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On a bivariate risk process with a dividend barrier strategy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 July 2014

Luyin Liu*
Affiliation:
Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
Eric C. K. Cheung*
Affiliation:
Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
*
*Correspondence to: Luyin Liu and Eric C. K. Cheung, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong. Tel: (852) 2857-8315; Fax: (852) 2858-9041; E-mail: kidaliu@gmail.com; eckc@hku.hk
*Correspondence to: Luyin Liu and Eric C. K. Cheung, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong. Tel: (852) 2857-8315; Fax: (852) 2858-9041; E-mail: kidaliu@gmail.com; eckc@hku.hk
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Abstract

In this paper, we study a continuous-time bivariate risk process in which each individual line of business implements a dividend barrier strategy. The insurance portfolios of the two insurers are correlated as they are subject to common shocks that induce dependent claims. To analyse the expected discounted dividends until the joint ruin time of the bivariate process (i.e. exit from the positive quadrant), we propose a discrete-time counterpart of the model and apply a bivariate extension of the Dickson−Waters discretisation with the use of a bivariate Panjer-type recursion. Detailed numerical examples under different dependencies via common shocks, copulas and proportional reinsurance are discussed, and applications to optimal problems in reinsurance, capital allocation and dividends are given. It is also illustrated that the optimal pair of dividend barriers maximising the dividend function is dependent on the initial surplus levels. A modified type of dividend barrier strategy is proposed towards the end.

Information

Type
Papers
Copyright
© Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2014 
Figure 0

Table 1 Approximated dividends in the two lines for various sets (β1, β2): (a) V1 and (b) V2.

Figure 1

Table 2 Simulated dividends in the two lines: (a) V1 and (b) V2.

Figure 2

Table 3 Approximated dividends in the two lines for different levels of common shocks: (a) V1 and (b) V2.

Figure 3

Table 4 Copulas and their Kendall’s rank correlation coefficients.

Figure 4

Table 5 Approximated dividends in the two lines for different copulas with τ=0.2: (a) V1 and (b) V2.

Figure 5

Table 6 Approximated dividends in the two lines for different copulas with τ=−0.2: (a) V1 and (b) V2.

Figure 6

Table 7 Approximated dividends for different s1 with β1c1 ≈ 160: (a) V1, (b) V2 and (c) Sum.

Figure 7

Table 8 The optimal pair of barriers $(b_{1}^{{\asterisk}} ,b_{2}^{{\asterisk}} )$ for 1≤u1, u2≤9.

Figure 8

Table 9 The optimal total dividends for 1≤u1, u2≤9.

Figure 9

Figure 1 Plot of approximated total dividends against b2 when (u1, u2)=(5, 5).

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Table 10 Approximated total dividends when (u1, u2)=(5, 5).

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Table 11 Approximated total dividends when (u1, u2)=(5, 6).

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Table 12 Approximated total dividends when (u1, u2)=(5, 7).

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Table 13 The optimal barriers for 1≤u1≤9 and 1≤u2≤12.

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Table 14 Approximated optimal dividends for 1≤u1≤9 and 1≤u2≤12.

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Figure 2 Plot of approximated optimal dividends against u2 under u1+u1=K.

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Table 15 The restricted optimal barriers for 1≤u1≤9 and 1≤u2≤12.

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Table 16 Approximated restricted optimal dividends for 1≤u1≤9 and 1≤u2≤12.

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Figure 3 Plot of approximated restricted optimal dividends against u2 under u1+u2=K.

Figure 19

Table 17 Optimal parameters of the modified barrier strategy.

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Table 18 Approximated optimal dividends under modified barrier strategy.

Figure 21

Figure 4 Plot of approximated optimal dividends against u2 under u1+u1=K with the modified barrier strategy.