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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 December 2003
Autoregression and redundant instruments—solution.
The vector of regressors is xt = (yt−1 yt−2…yt−k)′. Let γj = γ−j = E[yt yt−j] and Γj = (γj γj−1…γj−[ell ]+1)′. The matrix of cross-covariances of xt and zt is

where Im denotes m × m identity matrix and Om1×m2 – zero m1 × m2 matrix. The covariance matrix of ztεt is

The efficient generalized method of moments estimator based on the instrumental vector zt effectively uses the instrument optimal in the class of linear transformations of zt. This optimal instrument is QxzVzε−1zt (see, e.g., West, 2001). We will show that in the matrix QxzVzε−1 the right k × ([ell ] − k) submatrix is zero, so that the optimal combination of elements of zt involves only the first k entries.
Recall that the Yule–Walker equations for an AR(k) model contain the following recursion:

This implies that

where

and 0m denotes zero m × 1 vector. Thus

It follows that QxzVzε−1 equals σ−2(Ik Ok×([ell ]−k))Pp−1, a matrix whose right k × ([ell ] − k) submatrix is indeed zero.