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ROBUST INFERENCE FOR CONVEX PAIRWISE DIFFERENCE ESTIMATORS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 July 2026

Matias D. Cattaneo*
Affiliation:
Princeton University
Michael Jansson
Affiliation:
UC Berkeley and Aarhus Center for Econometrics (ACE)
Kenichi Nagasawa
Affiliation:
University of Warwick
*
Address correspondence to Matias D. Cattaneo, Princeton University, United States, e-mail: cattaneo@princeton.edu.
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Abstract

This article develops distribution theory and bootstrap-based inference methods for a broad class of convex pairwise difference estimators. These estimators minimize a kernel-weighted convex-in-parameter function over observation pairs with similar covariates, where the similarity is governed by a localization (bandwidth) parameter. While classical results establish asymptotic normality under restrictive bandwidth conditions, we show that valid Gaussian and bootstrap-based inference remains possible under substantially weaker assumptions. First, we extend the theory of small-bandwidth asymptotics to convex pairwise difference estimation settings, deriving robust Gaussian approximations even when a smaller-than-standard bandwidth is used. Second, we employ a debiasing procedure based on generalized jackknifing to enable inference with larger bandwidths, while preserving convexity of the objective function. Third, we construct a novel bootstrap method that adjusts for bandwidth-induced variance distortions, yielding valid inference across a wide range of bandwidth choices. Our proposed inference method enjoys demonstrably greater robustness, while retaining the practical appeal of convex pairwise difference estimators.

Information

Type
ARTICLE
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1 Schematic coverage functions for four bootstrap confidence interval procedures.Figure 1 long description.

Figure 1

Table 1 Bootstrap 95% confidence intervals for partially linear regression model: DGP 1 (d=1$d=1$).Table 1 long description.

Figure 2

Table 2 Bootstrap 95% confidence intervals for partially linear regression model: DGP 2 (d=2$d=2$).Table 2 long description.

Figure 3

Table 3 Bootstrap 95% confidence intervals for partially linear regression model: DGP 3 (d=3$d=3$).Table 3 long description.

Figure 4

Table 4 Bootstrap 95% confidence intervals for partially linear logit model: DGP 1 (d=1$d=1$).Table 4 long description.

Figure 5

Table 5 Bootstrap 95% confidence intervals for partially linear logit model: DGP 2 (d=2$d=2$).Table 5 long description.

Figure 6

Table 6 Bootstrap 95% confidence intervals for partially linear logit model: DGP 3 (d=3$d=3$).Table 6 long description.

Figure 7

Figure 2 Coverage probabilities as a function of bandwidth h.Note: Each panel plots the empirical coverage probability of CIn,0.95∗(B,L)$\mathsf {CI}_{n,0.95}^{\hspace{0.5pt}*}(B,L)$ against bandwidth h for the four procedures (B,L)∈{(1,0),(1,1),(31/d,0),(31/d,1)}$(B,L)\in \{(1,0),(1,1),(3^{1/d},0),(3^{1/d},1)\}$. “PLR” stands for the partially linear regression model, and “PLL” stands for the partially linear logit model. d denotes the dimension of w$\mathbf {w}$. The horizontal dotted line marks the 95%$95\%$ nominal level. The two vertical lines mark the estimated MSE-optimal bandwidths hL=0$h_{L=0}$ and hL=1$h_{L=1}$ for the point estimators θ^n$\widehat {\boldsymbol {\theta }}_n$ (L=0$L=0$) and θ~n$\widetilde {\boldsymbol {\theta }}_n$ (L=1$L=1$), respectively. The sample size is n=2,000$n=2{,}000$ and results are based on 2,000$2{,}000$ simulation replications with 2,000$2{,}000$ bootstrap samples.Figure 2 long description.