1. Introduction
1.1. Motivation
‘An arbitrage opportunity is the possibility to make a profit in a financial market without risk and without net investment of capital’ [Reference Schachermayer19]. If an arbitrage opportunity exists in a financial market, it is typically exploited very quickly by arbitrageurs, and many applications hence assume that arbitrage does not exist. It is thus of great interest to develop a mathematically precise description of arbitrage and to characterise stochastic processes that do not allow arbitrage, as these can serve as models for asset prices.
In this paper, we consider a financial market with prices modelled by an
$\mathbb{R}^d$
-valued semimartingale S on the right-open interval
$[0, \infty)$
. Mathematically, this is the most general setting, encompassing both the case of a right-closed interval [0, T] with
$T>0$
and the case of a random interval
$[\![0,T]\!]$
, where T is a possibly infinite-valued stopping time. The key distinction is not whether we have a finite or an infinite horizon, but whether S is defined on a right-closed or a right-open interval. Economically, the latter avoids the unrealistic assumption that the behaviour of prices is specified up to and including the end of the trading period. We impose neither local boundedness nor
$S\ge0$
; so we can, for example, also capture the phenomenon of negative electricity prices.
The classic mathematical finance literature assumes the existence of a tradable asset with a constant price of 1, meaning that wealth can be transferred over time without risk. This is often said to be ‘without loss of generality’ with the argument that if one asset, say
$S^i$
, is strictly positive, the discounted price process
$\,\tilde{\!S} \,:\!=\, S/S^i$
can be studied. However, a simple example with two strictly positive and continuous assets
$S = (S^1, S^2)$
shows that
$S/S^1$
can behave very well (it satisfies the no free lunch with vanishing risk (NFLVR) condition), while
$S/S^2$
can be very bad (it does not even satisfy the no unbounded profit with bounded risk (NUPBR) condition); see [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Example 3.2] or Example 3.1. So it is better to model S as a general semimartingale, without a coordinate identically equal to 1.
In such a setting, any reasonable absence-of-arbitrage (AOA) concept
$\mathcal{A}$
should be discounting-invariant with respect to a large class
${\mathcal{D}}$
of discounters (strictly positive semimartingales) D. More precisely, S should satisfy
$\mathcal{A}$
if and only if DS satisfies
$\mathcal{A}$
for any
$D \in {\mathcal{D}}$
. The rationale behind this is that the prices S and DS are economically equivalent; they describe the same price movements in different (possibly non-traded) currencies.
For a right-closed interval [0, T], Herdegen [Reference Herdegen11] addresses this problem by introducing an AOA concept called NINA, which can be fully characterised in terms of classic NUPBR. This is further explored by Herdegen and Schweizer [Reference Herdegen and Schweizer12, Reference Herdegen and Schweizer13]. NINA is discounting-invariant with respect to the maximal class
$\mathcal{D} = \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
of semimartingales
$D>0$
with
$D_->0$
. A key property exploited in [Reference Herdegen11] is that on [0, T], any
$D\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
is automatically in the class
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
of semimartingales which are
$\mathbb{P}$
almost surely (a.s.) bounded away from 0 and
$\infty$
, uniformly in t (
$\in[0,T])$
. For the right-open interval
$[0,\infty)$
, the problem becomes more intricate as
$\mathcal{S}^1_{++} \supsetneqq \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
because
$D\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
may vanish or explode at infinity (the time boundary). This challenge is addressed by Bálint and Schweizer [Reference Bálint and Schweizer3–Reference Bálint and Schweizer5], who propose new versions of NUPBR (leading to dynamic share viability (DSV)) and NFLVR (leading to dynamic share efficiency). Their AOA concepts are invariant under discounting with respect to the full class
$\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. However, this comes at a price—the concepts depend on the choice of a so-called reference strategy.
The basic idea to exclude arbitrage opportunities is always the same: we look at self-financing strategies
$\varphi$
with a fixed initial wealth (of 1, say) and non-negative wealth
$V(\varphi)$
and demand that the terminal outcomes of such strategies remain bounded in some sense. In classic NFLVR and NUPBR as in [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6], [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8] and [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15], ‘terminal outcomes’ are taken as the final variable of the wealth process
$V(\varphi)$
, where the final variable is
$V_T(\varphi)$
on [0, T] and
$V_\infty(\varphi) = \lim_{t\to\infty} V_t(\varphi)$
(which is assumed to exist) on
$[0,\infty)$
. The counterexample mentioned above shows that this leads to problems. The way out chosen in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] is to take as ‘terminal outcomes’ essentially the (vector-valued) strategy position
$\liminf_{t\to\infty} \varphi_t$
. But to make precise when and in which sense these remain suitably bounded, Bálint and Schweizer [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] have to introduce the notion of a reference strategy
$\eta$
on which their AOA concepts then depend.
1.2. Main results and techniques
In the present paper, we want to stick to the original idea of looking at value processes
$V(\varphi)$
. We introduce a new AOA concept, called
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
or
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, which does not depend on a reference strategy and is like the classic NUPBR condition (and unlike DSV) a weak boundedness assumption on the set of ‘final variables’ resulting from admissible and self-financing trading via
$\varphi$
. We cannot take as the final variable the limit
$\lim_{t\to\infty} V_t(\varphi)$
as this causes major problems. So we take instead
$\liminf_{t\to\infty} V_t(\varphi)$
for
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
$\limsup_{t\to\infty} V_t(\varphi)$
for
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. Both
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
imply NUPBR and coincide with classic NUPBR in the standard set-up where
$S^1 \equiv 1$
. In addition, they are easily seen to be discounting-invariant under the large (but not maximal) class
$\mathcal{D} = \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
of discounters and can therefore be regarded as suitably discounting-invariant versions of NUPBR. Moreover (and this is not immediately obvious), we show that DSV from [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] and our
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
are closely related, but neither implies the other in general. To achieve our results, we must accept the limitation that discounting invariance holds only with respect to
$\mathcal{D} = \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, but not with respect to the full class
$\mathcal{D} = \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. We also need to assume that we can generate by self-financing trading from initial wealth 1 a value process
$V(\varphi)$
in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. In the classic set-up with
$S^1\equiv1$
, this is trivially satisfied by the buy-and-hold strategy
$e^1$
for the first asset with
$V(e^1) \equiv 1$
.
Along the way, we establish that under
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, there exists a strictly positive self-financing value process
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
which outperforms any other self-financing value process
$V(\varphi)\ge0$
in the sense that the ratio
$V(\varphi)/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale. In the classic mathematical finance literature, such a process (or the associated strategy) is known as the numeraire portfolio. Our use and extension of the classic result of Karatzas and Kardaras [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15] here crucially exploit a key parametrisation of self-financing value processes. In the standard setting with
$S^1 \equiv 1$
, any self-financing strategy for S is identified by its initial value and an integrand for
$S^{2:d} \,:\!=\, (S^2, \dots, S^d)$
. In our more general framework, not every integrand for the risky assets vector
$S = S^{1:d}$
induces a self-financing strategy, but we are still able to extend the classic identification in a suitable manner.
Our main result is a general dual characterisation of
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
in terms of martingale properties for S. More precisely, S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
if and only if there exists a discounter D in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
such that DS is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-
$\sigma$
-martingale. Our approach provides extra insight into the structure of at least one such discounter D. To establish this result, the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) of Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6, Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8] plays a crucial role.
Finally, we present three applications: we study NUPBR up to a stopping time, under a change of the market dimension, and finally with random lower bounds L instead of 0 for the value processes of self-financing strategies. An Itô process example is thoroughly analysed in Subsection 4.3, and connections to the literature are discussed in Subsection 4.4.
2. Probabilistic set-up, and basics of self-financing value processes
We work on a probability space
$(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$
with a filtration
$\mathbb{F} = (\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \ge 0}$
satisfying the usual conditions of right-continuity and
$\mathbb{P}$
-completeness. Except in Section 2, we assume that
$\mathcal{F}_0$
is
$\mathbb{P}$
-trivial. All equalities and inequalities involving random variables (or processes) are understood
$\mathbb{P}$
-a.s. (respectively up to indistinguishability), and we then write
$L^0(\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$
or
$L^0(\mathbb{P})$
or
$L^0(\mathcal{F})$
or
$L^0$
for the space of (
$\mathcal{F}$
-measurable) random variables on
$(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$
. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, all processes are defined on the right-open time interval
$[0, \infty)$
. We denote by
$\mathcal{S}^d$
(or
$\mathcal{S}^d_+$
) the space of all
$\mathbb{R}^d$
-valued (respectively
$\mathbb{R}^d_+$
-valued) semimartingales and set
\begin{align*}\mathcal{S}^1_{++}&\,:\!=\,\{D \in \mathcal{S}^1 \,:\, D > 0, D_- > 0 \},\\\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}& \,:\!=\,\Big \{ D \in \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \,:\, 0 < \inf_{t \ge 0} D_t \le \sup\limits_{t \ge 0} D_t < \infty \Big \},\\[-2pt]{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}& \,:\!=\, \Big\{ D \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \,:\, \hbox{$\displaystyle \lim_{t \to \infty} D_t$ exists $\big($in $(0,\infty)\big)$ a.s.} \Big \}.\end{align*}
Finally,
${\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
(or
${\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
or
$\textrm{FV}$
) is the space of right-continuous with left limits (RCLL) local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingales (respectively
$\mathbb{P}$
-
$\sigma$
-martingales or respectively finite-variation processes). We set
$X^*_\infty \,:\!=\, \sup_{t\ge 0} |X_t|$
for any real-valued RCLL process X.
We fix throughout a semimartingale
$S\in\mathcal{S}^d$
and denote by L(S) the space of all S-integrable processes
$\varphi$
. So
$\varphi\in L(S)$
is predictable and
$\mathbb{R}^d$
-valued, and the stochastic integral
${\varphi\bullet S \,:\!=\, \int \varphi \,\mathrm{d} S}$
is well defined and in
$\mathcal{S}^1$
. We think of S as modelling the prices of d risky assets, in some unspecified and non-tradable unit, and of
$\varphi$
as specifying temporally dynamic asset holdings, in numbers or shares of the assets held in S. We emphasise that, in general, we cannot think of the stochastic integral
$\varphi\bullet S$
as cumulative gains or losses from trading according to
$\varphi$
. This is possible only if
$\varphi$
is self-financing.
Definition 2.1. A trading strategy is a predictable
$\mathbb{R}^d$
-valued process
$\varphi$
. We denote the corresponding value process, which is in the same units as S, by
\begin{equation*}V(\varphi) \,:\!=\, V^S(\varphi) \,:\!=\, \varphi \cdot S \,:\!=\, \sum_{i =1}^d \varphi^i S^i.\end{equation*}
For any
$D\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, we clearly have
We write the superscript on
$V(\varphi)$
only if the underlying asset we consider is different from S. A trading strategy
$\varphi$
is called self-financing for S if
$\varphi \in L(S)$
and
The space of all self-financing strategies for S is denoted by
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
.
As can be seen from (2.2), the self-financing condition imposes a dynamic linear constraint between the coordinates of
$\varphi$
. We assume throughout that
$d\ge2$
because a market with only one asset available for trade is not interesting. Indeed, it can be shown that for
$d=1$
and if
$S\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, the only self-financing strategies are constant in t and
$\mathcal{F}_0$
-measurable; see [Reference Gebele10, Proposition 2.4].
For an
$\mathbb{R}^d$
-valued stochastic process X, we denote the
$\mathbb{R}^{d-1}$
-valued process
$(X^2, \dots, X^d)$
by
$X^{2:d}$
. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$S^1 \equiv 1$
, it is well known that the set
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
of self-financing strategies can be identified with the space
$L^0(\mathcal{F}_0) \times L(S^{2:d})$
; see, e.g., [Reference Takaoka and Schweizer23, Lemma 5.1]. In other words, for a classic model with
$S^1\equiv1$
, self-financing strategies are determined by their initial wealth
$V_0$
and their trading activities in the
$d-1$
risky assets
$S^2, \dots, S^d$
, and these activities can be chosen freely in
$L(S^{2:d})$
. This is very useful because there are no longer any linear constraints between the coordinates of
$\psi\in L(S^{2:d})$
. Theorem 2.1 extends this reparametrisation to general
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
under a mild extra condition replacing
$S^1\equiv 1$
.
The spaces
$\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
,
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
and
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
are all spaces of discounters—if S describes asset prices in original units, then DS describes the same assets in a new denomination. Such price changes can vary over both t and
$\omega$
, but not across assets, and the economic intuition is that discounting should not change the fundamental properties of the financial market. Note that if D is in one of the above discounter classes, then so is
$1/D$
.
We first recall that the self-financing property and the space of self-financing strategies are invariant under completely general discounting, i.e. under discounting by any
$D\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. This was established in [Reference Takaoka and Schweizer23, Proposition 5.2] for the classic set-up where
$S^1 \equiv 1$
; the same proof also works for general
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and is thus omitted.
Proposition 2.1. For any
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and
$D \in \mathcal{S}^1$
, we have
$ \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S) \subseteq \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(DS)$
. If we even have
$D \in \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
(so that
$1/D$
is again a semimartingale) then
The next result can be found in [Reference Herdegen11, Theorem 2.14].
Proposition 2.2. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and assume there exists
$\eta \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
$V(\eta)\equiv 1$
. (This means that we can synthesise a riskless asset with constant price 1 by self-financing trading in S.) Then each
$(v_0,\psi) \in L^0(\mathcal{F}_0)\times L(S)$
admits some
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
The next result uses Propositions 2.1 and 2.2 to extend the bijection
from [Reference Takaoka and Schweizer23] to settings where
$S^1$
is a general semimartingale. This again allows us to get rid of linear constraints in strategy coordinates by a reparametrisation, and it will play a crucial role in the remainder of this work.
Theorem 2.1. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and assume there exists
$\eta \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. (So instead of synthesising 1 by self-financing trading, it is enough to be able to synthesise a strictly positive process. If
$S^1\equiv1$
then
$\eta\equiv e^1=(1,0,\dots,0)\in\mathbb{R}^d$
with
$V(e^1) \equiv 1$
will do.) Then for each
$v_0 \in L^0(\mathcal{F}_0)$
, we have
Proof. ‘
$\subseteq$
’: By Proposition 2.1, because
$V(\eta)\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, any
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
is in
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S/V(\eta))$
. In particular,
$\varphi$
belongs to
$L(S/V(\eta))$
. If in addition
$V_0(\varphi)=v_0$
, we obtain
Hence we may choose
$\psi \,:\!=\, \varphi$
.
‘
$\supseteq$
’: Again because
$V(\eta)\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, Proposition 2.1 yields
$\eta \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S/V(\eta))$
, and we have
$V^{S/V(\eta)}(\eta) = V(\eta) / V(\eta) \equiv 1$
. Hence
$S/V(\eta)$
satisfies the assumptions of Proposition 2.2. So for each
$\psi \in L(S/V(\eta))$
, there exists
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S/V(\eta))$
such that
Now multiply (2.4) by
$V(\eta)$
and note that
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
again by Proposition 2.1.
Note that both sides of (2.3) do not depend on the choice of
$\eta \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
satisfying
$V(\eta)\in \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
because the left-hand side does not.
Given some price process
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
, one goal in arbitrage theory is to find a criterion that tells us whether this semimartingale S could be used as a financial market model. We assess the quality of S by examining the set of value processes achievable through self-financing trading under limited risk. The self-financing property simply says that after an initial investment in S, an agent does not withdraw or add any funds. As a consequence, the value of a self-financing strategy is given by the sum of initial capital plus gains or losses from trading. By limited risk, we mean that the value process should not become negative, i.e. an agent cannot lose more than the initial endowment. As a consequence, for any
$\alpha>0$
, the set
describes the value processes of all such investments with initial wealth
$\alpha$
, and all AOA properties we study here (except DSV) are conditions on
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. Clearly
$\mathcal{G}^\alpha(S)$
is a cone, we have
$\mathcal{G}^\alpha(S) = \alpha \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, and
We emphasise that
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)-1$
is not the set of all stochastic integrals
$\varphi\bullet S \ge -1$
with
$\varphi\in L(S)$
, but is the set only of those which are in addition self-financing, i.e.
$\varphi\in\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
.
Our parametrisation of self-financing value processes in Theorem 2.1 allows us describe the set
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
in terms of
$\mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S})$
for a classic model
$\,\tilde{\!S} \in \mathcal{S}^{d+1}$
satisfying
$\,\tilde{\!S}^1\equiv 1$
. This allows us to apply results from the classic mathematical finance literature to our non-classic set-up. A crucial assumption for this result is
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
, and we comment on this in Remark 2.1.
Proposition 2.3. For any
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and
$D \in \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, we have
If D is in addition tradable in the sense that
$D \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, then
(Of course, this can hold only if
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
.)
Proof. By Proposition 2.1 and using
$1/D\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, we have
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S/D) = \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
. Hence
\begin{align*} \mathcal{G}^1\bigg(\frac{S}{D}\bigg) &= \bigg\{ V^{S/D}(\varphi) \,:\, \varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}\bigg(\frac{S}{D}\bigg), V^{S/D}_0(\varphi) = 1, V^{S/D}(\varphi) \ge 0 \bigg\} \\[2pt] &= \frac{1}{D} \{ V(\varphi) \,:\, \varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S), V_0(\varphi) = D_0, V(\varphi) \ge 0 \} \\[2pt] &= \frac{1}{D} \mathcal{G}^{D_0}(S) \\[2pt] &= \frac{D_0}{D} \mathcal{G}^1(S). \end{align*}
If in addition
$D\in\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
then
$D_0=1$
and
$D=V(\eta)$
for some
$\eta\in\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
. Hence Theorem 2.1 gives
\begin{align*} \frac{D_0}{D} \mathcal{G}^1(S) &= \frac{1}{D} \{ V(\varphi) \,:\, \varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S), V_0(\varphi) = 1 \} \cap \mathcal{S}^1_+ \\[2pt] &= \frac{1}{D} \bigg\{ D\bigg( 1 + \psi \bullet \frac{S}{D} \bigg) \,:\, \psi \in L\bigg( \frac{S}{D}\bigg) \bigg\} \cap \mathcal{S}^1_+ \\[2pt] &= \bigg\{1+ \psi \bullet \frac{S}{D} \,:\, \psi \in L\bigg(\frac{S}{D}\bigg) \bigg \} \cap \mathcal{S}^1_+ \\[2pt] &= \mathcal{G}^1\bigg(1, \frac{S}{D}\bigg). \end{align*}
Remark 2.1. (1) The assumption in Theorem 2.1 is that there exists a strategy
$\eta\in\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
$V(\eta)\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. Then
$\varphi \,:\!=\, \eta/V_0(\eta)$
is still in
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
, has
$V_0(\varphi)= 1$
, and of course
$V(\varphi)\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. So
$V(\varphi) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. Conversely, if
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
then any
$X \,:\!=\, V(\varphi)$
in the intersection gives an
$\eta \,:\!=\, \varphi$
in
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
$V(\eta) = X \in \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. So the assumption
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
is equivalent to the condition that we can synthesise by self-financing trading a strictly positive value process. As already pointed out in Theorem 2.1, this is always satisfied in any classic model with
$S^1\equiv 1$
.
(2) The assumption
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
ensures that we have (2.6). This in turn means that up to some (general) discounting, we can generate with S the same self-financing value processes as in a classic model of dimension
$d+1$
. This is precisely what allows us to connect our set-up to the classic theory.
(3) For some results, we later need to strengthen the assumption
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
to
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \ne \varnothing$
. This has essentially the same interpretation, and it is again always satisfied in any classic model with
$S^1\equiv 1$
.
3. Extending NUPBR towards discounting invariance
In this section, we introduce a new generalised version of NUPBR which is discounting-invariant with respect to
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, and present some first properties. From here on, we assume that
$\mathcal{F}_0$
is
$\mathbb{P}$
-trivial.
3.1. (Classic) NUPBR and its drawbacks
The classic definition of the AOA concept NUPBR is due to Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6, Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8] under the assumption
$S^1\equiv1$
. It stipulates that the set
is bounded in
$L^0$
. Because
$S^1\equiv1$
, we have
$\{ H\bullet S^{2:d} \,:\, H\in L(S^{2:d}) \}=\{ \psi\bullet S \,:\, \psi\in L(S) \}$
, and by Theorem 2.1 with
$\eta\equiv e^1$
, this set equals
$\{ V(\varphi) \,:\, \varphi\in\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S), V_0(\varphi) = 0 \}$
. So we have
and thus classic NUPBR precisely captures the idea that in a model with
$S^1 \equiv 1$
, the final values of self-financing strategies with initial wealth 1 and non-negative wealth throughout should remain in a bounded set. Because the definition of classic NUPBR involves only
$S^{2:d}$
, one sometimes forgets to explicitly mention
$S^1\equiv 1$
and talks only about classic NUPBR for a process Y (which then replaces
$S^{2:d}$
in (3.1)). The next definition extends this, as done in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Subsection 3.1], to the non-classic modelling framework considered here.
Definition 3.1. A semimartingale
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
or the market S satisfies NUPBR if the set
is bounded in
$L^0$
.
As shown in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Subsection 3.1] (where NUPBR was called
$\textrm{NUPBR}_\infty$
), NUPBR for a process
$Y\in\mathcal{S}^d$
and classic NUPBR for
$(1,Y) \in \mathcal{S}^{d+1}$
coincide. But NUPBR (in the sense of Definition 3.1) for Y is not the same as classic NUPBR for Y—whether or not we have a riskless first asset identically equal to 1 makes a crucial difference.
Unfortunately, NUPBR is not discounting-invariant with respect to
$\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. This was pointed out in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Example 3.2], and we reproduce a variant of that example here.
Example 3.1. Let
$W^1$
and
$W^2$
be Brownian motions with constant correlation
$\varrho\in({-}1,1)$
. Take
$d=2$
and let
$S^i = \mathcal{E}(\sigma_i W^i + m_i t)$
for
$i=1,2$
be a geometric Brownian motion with parameters
$m_i\in\mathbb{R}$
,
$\sigma_i\ge0$
, and
$\sigma_1^2+\sigma_2^2 \ne 0$
. Then clearly both
$S^1$
and
$S^2$
are in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)\cap\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. We choose the parameters such that
$S^2/S^1$
is a martingale, and write it as
$S^2/S^1 = \mathcal{E}(\gamma B)$
for some Brownian motion B and some
$\gamma\ne0$
. Then
by the law of large numbers for Brownian motion. Because
$S^2/S^1$
is a martingale, we see that
$S/S^1 = (1,S^2/S^1)$
satisfies classic NFLVR and hence also classic NUPBR. But
$S/S^2 = (S^1/S^2,1)$
does not satisfy classic NUPBR because
$S^1_t/S^2_t\to\infty$
a.s. as
$t\to\infty$
.
On the positive side, we have the following result.
Corollary 3.1. For any
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
,
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
is discounting-invariant with respect to
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
: for any
$D\in{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
, S satisfies
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
if and only if DS does.
Proof. Fix
$D \in {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
. By Proposition 2.3, we have
$\mathcal{G}^1(DS) = ({D}/{D_0}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. As D converges to a
$(0,\infty)$
-valued random variable
$D_\infty$
, this shows that
\begin{align*} \mathcal{G}^1_\infty(DS) &= \frac{1}{D_0} \Big \{ (DX)_\infty \,:\, \hbox{$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$, $\displaystyle (DX)_\infty \,:\!=\, \lim_{t \to \infty} (DX)_t$ exists a.s.} \Big \} \\[2pt] &= \frac{1}{D_0} \Big \{ D_\infty X_\infty \,:\, \hbox{$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$, $\displaystyle X_\infty \,:\!=\, \lim_{t \to \infty} X_t$ exists a.s.} \Big \} \\[2pt] &= \frac{D_\infty}{D_0} \mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S). \end{align*}
Now the statement is obvious.
In the preceding argument, the convergence of D to a
$(0,\infty)$
-valued random variable was crucial. The next example shows that this is not merely a shortcoming of the proof; in fact, NUPBR is, in general, not discounting-invariant with respect to
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
.
Example 3.2. Define
$T \,:\!=\, \pi/2$
and let
$Y'$
be a continuous one-dimensional semimartingale on [0, T] with respect to some filtration
$\mathbb{F}'$
. Moreover, assume that
$S' \,:\!=\, (1, Y')$
does not satisfy NUPBR on [0, T]. Define
$\,\tilde{\!Y}_t \,:\!=\, Y'_{\arctan(t)}$
. Then
is a semimartingale with respect to
$(\tilde{\mathcal{F}}_t) \,:\!=\, (\mathcal{F}'_{\arctan(t)})$
; see [Reference Jacod14, Corollary 10.12]. Moreover, the change of variables formula for stochastic integrals (see [Reference Jacod14, Proposition 10.21], or [Reference Revuz and Yor18, Proposition V.(1.5)] for an English version) shows that
Hence using
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(\,\tilde{\!S}) \cong L^0(\mathcal{F}_0)\times L(\,\tilde{\!Y})$
,
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S') \cong L^0(\mathcal{F}'_0)\times L(Y')$
and setting
$\vartheta' \,:\!=\, \tilde \vartheta_{\tan}$
so that
$\tilde\vartheta = \vartheta'_{\arctan}$
, we obtain
\begin{align} \mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S}) &= \{ 1+ \tilde \vartheta \bullet \,\tilde{\!Y} \,:\, \tilde \vartheta \in L(\,\tilde{\!Y}) \} \cap \mathcal{S}^1_+ \nonumber \\ &= \{1+ (\vartheta' \bullet Y')_{\arctan} \,:\, \vartheta' \in L(Y') \} \cap \mathcal{S}^1_+ \nonumber \\ &= \{ X_{\arctan}' \,:\, X' \in \mathcal{G}^1(S') \}.\end{align}
Because
$S'$
is continuous on [0, T], all the limits in
$\mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S})$
therefore exist.
Now take
$D\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}\setminus{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
, e.g.
$D \,:\!=\, 2 + \sin$
, and define
$S = D \,\tilde{\!S}$
. Then the oscillation of D implies that
$D\,\tilde{\!X}$
with
$\,\tilde{\!X} \in \mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S})$
can converge only on
$\{\,\tilde{\!X}_\infty = 0 \}$
, and in this case, the limit must be 0 as D is pathwise bounded. Hence
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) = \mathcal{G}^1(D\,\tilde{\!S}) = ({D}/{D_0})\mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S})$
from Proposition 2.3 yields
$\mathcal{G}^1_\infty(S) \subseteq \{0\}$
, so S trivially satisfies NUPBR. But by (3.4),
$({1}/{D}) S = \,\tilde{\!S}$
like
$S'$
does not satisfy NUPBR.
Note that in this example, we have NUPBR for
$S = (D,D\,\tilde{\!Y})$
, which is not a classic model as
$S^1 = D \not\equiv 1$
. See also Remark 3.2.
Example 3.2 highlights a major problem with NUPBR as an AOA condition on
$[0,\infty)$
. If we take a discounter D which is a.s. uniformly bounded in t, then S and DS are of the same magnitude, and so are the value processes in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
and
$\mathcal{G}^1(DS)$
by (2.5) in Proposition 2.3. So if unbounded profits are possible for S, the same should happen for DS, and vice versa. However, Example 3.2 shows that this fails for NUPBR—unless we impose the stronger requirement that D should converge a.s.
3.2. A new version of NUPBR with good discounting invariance
The source of the problem in Example 3.2 is that when defining NUPBR, we require the limits in (3.3) to exist. Recall that we want to put bounds on ‘terminal values’ of self-financing value processes. So if we cannot use a limit as
$t\to\infty$
to define such terminal values, it is natural to consider
$\limsup$
or
$\liminf$
as alternatives, and this directly leads to our next definition.
Definition 3.2. A semimartingale
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
satisfies
$\underline{{NUPBR}}$
(or
$\overline{{NUPBR}}$
) if the set
is bounded in
$L^0$
.
We immediately get a nice property of these two concepts.
Proposition 3.1. For any
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
, both
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
are discounting-invariant with respect to
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
.
Proof. By Proposition 2.3, any
$D \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
satisfies
$\mathcal{G}^1(DS) = ({D}/{D_0}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. As D is bounded above and below by
$(0,\infty)$
-valued random variables, it is clear that
$\underline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(S)$
is bounded in
$L^0$
if and only if
$\underline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(DS)$
is. The same reasoning applies to
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
.
It is immediate from the definition that
By Example 3.2, the converse of the second implication in (3.5) does not hold in general; see the discussion in Remark 3.2. Hence
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
is, in general, genuinely stronger than NUPBR. We show below that the first implication in (3.5) is an equivalence whenever
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
. Moreover, we shall see that under
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
and NUPBR, all the limits in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exist, and in this case, we have equivalence everywhere in (3.5). To prove these statements, more work is needed.
3.3. The supermartingale numeraire
In the following, we want to characterise
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
in terms of a dual object for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. We shall see that this is closely related to the question of whether
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
contains a process that is in some sense better than any other element in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. While this is already interesting on its own, the existence of such an ‘optimal’ process also allows us to prove the statements at the end of Subsection 3.2. In addition, the result obtained plays a key role when we find a dual object for S instead of
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
in Section 4.
Definition 3.3. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and
$\mathcal{G} \subseteq \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. A value process
$V^{\textrm{sn}} \in \mathcal{G} \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
is called a supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}$
if the ratio
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale for any
$X \in \mathcal{G}$
. In this case, any self-financing strategy
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
$V(\varphi) = V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is called a numeraire portfolio for
$\mathcal{G}$
.
Remark 3.1. (1) Note that
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
can exist only if
$\mathcal{G}\cap\mathcal{S}^1_{++}\ne\varnothing$
. A more general approach without this condition has been developed in [Reference Bálint2].
(2) If a supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}$
exists, it must be unique. Indeed, if
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
and
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}$
are supermartingale numeraires for
$\mathcal{G}$
, both
$V^{\textrm{sn}}/Y^{\textrm{SN}}$
and
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
are supermartingales, and so Jensen’s inequality with the strictly convex function
$x \mapsto x^{-1}$
shows that
$V^{\textrm{sn}}_t = Y^{\textrm{SN}}_t$
for any
$t \ge 0$
. Since both processes are RCLL,
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
and
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}$
are indistinguishable.
If it exists, the supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
for
$\mathcal{G} \subseteq \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
is optimal in
$\mathcal{G}$
as follows. For any
$X \in \mathcal{G}$
, the ratio
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale, hence decreasing on average, and so
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
grows on average more quickly than any other self-financing value process
$X\in\mathcal{G}$
. By the Doob–Meyer decomposition,
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
can be written as
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}} = M + A$
, where
$M\in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
can be interpreted as a noise term and A is a decreasing predictable process which describes a signal. For
$X=V^{\textrm{sn}}$
, we get
$M\equiv0$
and
$A\equiv1$
. If in addition
$X\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, we can also decompose
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
multiplicatively; see [Reference Jacod14, Corollary 6.21].
For the classic model, the supermartingale numeraire was introduced and has been extensively studied by Karatzas and Kardaras [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15] under the name numeraire portfolio. For ease of reference, we formulate their main result [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15, Theorem 4.12] in our notation. We define
Recall that
$S^1\equiv1$
implies
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)\cap\mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
.
Theorem 3.1. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$S^1 \equiv 1$
, the following are equivalent:
-
(i)
$(\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++})_\infty$
is bounded in
$L^0$
; -
(ii) the supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
exists and converges a.s. to a finite-valued random variable
$V^{\textrm{sn}}_\infty$
.
The proof of this result is long and uses semimartingale characteristics. We refer to [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15, Theorem 4.12] for more details, but we give three comments because their theorem looks different at first glance.
First, Karatzas and Kardaras [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15] prove the existence of the supermartingale numeraire for any predictable closed convex constraints on strategies; the above formulation is the special case of the natural constraints from [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15, Example 2.7].
Second, at the beginning of [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15] it is assumed that each
$S^i$
belongs to
$\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
; however, in Subsection 4.8 in [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15] it is explained why this is not a loss of generality for their results.
Third, under the natural constraints, Definition 4.1 in [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15] says that S satisfies NUPBR if and only if
$(\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++})_\infty$
is bounded in
$L^0$
. Because
$S^1\equiv1$
, NUPBR for
$S = (1,S^{2:d})$
and classic NUPBR (as in [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15]) for
$S^{2:d}$
are the same.
Lemma 3.1. Fix
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and assume
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \ne \varnothing$
. If
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, it is also a supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
.
Proof. Let
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. We must show that
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale. Since
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
is convex, the set
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
is also convex. Hence
$({X + V^{\textrm{sn}}})/{2} \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, so
$({X+ V^{\textrm{sn}}})/{V^{\textrm{sn}}} = X/V^{\textrm{sn}}+1$
is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale, and then so is
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
.
Thanks to our parametrisation of self-financing value processes in Theorem 2.1, the existence of the supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
with general
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
can be deduced from the special case in Theorem 3.1. The next theorem is one of our main results; it contains Theorem 3.1 because
$1\equiv S^1$
is in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
.
Theorem 3.2. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
, the following are equivalent:
-
(i) S satisfies
${\overline{\mathrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(ii) S satisfies
${\underline{\mathrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(iii) the supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exists and belongs to
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
.
Moreover, if we even have
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
, the above are also equivalent to:
-
(iv) S satisfies
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
.
Under this additional assumption, the supermartingale numeraire in (iii) belongs to
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
.
Proof. (i)
$\Rightarrow$
(ii): This is clear from (3.5).
(ii)
$\Rightarrow$
(iii): Fix
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. By (2.6) in Proposition 2.3, we have
So
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
by Proposition 3.1 and hence also NUPBR by (3.5). By Theorem 3.1, the supermartingale numeraire
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}$
for
$\mathcal{G}^1(1,S/V(\eta)) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
exists, and the limit
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}_\infty$
exists and is finite, a.s. Moreover,
$1/Y^{\textrm{SN}}$
is a non-negative supermartingale and thus converges a.s. to a finite (even integrable) random variable. Hence
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}_\infty > 0$
, and thus
$Y^{\textrm{SN}} \in {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}\subseteq\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. Moreover,
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}$
is by Lemma 3.1 even a supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}^1(1, S/V(\eta)) = ({1}/{V(\eta)}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. Thus
$V^{\textrm{sn}} \,:\!=\, Y^{\textrm{SN}} V(\eta)$
is in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, and for every
$X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
,
${X}/{V(\eta) Y^{\textrm{SN}}} = X / V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale, as desired.
(iii)
$\Rightarrow$
(i): For any
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, the ratio
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a non-negative
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale and thus converges
$\mathbb{P}$
-a.s. as
$t\to\infty$
. (Note that X itself need not converge.) Hence
together with Fatou’s lemma and
$X_0/V^{\textrm{sn}}_0 = 1$
shows that the set
$ ({1}/{(V^{\textrm{sn}})_\infty^*}) \overline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(S)$
is even bounded in
$L^1(\mathbb{P})$
and therefore also in
$L^0(\mathbb{P})$
. So is then
$\overline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(S)$
because
$V^{\textrm{sn}}\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
.
It remains to show the additional statements. Clearly, (i) implies (iv) by (3.5). Conversely, if S satisfies NUPBR and we take
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
, then (3.6) shows that
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies NUPBR, and the argument for (ii)
$\Rightarrow$
(iii) yields the existence of the supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}} = V(\eta) Y^{\textrm{SN}}$
for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
with
$Y^{\textrm{SN}}\in{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
. Because also
$V(\eta) \in {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
, we get
$V^{\textrm{sn}} \in {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
.
Corollary 3.2. For
$S\in\mathcal{S}^d$
with
$S^1\equiv 1$
so that
$S = (1,S^{2:d})$
,
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
,
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, and
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
are all equivalent and also equivalent to classic
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
for
$S^{2:d}$
.
Proof. Because
$S^1\equiv1$
is in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)\cap\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, the equivalence of
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
,
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, and NUPBR is clear from Theorem 3.2. The equivalence to classic NUPBR for
$S^{2:d}$
follows from (3.2).
Remark 3.2. Let us now revisit Example 3.2 in the light of the preceding results. There we had
$S = ({1}/{D}) \,\tilde{\!S}$
satisfying NUPBR,
${1}/{D} \in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}\setminus{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
, and
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
not satisfying NUPBR. We can now see that in this example:
-
(a) S satisfies NUPBR, but does not satisfy
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
nor
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(b)
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)\cap{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} = \varnothing$
.
Indeed, if S were to satisfy
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
or
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, so would
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
by Proposition 3.1, and then
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
would satisfy NUPBR by (3.5). If we had
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)\cap{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \ne \varnothing$
then S would by Theorem 3.2 again satisfy
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
due to NUPBR, leading to the same contradiction as above.
The next result is an easy consequence of Theorem 3.2 and will be the key to proving in Section 4 a dual characterisation of
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
in terms of S (instead of
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
).
Definition 3.4. Let
$A \subseteq L^0(\mathbb{P})$
. An element
$m \in A$
is called maximal in A if any
$a \in A$
with
$a \ge m$
$\mathbb{P}$
-a.s. satisfies
$a=m$
$\mathbb{P}$
-a.s.
Corollary 3.3. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
. If S satisfies
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
then the supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exists and
$V^{\textrm{sn}}_\infty$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1_\infty(S)$
.
Proof. By Theorem 3.2,
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
exists and is in
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
. For any
$a\in\mathcal{G}^1_\infty(S)$
with
we have
$a = X_\infty$
for some
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
such that the limit
$X_\infty$
exists. Because
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a supermartingale, Fatou’s lemma yields
${\mathbb{E}}[ a/V^{\textrm{sn}}_\infty ] = {\mathbb{E}}[ X_\infty/V^{\textrm{sn}}_\infty ] \le 1$
. Clearly, this is possible only if we have equality in (3.7).
The converse of Corollary 3.3 is not true in general—not every self-financing value process
$V(\varphi)$
whose final value is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
is a supermartingale numeraire.
Example 3.3. Let M be a strictly positive non-constant martingale on
$[0, \infty]$
with
$M_0 = 1$
. By Delbaen and Schachermayer’s FTAP [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8, Theorem 1.1], the market
$ S \,:\!=\, (1,M)$
satisfies NFLVR. In particular, it satisfies the property of no-arbitrage (NA); that is, 1 is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
. Moreover,
$ {\mathrm{d} \mathbb{Q}}/{\mathrm{d} \mathbb{P}} \,:\!=\, M_\infty$
defines a measure
$\mathbb{Q} \approx \mathbb{P}$
. Since
$M^{-1}S$
is a
$\mathbb{Q}$
-martingale by the Bayes formula,
$M^{-1}S$
satisfies NA under
$\mathbb{Q}$
and thus also under
$\mathbb{P}$
. Hence 1 is maximal in the set
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(M^{-1}S) = M_\infty^{-1} \mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
; that is,
$M_\infty$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
. As the supermartingale numeraire in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
is unique, at least one of the two processes 1 and M in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
cannot be the supermartingale numeraire.
3.4. Convergence of self-financing value processes at infinity
In Definition 3.3, we look at the set of those value processes
$X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
for which the limit
$X_\infty$
is assumed to exist. We now study when convergence happens for all
$X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
.
Corollary 3.4. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
. If S satisfies
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
then for any
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, the limit
$\lim_{t \to \infty} X_t$
exists a.s. and is finite-valued.
Proof. By Theorem 3.2, the supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exists and belongs to
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
. For any
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, the ratio
$X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a non-negative supermartingale and hence converges a.s. to a finite-valued (even integrable) random variable. Consequently,
$ X = (X/V^{\textrm{sn}}) V^{\textrm{sn}}$
converges to a finite-valued random variable as well.
In the previous result, we cannot replace the assumption
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
by the weaker condition
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
. Even if NUPBR is replaced by the stronger condition
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, this does not work, as the following example shows.
Example 3.4. Take any
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
satisfying NUPBR and
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
. Then by Corollary 3.4, all the limits in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exist. But for the oscillating
$D \,:\!=\, 2+\sin$
, the limit of a process in
$ \mathcal{G}^1(DS) = ({D}/{2}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
(by Proposition 2.3) exists only if it is zero. Note that both S and DS satisfy
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
by Theorem 3.2.
In the classic setting of
$S^1\equiv1$
, a result similar to Corollary 3.4 can be found in Theorem 3.3 in [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6]. Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6] assume NFLVR, but as already observed in the proof of Proposition 3.4 in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5], a closer look at their arguments shows that they use only NUPBR. Since the existence of the supermartingale numeraire was not known at that time, Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6] had to mimic the proof of Doob’s martingale convergence theorem to show the existence of the limits. The main ingredient for their argument is Proposition 3.2 in [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6], which states that for
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$S^1 \equiv 1$
and NUPBR (they assume NFLVR but use only NUPBR), the set (see (3.2))
is bounded in
$L^0$
. We conclude this subsection by showing that such a result is true more generally. Unlike Corollary 3.4, the next result needs only
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
. Observe also that
$X^*-1 \le (X-1)^* \le X^* + 1$
for any RCLL process
$X\ge0$
.
Proposition 3.2. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
. Then S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
if and only if the set
$ \{X_\infty^* \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
.
Proof. The ‘if’ part is clear from the definition of
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. For the ‘only if’ part, by Theorem 3.2, the supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exists and belongs to
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. In particular,
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is bounded above by a finite-valued random variable. Consequently, it suffices to show that the set
$\{ (X/V^{\textrm{sn}})^*_\infty \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
. To this end, take any
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
and note that the ratio
$U \,:\!=\, X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is a supermartingale with
$U_0=1$
and non-negative, and hence is closable on the right by 0. For
$\ell \in \mathbb{N}$
and
$\tau \,:\!=\, \inf \{t \ge 0 \,:\, U_t > \ell \}$
, we therefore obtain from
$U_\tau\ge\ell$
and the stopping theorem (see [Reference Dellacherie and Meyer9, Theorem VI.60]) that
As
$U = X/V^{\textrm{sn}}$
, this gives
$\sup_{X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S)} P[(X/V^{\textrm{sn}})^*_\infty > \ell] \to 0$
for
$\ell\to\infty$
as desired.
4. Main result and comparison with the literature
4.1. The main result
In this subsection, we establish in Theorem 4.1 our main result, a dual characterisation of the AOA concepts
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. Theorem 3.2 has already characterised these in terms of a dual object for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. Now we aim to find a dual object for S itself.
To apply the FTAP of Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8, Theorem 1.1], we briefly recall the definitions of (classic) NA and (classic) NFLVR. It should be noted that we use these AOA concepts only in the classic setting where
$S^1 \equiv 1$
. For an extension of the definitions to general
$S\in\mathcal{S}^d$
, we refer the reader to [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Subsection 3.1].
Definition 4.1. A semimartingale of the form
$S = (1,X) \in \mathcal{S}^d$
satisfies NA if 1 is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
, and satisfies NFLVR if S satisfies NUPBR and NA.
Remark 4.1. (1) Our definition of NA for a classic model
$S=(1,X) \in \mathcal{S}^d$
is the same as the definition of NA for X in the sense of Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6, Definition 2.8]; see [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Subsection 3.1].
(2) Even though the definition of NFLVR for X in [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6, Definition 2.8] looks rather different at first glance, Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6, Corollaries 3.4 and 3.9] show that
Hence also our notion of NFLVR for S coincides with NFLVR for X in [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6].
Before we can state our main theorem, we need one more auxiliary result. As a special case, it contains a dual characterisation of NUPBR for the classic model, and thereby holds intrinsic interest.
Proposition 4.1. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
, the following are equivalent:
-
(i) S satisfies
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
; -
(ii) there exists
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
such that
$V_\infty(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
, and for any such
$V(\eta)$
, the market
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies
$\mathrm{NFLVR}$
.
Proof. (i)
$\Rightarrow$
(ii): The existence of
$V(\eta)$
follows from Theorem 3.2 and Corollary 3.3, and (2.6) in Proposition 2.3 shows that
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies NUPBR. So it remains only to show NA for
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
. To this end, take
$Y \in \mathcal{G}^1(1, S/V(\eta)) = ({1}/{V(\eta)}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
with
$Y_\infty \ge 1$
and write
$1\le Y_\infty = {V_\infty(\varphi)}/{V_\infty(\eta)}$
, using Corollary 3.4. By the maximality of
$V_\infty(\eta)$
in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
, this is possible only if
$Y_\infty = 1$
. So 1 is indeed maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(1, S/V(\eta))$
.
(ii)
$\Rightarrow$
(i): The FTAP [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8, Theorem 1.1] yields a measure
$\mathbb{Q} \approx \mathbb{P}$
such that
$M \,:\!=\, S/V(\eta)$
is in
${\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{Q})$
. Because NUPBR is discounting-invariant with respect to
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
by Corollary 3.1, it suffices to show that M satisfies NUPBR. But like M, any process in
$\mathcal{G}^1(M)$
is a
$\mathbb{Q}$
-
$\sigma$
-martingale, and in addition non-negative and thus a
$\mathbb{Q}$
-supermartingale by Corollary 3.5 in [Reference Ansel and Stricker1] and Fatou’s lemma. Because all these supermartingales start in 1, the set
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(M)$
is even bounded in
$L^1(\mathbb{Q})$
and hence in
$L^0(\mathbb{P})$
.
Remark 4.2. If
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
has the form
with
$M \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
and
$D \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
then S satisfies both
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. Indeed, we have
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) = ({D_0}/{D}) \mathcal{G}^1(M)$
, and
$\mathcal{G}^1(M)$
contains only non-negative
$\mathbb{Q}$
-supermartingales, as seen in the proof above. So
$\mathcal{G}^1_\infty(M)$
is bounded in
$L^0$
, and
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
follow like in Proposition 3.1 because
$D\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. The next result in particular shows conversely that S must be of the form (4.1) if it satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \ne \varnothing$
.
We can now formulate our main result. Comparisons with the literature are given in Subsection 4.4.
Theorem 4.1. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
, the following are equivalent:
-
(i) S satisfies
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(ii) S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(iii) the supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exists and is in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
; -
(iv) the set
$\{X_\infty^* \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
; -
(v) for all
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, there exists
$Z \in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P}) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
with
$Z ({S}/{V(\eta)}) \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
; -
(vi) there exists
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
such that
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies NA, and for any such
$V(\eta)$
, the market
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies
$\mathrm{NFLVR}$
; -
(vii) there exists
$D \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
such that
$DS \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
; in that case, we can choose D of the form
$D = Z/V(\eta)$
with
$Z \in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P}) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
and
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
.
Moreover, if we even have
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
, the above are also equivalent to the following:
-
(viii) S satisfies
$\mathrm{NUPBR}$
; -
(ix) there exists
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
such that
$V_\infty(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
, and for any such
$V(\eta)$
, the market
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies
$\mathrm{NFLVR}$
.
Under this additional assumption, the supermartingale numeraire in (iii) belongs to
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
.
Proof. From the definitions, (i)
$\Rightarrow$
(ii) is clear; see (3.5). Next, (ii)
$\Rightarrow$
(iii) is from Theorem 3.2, which uses Theorem 3.1, and (iii)
$\Rightarrow$
(iv) is also from Theorem 3.2. The equivalence (ii)
$\Leftrightarrow$
(iv) is from Proposition 3.2 which uses Theorem 3.2. Under the additional assumption that
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \ne \varnothing$
, the equivalence (i)
$\Leftrightarrow$
(viii) is from Theorem 3.2, and the equivalence (viii)
$\Leftrightarrow$
(ix) is from Proposition 4.1. Hence it remains to show the equivalence of (i) and (v)–(vii).
(i)
$\Rightarrow$
(v): Fix an arbitrary
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. As in the proof of (ii)
$\Rightarrow$
(iii) in Theorem 3.2,
$\,\tilde{\!S}\,:\!=\, (1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and hence NUPBR. So Proposition 4.1 yields
$Y \in \mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S}) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
such that
$(1,\,\tilde{\!S}/Y)$
satisfies NFLVR, and so the FTAP [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8, Theorem 1.1] yields the existence of
$\mathbb{Q} \approx \mathbb{P}$
with
The density process
$\tilde{Z}$
of
$\mathbb{Q}$
with respect to
$\mathbb{P}$
is a strictly positive martingale on
$[0, \infty]$
and thus belongs to
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
. By the Bayes formula, by (4.2) and due to
$\,\tilde{\!S}^1\equiv 1$
, we have
Thus Corollary 3.5 in [Reference Ansel and Stricker1] yields
$Z \in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
. Furthermore, the Bayes formula and (4.2) also show that, as desired,
(v)
$\Rightarrow$
(vii): This follows by setting
$D \,:\!=\, Z /V(\eta)$
.
(i)
$\Rightarrow$
(vi): As seen in (i)
$\Rightarrow$
(v), for any
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, the market
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies NUPBR. So we need only to show that
$V(\eta)$
can be chosen such that
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
also satisfies NA. Theorem 3.2 gives the existence of the supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) = V^{\textrm{sn}} \mathcal{G}^1(1, S/V^{\textrm{sn}})$
, and so any process in
$\mathcal{G}^1(1, S/V^{\textrm{sn}})$
is a supermartingale starting in 1. In consequence, 1 is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1_\infty(1, S/V^{\textrm{sn}})$
and we can take
$V(\eta) \,:\!=\, V^{\textrm{sn}}$
.
(vi)
$\Rightarrow$
(vii): The FTAP [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8, Theorem 1.1] yields
$\mathbb{Q} \approx \mathbb{P}$
with
$S/V(\eta) \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{Q})$
. The density process Z of
$\mathbb{Q}$
with respect to
$\mathbb{P}$
is a strictly positive martingale on
$[0,\infty]$
and thus in
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
. Hence, as before,
$D \,:\!=\, Z/V(\eta) \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, and the Bayes formula yields
$DS \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
.
(vii)
$\Rightarrow$
(i): We can write
$S = (1/D) M$
with
$M\in{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
and
$1/D \in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
like D. So Remark 4.2 shows that S satisfies
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
(and
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
).
Remark 4.3. By Corollary 3.4, the assumption
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
in the second half of Theorem 4.1 already implies that under
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, all the limits in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exist, and so this assumption is not reasonable economically; think, for example, of a buy-and-hold strategy in a non-negative asset which keeps fluctuating without converging. However, making that assumption is still interesting from a mathematical point of view since it contains the classic set-up with
$S^1\equiv 1$
and the case of a right-closed time interval with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++} \neq \varnothing$
.
4.2. Maximal value processes
We now revisit our dual characterisation in Theorem 4.1. We already know that if
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, then for any
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, there exists by (v) a process
$Z \in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P}) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
such that
$Z (S/V(\eta))$
is a
$\sigma$
-martingale under
$\mathbb{P}$
. We call such a Z a (
$\mathbb{P}$
-)
$\sigma$
-martingale density for
$S/V(\eta)$
. Moreover, (vi) states that for some
$V(\eta)$
, this Z can be chosen to be a uniformly integrable martingale; then Z induces a probability measure
$\mathbb{Q}\approx\mathbb{P}$
under which
$S/V(\eta)$
becomes a
$\sigma$
-martingale (and we then call
$\mathbb{Q}$
an equivalent
$\sigma$
-martingale measure for
$S/V(\eta)$
). In the following, our aim is to identify all
$V(\eta)$
for which finding
$\mathbb{Q}$
like that is possible.
Under the additional assumption
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
, (ix) in Theorem 4.1 shows that Z can be chosen to be a uniformly integrable martingale whenever
$V_\infty(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(S)$
. We show below that this maximality already fully determines all
$V(\eta)$
with the above desired property. However, as the limits in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
might not exist if we assume only
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
instead of
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
, we need to define maximality in a different way.
Definition 4.2. Fix
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
. A process
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
is called maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
if there exists a measure
$\mathbb{Q} \approx \mathbb{P}$
such that any process in
$({1}/{V(\eta)}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
is a
$\mathbb{Q}$
-supermartingale, i.e.
$V(\eta)$
is the
$\mathbb{Q}$
-supermartingale numeraire for
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
.
It is immediate from the definition that the
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale numeraire
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is maximal in the sense of Definition 4.2 (with
$\mathbb{Q} \,:\!=\, \mathbb{P}$
). But while
$V^{\textrm{sn}}$
is unique for a given
$\mathbb{P}$
, several processes in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
can be maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
.
The next result is a dual characterisation of the maximality property in Definition 4.2 and answers the questions raised at the beginning of this subsection. If
$V(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
and also lies in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, then
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)\cap\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}\ne\varnothing$
, and the
$\mathbb{Q}$
-supermartingale numeraire exists for some
$\mathbb{Q}\approx\mathbb{P}$
. So S satisfies by Theorem 4.1
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
under
$\mathbb{Q}$
and hence also under
$\mathbb{P}$
, and so we may assume in the next result that S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. We denote by
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
the set of all (possibly infinite-valued) stopping times and set
and
If
$X_\infty \,:\!=\, \lim_{t\to\infty} X_t$
exists a.s. for all
$X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, then
$\mathcal{G}^1_\tau(S)$
is also well defined for
$\tau\in\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
.
Theorem 4.2. Assume that
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
satisfies
${\underline{\mathrm{NUPBR}}}$
. Then for any
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, the following are equivalent:
-
(i)
$V(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
; -
(ii)
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies
$\mathrm{NA}$
; -
(iii)
$(1, S/V(\eta))$
satisfies
$\mathrm{NFLVR}$
.
In this case, for any
$\tau \in \mathcal{T}$
, the random variable
$V_\tau(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1_\tau(S)$
. Moreover, if
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
then all limits in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exist, and (i)–(iii) are also equivalent to the following:
-
(iv) for any
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
, the random variable
$V_\tau(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1_\tau(S)$
; -
(v) the random variable
$V_\infty(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1_\infty(S)$
.
Proof. (i)
$\Rightarrow$
(ii): We need to show that 1 is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\infty^1(1, S/V(\eta)) = ({1}/{V(\eta)}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. If
$Y \in \mathcal{G}^1(1,S/V(\eta))$
then
$Y = X/V(\eta)$
for some
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, and so the maximality of
$V(\eta)$
implies that Y is a
$\mathbb{Q}$
-supermartingale starting at 1 for some
$\mathbb{Q} \approx \mathbb{P}$
. Consequently,
$Y_\infty = \lim_{t \to \infty} Y_t \ge 1$
$\mathbb{Q}$
-a.s. is only possible if we have equality
$\mathbb{Q}$
-a.s. and thus also
$\mathbb{P}$
-a.s.
(ii)
$\Rightarrow$
(iii): This follows from (vi) in Theorem 4.1.
(iii)
$\Rightarrow$
(i): By the FTAP [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8, Theorem 1.1], there exists
$\mathbb{Q} \approx \mathbb{P}$
with
$S/V(\eta) \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{Q})$
. As in Remark 4.2, with
$M = S/V(\eta)$
and
$D\equiv 1$
, any process in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S/V(\eta)) = ({1}/{V(\eta)}) \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
is a non-negative
$\mathbb{Q}$
-supermartingale, and so
$V(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
.
From the supermartingale property in (i), it is immediate that
$V_\tau(\eta)$
is maximal in
$\mathcal{G}_\tau^1(S)$
for any
$\tau \in \mathcal{T}$
. If in addition
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
, all limits in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
exist by Corollary 3.4, and we can argue as follows.
(i)
$\Rightarrow$
(iv): As the limits exist, maximality of
$V_\tau(\eta)$
in
$\mathcal{G}_\tau^1(S)$
with
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
is an easy consequence of the supermartingale property in (i), extended to
$[0,\infty]$
.
(iv)
$\Rightarrow$
(v): This follows for
$\tau \equiv \infty$
.
(v)
$\Rightarrow$
(ii): This is from Proposition 4.1.
Remark 4.4. Part (iv) in Theorem 4.2 shows that maximality of
$V(\eta)$
in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
coincides with the notion of weak maximality of the associated strategy in [Reference Herdegen11, Definition 3.1]. Note that we cannot directly adapt that definition from [0, T] to our more general setting since even under
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, a process in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
need not converge; see Example 3.4. This explains why Definition 4.2 looks rather different.
4.3. An explicit example
In this subsection, we analyse in detail an example with
$d=2$
assets given by correlated generalised geometric Brownian motions, and show how
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
can be characterised in terms of the model coefficients.
We start with two independent Brownian motions
$B^1,B^2$
on
$(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$
, and denote by
$\mathbb{F}$
the filtration they generate, made right-continuous and complete. This implies that all local martingales in
$\mathbb{F}$
are continuous. We fix a predictable process
$\varrho = (\varrho_t)_{t\ge 0}$
with values in
$({-}1,1)$
, and define two new Brownian motions
$W^1,W^2$
by
$W^2 \,:\!=\, B^2$
and
$W^1 = \int \varrho_s \,\mathrm{d} B^2_s + \int \sqrt{1-\varrho_s^2} \,\mathrm{d} B^1_s$
. If
$\varrho$
is constant, then
$W^1$
and
$W^2$
have instantaneous correlation
$\varrho$
and generate the same filtration
$\mathbb{F}$
.
Our model for
$S = (S^1,S^2)$
is given by
with predictable processes
$\sigma^{(i)}, \mu^{(i)}$
satisfying
We also assume that
$\sigma^{(1)}\ge0$
and
$\sigma^{(2)}>0$
. We impose the condition that
and note that this ensures that
(Of course, we could equally well impose (4.4) and hence (4.5) for
$i=2$
instead of
$i=1$
.) Note that (4.4) excludes a model with constant coefficients as in Example 3.1, where we have already seen that problems come up.
The first part of the next auxiliary result is well known. Note that this does not use that
$\mathbb{F}$
is generated by a Brownian motion.
Lemma 4.1. For any continuous local martingale
$M = (M_t)_{t\ge0}$
, we have
\begin{align}\{ [M]_\infty < \infty \}&=\Big\{ M_\infty = \hbox{$\displaystyle \lim_{t\to\infty} M_t\ exists\ in\ \mathbb{R}$} \Big\}\nonumber\\&=\Big\{ \sup\limits_{t\ge 0} M_t < \infty \Big\}=\Big\{ \inf_{t\ge 0} M_t > - \infty \Big\}\qquad {a.s.}\end{align}
As a consequence,
$\mathcal{E}(M)$
is in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
if and only if
$[M]_\infty < \infty$
a.s., and then
$\mathcal{E}(M)$
is even in
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
, and in particular has
$\mathcal{E}(M)_\infty > 0$
a.s.
Proof. The first equality is from [Reference Revuz and Yor18, Proposition V.(1.8)], and the second and third equalities are from Remark 3
$^\circ$
after [Reference Revuz and Yor18, Proposition V.(1.8)]. Next,
$\mathcal{E}(M) = \exp\!(M - \frac{1}{2} [M])$
together with (4.6) directly gives
$\mathcal{E}(M)\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
whenever
$[M]_\infty < \infty$
a.s. Conversely,
$\mathcal{E}(M)\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
implies by (4.6) that
$[\mathcal{E}(M)]_\infty < \infty$
a.s., and hence
Finally, any local martingale Z in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
is positive, and hence a supermartingale and thus a.s. convergent. So for local martingales,
$Z\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
automatically implies
$Z\in{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
.
Corollary 4.1. If we assume (4.4) holds then
$S^1$
is in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
if and only if
Proof. In view of (4.3) and (4.5),
$S^1$
is in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
if and only if
$\exp\!(\!\int \sigma^{(1)}_s\,\mathrm{d} W^1_s)$
is. This is also equivalent to
$- \infty < \inf_{t\ge0} \int_0^t \sigma^{(1)}_s\,\mathrm{d} W^1_s \le \sup_{t\ge0} \int_0^t \sigma^{(1)}_s\,\mathrm{d} W^1_s < \infty$
a.s., which is equivalent to (4.7) by Lemma 4.1.
We are now ready for the main result of this subsection. Define the process
Note that
$h>0$
because
$\sigma^{(1)}\ge 0$
and
$\sigma^{(2)}>0$
. The meaning of h will become clear in the proof below.
Proposition 4.2. Let
$S = (S^1,S^2)$
be given by (4.3) and assume (4.4) holds. Then the following are equivalent:
-
(i)
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \ne \varnothing$
and S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(ii) we have (4.7) and
(4.8)
\begin{equation}\int_0^\infty \frac{(\mu^{(2)}_s - \mu^{(1)}_s - \frac{1}{2} ((\sigma^{(2)}_s)^2 - (\sigma^{(1)}_s)^2) + \frac{1}{2} h_s)^2}{h_s} \,\mathrm{d} s < \infty\qquad{a.s.}\end{equation}
Proof. By (4.4) and Corollary 4.1, (4.7) implies that
$S^1\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. By Proposition 3.1,
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
for S is then equivalent to
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
for
$S/S^1 = (1,S^2/S^1)$
, and this motivates us to look at
$X\,:\!=\, S^2/S^1$
in more detail. From the explicit expressions for
$S^i$
in (4.3), it can be easily verified that
with
and hence
and
This shows that X satisfies the so-called weak structure condition that
$A\ll[M]$
; in fact,
and therefore the so-called mean–variance tradeoff process K of X is given by
The process K is clearly null at 0, is increasing, and can take values in
$[0,+\infty]$
. The condition (4.8) can then be rewritten as
$K_\infty < \infty$
a.s.
(ii)
$\Rightarrow$
(i): By Corollary 4.1, (4.7) ensures that
$S^1\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, which in turn implies that
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \ne \varnothing$
. Moreover, (4.8) yields
$\int_0^\infty \lambda_s^2 \,\mathrm{d} [M]_s = K_\infty < \infty$
a.s., so
$\hat Z \,:\!=\, \mathcal{E}({-} \lambda \bullet M )$
is a well-defined local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingale and in
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}\subseteq\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
by the second part of Lemma 4.1. Finally, an easy application of the product rule together with (4.9) and (4.10) shows that
$\hat Z X$
is a local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingale. So (v) in Theorem 4.1 is satisfied for
$D\,:\!=\,\hat Z$
and
$S/S^1 = (1,X)$
, and so
$S/S^1$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
.
(i)
$\Rightarrow$
(ii): Because S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}\ne\varnothing$
, the set
$\{ Y^*_\infty \,:\, Y \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
by Theorem 4.1(iv). Hence
$\sup_{t\ge0} S^1_t < \infty$
a.s., and thanks to (4.3) and (4.5) (which follows from (4.4)), we also obtain
$\sup_{t\ge0} \int_0^t \sigma^{(1)}_s \,\mathrm{d} W^1_s < \infty$
a.s. This implies (4.7) by Lemma 4.1, and then
$S^1\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
by Corollary 4.1. So by Theorem 4.1(v) with
$\eta\equiv e^1$
, hence
$V(\eta) = S^1$
, there exists
$Z\in{\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})\cap\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \subseteq{\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
such that
$ZS/S^1 = Z(1,X) = (Z,ZX)$
is in
${\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
. Because
$\mathcal{F}_0$
is trivial, we can take
$Z_0=1$
, and because
$X\ge0$
,
$ZX\in{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
is the same as
$ZX\in{\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
. So we have a local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingale
$Z>0$
for which ZX is also a local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingale, and this allows us to follow a familiar path as, for example, in the proof of Theorem 1 in [Reference Schweizer20].
Write
$Z = \mathcal{E}(N)$
for a local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingale null at 0, and note that N is continuous because
$\mathbb{F}$
is generated by a Brownian motion. Use the Galtchouk–Kunita–Watanabe decomposition to write
$N = \nu \bullet M + L$
with
$L\in{\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
strongly orthogonal to M; this means here
$[M,L]\equiv0$
because M and L are both continuous. Now use the product rule, (4.9), and (4.10) to conclude that like ZX, also
$\int Z\,\mathrm{d} A + \int Z \,\mathrm{d} [N,M] = \int Z(\lambda + \nu) \,\mathrm{d} [M]$
is a local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingale. This implies that
$\lambda+\nu\equiv 0$
, and hence
$N = -\lambda\bullet M + L$
, and so again by orthogonality of M and L that
But we also know that
$Z = \mathcal{E}(N)$
is in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
; so Lemma 4.1 yields
$[N]_\infty < \infty$
a.s., and hence
$K_\infty < \infty$
a.s., and this is (4.8).
We conclude this subsection with a few comments on the setting of Proposition 4.2.
Remark 4.5. (1) If
$\sigma^{(1)}\equiv0\equiv\mu^{(1)}$
so that
$S^1 \equiv 1$
then
$h = (\sigma^{(2)})^2$
, (4.7) always holds, and (4.8) reduces to
If also
$\mu^{(2)}$
and
$\sigma^{(2)}$
are non-random and constant then (4.3) is the classic Black–Scholes model and satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
if and only if
$\mu^{(2)}=0$
, i.e. if
$S^2$
is a martingale. This is not surprising as
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
for
$(1,S^2)$
is by Corollary 3.2 equivalent to classic NUPBR for
$S^2$
.
(2) If
$\sigma^{(1)} = \sigma^{(2)} = \sigma$
for a fixed process
$\sigma>0$
then
$h = 2\sigma^2 (1-\varrho)$
, and (4.8) reduces to
If we also impose (4.7) and assume that
$\varrho\le 1-\delta$
for some constant
$\delta>0$
, then (4.8) follows from
(and this is even equivalent to (4.8) if, e.g.,
$\mu^{(2)}\ge \mu^{(1)}$
). Equation (4.11) shows that, roughly speaking, in such a setting with identical volatilities for both assets,
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
for S forces
$\mu^{(1)}\approx\mu^{(2)}$
at
$\infty$
. But because of the correlation
$\varrho$
, this does not necessarily imply
$S^1 \approx S^2$
.
(3) By repeating the above analysis for a model on the (right-closed) interval [0, T], we could obtain a characterisation of
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
on [0, T] by replacing in (4.4)
$\sup_{t\ge0}$
by
$\sup_{0\le t\le T}$
and in (4.7) and (4.8)
$\int_0^\infty$
by
$\int_0^T$
. All these conditions are then automatically satisfied for any
$T\in(0,\infty)$
if we assume, for instance, that
$\mu^{(i)}$
,
$\sigma^{(i)}$
and
$\varrho$
are
$\mathbb{P}$
-a.s. continuous (in s). This illustrates that
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
on
$[0,\infty)$
is substantially stronger (or more restrictive) than
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
on [0, T] for every
$T\in(0,\infty)$
. The same observation about NUPBR is made in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer3, Corollary 5.4]; see also the discussion at the end of Subsection 5.1.
(4) What can we say about NUPBR in this example? If we assume (4.4), then under each of (i) and (ii) in Proposition 4.2, S satisfies NUPBR and hence also NUPBR by (3.5). Moreover,
$S^1$
is in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
by Corollary 4.1, so by Proposition 3.1, also
$S/S^1 = (1,X)$
satisfies NUPBR and then also NUPBR. So
$X = S^2/S^1$
satisfies classic NUPBR.
We can also obtain the last conclusion in a different way. If we assume (4.4) holds then in cases (i) and (ii), the proof of Proposition 4.2 yields a local martingale Z in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, and hence in
${\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}}$
with
$Z_\infty>0$
$\mathbb{P}$
-a.s., with the property that ZX is a local
$\mathbb{P}$
-martingale. So ZY is a
$\mathbb{P}$
-supermartingale for any
$Y\in\mathcal{G}^1(1,X)$
, and Theorem 4.15 in [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15] implies that X satisfies classic NUPBR. So
$S/S^1 = (1,X)$
satisfies NUPBR.
4.4. Comparison with the literature
We conclude this section with a brief comparison to other AOA notions in the literature which are discounting-invariant in some form.
To the best of our knowledge, there is only one
$\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
-discounting-invariant FTAP for a process S on the right-open time interval
$[0, \infty)$
. This is due to Bálint and Schweizer [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5]. The starting points of the present work and [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] are similar. First a suitable class
${\mathcal{D}} \subseteq \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
of discounters is fixed, and then an AOA concept which is discounting-invariant with respect to
${\mathcal{D}}$
is defined. Bálint and Schweizer [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] use the largest class
${\mathcal{D}} = \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, whereas our work considers only the smaller set
${\mathcal{D}} = \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. In both cases, the overall approach is in marked contrast to that of Delbaen and Schachermayer [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer7], who first fix an AOA concept (NA or NFLVR) and then find a (relatively small) class of discounters that does not destroy the AOA property chosen; see [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer7, Theorems 4.2 and 4.4].
The idea behind the AOA concept of DSV in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Definition 2.8] is as follows. A priori, one fixes a reference strategy
$\eta$
, which is a long-only (non-negative) strategy
$\eta \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
satisfying
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
. Then
$\textrm{DSV}(\eta)$
is defined as the zero strategy being strongly share maximal for
$\eta$
; see [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Definition 2.6]. This approach is unique in the literature because share maximality compares two strategies via their numbers of shares, not via the value processes associated with the strategies. This is in contrast to the notion of strong value maximality, which appears in [Reference Herdegen11], where numeraire-independent no-arbitrage (NINA) is defined as the zero strategy being strongly value maximal.
Even though DSV and our notion of
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
look very different at first glance, statement (vii) in Theorem 4.1 also appears in the dual characterisation in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] and allows us to connect the two concepts. To apply Theorem 4.1 in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] and Theorem 4.1 at the same time, we assume that S is non-negative and that the reference strategy
$\eta$
even satisfies
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. Then the connection between DSV and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
is as follows.
Corollary 4.2. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}_+^d$
and for any
$\eta \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
$\eta \ge 0$
and
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, (i)–(vii) in Theorem 4.1 are equivalent to the following:
-
(x) S satisfies
$\textrm{DSV}(\eta)$
, i.e. the zero strategy is strongly share maximal for
$\eta$
; -
(xi) the zero strategy is strongly value maximal for
$S/V(\eta)$
; -
(xii) the zero strategy is strongly value maximal for S.
Proof. The equivalence of (x) and (xi) is shown in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Theorem 4.1, (v1)
$\Leftrightarrow$
(v2)]. Next, by [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Lemma 3.1, (1)], strong value maximality is discounting-invariant with respect to
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, so the equivalence of (xi) and (xii) holds because
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. By [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Theorem 4.1, (v1)
$\Leftrightarrow$
(v3)], (x) is also equivalent to the existence of D such that
$DS\in{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
and
$V(\eta)/D\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, and again because
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, we then have
$D\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. So (x) is also equivalent to (vii) in Theorem 4.1.
Remark 4.6. (1) Under the assumptions of Corollary 4.2,
$\textrm{DSV}(\eta)$
is more restrictive than NUPBR, and Example 3.2 shows that it can be strictly more restrictive. Indeed, the market
$\,\tilde{\!S} \,:\!=\, DS$
with D and S as in Example 3.2 satisfies NUPBR, but
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and thus also DSV for
$\eta \equiv e_1\in\mathbb{R}^d$
(the buy-and-hold strategy of the first asset) fail.
On the other hand, Example 6.8 in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5] shows that DSV for some reference strategy (even in the classic set-up) does not imply NUPBR. Thus, in general, we have
But, of course, as seen in (3.5),
and Theorem 3.2 gives equivalence if
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap {\mathcal{S}}^{\textrm{conv}} \neq \varnothing$
. In particular, this is the case for the classic set-up because
$1\in\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
if
$S^1\equiv 1$
. From this perspective, our concept of
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
(or
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
) seems a more natural extension of the classic NUPBR condition in [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer6], [Reference Delbaen and Schachermayer8], and [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15]. However, in contrast to DSV, our AOA concepts are discounting-invariant with respect only to
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}\subsetneqq\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, and Example 3.1 shows that this cannot be improved on
$[0,\infty)$
.
(2) In the case of a right-closed time interval [0, T], Corollary 4.2 in particular shows that NUPBR is equivalent to NINA (see [Reference Herdegen11]), because the latter is simply strong value maximality of the zero strategy.
(3) In contrast to the dual characterisation in [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Theorem 4.1], (vii) of Theorem 4.1 tells us how at least one
$\sigma$
-martingale discounter D looks—it has the form
$D = Z/V(\eta)$
for some
$Z\in{\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
and some
$V(\eta)\in\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. In [Reference Bálint and Schweizer5, Theorem 4.1, (v3)], we obtain only
$D\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
and
$V(\eta)/D \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
for the reference strategy
$\eta$
(which satisfies
$V(\eta)\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
). In particular, whenever there exists
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
such that
$1/V(\eta)$
is locally bounded, we know that the discounter D in Theorem 4.1(vii) can be chosen to be a special semimartingale. This turns out to be very useful when we study random lower bounds in Subsection 5.3.
Remark 4.7. Our dual characterisation of
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
in Theorem 4.1 can be seen as a direct extension of dual characterisations of the classic notion of NUPBR for the classic model where
$S^1\equiv 1$
. We briefly summarise these classic results:
(1) The equivalence of (i)–(iii) is a natural generalisation of Karatzas and Kardaras [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras15, Theorem 4.12] to an
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
-discounting-invariant framework.
(2) The equivalence (v)
$\Leftrightarrow$
(viii) in particular generalises the dual characterisation of NUPBR for the classic model (choose
$\eta\equiv\mathrm{e}^1=(1,0,\dots,0)\in\mathbb{R}^d$
, and hence
$V(\eta) \equiv 1$
) in [Reference Takaoka and Schweizer23, Theorem 2.6] to the case of a right-open time interval.
Remark 4.8. A setting without a tradable riskless asset or savings account is also discussed in [Reference Platen and Tappe17]. But apart from considering the simpler case [0, T] of a finite time horizon, this is also less general than our work for the following reasons.
(a) Characterisations of ‘NUPBR’ and ‘NFLVR’ by dual properties are discussed in [Reference Platen and Tappe17, Section 3]. We use quotation marks because, for instance, the property ‘NUPBR’ is defined there as
$L^0$
-boundedness of the set
\begin{align*}\mathcal{I}^1_T(S)&\,:\!=\,\{ 1 + (\varphi\bullet S)_T \,:\, \varphi\in L(S), 1 + \varphi\bullet S \ge 0 \}\\&\phantom{:}\supsetneqq\{ 1 + (\varphi\bullet S)_T \,:\, \varphi\in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S), 1 + \varphi\bullet S \ge 0 \}=\mathcal{G}^1_T(S).\end{align*}
As explained before Proposition 2.3,
$\mathcal{G}^1_T(S)$
has a financial meaning, but
$\mathcal{I}^1_T(S)$
does not. Moreover, it can happen that S satisfies NUPBR (in our financial sense), but the purely mathematical condition ‘NUPBR’ fails; an example is given in [Reference Gebele10, Example 3.12].
(b) In [Reference Platen and Tappe17, Section 4] NUPBR and NFLVR (now without quotation marks) are studied for a market of dimension
$d+1$
, consisting of
$S\in\mathcal{S}^d_+$
and an extra tradable savings account B which is predictable and in
$\textrm{FV}_{++}$
. This can be easily reduced to the classic set-up via Proposition 2.3.
5. Applications
With the help of the dual characterisations in Theorem 4.1, we can show additional properties of
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. All results are formulated for
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and assume
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
. Thanks to Theorem 3.2, we can replace
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
in the statements below by
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
without altering the conclusions.
5.1. NUPBR up to a stopping time
Recall that
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
is the set of all
$[0,\infty]$
-valued
$\mathbb{F}$
-stopping-times and
$\mathcal{T}\subseteq\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
consists of all finite-valued
$\tau$
. The goal of this subsection is to make sense of NUPBR up to time
$\tau$
for some
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
—we want to study AOA only on
$[\![0, \tau]\!]$
, not necessarily on the entire space
$[\![0,\infty]\!] = [\![ 0,\infty [\![\; = \Omega \times [0, \infty)$
. At first glance, for
$\tau$
finite, it is tempting to define NUPBR up to time
$\tau$
as
$L^0$
-boundedness of the set
It is immediate from (iv) in Theorem 4.1 that this set is bounded in
$L^0$
under
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and if
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
. However, to study AOA on
$[\![0,\tau]\!]$
, it does not make sense to insist on trading strategies that are self-financing and undefaultable on all of
$[\![0,\infty]\!]$
, and we need for the self-financing property up to time
$\tau$
only
$S^\tau$
-integrability instead of S-integrability. So we consider the following strategies as self-financing on
$[\![0,\tau]\!]$
.
Definition 5.1. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
. An
$\mathbb{R}^d$
-valued predictable process
$\varphi$
is called self-financing for S up to time
$\tau$
, and we write
$\varphi\in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}_{[\![0,\tau]\!]}(S)$
if:
-
(1)
$\varphi \in L(S^\tau)$
; -
(2)
$\varphi$
is self-financing for
$S^\tau$
on
$[\![0,\tau]\!]$
, i.e.
\begin{equation*}V^{S^\tau}(\varphi) = \varphi_0 \cdot S_0 + \varphi\bullet S^\tau \big( = \varphi_0 \cdot S_0 + \varphi \bullet S = V(\varphi) = V^S(\varphi) \big),\qquad\hbox{all on $[\![0,\tau]\!]$.}\end{equation*}
The following result was pointed out to us by an unknown referee (and we gratefully acknowledge the referee’s insistence that it is true).
Lemma 5.1. We have
Proof. By Definition 2.1,
$\varphi^\tau\in\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S^\tau)$
means (i)
$\varphi^\tau\in L(S^\tau)$
, which is equivalent to
$\varphi\in L(S^\tau)$
, and (ii)
$\varphi^\tau \cdot S^\tau = \varphi^\tau_0 \cdot S^\tau_0 + \varphi^\tau \bullet S^\tau$
on
$[\![ 0,\infty]\!]$
. The latter is equivalent to the two separate conditions
But for
$t>\tau$
, we have
$(\varphi^\tau\bullet S^\tau)_t = \int_0^t \varphi^\tau_u \,\mathrm{d} S^\tau_u = \int_0^\tau \varphi^\tau_u \,\mathrm{d} S^\tau_u = \int_0^\tau \varphi_u \,\mathrm{d} S_u = (\varphi\bullet S)_\tau$
because
$S^\tau$
is constant after
$\tau$
and
$\varphi^\tau = \varphi$
,
$S^\tau = S$
on
$[\![ 0,\tau ]\!]$
. So the second condition simply says that
$\varphi_\tau\cdot S_\tau = \varphi_0\cdot S_0 + (\varphi\bullet S)_\tau$
, and this already follows from the first condition. Therefore having (i) and (ii) from just above is equivalent to having (1) and (2) from Definition 5.1.
For each
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
, we consider the value processes
and view them as reasonable investments up to time
$\tau$
. Note that
$X = X^\tau$
for any
$X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau)$
, which is natural because we want to look at the market only up to time
$\tau$
. As a consequence, we suggest the following AOA concepts up to time
$\tau$
.
Definition 5.2. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
, we say that S satisfies
$\underline{\textit{NUPBR}}$
(respectively
$\overline{\textit{NUPBR}}$
) up to time
$\tau$
(
$\underline{\textit{NUPBR}}_\tau$
respectively
$\overline{\textit{NUPBR}}_\tau$
) if the set
\begin{align*}\phantom{\Big(\hbox{resp.}}\,\underline{\mathcal{G}^1_{\tau}}(S;\,\tau)&\,:\!=\,\Big\{X_\tau \textbf{1}_{\{\tau < \infty\}} + \liminf_{t \to \infty} X_t \textbf{1}_{\{\tau = \infty\}} \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau) \Big\}\\&\phantom{:}=\Big\{ \liminf_{t\to\infty} X^\tau_t \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau) \Big\}\\\Big(\hbox{respectively}\ \overline{\mathcal{G}^1_{\tau}}(S;\,\tau)&\,:\!=\,\Big\{X_\tau \textbf{1}_{\{\tau < \infty\}} + \limsup_{t \to \infty} X_t \textbf{1}_{\{\tau = \infty\}} \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau) \Big\}\\&\phantom{:}=\Big\{ \limsup_{t\to\infty} X^\tau_t \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau) \Big\} \Big)\end{align*}
is bounded in
$L^0$
.
As in Subsections 3.1 and 3.2, we want to look at ‘final values’ of processes
$X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau)$
, and this is captured by using
$\liminf$
(respectively
$\limsup$
) on
$\{\tau = \infty\}$
. Note that in view of Lemma 5.1, we have
$\underline{\mathcal{G}^1_{\tau}}(S;\,\tau) = \underline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(S^\tau)$
.
We first provide a number of auxiliary results. The first is easy, and we only give the proof for completeness.
Lemma 5.2. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
, the following hold:
-
(i) for any
$\mathbb{R}^d$
-valued predictable process
$\varphi$
, we have
$\varphi \in L(S^\tau)$
if and only if
$\varphi \mathbf{1}_{]\!]0,\tau]\!]}$
is in L(S); in this case,
$\varphi \bullet S^\tau = (\varphi \mathbf{1}_{]\!]0,\tau]\!]}) \bullet S$
; -
(ii)
$L(S) \subseteq L(S^\tau)$
; -
(iii) for all
$\varphi \in L(S)$
,
$\varphi \bullet S^\tau = (\varphi \bullet S)^\tau = \varphi^\tau \bullet S^\tau$
.
Proof. (i) Clearly
$L(S^\tau)= L(S^\tau - S_0)$
, and
$(S^i)^\tau - S^i_0= H^i \bullet S^i$
with
$H^i \,:\!=\, \textbf{1}_{]\!]0, \tau]\!]}$
for all i. Now the second associativity in [Reference Shiryaev and Cherny21, Theorem 4.7] yields the claim.
(ii) For
$\varphi \in L(S)$
, there exists a decomposition
$S = S_0+M+A$
with
$M \in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
and
$A \in \textrm{FV}$
such that
$\varphi \in L^1_\textrm{loc}(M) \cap L_\textrm{var}(A)$
. This implies
$\varphi \textbf{1}_{]\!]0,\tau]\!]} \in L^1_\textrm{loc}(M) \cap L_\textrm{var}(A)$
and thus
$\varphi \textbf{1}_{]\!]0,\tau]\!]} \in L(S)$
. Now we can use (i).
(iii) By (i) and (ii), we have for
$\varphi \in L(S)$
that
So the first associativity in [Reference Shiryaev and Cherny21, Theorem 4.6] completes the proof.
Corollary 5.1. For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
and
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
, we have
$ \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S) \subseteq \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}_{[\![0, \tau]\!]}(S)$
.
Proof. Fix
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
. Lemma 5.2 yields
$\varphi \in L(S^\tau)$
, and
$\varphi$
is in
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}_{[\![0, \tau]\!]}(S)$
because
From an economic point of view, it would be desirable to have
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}_\tau$
whenever
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
holds. Indeed, an agent who participates in the market S may stop trading at any time
$\tau$
before reaching the time horizon. Consequently, a reasonable model should not only exclude arbitrage opportunities for those participants who continue trading until the (possibly infinite) end. However, the following example shows that even on the closed interval [0, T], this cannot hold in general.
Example 5.1. Consider
$T=2$
and the deterministic price process
$S = (S^1, S^2)$
with
For any fixed
$n \in \mathbb{N}$
, the constant strategy
$\varphi \equiv (n, ({1-n})/{2})$
is self-financing for S, and its value process satisfies
Since also
$V_0(\varphi) = 1$
, this shows that
$V(\varphi) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, and hence
$ \mathcal{G}^1_1(S) \supseteq \{ ({n+1})/{2} \,:\, n \in \mathbb{N} \}$
is not bounded in
$L^0$
. However, S satisfies NUPBR since
$\mathcal{G}_2^1(S) = \{0\}$
.
Theorem 4.1 helps us to study how
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
behaves with respect to stopping S. For a given stopping time
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
, the set
$L(S^\tau)$
of integrands might be strictly larger than L(S). So if we simply consider the set
$\underline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(S^\tau)$
, it is not clear whether this is bounded in
$L^0$
whenever
$\underline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(S)$
is, i.e. when S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. However, with the dual characterisation, this can be answered easily.
Corollary 5.2. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
and fix
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
. Then we also have
$\mathcal{G}^1(S^\tau) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
. Moreover, if S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
then the stopped market
$S^\tau$
also satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
.
Proof. For the first statement, take
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S)$
with
$V(\varphi) = V^S(\varphi) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. Then Corollary 5.1 yields
$\varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}_{[\![0,\tau]\!]}(S)$
, and Lemma 5.1 implies
$\varphi^\tau \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S^\tau)$
. This shows that
$V^{S^\tau}(\varphi^\tau) = (V^S(\varphi))^\tau$
is in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S^\tau) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
. For the second statement,
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
for S is by Theorem 4.1(vii) equivalent to saying that we have
$DS\in{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
for some
$D\in\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, and so it is enough to argue that
${\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
and
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
are both stable under stopping. But this is clear for
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
and straightforward to verify for
${\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
.
We can now state the main result of this subsection.
Theorem 5.1. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
and fix
$\tau \in \overline{\mathcal{T}}$
. If S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
then the set
$ \{ X^*_\tau \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau) \} = \{ X^*_\infty \,:\, X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau) \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
. In particular, S satisfies both
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}_\tau$
and
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}_\tau$
.
Proof. Take any
$X\in\mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau)$
. Then
$X^*_\infty = X^*_\tau$
because
$X = X^\tau$
, and by (5.2), there exists
$\varphi\in\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}_{[\![0,\tau]\!]}(S)$
with
$\varphi_0\cdot S_0 = V_0(\varphi) = 1$
,
$\varphi\cdot S = V(\varphi) \ge 0$
on
$[\![0,\tau]\!]$
, and
$X = (V(\varphi))^\tau$
. By (5.1) in Lemma 5.1,
$\varphi$
is predictable with
$\psi \,:\!=\, \varphi^\tau\in\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S^\tau)$
. So
$\psi\in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S^\tau)$
with
$V^{S^\tau}_0 (\psi) = \psi_0\cdot S_0 = V_0(\varphi) = 1$
and
$Y \,:\!=\, V^{S^\tau}(\psi) = \psi\cdot S^\tau = (V(\varphi))^\tau = X \ge 0$
. Therefore
$X=Y \in \mathcal{G}^1(S^\tau)$
, and so
$\mathcal{G}^1(S;\,\tau) \subseteq \mathcal{G}^1(S^\tau)$
. But by Corollary 5.2,
$S^\tau$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
as well as
$\mathcal{G}^1(S^\tau) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
, and so (iv) in Theorem 4.1 completes the proof.
Theorem 5.1 in particular shows for
$\tau\equiv T$
that the condition
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
on
$[0, \infty)$
for
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
implies NUPBR on any closed time interval [0, T] with
$T>0$
and thus NA1—that is, ‘anything good costs something’; for a discussion, see, for example, [Reference Karatzas and Kardaras16, Subsection 2.2.2 on viability, and notes and complements for Chapter 2]. Therefore
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
excludes arbitrage opportunities in the sense of Schachermayer’s definition [Reference Schachermayer19] that ‘an arbitrage opportunity is the possibility to make a profit in a financial market without risk and without net investment of capital’. We emphasise that the converse is not true: Example 3.1 clearly shows that NA1, or equivalently NUPBR on any right-closed interval [0, T] with
$T>0$
, can be strictly weaker than NUPBR on
$[0, \infty)$
. In particular, NA1 is weaker than
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
on
$[0, \infty)$
.
5.2. Change of the market dimension
Fix
$d, \,\tilde{\!d} \in \mathbb{N}$
. The goal of this subsection is to study how our AOA conditions behave under a change of the market dimension. More precisely, for a market
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S}) \in \mathcal{S}^d \times\mathcal{S}^{\skew4\tilde{d}}$
, we are interested in the following questions.
-
(1) If the large market
$(S,\,\tilde{\!S})$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, what can we say about
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
for the small markets S and
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
? -
(2) If the small markets S and
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
each satisfy
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
, which additional assumptions are needed to establish
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
for the large market
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S})$
?
We start by investigating question (1). The next result lets us connect self-financing strategies of S and
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
to a self-financing strategy for
$(S,\,\tilde{\!S})$
. Its easy proof is omitted.
Lemma 5.3. Fix
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S}) \in \mathcal{S}^d \times \mathcal{S}^{\skew4\tilde{d}}$
. Then any
$(\varphi, \tilde{\varphi}) \in L(S) \times L(\,\tilde{\!S})$
is also in
$L(S,\,\tilde{\!S})$
and
$ (\varphi, \tilde{\varphi}) \bullet (S,\,\tilde{\!S}) = \varphi \bullet S + \tilde{\varphi} \bullet \,\tilde{\!S}$
. In particular, we have
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S) \times \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(\,\tilde{\!S}) \subseteq \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S, \,\tilde{\!S})$
.
We now answer question (1) without extra assumptions on
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S})$
.
Corollary 5.3. If
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S}) \in \mathcal{S}^d \times \mathcal{S}^{\skew4\tilde{d}}$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
(or
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
), both S and
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
also satisfy
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
(respectively
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
).
Proof. Using Lemma 5.3, we obtain
\begin{align*} \mathcal{G}^1(S) + \mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S}) &\subseteq \{V^{(S, \,\tilde{\!S})}(\varphi, \tilde{\varphi}) \,:\, (\varphi, \tilde{\varphi}) \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S, \,\tilde{\!S}), V_0^{(S, \,\tilde{\!S})} (\varphi, \tilde{\varphi}) = 2, V^{(S, \,\tilde{\!S})} (\varphi, \tilde{\varphi}) \ge 0 \} \\ &= \mathcal{G}^2(S, \,\tilde{\!S}) = 2\mathcal{G}^1(S, \,\tilde{\!S}). \end{align*}
As both
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
and
$\mathcal{G}^1(\,\tilde{\!S})$
are subsets of
$\mathcal{S}^1_+$
, both
$\underline{\mathcal{G}^1_\infty}(S)$
and
$\underline{\mathcal{G}_\infty^1}(\,\tilde{\!S})$
are bounded above by
$2\underline{\mathcal{G}_\infty^1}(S, \,\tilde{\!S})$
. This gives the result for
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
; the argument for
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
is analogous.
From an economic point of view, the previous result is not surprising. It simply says that whenever there is an arbitrage opportunity in one of the small markets S and
$\,\tilde{\!S}$
, then the full model
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S})$
also allows arbitrage.
Question (2) aims at a converse result. It is clear that given some
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
, an extension by
$\,\tilde{\!S} \in \mathcal{S}^{\skew4\tilde{d}}$
must satisfy some conditions depending on S. Indeed, any strictly positive one-dimensional model with
$\liminf_{t\to\infty} S_t < \infty$
a.s. satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
because [Reference Gebele10, Proposition 2.4] shows that for
$d=1$
and
$S\in\mathcal{S}^1_{++}$
, any self-financing strategy is constant. Hence for any
$S \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^d$
with
$\liminf_{t\to\infty} S^i_t < \infty$
a.s. for all i, each component
$S^i$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
even if S does not.
For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
, we define
\begin{align*} {\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S) &\,:\!=\, \{ D \in \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \,:\, DS \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma (\mathbb{P}) \}, \\ \frac{{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})}{{\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S)} &\,:\!=\, \bigg\{ \frac{M}{D} \,:\, M \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P}), D \in {\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S) \bigg\}.\end{align*}
For
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
, (vii) in Theorem 4.1 states that S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
if and only if
${\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S) \neq \varnothing$
. This allows us to answer question (2).
Corollary 5.4. For
$(S,\,\tilde{\!S}) \in \mathcal{S}^d \times \mathcal{S}^{\skew4\tilde{d}}$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S,\,\tilde{\!S}) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
, the following are equivalent:
-
(i)
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S})$
satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(ii)
$(S, \,\tilde{\!S})$
satisfies
${\overline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
; -
(iii)
${\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S) \neq \varnothing$
and
$\,\tilde{\!S} \in {{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})}/{{\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S)}$
.
If we have in addition
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)\cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
, then (i)–(iii) are also equivalent to:
-
(iv) S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
$\,\tilde{\!S} \in {{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})}/{{\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S)}$
.
Proof. Clearly, (iii) is equivalent to
${\mathcal{D}}_\sigma(S,\,\tilde{\!S}) \neq \varnothing$
. Thus the equivalence of (i)–(iii) follows from Theorem 4.1. For the additional statement, apply Theorem 4.1 to S.
In the case of a right-closed time interval [0, T], a statement similar to Corollary 5.4 appears in [Reference Herdegen and Schweizer13, Theorem 4.2].
5.3. Random lower bounds
Up to now, our AOA concepts have considered value processes in the set
In the following, we want to replace the lower bound 0 in the definition of
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
by a random lower bound. More precisely, we want to study the set
for a random (hence the letter r) lower bound
$L \in \mathcal{R}^1$
, the space of all real-valued adapted RCLL processes. Our goal is to establish a class of random lower bounds
$L \in \mathcal{R}^1_{+}$
such that
is bounded in
$L^0$
. For any
$L \in \mathcal{R}^1_+$
, we have
$L\ge0$
, and hence
So
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
is clearly necessary to bound (5.3). Conversely, by (iv) in Theorem 4.1,
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
imply
$L^0$
-boundedness of (5.3) for
$L \equiv 0$
. To find a larger class of such random lower bounds, we first consider a more abstract setting. Recall that
$\mathcal{F}_0$
is assumed to be
$\mathbb{P}$
-trivial.
Lemma 5.4. Let
$\mathcal{V} \subseteq {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
be such that
$\mathcal{V}_0 \,:\!=\, \{V_0 \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V} \}\subseteq\mathbb{R}$
is bounded. Then for any
$M\in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P}) \cap \mathcal{S}^1_+$
, the set
$ \{V^*_\infty \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V}, V \ge -M\} $
is bounded in
$L^0$
.
Proof. For any
$V \in \mathcal{V}$
with
$V \ge -M$
, the sum
$V+M$
is a non-negative
$\sigma$
-martingale, and hence a non-negative local martingale, and then a supermartingale on
$[0,\infty]$
. Because
$M\ge0$
, it is enough to show that the set
$\{(V+M)^*_\infty \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V}, V \ge -M \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
. For
$\tau \,:\!=\, \inf \{t>0 \,:\, V_t + M_t >\ell \}$
, the stopping theorem yields
By the boundedness of
$\mathcal{V}_0$
, this converges uniformly in V to 0 as
$\ell \to \infty$
.
Roughly speaking,
$L^0$
-boundedness does not take into account what happens on a set of small probability. This allows us to generalise Lemma 5.4 to a lower bound that is not necessarily a local martingale. We introduce the following terminology: a localising sequence in
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
is a sequence
$(\tau_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$
of stopping times in
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
which increases to
$\infty$
stationarily, i.e.
$\tau_n \nearrow\infty$
a.s. and
$\mathbb{P}[\tau_n<\infty] \to 0$
as
$n\to\infty$
.
Proposition 5.1. Let
$\mathcal{V} \subseteq {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
be such that
$\mathcal{V}_0 \,:\!=\, \{V_0 \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V} \}\subseteq\mathbb{R}$
is bounded. Let
$L \in \mathcal{R}^1_+$
and assume there exist a localising sequence
$(\tau_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$
in
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
and local martingales
$M^n$
,
$n\in\mathbb{N}$
, such that
$L^{\tau_n} \le M^n$
for each n. Then the set
$ \{V^*_\infty \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V}, V \ge -L \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
.
Proof. Fix
$n \in \mathbb{N}$
and set
$\tilde{\mathcal{V}}^n \,:\!=\, \{V^{\tau_n} \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V} \}\subseteq{\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
. Because
$-L^{\tau_n} \ge -M^n$
, Lemma 5.4 applied to
$\tilde{\mathcal{V}}^n$
shows that the set
$ \{ V^*_{\tau_n} \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V}, V \ge - L \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
. Consequently, for each
$V \in \mathcal{V}$
with
$V \ge -L$
, we obtain
For each
$n \in \mathbb{N}$
, the right-hand side of (5.4) thus converges uniformly in V to
$\mathbb{P}[\tau_n < \infty]$
as
$\ell \to \infty$
, and choosing n large enough makes that term as small as we like.
We next apply the previous result to
$\textrm{r}\mathcal{G}^1(S\,|\,L)$
. We define
and set
So any
$L\in\mathcal{G}^1(S) \mathcal{L}'$
is up to localisation in
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
a multiple (by a random process) of an element in
$\mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. This can be viewed as a localised version of the lower bounds studied in [Reference Sin22, Chapter 3] and [Reference Yan24].
The following is our main result on random lower bounds.
Theorem 5.2. Let
$S \in \mathcal{S}^d$
with
$\mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}} \neq \varnothing$
and assume that S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
. Then for any
$L \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \mathcal{L}'$
, the set
$ \{ X^*_\infty \,:\, X \in \textrm{r}\mathcal{G}^1(S\,|\,L) \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
.
Proof. Fix
$V(\eta) \in \mathcal{G}^1(S) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
so that
$V(\eta)_0=1$
. Theorem 4.1(v) gives us a process
$Z \in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P}) \cap \mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
such that
$Z S/V(\eta) \in {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
. Now the definition of
$\textrm{r}\mathcal{G}^1(S\,|\,L)$
and (2.1) with
$D \,:\!=\, Z/V(\eta)$
give
\begin{align*}\textrm{r}\mathcal{G}^1(S\,|\,L)&=\frac{V(\eta)}{Z} \bigg \{ V^{ZS/V(\eta)}(\varphi) \,:\, \varphi \in \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S), V_0^{ZS/V(\eta)}(\varphi) = Z_0, V^{ZS/V(\eta)}(\varphi) \ge -Z\frac{L}{V(\eta)} \bigg \} \\& \,=\!:\, \frac{V(\eta)}{Z} \mathcal{V},\end{align*}
and because
$V(\eta)$
and Z are in
$\mathcal{S}_{++}^{\textrm{unif}}$
, it suffices to show that
$\{V^*_\infty \,:\, V \in \mathcal{V} \}$
is bounded in
$L^0$
. Proposition 2.1 shows that
$\Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(S) = \Theta^{\mathrm{sf}}(ZS/V(\eta))$
. Hence we have
$\mathcal{V} \subseteq {\mathcal{M}}_\sigma(\mathbb{P})$
, and thus Proposition 5.1 applies if we can show that there exists a localising sequence
$(\tau_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$
in
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
such that each
$(ZL/V(\eta))^{\tau_n}$
can be dominated by a local martingale
$M^n$
. To this end, write
$L = X L'$
with
$X \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
and
$L' \in \mathcal{L}'$
. The discounting invariance of the self-financing property in Proposition 2.1 shows that
$ZX/V(\eta)$
is a stochastic integral of the
$\sigma$
-martingale
$ZS/V(\eta)$
. In addition, it is non-negative and hence a local martingale. Moreover, because
$L'\in\mathcal{L}'$
, there exist a localising sequence
$(\tau_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$
in
$\overline{\mathcal{T}}$
and a sequence
$(c_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}} \subseteq \mathbb{R}_+$
with
$(L')^{\tau_n} \le c_n$
for each n. Hence
$M^n \,:\!=\, c_n ZX/V(\eta) \in {\mathcal{M}}_\textrm{loc}(\mathbb{P})$
does the job.
To the best of our knowledge, even for the classic set-up where
$1 \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
, a result similar to Theorem 5.2 does not exist in the literature. Moreover, Theorem 5.2 is optimal in the sense that
$\mathcal{L}'$
cannot be replaced by the set of all locally bounded processes in
$\mathcal{R}^1_+$
. Hence the requirement that
$(\tau_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$
increases to infinity stationarily in the definition of
$\mathcal{L}'$
is indispensable. We provide an easy example.
Example 5.2. Let W be a standard Brownian motion and set
$S \,:\!=\, (1, W)$
. Clearly, S satisfies
${\underline{\textrm{NUPBR}}}$
and
$1 \in \mathcal{G}^1(S)$
. However,
$\limsup_{t \to \infty} W_t = \infty$
by the law of the iterated logarithm. Thus even the set
\begin{align*}\Big \{\limsup_{t \to \infty} X_t \,:\, X \in \textrm{r}\mathcal{G}^1\big(S\,\big|\,|W|\big) \Big \}&=\Big \{ \limsup_{t \to \infty} \big( 1+ (\varphi \bullet W)_t \big) \,:\, \varphi \in L(W), 1+ \varphi \bullet W \ge -|W| \Big \}\\&\supseteq \{\infty\}\end{align*}
is not bounded in
$L^0$
. But, of course,
$|W|$
is locally bounded.
Acknowledgements
We thank two anonymous referees for a number of constructive critical questions which prompted us to rewrite and rethink our presentation and explanations in a major way. The paper has greatly benefited from that.
Funding information
The first author gratefully acknowledges financial support from the Henssler-Stiftung in Zurich.
Competing interests
There were no competing interests to declare which arose during the preparation or publication process for this article.




