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How Words and Money Cultivate a Personal Vote: The Effect of Legislator Credit Claiming on Constituent Credit Allocation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 October 2012

JUSTIN GRIMMER*
Affiliation:
Stanford University
SOLOMON MESSING*
Affiliation:
Stanford University
SEAN J. WESTWOOD*
Affiliation:
Stanford University
*
Justin Grimmer is Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, Encina Hall West, 616 Serra Street, Stanford, CA, 94305 (jgrimmer@stanford.edu).
Solomon Messing is a Ph.D. candidate, Department of Communication, Stanford University, 450 Serra Mall, Building 120, Room 110, Stanford, CA, 94305 (messing@stanford.edu).
Sean J. Westwood is a Ph.D. candidate, Department of Communication, Stanford University, 450 Serra Mall, Building 120, Room 110, Stanford, CA, 94305 (seanjw@stanford.edu).
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Abstract

Particularistic spending, a large literature argues, builds support for incumbents. This literature equates money spent in the district with the credit constituents allocate. Yet, constituents lack the necessary information and motivation to allocate credit in this way. We use extensive observational and experimental evidence to show how legislators’ credit claiming messages—and not just money spent in the district—affect how constituents allocate credit. Legislators use credit claiming messages to influence the expenditures they receive credit for and to affect how closely they are associated with spending in the district. Constituents are responsive to credit claiming messages—they build more support than other nonpartisan messages. But contrary to expectations from other studies, constituents are more responsive to the total number of messages sent rather than the amount claimed. Our results have broad implications for political representation, the personal vote, and the study of U.S. Congressional elections.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2012
Figure 0

FIGURE 1. Representatives Claim Credit for Grants as well as Earmarks, but Vary in Frequency of Credit ClaimingNotes: This figure demonstrates that legislators use both grants and earmarks to create the impression they are effective at delivering funds to the district, though there is substantial variability in the space allocated to credit claiming across legislators. The figure visualizes the distribution of the proportion of press releases claiming credit for money allocated through the appropriations process (left-hand distribution) and grants (right-hand distribution) for Democrats (left panel) and Republicans (right panel) across the 109th, 110th, and 111th Congress. Where the distributions are thicker, there is a larger concentration of legislators, thinner areas imply fewer legislators, and the grey dot is the mean proportion of press releases for that distribution. For specific numerical values, we provide the mean and standard deviation (SD) for each distribution.

Figure 1

FIGURE 2. Moderates Claim Credit for Spending at a Higher Rate than ExtremistsNotes: This figure provides one example of systematic differences across legislators in credit claiming behavior—demonstrating how ideological moderates allocate more space to claiming credit than other senators. The panels present the relationship between ideology and credit claiming propensity in the 109th (left-hand panel), 110th (center panel), and 111th (right-hand panel) Congress. Along the horizontal axis of each panel legislators are plotted according to their DW-Nominate score and the vertical axis contains the proportion of press releases dedicated to claiming credit for expenditures. The black line is a LOESS regression, revealing the relationship between ideology and credit claiming (Cleveland 1979).

Figure 2

FIGURE 3. Summarizing the Systematic Differences in Credit Claiming BehaviorNotes: This figure summarizes systematic differences across legislators in their credit claiming frequency. To do this the figure presents the percentage point difference in share of press releases dedicated to credit claiming (horizontal axis) across representatives’ characteristics (vertical axis). The points in the figure are the mean of the differences across groups or the difference in means associated with shifts in characteristics, while the lines are 95 percent confidence intervals for the mean.

Figure 3

TABLE 1. Example Templates for Facebook Posts

Figure 4

FIGURE 4. Example Message from Our Facebook Application, Compared to Actual Credit Claiming on FacebookNotes: This figure compares a message from our application that is ostensibly from Anna Eshoo (D-CA) (left-hand picture) to an actual credit claiming message from Anna Eshoo (right-hand picture). The strong resemblance is evidence of the ecological validity of our treatments.

Figure 5

TABLE 2. The Effect of Credit Claiming and Advertising on Constituents

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TABLE 3. Total Amount Claimed across Experiment Conditions

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TABLE 4. Example Credit Claiming Manipulation

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TABLE 5. Number of Messages Dominates the Amount Claimed

Figure 9

FIGURE 5. Number of Messages Dominates the Amount ClaimedThis figure shows that multiple messages cultivate more support than increasing the amount claimed. The left-hand plot presents subjects’ evaluations of their legislator's effectiveness at delivering money to the district. The points are the average evaluations and the lines are 95-percent confidence intervals. Even though there is $1.3 million more announced in the large award, low frequency condition (second line), subjects evaluated their representative as less effective at delivering money than the small award, high frequency condition (third line). And the large increase in money claimed in the large award, high frequency condition (top line) does not result in substantially higher evaluations. The right-hand plot shows a similar effect of more messages on feeling thermometer evaluations—the number of messages dominates the amount claimed.

Figure 10

TABLE 6. The Effect of Credit Claiming on Senate Approval

Supplementary material: PDF

Grimmer Supplementary Material

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