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How cyberbullying victimization relates to suicide risk: Evidence of feature-based heterogeneity from double machine learning

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 November 2026

Xingyun Liu
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, School of Psychology, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, China
Yuehan Liao
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, School of Psychology, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, China
Fan Feng
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, School of Psychology, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, China
Yiming Tu
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, School of Psychology, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, China
Xin Kang
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, School of Psychology, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, China
ZhiHong Ren*
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, School of Psychology, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, China
Miao Liu*
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Adolescent Cyberpsychology and Behavior (CCNU), Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China Key Laboratory of Human Development and Mental Health of Hubei Province, School of Psychology, Central China Normal University , Wuhan 430079, China Huangshan Tunxi No.3 Junior High School, China
*
Corresponding authors: ZhiHong Ren and Miao Liu; Emails: ren@ccnu.edu.cn; lmiao7726@163.com
Corresponding authors: ZhiHong Ren and Miao Liu; Emails: ren@ccnu.edu.cn; lmiao7726@163.com
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Abstract

Background

With the advancement of internet technologies, daily life has become more convenient; however, cyberbullying victimization has also risen. It poses serious threats to psychological and physical well-being and is a potential risk factor for suicide. Although prior research has linked cyberbullying victimization to suicide risk, evidence on the variation of this association across individuals and its robustness to high-dimensional confounders remains limited. This study estimates the average treatment effect (ATE) and conditional average treatment effect (CATE) of cyberbullying victimization on suicide risk.

Methods

Using 6,476 Weibo users’ posts (3,873 individuals in the cyberbullying victimization group and 2,603 individuals in the control group), we extracted linguistic and psychological features via dictionary-based methods and predictive models, and applied Double Machine Learning (DML) to estimate high-dimensional adjusted associations between cyberbullying victimization and suicide-related language expression. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and tree-based explainers quantified the relative importance of features and identified subgroups with distinct CATEs.

Results

DML analyses indicated a positive DML-adjusted contrast between the victimization and non-victimization groups on the CSD-derived suicide-related language score (ATE = 0.34, 95% CI = [0.20, 0.48]), with heterogeneous effects across psychological and linguistic traits. Hopelessness plays a central role, while elevated Hostility and Tentative further increase risk; greater Cause, Autonomy, and Money are associated with attenuated effects.

Conclusions

By integrating DML, this study provides preliminary evidence regarding exploratory heterogeneity patterns in the DML-adjusted association between cyberbullying victimization and CSD-derived suicide-related language score and offers a theoretical basis for identifying high-risk victims and designing targeted interventions.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Flowchart of participants screening and data collection.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Table 1. Differences in linguistic and psychological features between the cyberbullying victimization group and the control groupTable 1. long description.

Figure 2

Table 2. RScorer results for four DML algorithm modelsTable 2. long description.

Figure 3

Figure 2. SHAP values for the CATE model.Figure 2. long description.

Figure 4

Figure 3. Tree interpreter of the CATE model.Figure 3. long description.

Figure 5

Figure 4. Visualization of high and low estimated-CATE subgroups.Figure 4. long description.

Figure 6

Table 3. Results of sensitivity analysesTable 3. long description.

Figure 7

Figure 5. Heatmap of the unobserved common cause method.Figure 5. long description.