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Predictive models of lameness in dairy cows achieve high sensitivity and specificity with force measurements in three dimensions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 August 2015

Jason Dunthorn
Affiliation:
Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD 21250, USA StepAnalysis LLC, 5 Ruby Field Court, Baltimore, MD 21209, USA
Robert M Dyer
Affiliation:
Department of Animal and Food Sciences, College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Delaware, Newark, DE 19717, USA
Nagaraj K Neerchal
Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Maryland at Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD 21250, USA
Jonathan S McHenry
Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Maryland at Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD 21250, USA
Parimal G Rajkondawar
Affiliation:
BouMatic LLC, 1919 South Stoughton Road, Madison, WI 53716, USA
Gary Steingraber
Affiliation:
BouMatic LLC, 1919 South Stoughton Road, Madison, WI 53716, USA
Uri Tasch*
Affiliation:
StepAnalysis LLC, 5 Ruby Field Court, Baltimore, MD 21209, USA
*
*For correspondence; e-mail: tasch@umbc.edu
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Abstract

Lameness remains a significant cause of production losses, a growing welfare concern and may be a greater economic burden than clinical mastitis . A growing need for accurate, continuous automated detection systems continues because US prevalence of lameness is 12·5% while individual herds may experience prevalence's of 27·8–50·8%. To that end the first force-plate system restricted to the vertical dimension identified lame cows with 85% specificity and 52% sensitivity . These results lead to the hypothesis that addition of transverse and longitudinal dimensions could improve sensitivity of lameness detection. To address the hypothesis we upgraded the original force plate system to measure ground reaction forces (GRFs) across three directions. GRFs and locomotion scores were generated from randomly selected cows and logistic regression was used to develop a model that characterised relationships of locomotion scores to the GRFs. This preliminary study showed 76 variables across 3 dimensions produced a model with greater than 90% sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating curve (AUC). The result was a marked improvement on the 52% sensitivity, and 85% specificity previously observed with the 1 dimensional model  or the 45% sensitivities reported with visual observations. Validation of model accuracy continues with the goal to finalise accurate automated methods of lameness detection.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Proprietors of Journal of Dairy Research 2015 
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Locations of transducers. Each plate is instrumented with 7 transducers: 4 transducers measure the vertical, z-direction (positive downward); 2 transducers measure the transverse, x-direction (positive for lateral limb movements), and 1 transducer measures the longitudinal, y-direction (positive for acceleratory limb movements).

Figure 1

Table 1. Description of locomotion scores

Figure 2

Table 2. Descriptions of commons lesion scores

Figure 3

Table 3. LMVs generated for each of 4 limbs per passage through the module

Figure 4

Table 4. Pain indices and locomotion sores in sound and lame limbs

Figure 5

Table 5. Descriptive statistics of lesion diagnoses and scores among the 83 commercial dairy cattle employed in lameness modelling

Figure 6

Fig. 2. Representative bilateral pelvic limb output of 14 transducers across 3 dimensions from a sound cow (yellow). Data were calibrated, zeroed in the software and reported as Newtons (vertical axis) and seconds (horizontal axis). Positive values in the vertical direction represent loadbearing, positive values in the transverse direction indicate lateral load bearing while negative forces indicate medial load bearing. Positive forces in the longitudinal direction indicate acceleration while negative forces indicate braking.

Figure 7

Table 6. Model performance using untransformed and transformed variables with LOCO cross validation

Figure 8

Fig. 3. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) as functions of the number of variables available for modelling. Best performance is realised with 76 variables resulting in 90% sensitivity, 93% specificity, 98% AUC. Model built using LOCO cross-validation with a 1-degree, 4-knot LMV transformation.

Figure 9

Table 7. Model performance and fit by x, y and/or z dimension with 1-degree, 4-knot spline transformed data and ordered by increasing AUC