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Estimating the local star formation rate density from ASKAP RACS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 July 2026

Sonja Panjkov*
Affiliation:
School of Physics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
O. Ivy Wong
Affiliation:
Space & Astronomy, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Bentley, Australia The International Centre for Radio Astronomy Research, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, Australia
Rachel L. Webster
Affiliation:
School of Physics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
*
Corresponding author: Sonja Panjkov; Email: srpanjkov@student.unimelb.edu.au
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Abstract

Understanding the evolution of the cosmic star formation rate density (SFRD) is key to uncovering how the Universe arrived at its present state. This paper presents a novel and efficient method to estimate the local SFRD, which uses supervised machine learning to first identify a population of star-forming galaxies (SFGs). Next, star-formation rates (SFRs) are determined using the 1.4-GHz radio-continuum emission detected by the Australian Square Kilometre Array Pathfinder (ASKAP). Specifically, a gradient-boosted decision tree model was implemented to classify extragalactic sources from the Beck et al. (2022, MNRAS, 515, 4711) catalogue as either galaxies or quasars using RACS-mid and WISE photometry. The full sample, consisting of 389 392 sources, was partitioned into a 70%–15%–15% split for training, validating, and testing. The optimised model achieved a weighted F1 score of 0.93 and an accuracy of 0.94 on the test dataset, ultimately classifying 336 674 sources as galaxies and 52 718 sources as quasars. Using the resulting $z\lt0.1$ depth-matched galaxy sample and the photometric redshift predictions from Beck et al. (2022, MNRAS, 515, 4711), a modified 1.4-GHz SFR calibration was determined, yielding a local, completeness-corrected, $z\lt0.1$ SFRD of $(1.4 \pm 0.5) \times 10^{-2} \; \rm M_{\odot}\, yr^{-1}\,Mpc^{-3}$ using 11 293 sources. This value is consistent with previous results. Thus, this study demonstrates the feasibility of using supervised learning to identify large populations of SFGs in order to investigate the SFRD evolution. This presents an exciting prospect for future, deeper surveys such as EMU, which will enable the cosmic SFRD to be probed out to higher redshifts.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Astronomical Society of Australia
Figure 0

Table 1. The class distribution for the final training, validation and test datasets, including the contribution from real and synthetic sources after random oversampling of the quasar class.Table 1 long description.

Figure 1

Table 2. Performance metrics for the optimised XGBClassifier model with random oversampling of the quasar class.Table 2 long description.

Figure 2

Figure 1. Confusion matrix for the model predictions for all 389 392 sources in the cross-matched dataset.

Figure 3

Figure 2. Figure 2 long description.The 1.4 GHz vs. TIR luminosities for the model-selected galaxy sample across different redshift bins. The colour map indicates the logarithm of the number of sources in each pixel and the contours show the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles. For each graph, the redshift range and the number of sources is specified in the top left corner. The best-fit linear trend for each graph is shown in black, while the dashed blue line shows the relationship from Table 5 of Molnár et al. (2021). For both, the shaded region indicates the associated 1σ$1\sigma$ confidence interval. The bottom-right panel shows the results for the full dataset.

Figure 4

Table 3. Description and sizes of the different samples referred to in this study at each stage of the classification and cleaning process.Table 3 long description.

Figure 5

Figure 3. Similar to Figure 2 but with a colour map showing the logarithm of the mean redshift in each pixel.

Figure 6

Figure 4. Similar to Figure 2 but for the depth-matched galaxy sample at z<0.1$z\lt0.1$ (top), 0.1$0.1\lt z\lt0.2$ (middle), and for z<0.2$z\lt0.2$ (bottom). The parameters of the best-fit linear model are shown bottom right. For each graph, the number of sources (N) and the number of sources removed through the depth-matching process (Nremoved$N_{\rm removed}$) are displayed top left.

Figure 7

Figure 5. Figure 5 long description.The 1.4 GHz radio (left) and TIR (right) luminosity distributions for those objects selected as galaxies by the model. The distributions are compared to those from Bell (2003) (turquoise), Yun et al. (2001) (green), and Molnár et al. (2021) (purple). In each graph, the pink line shows the distribution of all model-selected galaxies, while the blue line is the distribution for the depth-matched galaxy sample with z<0.2$z\lt0.2$. Note that these distributions are kernel density estimates, and therefore the probability is given by the area under the curve, which sums to one.

Figure 8

Figure 6. Graph of qTIR$q_{\rm TIR}$ vs log⁡(L1.4GHz)$\log(L_{1.4 \,{\rm GHz}})$ for the depth-matched galaxy sample with z<0.1$z\lt0.1$. The colour map corresponds to the logarithm of the number of sources in each pixel. The black line is the best-fit linear model to the z<0.1$z\lt0.1$ data, and the dotted red line is the fit for z<0.2$z\lt0.2$. The uncertainties in these models are not shown as they cover the majority of the graph. The orange line is the fit from Molnár et al. (2021).

Figure 9

Table 4. Best-fit linear model parameters to qTIR$q_{\rm TIR}$ versus log⁡(L1.4GHz)$\log(L_{1.4 \,{\rm GHz}})$ (Figure 6).Table 4 long description.

Figure 10

Table 5. Summary of the SFRD results obtained in this work that are shown in Figure 8. σSFR$\sigma_{\rm SFR}$ is uncertainty associated with the SFR of each galaxy, which includes the uncertainty in the 1.4 GHz luminosity as well as the uncertainty due to the linear fit used to determine the z<0.1$z\lt0.1$ SFR prescription in Equation (7) or the fit from Molnár et al. (2021) in Equation (6). σtotal$\sigma_{\rm total}$ additionally includes the uncertainty associated with Vmax$V_{\max}$, propagated in quadrature.Table 5 long description.

Figure 11

Figure 7. The luminosity function Φ$\Phi$ (red data points) of the model-selected galaxies with z<0.1$z\lt0.1$, compared to the local luminosity function (dashed) from Figure 1 of Matthews et al. (2021).

Figure 12

Figure 8. The cosmic SFRD as a function of log(1+z)$\rm log(1+ \textit{z})$ using the z<0.1$z\lt0.1$ prescription (yellow square) and the Molnár et al. (2021) prescription (orange circles). The yellow triangle shows the z<0.1$z\lt0.1$ value after being corrected for sample incompleteness. The coloured error bars are those derived using the SFR uncertainties, while the grey error bars also include the uncertainty in the maximum comoving volume for each galaxy. These results and the datasets from which they were calculated are also summarised in Table 5. For comparison, also included are the SFRDs obtained using radio in blue (Mauch & Sadler 2007; Karim et al. 2011; Upjohn et al. 2019; Brown 2020; Enia et al. 2022; Malefahlo et al. 2022; Cochrane et al. 2023; Matthews et al. 2024), UV in purple (Cucciati et al. 2012; Madau & Dickinson 2014; Bouwens et al. 2015), IR in red (Gruppioni et al. 2013), and multi-wavelength observations in pink (Dunlop et al. 2017; Driver et al. 2018). The analytical fits of Hopkins & Beacom (2006), Behroozi et al. (2013) and Wang et al. (2024) are also included for comparison. Note that due to the low completeness beyond z∼0.1$z\sim0.1$, the series in orange drops off sharply and the highest redshift data point is not shown. The exact value can be found in Table 5.

Figure 13

Table A1. The base WISE and RACS-mid features used as model inputs. The notation ‘?$?$’ indicates that the feature is measured in each of the four WISE passbands. For example, w?mpro$w?mpro$ refers to the four profile-fit photometry magnitudes w1mpro, w2mpro, w4mpro, and w4mpro.Table A1 long description.

Figure 14

Table A2. Final optimised hyperparameters for the XGBClassifier model with random oversampling of the quasar class.Table A2 long description.

Figure 15

Figure B1. The redshift distribution of the sources classified as galaxies by the final model (blue line), compared to that of the galaxies that were missed by the model i.e. were incorrectly classified as quasars (dotted red line). Note that these distributions are kernel density estimates, and therefore the probability is given by the area under the curve, which sums to one.

Figure 16

Table B1. Performance metrics for XGBClassifier models trained on either WISE or RACS-mid features only.Table B1 long description.

Figure 17

Figure B2. Figure B2 long description.SHAP analysis results for the top 20 model features, including both WISE and RACS-mid features (left panel) and RACS-mid features only (right panel). For each of the displayed features, a data point represents whether that feature had a positive (SHAP values >1$\gt1$) or negative (SHAP values <1$\lt1$) influence on the prediction as a galaxy. The colourbar indicates whether a feature value was high or low compared to the population.

Figure 18

Figure B3. Figure B3 long description.WISE IR colours of all model predictions (left panel) and for the incorrect model prediction (right panel). The colour map indicates the ratio of galaxies to quasars in each region of the figure, and the mid-IR colour distributions are shown for galaxies (purple), quasars (blue), and z<0.1$z\lt0.1$ galaxies (dotted pink) beside each axis.