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War, Coal, and Forced Labor: Assessing the Impact of Prisoner-of-War Employment on Coal Mine Productivity in World War I Germany

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 July 2021

Tobias A. Jopp*
Affiliation:
Tobias A. Jopp is Senior Assistant Professor, University of Regensburg, Department of History, Economic and Social History, 93040 Regensburg. E-mail: Tobias.Jopp@geschichte.uni-regensburg.de.
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Abstract

This paper assesses the causal relationship between POW assignments and labor productivity for a vital sector of the German World War I economy, namely coal mining. Prisoners of war (POWs) provided significant labor. Combining data on all Ruhr mines with a treatment-effects approach, I find that POW employment alone accounted for 36 percent of the average POW-employing mine’s annual productivity decline over wartime. Estimates also suggest that the representative POW’s productivity averaged 32 percent of the representative regular miner’s productivity and that POWs’ contribution to wartime coal output amounted to 3.9 percent. Violence did not serve as a powerful work incentive.

Information

Type
Article
Copyright
© The Economic History Association 2021
Figure 0

Table 1DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ON ANNUAL OBSERVATIONS OVER 1913–18

Figure 1

Figure 1RUHR COAL MINING AROUND WORLD WAR I (1911–20)Sources: Author’s depiction based on Jopp (2020).

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Table 2THE NUMBER AND PROPORTION OF MINES BY POW SHARE AND YEAR (1915–1918)

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Table 3MEAN POW SHARE BY START OF TREATMENT (IN PERCENT)

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Table 4CHARACTERISTICS OF MINES ACROSS GROUPS IN 1914––TREATMENT VERSUS NO TREATMENT

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Table 5SUMMARY RESULTS ON THE DOUBLY ROBUST ESTIMATION OF THE TREATMENT EFFECT

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Table 6DERIVING RELATIVE POW PRODUCTIVITY FROM A COUNTERFACTUAL SCENARIO FOR 1918

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