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Selmer stability in families of congruent Galois representations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 March 2026

ANWESH RAY*
Affiliation:
Chennai Mathematical Institute, H1, SIPCOT IT Park, Kelambakkam, Siruseri, Tamil Nadu 603103, India. e-mail: anwesh@cmi.ac.in
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Abstract

In this paper, we study the variation of Selmer groups in families of modular Galois representations that are congruent modulo a fixed prime $p \geq 5$. Motivated by analogies with Goldfeld’s conjecture on ranks in quadratic twist families of elliptic curves, we investigate the stability of Selmer groups defined over $\mathbb{Q}$ via Greenberg’s local conditions under congruences of residual Galois representations. Let X be a positive real number. Fix a residual representation $\bar{\rho}$ and a corresponding modular form f of weight 2 and optimal level. We count the number of level-raising modular forms g of weight 2 that are congruent to f modulo p, with level $N_g\leq X$, such that the p-rank of the Selmer groups of g equals that of f. Under some mild assumptions on $\bar{\rho}$, we prove that this count grows at least as fast as $X (\log X)^{\alpha - 1}$ as $X \to \infty$, for an explicit constant $\alpha \gt 0$. The main result is a partial generalisation of theorems of Ono and Skinner on rank-zero quadratic twists to the setting of modular forms and Selmer groups.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Cambridge Philosophical Society