y/c} \right\rfloor$ random variables take the saturation value $N_n^\beta c$ and one completes to get the total sum. Right: Transition 3. The typical event corresponds to the case where some random variables (a number of order $N_n^{1-\beta(1+\varepsilon)}$) take the saturation value $N_n^\beta c$, and the sum of the others has a Gaussian contribution (two competing terms).

Figure 2

Figure 3. Representation of the rate functions. Here, $q=1$, $\sigma^2=1$, and $\varepsilon =1/2$ (so $c_0=1$). Left: Transition 1, for $c \,\leqslant\, c_0$ (here, $c=0.7$). The typical event corresponds to the case where $k_3(c, y)$ variables take the saturation value $N^\beta c$, and the sum of the others has a Gaussian contribution. Right: Transition 1, for $c > c_0$ (here, $c=2$). The typical event corresponds to the case where $k_2(c, y)$ variables take the saturation value $N^\beta c$, one is also large $\big(N_n^\beta (1-t(y-k_2(c, y)c) )(y-k_2(c, y)c)\big)$, and the sum of the others has a Gaussian contribution.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Speed and rate function diagram.