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Chinese healthy diet and cardiometabolic multimorbidity risks: a prospective cohort study from the China Health and Nutrition Survey

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 September 2025

Xiaofan Zhang
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Huijun Wang
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yuna He
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Jiguo Zhang
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Xiaofang Jia
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Feifei Huang
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yifei Ouyang
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Bing Zhang
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Xiong Xiao
Affiliation:
West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People’s Republic of China
Qiqi Wang
Affiliation:
Office of Epidemiology, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Ning Zhang
Affiliation:
West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People’s Republic of China
Hongmei Zhang
Affiliation:
West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People’s Republic of China
Fangxu Guan
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yanli Wei
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Yuan Zhang
Affiliation:
West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People’s Republic of China
Xing Zhao
Affiliation:
West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, People’s Republic of China
Chang Su*
Affiliation:
National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China Key Laboratory of Public Nutrition and Health, National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
*
Corresponding author: Chang Su; Email: suchang@ninh.chinacdc.cn
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Abstract

To explore the longitudinal associations between a Chinese healthy diet and the progression of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) development among Chinese adults. A prospective analysis was conducted utilising data from 18 720 participants in the China Health and Nutrition Survey, spanning from 1997 to 2018. Dietary data were collected by three consecutive 24-h dietary recalls combined with the weighing method. A Chinese healthy diet score was developed by assigning scores to various food components. CMM was defined as the coexistence of two or more cardiometabolic diseases (CMD), including myocardial infarction, stroke and type 2 diabetes, diagnosed through blood indicators and clinical diagnosis. We employed a multistate model to examine the associations between the Chinese healthy diet and the longitudinal progression from being free of CMD to first CMD and then to CMM. Quantile G-computation was utilised to evaluate the relative contribution of each food component. Over a median follow-up period of 7·3 years, 2214 (11·8 %) participants developed first CMD, and 156 (0·83 %) progressed to CMM. Comparing participants in the highest quintile of dietary scores with those in the lowest, we observed a 55 % lower risk of transitioning from baseline to CMM (HR = 0·45, 95 % CI: 0·23, 0·87) and a 60 % lower risk of transition from first CMD to CMM (HR = 0·40, 95 % CI: 0·20, 0·81). Fresh fruits contributed to 42·8 and 43·0 % for delaying CMM and transition from first CMD to CMM, respectively. Our study revealed that greater adherence to the Chinese healthy diet is negatively associated with the risk of CMM.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Nutrition Society
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Flowchart of participant selection. Solid boxes indicate participants excluded based on predefined criteria, and dashed boxes represent the exclusion criteria. CHNS, China Health and Nutrition Survey; MI, myocardial infarction; T2D, type 2 diabetes; CMD, cardiometabolic disease.

Figure 1

Fig. 2. Numbers (percentages) of participants in transition pattern A from baseline to FCMD and CMM and transition pattern B from baseline to one of T2D, MI and stroke and then to CMM. Pattern A: I, baseline to FCMD; II, FCMD to CMM. Pattern B: Ia–Ic, IIa–IIc are six subtransitions of stages I and II according to the types of FCMD. FCMD, first cardiometabolic disease; CMM, cardiometabolic multimorbidity; T2D, type 2 diabetes; MI, myocardial infarction.

Figure 2

Table 1. Baseline characteristics according to quintiles of dietary pattern scores*

Figure 3

Fig. 3. Associations of quintiles of dietary pattern scores with the risks of first cardiometabolic disease (FCMD), cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and transition from FCMD to CMM using the Cox regression model and multistate model. Analyses were adjusted for gender, age, urbanicity, marital status, highest education attained, household income, smoking and drinking status, physical activity, BMI and total energy intake. Q2–Q5 represent the second to fifth quintiles of dietary pattern scores. The filled purple dots represent adjusted odds ratios, and the horizontal purple lines represent 95 % CI.

Figure 4

Fig. 4. Relative weight of each food component associated with cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and transition from first cardiometabolic disease (FCMD) to CMM. Analyses were adjusted for gender, age, urbanicity, marital status, highest education attained, household income, smoking and drinking status, physical activity, BMI and total energy intake. The x-axis represents the relative weight of each food component. The cyan bars represent food components with a negative coefficient in the model and statistically significant associations, while the grey bars represent food components with no statistically significant association with the risk of CMM or from FCMD to CMM in the model.

Figure 5

Fig. 5. Stratified analysis of estimated associations between a Chinese healthy diet and the risk of cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) by comparing the highest with the lowest quintiles. Analyses were adjusted for gender, age, urbanicity, marital status, highest education attained, household income, smoking and drinking status, physical activity, BMI and total energy intake, with exclusion of the stratified variable as appropriate. The filled purple dots represent adjusted odds ratios, and the horizontal purple lines represent 95 % CI.

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