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Parasites as fish population tags and pseudoreplication problems: the case of striped red mullet Mullus surmuletus in the Spanish Mediterranean

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 June 2007

E. Ferrer-Castelló*
Affiliation:
Marine Zoology Unit, Cavanilles Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of Valencia, PO Box 22085, 46071 Valencia, Spain
J.A. Raga
Affiliation:
Marine Zoology Unit, Cavanilles Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of Valencia, PO Box 22085, 46071 Valencia, Spain
F.J. Aznar
Affiliation:
Marine Zoology Unit, Cavanilles Institute of Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology, University of Valencia, PO Box 22085, 46071 Valencia, Spain
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Abstract

Studies of parasites as fish population tags often apply a single round of sampling to identify potential stocks or predict harvest localities. However, the lack of replication generates pseudoreplication, implicitly assuming that infection levels are more similar between samples from the same locality than between samples from different localities. We evaluated this assumption in the case of the striped red mullet Mullus surmuletus in three localities of the Spanish Mediterranean separated by c. 300 km. Samples of 25 fish of similar size were collected in each locality in the summer and autumn of two consecutive years. Prevalence and abundance of three long-lived parasite taxa differed significantly among localities, indicating their potential as stock indicators. However, a cluster analysis (for prevalence) and a MANOVA (for abundance) indicated strong inter-sample variability, even within the same locality, with poor spatial segregation among samples. A linear discriminant analysis (LDA) based on the abundance of 17 parasite taxa correctly assigned over 80% of fish to their locality, and 95% bootstrap confidence intervals of percent classified fish per locality were narrow, indicating good and stable predictive power. However, when a LDA based on data from the first year was used to predict the locality of fish from the second year, predictive power dropped drastically (46% of correct allocation). Overall, we interpret that parasite communities of mullets change at a much lower spatial scale than that adopted in this study. This finding strongly suggests the need for proper replication to make reliable inferences about stock structure in fish populations based on parasitological data.

Information

Type
ICOPAXI Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2007
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Map of Spain showing sampling localities in the present study.

Figure 1

Table 1 Mean abundance (95% confidence interval based on 20,000 replications) of 17 parasite taxa found in four samples of 25 red striped mullets Mullus surmuletus collected in three localities of the Spanish Mediterranean (n=300). For each parasite taxon: upper row, Barcelona; middle row, Burriana; lower row, Santa Pola.

Figure 2

Fig. 2 Cluster analysis of parasite prevalence data from 12 samples of Mullus surmuletus collected in three localities. Initials identify locality: BA, Barcelona; BU, Burriana; SP, Santa Pola; and numbers identify period: 1, summer 2003; 2, autumn 2003; 3, summer 2004; 4, autumn, 2004). (a) Analysis based on prevalence of three long-lived parasite taxa; (b) analysis based on prevalence of 17 parasite taxa (see text for details).

Figure 3

Fig. 3 Plots showing mean abundance of three long-lived parasites of Mullus surmuletus per locality and period. Dotted line, Barcelona; solid line, Burriana; broken line, Santa Pola. Periods: 1, summer 2003; 2, autumn 2003; 3, summer 2004; 4, autumn: 2004. 95% Confidence intervals of means are omitted for clarity but are shown in table 1.

Figure 4

Table 2 Percent correctly assigned individual striped red mullets Mullus surmuletus using linear discriminant analysis based on the abundance of 17 metazoan parasite taxa. Values in parentheses represent the percentage of correctly assigned fish using the leave-one-out method; values in square brackets are the 95% confidence intervals calculated from 2000 bootstrap samples.

Figure 5

Table 3 Standardized coefficients for each parasite taxon of the two first discriminant functions (FI and FII) for each of the three analyses indicated in Table 2, i.e. each year separately and both years pooled (see table 1 for parasite abbreviations).

Figure 6

Table 4 Classification results of linear discriminant analysis showing percentage striped red mullets correctly assigned to their harvest locality after two validation procedures: (1) a half of the total sample (n=300) collected from 2003 and 2004 was randomly selected to build the discriminant functions, and the other half to validate predictions; (2) the sample of 2003 (n=150) was used to build discriminant functions, and the sample of 2004 (n=150) to validate predictions.