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A Bayesian Approach to Andean Faunal Assemblages

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 June 2019

Jo Osborn*
Affiliation:
Museum of Anthropological Archaeology, University of Michigan, 3010 School of Education Building, 610 E. University Avenue, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
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Abstract

Faunal assemblages offer rich data for exploring domestication, subsistence, ritual practice, and political economy. Issues of equifinality, however, frequently complicate interpretations because different agents and processes may create similar archaeological signatures. Analysts are often forced to make interpretations based on qualitative observations, which can be difficult to justify or replicate. I present an alternative method for classifying Andean assemblages by using ethnographic, ethnohistoric, and archaeological data to construct a Bayesian network model. The model is assessed using specifically constructed test datasets and archaeological case studies. Bayesian models can lead to explicit and quantifiable probabilistic interpretations of faunal assemblages.

Los conjuntos óseos faunísticos constituyen una fuente importante de datos que permite explorar temas tan diversos como domesticación, subsistencia, prácticas rituales y economía política. Sin embargo, existen problemas de equifinalidad que pueden dificultar las interpretaciones de los conjuntos, ya que diferentes agentes y procesos pueden generar resultados arqueológicos similares. Los zooarqueólogos frecuentemente se ven obligados a hacer interpretaciones basadas en observaciones cualitativas, que pueden ser difíciles de justificar o reproducir. Este artículo presenta un método alternativo para clasificar los conjuntos faunísticos andinos mediante el uso de datos etnográficos, etnohistóricos y arqueológicos para construir un modelo bayesiano. El modelo se evalúa utilizando conjuntos de datos de prueba construidos específicamente y de estudios arqueológicos. El uso de modelos bayesianos puede llevar a interpretaciones probabilísticas explícitas y cuantificables sobre conjuntos zooarqueológicos.

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Type
Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2019 by the Society for American Archaeology 
Figure 0

Figure 1. Network nodes for assemblage type and articulation with no observations supplied.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Network nodes for assemblage type and articulation with the observed articulation state set to “extensive disarticulation.” The assemblage type probabilities changed to reflect this observation.

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Figure 3. The completed model in Netica, showing the probability of each variable state if the assemblage resulted from a feast.

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Figure 4. The completed model in Netica, showing the probability of each variable state if the assemblage resulted from quotidian activities.

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Figure 5. The completed model in Netica, showing the probability of each variable state if the assemblage resulted from sacrifice.

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Figure 6. Model results reflecting the observation that the assemblage exhibited unspecified thermal modification.

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Figure 7. Case 2, a herding household midden, with the expected archaeological observations selected.

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Table 1. Expected Archaeological Signatures of the Hypothetical Cases and the Resulting Probabilities.

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Table 2. Findings from Archaeological Faunal Assemblages and the Resulting Probabilities.

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Table S1

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Table S2

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Table S3

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