Introduction
Rapid access to appropriate clinical facilities is critical during the early phase of outbreaks, when delays in establishing treatment capacity can increase transmission, worsen outcomes and weaken overall response effectiveness.Reference Steele, Orefuwa and Dickmann1 Although the design of treatment centers has evolved in recent years, significant operational challenges remain. In many settings, traditional emergency structures are slow to construct, rely on suboptimal layouts that hinder proper patient separation, and lack visibility for real-time monitoring.Reference Fontana, Pagano and De Filippi2 These constraints can reduce the frequency of clinical assessments, hinder communication with patients and families, and limit the delivery of safe care during the critical early phase of an outbreak.3
To address these challenges, the World Health Organization (WHO) and the World Food Programme (WFP) established INITIATE,Reference Fontana, Pagano and De Filippi2 a multidisciplinary initiative aimed at developing human-centered and rapidly deployable solutions for outbreak preparedness and response.4
The initiative’s first output is the Infectious Diseases Treatment Module (IDTM), a modular and inflatable facility designed to address several limitations of traditional emergency structures. The IDTM can be set up within 6 hours and incorporates features that support intensive monitoring, facilitate interaction between staff and patients, and improve visibility across clinical areas, while maintaining strict infection prevention and control (IPC) measures.5
After two years of iterative design, testing, and simulation with more than 50 partner institutions, the IDTM underwent full operational validation during a 5-day Ebola simulation in Ghana in 2024.6 In 2025, it achieved its first real-world deployment during an Ebola outbreak in Kasai Province, Democratic Republic of the Congo, where the IDTM was integrated into a 32-bed treatment center in which all suspected and confirmed patients were safely managed. These deployments demonstrate the IDTM’s capability to support early-phase filovirus case management.Reference Omasumbu, Fontana and le Polain de Waroux7
However, the increasing frequency of outbreaks caused by airborne pathogens, including COVID-19 and avian influenza, raises a critical question: can a rapidly deployable structure like the IDTM be safely used for airborne transmission precautions? Airborne precautions place a high demand on ventilation performance. WHO guidance specifies different metrics depending on the ventilation modality: 12 air changes per hour (ACH) for mechanically ventilated rooms and, for naturally ventilated rooms, an outdoor airflow rate of 160 liters per second (L/s) per patient (minimum 80 L/s).Reference Atkinson, Chartier and Pessoa-Silva8 The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted how shortcomings in these controls can compromise patient isolation, increase the risk to healthcare workers (HCWs),Reference Kitagawa, Nomura and Kaiki9 and affect service continuity, even in well-resourced health systems.
The IDTM was designed to prioritize natural ventilation as the primary modality while enabling the easy installation of mechanical systems or portable devices. In this context, characterizing natural ventilation performance against both the 160 L/s regulatory standard and the 12 ACH benchmark is essential. Using ACH as a secondary benchmark allows practitioners to quantify a “ventilation gap” under specific environmental conditions. For instance, if wind provides only 6 ACH (approximately 41 L/s), the deficit can be bridged using mechanical fans or portable units to reach 12 ACH. This hybrid approach ensures the facility leverages natural resources while maintaining a consistent and measurable level of clinical safety.
This study therefore characterizes the wind-driven natural ventilation performance of the IDTM under structural configurations representative of operational use. By linking measured volumetric airflow rates (L/s) and air change behavior (ACH) to quantitative infection-risk modeling, the analysis evaluates: (i) whether natural ventilation alone can plausibly provide outdoor airflow rates consistent with WHO natural ventilation standards; (ii) whether structural or operational adaptations are needed to optimize ventilation performance for airborne pathogens; and (iii) the expected pathogen-specific infection risks for health-care workers and patients.
Methods
Description of the IDTM
The IDTM consists of three identical low-pressure inflatable pods: one staff pod (low-risk zone) and two patient-care pods (high-risk zone). Each patient-care pod contains a patient cabin, divided into two identical single-patient rooms, resulting in a total of four single-patient rooms per IDTM (Figure 1). The IDTM can be deployed either in a longitudinal configuration, with the staff pod positioned centrally between the two patient-care pods, or in an L-shaped configuration, with the staff pod located at the junction of the two patient pods.
Structural layout and key features of the Infectious Diseases Treatment Module (IDTM). The IDTM consists of three identical inflatable modules: one staff area (low-risk zone) positioned centrally and two patient-care modules (high-risk zone), each containing two individual 10 m2 patient rooms. The IDTM can be deployed in a longitudinal configuration (left) or in an L-shaped configuration (center), while maintaining staff visibility and workflow through the central low-risk zone. Each patient room includes five openable windows and a mosquito-net-equipped door, and each module features a patient porch area. Right: external view of the patient cabins and example of transparent monitoring screens that allow continuous patient observation from the staff area.

Figure 1. Long description
Panel A: A diagram of the longitudinal configuration of the Infectious Diseases Treatment Module (IDTM). The layout includes three identical inflatable modules: one central staff area (low-risk zone) and two patient-care modules (high-risk zone) on either side. Each patient-care module contains two individual patient rooms. Panel B: A diagram of the L-shaped configuration of the IDTM. The layout includes one central staff area (low-risk zone) and two patient-care modules (high-risk zone) arranged in an L-shape. Each patient-care module contains two individual patient rooms. Panel C: An external view of the patient cabins. Each patient room includes five openable windows and a mosquito-net-equipped door. The patient cabins feature transparent monitoring screens that allow continuous patient observation from the staff area.
Each patient room has a floor area of 10 m2 (with a volume of 25 m3) and includes a transparent screen positioned behind the patient’s head, allowing continuous visual monitoring from the staff area without requiring staff entry into the high-risk zone (Figure 1). Each patient-care pod also incorporates a dedicated porch area, enabling patients to sit outdoors while remaining within the high-risk perimeter.
Each patient room is equipped with five openable windows and one door, all fitted with mosquito nets. These openings can be operated independently to regulate natural ventilation while maintaining vector protection. Together, these openings represent the primary adjustable ventilation pathways within the IDTM.
Environmental characterization
A full-scale deployment of the IDTM was carried out during a training simulation event in Brindisi, Italy. Although the primary purpose of the exercise was operational training, the deployment provided an opportunity to characterize the spatial configuration and ventilation behavior of the IDTM under realistic field conditions. The structure was fully assembled in accordance with standard operating procedures.
Air velocity and CO2 tracer gas decay measurements
Ventilation performance and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) validity were assessed using a combined approach based on experimental air-velocity measurements (primary data set for CFD validation) and CO2 tracer-gas decay tests (room-level ventilation rate quantification). Experiments were conducted in the IDTM patient cabin (right-side pod) under controlled conditions. To establish a repeatable boundary condition, all openings were sealed except window 2 (Figure 2), where a fan generated a steady inflow. The inlet boundary condition was characterized by nine pointwise velocity measurements distributed on a 3 × 3 grid across the window opening; these values were imposed in the CFD model as a spatially resolved (non-uniform) inlet velocity profile. Indoor velocities were then measured at five predefined locations inside the cabin at 1.55 m height using a vane anemometer as detailed in the Supplementary material.
Numerical model setup. (a) computational domain and boundary conditions, (b) geometry of patient room highlighting the location of openable door and windows modeled as porous media to simulate mosquito nets, (c) detail of the computational mesh, selected for the CFD analysis, (d) detail of the three adopted computational meshes at an extrapolation plane height of 1.5 m.

In parallel, ACH was estimated using a CO2 release-and-decay method. CO2 was released in a single-patient room until concentrations reached approximately 2,000 ppm above ambient, then the decay was recorded using portable CO2 sensors positioned centrally at 1.2 m height with 1 s logging. ACH was derived from the exponential decay.Reference Cui, Cohen, Stabat and Marchio10 Three replicate tests were conducted per room and averaged. ACH was converted to volumetric flow (L/s) using the fixed room volume to support comparison with WHO ventilation benchmarks.
Engineering analysis of ventilation scenarios
To extend the field measurements and evaluate ventilation performance across a range of environmental and architectural conditions, a CFD analysis was conducted. The analysis focused on wind-driven natural ventilation within individual patient rooms and was used to estimate ventilation rates under varying wind speeds and structural configurations.
The computational domain included two adjacent patient-care pods arranged in an L-shape, the internal volume of one patient room per pod, the porch area when present, and the surrounding external environment (Figure 2a). Doors and windows were modeled as ventilation openings, with mosquito nets represented as porous media whose resistance was derived from the manufacturer’s technical specifications (Figure 2b).
Wind was imposed to impinge on the L-shaped assembly at a 45° angle relative to the main door openings of both patient rooms (Figure 2a). This wind orientation was selected to reflect typical deployment practice, where patient-care pods are arranged side-by-side, and to generate a symmetric airflow pattern across the two analyzed pods. This symmetry ensures that ventilation performance in the simulated room pair is representative of conditions experienced by individual rooms within longer, linear multi-module deployments.
Simulations were conducted for wind speeds ranging from 1 to 4 m/s, representing light to gentle breezes, common in many outdoor settings.Reference Chen, Birkelund, Anfinsen, Staupe-Delgado and Yuan11 Airflow was modeled using the numerical solution of the incompressible Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes equations with a k-ω SST turbulence model, which is appropriate for low-speed, wind-driven ventilation flows around and within enclosed structures.Reference Chipongo, Khiadani and Sookhak Lari12 Uniform inlet velocity conditions were applied at the upwind boundary, with an outflow condition at the downstream boundary. External domain boundaries were treated as symmetry planes, while the IDTM envelope was modeled as no-slip walls.
Model development included mesh sensitivity testing (Figure 2c and d) and validation against experimental velocity measurements obtained during the deployment in Brindisi. Detailed descriptions of the numerical formulation, turbulence modeling, porous-media parameters for mosquito nets, mesh refinement, convergence, and validation are provided in Supplementary Material.
Following validation, four structural configurations were analyzed for each patient room: with both a porch and mosquito nets in place; without a porch but with mosquito nets; with a porch but without mosquito nets; and without either a porch or mosquito nets. For each configuration and wind speed, steady-state airflow rates through the patient room were extracted and converted into ACH based on the known internal volume, enabling direct comparison of ventilation performance across scenarios.
Infection risk assessment
Infection risk, defined as the probability that a susceptible occupant becomes infected through inhalation of infectious particles, was estimated using the quanta-based approach previously described Reference Buonanno, Stabile and Morawska13 and validated,Reference Buonanno, Morawska and Stabile14,Reference Miller, Nazaroff and Jimenez15 applying the Wells–Riley framework Reference Riley, Murphy and Riley16 to a single IDTM patient room. Two exposure scenarios were modeled: (i) one infectious patient present for 60 minutes before a HCW entered the room without respiratory protection for a 15-minute exposure, and (ii) continuous 24-hour co-exposure between one infectious patient and a second susceptible patient, also without respiratory protection. Infection risk was assessed across ventilation rates from 2 to 210 L/s (representing 0.3–30 ACH) spanning near-stagnant conditions up to and beyond the WHO benchmarks (160 L/s; 12 ACH). Risk was estimated for seven pathogens with established quanta-generation rates: MERS-CoV, SARS-CoV-2 (Ancestral), SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron), SARS-CoV-1, influenza, tuberculosis (TB), and measles.Reference Mikszewski, Stabile, Buonanno and Morawska17 Although WHO defines no explicit infection-risk threshold, the recommended 12 ACH standard corresponds to infection probabilities ranging from <1% to approximately 8% depending on quanta-emission rates.Reference Atkinson, Chartier and Pessoa-Silva8
Results
Wind-driven ventilation performance and associated infection risk
Wind-driven natural ventilation was modeled for the left and right rooms under wind speeds ranging from 1 to 4 m/s and four structural configurations combining the presence or absence of a porch and a mosquito net (Figure 3 and Table S1 in Supplementary Material).
Wind-driven natural ventilation performance in the IDTM patient rooms across structural configurations. Wind-driven ventilation rates in the left and right IDTM patient rooms as a function of wind speed (1–4 m/s) under four structural configurations defined by the presence or absence of a patient porch and window-mounted mosquito nets. Ventilation is reported as volumetric airflow (L/s; left y-axis) with the corresponding air change rate (ACH, vol/h; right y-axis) for a 25 m3 room. Dashed horizontal reference lines indicate WHO airborne-precaution benchmarks: 160 L/s (red) and 12 ACH (blue). To facilitate comparison between rooms, the “Right room” panel includes ghosted (light gray) traces of the corresponding “Left room” results, highlighting the magnitude of the right–left ventilation deficit across wind speeds and configurations.

Figure 3. Long description
Two line graphs depict wind-driven natural ventilation performance in patient rooms across different structural configurations. Panel A: Left room. The line graph shows wind-driven ventilation rates in the left patient room as a function of wind speed ranging from 1 to 4 meters per second. The x-axis represents wind speed in meters per second, and the y-axis represents ventilation in liters per second on the left and air change rate per hour on the right. Four structural configurations are represented by different colored lines: red for no porch and no net, green for with porch and no net, blue for no porch and with net, and purple for with porch and with net. Dashed horizontal reference lines indicate WHO airborne-precaution benchmarks: 160 liters per second in red and 12 air changes per hour in blue. Panel B: Right room. The line graph shows wind-driven ventilation rates in the right patient room under the same conditions as the left room. The x-axis represents wind speed in meters per second, and the y-axis represents ventilation in liters per second on the left and air change rate per hour on the right. The same four structural configurations are represented by different colored lines. Ghosted light gray traces of the left room results are included to facilitate comparison. The graphs highlight the magnitude of the right-left ventilation deficit across wind speeds and configurations.
Across all configurations, indoor ventilation increased with wind speed in both rooms.
When both porch and mosquito nets were present, airflow in the left room increased from 32 L/s (4.6 ACH) at 1 m/s to 479 L/s (69.0 ACH) at 4 m/s, while the right room increased from 7 L/s (1.0 ACH) to 100 L/s (14.4 ACH) over the same wind speed range. In the absence of a porch but with mosquito nets, airflow ranged from 24 to 367 L/s (3.5–52.8 ACH) in the left room and from 11 to 169 L/s (1.6–24.3 ACH) in the right room.
Removal of the mosquito nets resulted in substantially higher ventilation rates. With a porch and without mosquito nets, values ranged from 914 to 3,649 L/s (131.6–525.5 ACH) in the left room and from 472 to 1,847 L/s (67.9–265.9 ACH) in the right room. Without both porch and mosquito nets, airflow ranged from 765 to 3,117 L/s (110.2–448.9 ACH) in the left room and from 334 to 1,342 L/s (48.0–193.3 ACH) in the right room across the same wind speeds.
The combined use of porch and mosquito nets consistently resulted in the lowest ventilation rates. Conversely, removing window-mounted nets yielded the highest performance, enabling both rooms to exceed the 160 L/s airborne precaution target even at the minimum wind speed of 1 m/s. The relative difference between left and right pods persisted across all wind speeds and structural configurations.
Infection risk assessment
Estimated infection risks for the seven pathogens are shown as a function of ventilation rate for two exposure scenarios: short-duration HCW exposure (15 minutes) and prolonged patient co-exposure (24 hours) (Figure 4).
Infection risk as a function of ventilation rate in an IDTM patient room. Estimated infection risk (%) as a function of air changes per hour (ACH; 0.3–30 h‒1) and corresponding volumetric airflow (2.1–208.3 L/s) for seven airborne pathogens in a 10 m2 (25 m3) IDTM patient room, modeled using the Wells–Riley framework. Panel A shows the healthcare worker exposure scenario (15-min exposure following 60 min of patient presence). Panel B shows the patient co-exposure scenario (24-hr continuous exposure). The vertical lines indicate the WHO airborne precaution benchmarks: the 12 ACH target for mechanical ventilation (blue-dashed line) and the 160 L/s target for natural ventilation (red-dashed line). Risk is presented on a logarithmic scale.

In the HCW scenario, infection risk varied substantially by pathogen and ventilation rate (Figure 4a). At 2 L/s (approx. 0.3 ACH), the highest estimated risks were observed for measles (15.3%) and SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron) (14.4%), followed by TB (2.1%) and SARS-CoV-2 (Ancestral) (1.5%). Lower risks were estimated for MERS-CoV (0.1%), influenza (0.1%), and SARS-CoV-1 (<0.1%). At 80 L/s (approx. 12 ACH), infection risk in the HCW scenario remained above 1% only for SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron) (2.0%) and measles (1.5%). At 160 L/s (approx. 23 ACH) natural ventilation target, only the risk for SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron) remained at approximately 1% (1.1%), with risks for all other pathogens falling below this level (see Table S2 in supplementary materials).
In the 24-hour patient co-exposure scenario, infection risks were markedly higher across all ventilation rates (Figure 4b). At 2 L/s (approx. 0.3 ACH), the highest risks were estimated for SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron) (81.7%) and measles (56.1%), followed by TB (37.9%) and SARS-CoV-2 (Ancestral) (34.9%). Lower risks were observed for MERS-CoV (9.5%), influenza (4.9%), and SARS-CoV-1 (4.8%). At 80 L/s (approx. 12 ACH), infection risk remained high for SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron) (48.6%) and measles (33.4%), followed by TB (14.8%) and SARS-CoV-2 (Ancestral) (12.0%). At 160 L/s (approx. 23 ACH) natural ventilation target, risks for SARS-CoV (Omicron) and measles were reduced but remained at 36.6% and 28.1%, respectively. Even when at 208 L/s (30 ACH), the risk for SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron) and measles remained at 33.9% and 27.6%, respectively (Table S3).
For all pathogens, infection risk in the 24-hour patient co-exposure scenario was consistently higher than in the 15-minute HCW exposure scenario across all ventilation rates.
Discussion
This study evaluated the capability of the IDTM’s natural ventilation to meet standards for airborne transmission precautions and quantified the associated infection risks for HCWs and patients. Results are interpreted against the 160 L/s target for naturally ventilated airborne-precaution spaces and the 12 ACH benchmark used to quantify any ventilation gap that may require supplemental measures.
While performance is highly dependent on structural setup, optimized configurations can achieve or exceed the 160 L/s natural ventilation target recommended by the WHO.
The data identify window-mounted mosquito nets as the dominant source of airflow resistance. In both configurations where these nets were removed, the 160 L/s benchmark was surpassed across the modeled wind speeds (1–4 m/s), including at 1 m/s. Conversely, setups utilizing both a porch and mosquito nets represent the most restricted airflow scenarios, identifying a “ventilation gap” relative to the airborne-precaution benchmarks that practitioners must address. Furthermore, the persistent performance disparity between the left and right rooms highlights how pod orientation and airflow path geometry are critical, yet modifiable factors in maximizing natural ventilation efficiency.
When translated into infection-risk estimates, natural ventilation provides substantial protection for short-duration HCW exposures (15 min). At 80 L/s (12 ACH), predicted risks for most pathogens were reduced by an order of magnitude, often falling below 1%. These estimates assume no respiratory protection; in clinical practice, the use of respirators by HCWs would further attenuate these risks, providing a critical additional layer of safety. This supports the feasibility of deploying the IDTM for clinical activities, provided high-performing ventilation configurations are prioritized.
In contrast, the 24-hour patient co-exposure scenario, modeled as a conservative contingency stress test for surge conditions, showed that ventilation alone is often insufficient for high-emission pathogens. For measles and SARS-CoV-2 (Omicron), estimated risks remained high (28.1% and 36.6% respectively) even at the 160 L/s (approx. 23 ACH) target. This reinforces that while ventilation provides a progressive reduction in risk, it must be paired with individual-room isolation to align with standard IPC recommendations.18 In practice, the IDTM’s four single-patient rooms make isolation achievable at normal caseloads; additional modules can preserve it under surge, leaving co-occupancy a last resort.
Operationally, these findings highlight the importance of maximizing natural ventilation inside the IDTM, especially during respiratory outbreaks. Optimizing the effective opening area, reducing avoidable airflow resistance, orienting pods toward prevailing winds, and selecting configurations that favor higher flow rates can help ensure that the ventilation threshold is reached more consistently. Critically, because net-free configurations met the 160 L/s requirement even at low wind speeds, removing window-mounted nets during respiratory outbreaks and instead using individual bed nets19 preserves vector protection while maximizing natural ventilation. Bed nets do not block the openings, preserving this gain, though their local effect near the patient was not modeled.
While natural ventilation provides protection comparable to mechanical ventilation, its dependence on wind speed and structural features suggests additional measures, such as mechanical augmentation or air filtration, may be warranted when environmental conditions limit airflow.
This study has several strengths, including the integration of engineering analysis with pathogen-specific risk modeling and the evaluation of multiple exposure scenarios relevant to clinical operations. However, the modeling assumes steady-state ventilation and homogeneous aerosol mixing, standard conservative assumptions supported by experimental validation, which may not fully capture real-world variability, airflow distribution, or environmental turbulence. Quanta emission rates are derived from published estimates and may not reflect all stages of disease or patient variability. In addition, the study focused exclusively on natural ventilation and did not evaluate the potential benefits of portable filtration or hybrid ventilation strategies. Finally, the wind-driven simulations do not capture short-term variability in wind direction and speed.
Despite these limitations, the analysis provides a foundational understanding of how naturally ventilated, rapidly deployable facilities can support airborne IPC measures. The results demonstrate that, under favorable configurations, the IDTM can reach or exceed the 160 L/s threshold recommended for airborne precautions and can significantly reduce airborne infection risks for HCW exposures. Maintaining individual-room isolation remains essential for airborne precautions, and co-occupancy should be considered only as a contingency under surge conditions. Future work should evaluate hybrid strategies (e.g. portable filtration and targeted mechanical extraction), validate performance across diverse climates, quantify robustness to short-term wind variability, and assess operational feasibility during real-world deployments.
Under favorable wind conditions and specific structural arrangements, wind-driven natural ventilation in the IDTM can achieve the 160 L/s recommendation for airborne precautions. When translated into infection-risk estimates, these ventilation levels substantially reduce the probability of infection for HCW exposures across all pathogens assessed, supporting the potential use of the IDTM for clinical operations during respiratory outbreaks when rapid deployment is critical.
For prolonged shared-room exposure, particularly involving high-emission pathogens such as measles and SARS-CoV-2, ventilation alone may not reduce infection risk to low levels. In line with IPC guidance recommending individual-room isolation when airborne precautions are required, the co-occupancy scenario presented here should therefore be interpreted as a conservative contingency stress test rather than a routine operational model.
Operationally, removing window-mounted mosquito nets is the most effective way to meet the 160 L/s target even at 1 m/s, with vector protection maintained by individual bed nets; where wind is weak, hybrid approaches such as portable devices and mechanical fans should ensure consistent airborne precaution.
Supplementary material
The supplementary material for this article can be found at https://doi.org/10.1017/ice.2026.10508.
Data availability statement
All data relevant to the study are included in the article or available as Supplementary materials
Acknowledgements
None.
Financial support
None reported.
Competing interests
All authors report no conflicts of interest relevant to this article.
Ethical standard
This study did not involve human participants or identifiable personal data and therefore did not require review by a research ethics committee.
Use of artificial intelligence
Artificial intelligence–based tool, Grammarly (2026 © Superhuman Platform) was used only to assist with language editing of the manuscript draft.
